Group 1: Company Strategy and Financial Management - The company emphasizes value management and has developed a value enhancement plan to address market risks and improve revenue scale [4][26]. - The company plans to encourage major shareholders and executives to increase their holdings under suitable conditions to boost investor confidence [9][12]. - The company aims to enter new industry sectors through mergers and acquisitions, depending on its financial status and operational conditions [5][19]. Group 2: Revenue and Project Management - The company expects the ShaJing project to contribute approximately 1.24 billion CNY in revenue for 2024, with plans for further revenue growth in 2025 [30][21]. - The company is focusing on improving occupancy rates and rental prices for existing projects to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [37][26]. - The company is actively seeking quality commercial projects in the Greater Bay Area and surrounding cities to expand its business operations [19][21]. Group 3: Risk Management and Compliance - The company is addressing the risk of being delisted by implementing measures to manage its market value and improve financial performance [39][26]. - The company has clarified that the recent adjustments in accounting practices regarding utility fees will not significantly impact its financial status or operations [8][16]. - The company maintains a debt repayment plan, with 41.88 million CNY due in 2025 and 69.06 million CNY in 2026, indicating a structured approach to managing its liabilities [22][24]. Group 4: Shareholder Communication and Market Perception - The company is aware of negative publicity and is taking steps to protect its image, including reporting misinformation to relevant platforms [15][36]. - The management is committed to transparency and will disclose any plans for share buybacks or major shareholder actions to enhance market confidence [12][35]. - The company acknowledges the challenges posed by the current market environment but remains optimistic about future growth and recovery [19][39].

年报显示，公司全年全口径签约额达369亿元，中指研究院销售榜排名跃升至第23位（同比提升6位）， 显著跑赢行业大势。商业版图持续扩容，厦门、三亚、海淀三大悦城以超98%招商率高质量开业；创新 资本路径再获突破，西南首单消费REIT——成都大悦城商业REIT成功发行，底层资产出租率98.1%、 租金收缴率99.97%，为轻资产战略注入强劲动能。 凭借多元业务协同、高效运营能力与稳健财务表现，大悦城展现出穿越周期的韧性，为行业高质量发展 树立标杆。 01 持有型业务优势凸显，经营质量持续提升 大悦城深耕商业地产领域，以"年轻力"为核心战略，持续优化全国布局。2024年，公司商业项目总数达 44个（重资产30个+轻资产14个），覆盖京津冀、长三角、粤港澳大湾区等核心城市群。 年内，厦门、三亚、海淀三大悦城重磅开业，成为区域商业新地标。其中，三亚大悦城以100%招商 率、100%开业率刷新体系内纪录，首月销售额破亿，迅速跻身海南国际旅游消费中心核心引擎；厦门 大悦城作为福建首座旗舰项目，开业三日客流超50万人次，成为鹭岛品质生活新标杆；北京海淀大悦城 则以"山系生活智潮地"定位，填补区域高端商业空白。 在运营效能上， ...

序号股票简称PE(TTM)PE(静)市净率总市值(元)6皇庭国际-4.50-3.515.3939.50亿行业平均 107.66106.703.4449.87亿行业中值75.4274.382.1443.11亿1群兴玩具-415.17626.506.9657.46亿2云南城 投-22.63-54.843.0041.59亿3世联行-15.77-16.111.5847.63亿4电子城-6.58-25.180.6544.63亿5阳光股份-4.82- 4.570.4410.72亿7北辰实业-2.04-2.040.5957.58亿8南都物业14.9010.551.7319.60亿9新大正 15.3813.541.7621.68亿10招商积余16.0716.071.30135.09亿11特发服务73.9372.718.1387.36亿 深圳市皇庭国际企业股份有限公司是一家以商业地产开发和商业经营为主的企业，公司的主营业务是商 业不动产运营管理业务、资产管理业务以及各配套服务业务。公司的主要产品及服务有商业运营服务、 金融服务、融资租赁服务。 来源：金融界 4月18日，皇庭国际今日收盘3.34元，下跌1.47%，最新市净率5. ...

Group 1 - Chengdu Taikoo Li has successfully integrated traditional and modern elements, setting a new benchmark for high-quality urban renewal in mainland China [1] - The project has become a commercial landmark in Chengdu, attracting over 30 million visitors annually since its opening in 2015 [2] - Taikoo Properties has committed to investing HKD 50 billion in mainland China, achieving 92% of this target to date [1][4] Group 2 - The project features a low-density shopping center and a hotel, preserving traditional Sichuan architectural styles while promoting community engagement [2] - Over 215 brands have opened new stores or undergone renovations in the past three years, including high-end brands like Cartier and Dior, enhancing luxury retail experiences in Southwest China [2] - Taikoo Properties has seen a 12% increase in rental income at its Sanlitun Taikoo Li project, reaching a historical high, while overall foot traffic in mainland malls increased by 5% last year [3] Group 3 - The company is expanding its investment portfolio in mainland China, with projects in cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Sanya [4] - Taikoo Properties has a long-term investment outlook for the mainland market, aiming to identify more investment opportunities [4] - The company maintains a cautious approach to the current market environment while continuing its investment plans [5]

Group 1 - Despite the global luxury market facing challenges, Swire Properties reported a 5% increase in retail foot traffic in mainland China [1] - Swire Properties remains optimistic about the future of its retail business, noting improvements in retail sales since the fourth quarter of the previous year, with a stable trend expected to continue into the first quarter of 2025 [1] - The company aims to seek stable development amidst uncertainties in the retail industry, focusing on becoming a preferred partner for brands seeking quality collaborations [1] Group 2 - Chengdu Taikoo Li, a flagship property of Swire Properties in mainland China, celebrated its 10th anniversary with an exhibition showcasing its unique blend of commerce and culture [4] - The anniversary event included a documentary that highlights the development and stories behind Chengdu Taikoo Li, emphasizing its low-density space and environment-driven planning [4][5] - Since its upgrade in 2022, Chengdu Taikoo Li has introduced over 215 new brands, including several regional and national first stores, enhancing its position as a premier retail destination [5] Group 3 - Notable brands that have opened stores in Chengdu Taikoo Li include Cartier, Dior, Goyard, LOEWE, Louis Vuitton, and Tiffany & Co., with some stores setting sales records nationally and globally [6] - Swire Properties currently operates six completed projects in mainland China, including locations in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Chengdu, with several more projects under development [6]

Company Overview - Nanguo Real Estate (002305) has experienced a decline for four consecutive trading days, with a cumulative drop of -10.64% [1] - The company was established in 1998 and became the first commercial real estate company to go public after the IPO restart in 2009 on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] Shareholder Information - Two funds under the management of Fortune Fund have entered the top ten shareholders of Nanguo Real Estate, specifically Fortune Quality Growth 6-Month Holding Mixed A and Fortune New Vitality Flexible Allocation Mixed A, both of which reduced their holdings in the fourth quarter of last year [1] - Fortune Quality Growth 6-Month Holding Mixed A has a year-to-date return of 11.57%, ranking 300 out of 4559 in its category, while Fortune New Vitality Flexible Allocation Mixed A has a year-to-date return of 10.28%, ranking 107 out of 2308 [1] Fund Manager Profile - The fund manager for both Fortune Quality Growth 6-Month Holding Mixed A and Fortune New Vitality Flexible Allocation Mixed A is Wu Dongdong, who has a background in mechanical engineering and has held various research positions in the finance industry since 2016 [5][6] - Wu Dongdong has been managing the Fortune Quality Growth 6-Month Holding Mixed A since February 28, 2022, and the Fortune New Vitality Flexible Allocation Mixed A since February 23, 2023 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Swire Properties is expanding its commercial footprint in mainland China, with a significant investment plan of HKD 100 billion over the next decade, focusing on core markets and aiming for long-term growth [1][2]. Investment Strategy - Swire Properties announced a HKD 100 billion investment plan in early 2022, with approximately RMB 50 billion allocated to mainland China, and 92% of the committed funds have already been deployed after three years [1]. - The company is actively seeking new investment opportunities in Shenzhen and plans to develop more Swire Lounges in mainland China [2]. Project Developments - The Beijing Swire Town project, located in Chaoyang District, is the largest single investment project by Swire Properties in mainland China, with a total construction area of 860,000 square meters, including eight Grade A office buildings and a shopping center [1]. - The project is expected to be completed and opened in phases by the end of 2026 [1]. Retail Business Performance - Swire Properties has confidence in its retail business, with a 12% increase in rental income from the Sanlitun Swire Town in 2024, marking a historical high [2]. - The company has upgraded its retail offerings and adjusted brands in its projects, resulting in a 5% increase in foot traffic in mainland locations [2][3]. Brand Adjustments - Several retail stores in Sanlitun Swire Town have undergone brand adjustments, including the opening of flagship stores for various international brands [3]. - The Yushe Hotel in Sanlitun is undergoing renovation to transform into an innovative retail space [3]. Market Challenges - Recent changes in U.S. tariff policies have introduced uncertainties in commercial development, but Swire Properties remains resilient and anticipates continued growth in mainland consumer spending [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Swire Properties (01972.HK) with a target price of HKD 21.52, compared to the current price of HKD 15.52 [2][7]. Core Insights - Swire Properties is recognized as a high-end commercial real estate developer, with property investments contributing an average of 117% to the shareholders' recurring net profit. The company has a stable dividend policy, aiming to distribute approximately 50% of its recurring profit as dividends, with annual growth in dividends expected in the mid-single digits [7][11]. - The company's revenue and net profit are primarily derived from rental income from property investments, which accounted for an average of 88% of total revenue from 2018 to 2024. Despite a projected loss in net profit for 2024 due to fair value fluctuations, the company's underlying profitability remains intact [15][16]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential of Swire's mainland China shopping centers, which are expected to contribute significantly to rental income, with a projected 50% growth in rental income from these centers in the coming years [36][37]. Summary by Sections 1. High-End Commercial Real Estate Developer - Swire Properties has established a strong presence in high-end commercial real estate, with significant projects in Hong Kong and mainland China, including landmark shopping centers like Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li and Guangzhou Taikoo Hui [15][31]. - The company has a robust rental income model, with property investments contributing approximately 93% of total revenue in 2024 [17][19]. 2. Rental Income Contribution - Rental income is the primary driver of the company's revenue, with a stable contribution to net profit. The rental income from mainland shopping centers is expected to grow significantly, becoming a major pillar of the company's revenue [20][21]. - The report indicates that the rental income from mainland shopping centers is projected to reach HKD 52.25 billion in 2024, accounting for 35% of total rental income [21][36]. 3. Investment Strategy and Future Growth - Swire Properties has announced a HKD 100 billion investment plan, with a focus on expanding its presence in mainland China and enhancing the competitiveness of existing projects [28][36]. - The company is set to launch several new projects in the coming years, which are expected to drive rental income growth and further solidify its market position [36][37]. 4. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company's shopping centers benefit from prime locations and a strong brand portfolio, which provide a competitive edge in attracting high-end retailers and maintaining high occupancy rates [32][42]. - Swire Properties has a stable management team and a concentrated ownership structure, with Swire Group holding 82% of the shares, ensuring strategic continuity and long-term planning [33][34].

Core Viewpoint - The overall supply and demand situation in the commercial real estate sector does not determine individual operational results, with the ability to outperform peers being crucial for success [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Increased external uncertainties are expected to boost the value of shopping centers as domestic demand is emphasized as a strategic foundation for new development [1] - Shopping centers are vital physical spaces for consumer activities, and recent government initiatives aim to enhance consumption infrastructure to stimulate domestic demand [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Major brand shopping centers are outperforming retail sales and rental growth, with projected average sales growth of 16.4% and rental income growth of 16.6% for three leading companies in 2024 [2] - The same companies are expected to see same-store sales growth of 6.2% and same-store rental growth of 3.1%, indicating strong operational performance [2] Group 3: Expansion and Management - The three leading companies plan to open a total of 47 new shopping centers in 2024, with significant investments in both light and heavy asset models [3] - The average same-store sales growth for these companies exceeds the industry average by 6.2 percentage points, showcasing the effectiveness of quality management [3] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - There are over 6,000 shopping centers in China, but only about 25% are managed by high-quality management companies, indicating a significant competitive advantage for these firms [4] - Established brands have geographical advantages in tenant selection and consumer behavior, which helps them maintain higher rental growth compared to the overall retail sector [4] Group 5: Asset Valuation - The development of various financial instruments like public and private REITs is driving the revaluation of commercial real estate assets, with a focus on stable cash flow properties [5] - The recognition of quality management platforms is expected to expand beyond first-tier cities by 2025, enhancing their market presence [5]

文 ｜ 陈聪 张全国 李俊波 刘河维 2 0 2 4年，华润万象生活、龙湖集团和新城控股的购物中心同店销售额跑赢社零，同店租金跑赢行 业。优质购物中心的抗风险能力显著，购物中心的先发优势显著。我们认为，随着金融市场的发 展，资金不会成为限制商业地产公司发展的要素，商业地产公司（无论轻重）价值取决于稀缺地段 +运营能力。我们看好中国核心商业地产企业的全面向上重估，包括轻资产平台的价值发现，和重 资产公司如的估值提升。 ▍ 外部不确定性增大，提振消费利好购物中心价值。 目前，外需存在较大不确定性，提振内需是构建新发展格局的战略基点。购物中心是承载居民消 费，娱乐，体验，休闲的重要物理载体，我们预计将受益于内需提振。近期，财政部、住建部要 求加强消费基础设施建设，改造城市空间以满足文化、旅游、餐饮、休闲娱乐需求，以中央财政 支持以刺激内需。 ▍ 头部品牌购物中心同店销售额跑赢社零，租金增长跑赢行业。 我们基于公司公告数据测算，三大上市公司华润万象生活、龙湖集团、新城控股2 0 2 4年在营购物 中心销售额平均增长1 6 . 4%，同店销售额平均增长6 . 2%，租金及管理费收入平均增长1 6 . 6%，同 店租金平 ...