•12月1日起，所有销售的电动自行车必须符合新的国家标准，旧国标电动自行车将被禁售。 •超卓航科12月1日开市起复牌，公司控股股东拟由李光平、王春晓、李羿含变更为湖北交投资本投资有 限公司，公司实际控制人拟变更为湖北省国资委。 今日提示 •由中国互联网协会主办的2025"人工智能+"产业生态大会，将于12月1日—3日在京举办，为期三天的大 会将搭建政策、技术、需求、成果的综合对接服务平台，助力"人工智能＋"行动落地。 大咖观市 ○12月是布局"春季躁动"好时机 上周A股主要指数悉数反弹，市场热点集中于TMT主线。展望后市，多家券商认为，A股跨年行情已经 具备良好基础，12月是布局"春季躁动"的好时机。 兴业证券认为，前期扰动市场的各类因素，近期已在逐步缓解。首先，海外扰动因素进一步缓和，美联 储表态与经济数据共同推升降息预期，推动全球风险资产共振修复。近期人民币汇率加速升值破7.08关 口，汇率走强与资本市场修复形成共振。往后看，A股跨年行情已经具备良好基础，建议投资者保持多 头思维，继续布局中国资产。 广发证券认为，展望2026年，上市公司盈利边际改善、政策基调积极、市场流动性充裕、外部扰动因素 逐步缓和， ...

Core Insights - Energy storage technology is essential in the clean energy transformation era, with China leading the global market, holding over 40% of the new energy storage capacity [2][13][22] - The rapid development of energy storage is driven by cost reduction in the supply chain and the "dual carbon" strategy, with significant overseas orders signed by Chinese companies [2][4] - The energy storage market is transitioning from policy-driven to market-driven following the removal of mandatory storage requirements, indicating a shift in dynamics [17][54] Policy and Market Dynamics - The 2015 policy framework initiated a series of reforms aimed at enhancing energy storage and smart grid construction, setting the stage for market growth [4][5] - The introduction of competitive pricing and the opening of the electricity market to private capital have created opportunities for energy storage applications [4][6] - The energy storage sector is expected to benefit from the ongoing energy transition and the increasing demand for renewable energy integration [16][43] Industry Growth and Statistics - By the end of 2024, China's new energy storage capacity reached 73.76 million kW, significantly exceeding the 30 million kW target set for 2025 [13] - Global new energy storage installations are projected to exceed 100 GW by the end of 2024, with a growth rate of 81.1% [10] - The global energy storage system shipment volume reached 286.35 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, marking an 84.7% year-on-year increase [42] Technological Advancements - The shift from traditional pumped storage to lithium battery storage has accelerated due to cost reductions and technological advancements [10][23] - Chinese companies dominate the energy storage battery and inverter markets, with significant market shares and technological capabilities [26][31] - The integration of energy management systems (EMS) with core components like batteries and inverters enhances the competitiveness of Chinese firms [31][40] Global Market Trends - The global energy storage market is experiencing a surge driven by the need for reliable power supply and the integration of renewable energy sources [43][44] - Emerging markets in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa are witnessing rapid growth in energy storage demand due to energy supply challenges [43] - The increasing energy demands from AI data centers are expected to drive substantial growth in energy storage requirements, with projections indicating a need for 300 GWh by 2030 [44][45] Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies are expected to maintain a leading position in the global energy storage market, with significant advancements in technology and production capacity [22][28] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with price wars emerging as companies expand internationally, potentially impacting profitability [54][57] - Regulatory challenges and trade barriers in key markets like the U.S. and EU may pose risks to Chinese firms seeking to expand their global footprint [59][61]

Group 1: Consumer Sector - The government has implemented substantial measures to boost consumption, focusing on smart products, green energy, and products for the elderly [1] - The fourth round of "trade-in" subsidies is accelerating, targeting home appliances, digital products, and home decoration, with a deadline for consumers to act by December 31 [1] Group 2: Alcohol and Pharmaceutical E-commerce - A company specializing in both liquor and pharmaceutical e-commerce has seen revenue growth of nearly 30%, with high gross margins due to increased demand during year-end banquets [1] - The pharmaceutical e-commerce segment benefits from stricter regulations, providing a competitive edge, while innovative drugs are in phase three clinical trials, indicating strong cash flow and a low price-to-earnings ratio compared to peers [1] Group 3: Prepared Dishes and New Retail - A company focused on prepared dishes and new retail is experiencing rapid market growth, with the market size exceeding 600 billion, although its actual revenue contribution is only over 10% [3] - The main business remains traditional retail with lower gross margins, and new production facilities for prepared dishes will not be operational until 2026, posing risks for large investments [3] Group 4: Healthcare Sector - Companies specializing in cold medicine are expected to see revenue spikes during the flu season, with over 40% of their revenue coming from this period, but they have low R&D investment, limiting long-term growth potential [3] Group 5: Elderly Care and AI Medical Services - A company focusing on elderly care and AI medical services has seen over 50% revenue growth in community care and rehabilitation, with AI diagnostic systems implemented in numerous grassroots hospitals [5] - The company has high R&D investment compared to industry averages, but its diverse business lines contribute limited short-term profits, making it suitable for long-term investment [5] Group 6: Private Hospitals and Smart Medical Services - A company operating in private hospitals, smart medical services, and coal has seen over 30% revenue growth in private hospitals, with stable cash flow from coal operations [6] - The company has a diversified risk profile but lacks a core growth engine, making it suitable for conservative investors [6] Group 7: High-end Manufacturing - The high-end manufacturing sector is receiving strong policy support, with a focus on industrial mother machines, which are expected to modernize by 2027 [6] - A company producing CNC machines has reported over 60% profit growth in the first three quarters, with a nearly 40% year-on-year increase in industrial mother machine revenue [6] Group 8: New Energy and Digital Economy - The new energy and digital economy sectors are experiencing explosive growth, with data trading becoming a national focus and data center capacity reaching 500 PB [8] - The company involved in data business has seen revenue double, with stable cash flow from cement operations and lower valuations compared to peers, indicating potential for increased profitability if the data business model is successful [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the energy storage industry is becoming essential in the AI era due to its ability to address the power supply bottlenecks faced by AI operations [1][4] - Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella highlighted that the biggest challenge in AI development is not chip supply but rather power shortages [2][3] - The shift of energy storage to a key solution for power supply issues is driven by the intersection of industrial demand, market cycles, and technological integration [3][4] Group 2 - Energy storage is now a critical bridge connecting AI and energy, evolving from merely addressing renewable energy issues to stabilizing power supply for AI data centers [4] - By September 2025, China's new energy storage installed capacity is expected to exceed 100 million kilowatts, accounting for over 40% of the global total, solidifying its position as the world leader [5] - The rapid development of AI technology is creating new investment opportunities and reshaping the cost structure in the energy storage industry [5][6] Group 3 - The integration of AI and energy storage represents a mutual enhancement of technology and industry, with AI providing solutions for efficiency and cost reduction in energy storage [6] - Future AI competition will depend not only on computing power and algorithms but also on the ability to provide sufficient and stable power support [6]

Group 1 - The market is characterized by a slow bull trend with reduced volatility and improved Sharpe ratios compared to the past, but subjective long positions have limited improvement [1] - The current market structure shows an increase in allocation-type funds, but there is a lack of incremental funds with individual stock pricing power, leading to higher valuation and safety margin requirements for subjective long positions [1] - A significant change in domestic demand is needed to unlock market potential, with recommendations to focus on resource and traditional manufacturing sectors as well as companies expanding overseas [1] Group 2 - December is expected to be a favorable time for "profit-making effects," with a shift in market dynamics from low to high win rates around the Spring Festival and Two Sessions [2] - The average duration of the "spring market" is about 20 trading days, with a focus on sectors with positive earnings forecasts for the upcoming year [2] - Many sectors have already seen adjustments of around 20%, making December a good time to start observing potential investments [2] Group 3 - The cross-year market is supported by easing overseas disturbances and a warming expectation of global liquidity, with a focus on sectors with high growth forecasts for 2026 [3] - Key sectors to watch include AI, advantageous manufacturing, and structural recovery in domestic demand, with an emphasis on policy support and sustainable valuation recovery [3] - The technology sector is expected to lead the market rally, particularly in AI applications and domestic computing power industries [3] Group 4 - December is anticipated to mark the beginning of a cross-year market rally, with a high probability of upward movement following three months of consolidation [4] - Investment opportunities are expected to arise in non-bank financials and sectors influenced by upcoming policy directions from key meetings [4] - The dual focus on the Shanghai 50 and Sci-Tech 50 indices is seen as advantageous for capitalizing on the cross-year market [4] Group 5 - The market is expected to experience a cross-year rally, with a focus on technology growth and resource sectors [6] - Key industries to consider include non-ferrous metals, AI, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6] - The theme of commercial aerospace is highlighted as a significant area of interest [6] Group 6 - The A-share market is entering a critical policy observation window, with expectations of increased risk appetite and a favorable environment for cross-year market positioning [7] - Key sectors include commercial aerospace, AI applications, and military technology, which are expected to benefit from policy catalysts [7] - The focus on industries related to the "14th Five-Year Plan" is emphasized for investment opportunities [7] Group 7 - The cross-year and spring market strategies are highlighted as key focus areas for December, with policy factors being a core driver [8] - The market is expected to transition from value-driven to growth-driven dynamics, with small-cap stocks showing strong performance in recent years [8] - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is anticipated to provide new investment themes if specific industry proposals are introduced [8] Group 8 - The current A-share market is assessed as being in a high-cut-low phase, with expectations of continued volatility until the end of the year [9] - The market's ability to break through the 4000-point level is seen as crucial for future performance, with a need for a transition from liquidity-driven to fundamentals-driven growth [9] - The technology sector is expected to remain sensitive to market conditions, with a focus on resource sectors as potential winners [9] Group 9 - The market is currently in a "slow bull" phase, with significant room for growth, but short-term volatility is expected due to a lack of strong catalysts [10] - Defensive and consumer sectors are recommended for short-term focus, while TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors are highlighted for mid-term investment [10] - The market is anticipated to remain in a consolidation phase, with high-dividend and consumer sectors likely to perform better [10] Group 10 - The foundation supporting the current liquidity-driven bull market remains solid, with potential for improved earnings and capital inflows to extend the bull market [11] - The market may experience volatility due to weak economic data and adjustments in overseas markets, but opportunities for upward movement are expected as policies and funding conditions improve [11] - The focus on clearing capacity and inventory, along with the commercialization of emerging industries like AI, is seen as crucial for market health [11]

Silver Market - Silver prices surged significantly on November 28, with COMEX silver futures reaching a high of $57.245 per ounce and London spot silver hitting $56.78 per ounce, while domestic futures peaked at 13,239 yuan per kilogram. The year-to-date increase has reached 90%, making it one of the strongest performers this year [1] - The strong performance of silver is driven by macro monetary policy expectations and supply-demand dynamics. The market now anticipates an 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, up from about 40% a week prior. This easing expectation has weakened the dollar index, reducing the holding cost of silver and attracting significant capital inflows into precious metals [1] - The global silver market has experienced a supply deficit for the fifth consecutive year, estimated at 95 million ounces. High photovoltaic installation levels and increased penetration of electric vehicles are expected to sustain industrial demand for silver, with projections indicating continued supply shortages through 2026, providing strong support for silver prices [1] Quantum Computing - On November 28, the University of Science and Technology of China achieved a significant breakthrough in quantum simulation by detecting high-order non-equilibrium topological phases using the programmable superconducting quantum processor "Zuchongzhi No. 2." This marks an important advancement in exploring complex topological states [2] - The experiment demonstrates the significant advantages of superconducting quantum processors in programmability and control precision, reinforcing the leading position of this technology route. The findings are expected to facilitate applications in condensed matter physics, quantum chemistry, and materials science, potentially addressing challenges in high-temperature superconductivity and complex molecular structures [2] Cybersecurity - The Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the importance of strengthening network ecological governance during a collective study session on November 28. This governance is crucial for national development and security, as well as for the interests of the people [3] - The meeting highlighted the challenges posed by emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data, while also recognizing the new support conditions they provide for network governance. It called for the encouragement of new technology development in the internet and information sectors, and the establishment of a tiered and classified security regulatory mechanism [3] Tantalum Capacitors - Amid the rapid expansion of AI server data centers, the supply of tantalum capacitors is tightening, with Panasonic announcing price increases of 15% to 30% for certain models. This price hike follows similar actions by American manufacturers, indicating a hot market for tantalum capacitors [4] - The tantalum supply chain is characterized by oligopoly and long delivery times, suggesting a potential wave of price increases in 2026. Tantalum capacitors are critical electronic components used in power management, signal coupling, and filtering, with demand surging due to the rapid growth of AI and other high-tech applications [4] IP Economy - The film "Zootopia 2" achieved a single-day box office of over 700 million yuan on November 30, surpassing "Avengers: Endgame" to become the highest single-day box office for an imported film in China's history. The film's total box office has exceeded 2 billion yuan, making it the highest-grossing imported animated film in China [5] - The surge in demand for "Zootopia 2" has led to a significant increase in the prices of related merchandise, such as blind boxes, reflecting a trend of emotional consumption among young people [5] Copper Market - LME copper futures surged over 4% on Friday, breaking the $11,200 mark and reaching a historical high for the first time in four weeks. This increase is attributed to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a focus on supply shortages, with miners pricing commodities significantly above buyer expectations [6] - The global copper market is experiencing its tightest supply chain ever, driven by weak supply growth and frequent disruptions, alongside strong demand from emerging sectors and stable demand from traditional core areas [6] AI Toys - The AI emotional companion toy "Smart Hanhai" launched by Huawei sold out immediately upon release, indicating strong market demand. Additionally, Honor announced a strategic partnership with Aofei Entertainment to develop AI interactive toys targeting young consumers [7] - The AI toy market is expected to expand rapidly, with projections indicating that by 2030, the market size in China will exceed 100 billion yuan. The high gross margins of over 70% for mid-to-high-end AI toys are attracting significant investment [7] Energy Storage - On November 28, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to discuss the battery industry, focusing on regulating competition and promoting high-quality development in the power and energy storage battery sectors. The meeting emphasized the need for targeted policy measures and monitoring of production capacity [9] - By 2025, the Chinese energy storage industry is expected to undergo a significant transition, with independent energy storage becoming mainstream as mandatory storage policies are phased out. The global market is experiencing rapid growth, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, leading to increased orders for domestic energy storage cell manufacturers [9]

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 30 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 戴映炘 SAC：S1350524080002 daiyingxin@huayuanstock.com 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 投资评级： 看好（维持） 关注储能容量电价机制进展 输配电价定价办法 出台 ——大能源行业 2025 年第 48 周周报（20251130） 投资要点： 储能：省级规划加快出台 关注各省容量机制进展 2025 年 11 月，湖北省、黑龙江省分别印发《湖北省储能体系建设方案（2025-2030 年）》 和《黑龙江省新型储能规模化建设专项实施方案（2025-2027 年）》。其中： 1）湖北省：到 2027 年全省储能装机达到 800 万千瓦，到 2030 年全省储能装机达到 1700 万千瓦，支撑 8000 万千瓦以上的新能源合理消纳利用。分类型 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Artis, plans to establish a joint venture with its controlling shareholder, Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), to restructure its operations in the U.S. solar and energy storage market, retaining some ongoing revenue rights from the business [1] Group 1: Joint Venture and Business Restructuring - The joint venture will consist of two companies, M and N, where Artis will hold 24.9% and CSIQ will hold 75.1% [1] - Company M will focus on solar business in the U.S., including the operation of solar cell and module factories, while Company N will handle energy storage, including lithium iron phosphate battery cells and systems [1][2] - The restructuring aims to ensure long-term participation in the U.S. market, mitigate operational risks, and capitalize on the growing demand for solar and storage solutions [1] Group 2: Financial Aspects and Asset Management - The total assessed value for the equity transfer involved in the restructuring is 469 million yuan, with the corresponding transaction amount for the 75.1% stake set at 352 million yuan [2] - The company will provide a guarantee of up to 44.631 billion yuan to support CSIQ in fulfilling performance and financing guarantees [3] - Expected daily related transactions with affiliates for 2026 are projected to be no more than 5.527 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 40% from 2025, due to business adjustments [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Views - The fourth quarter is expected to be a peak sales season for new energy vehicles, with domestic sales in 2025 projected to maintain high growth, driving demand for batteries and materials [1]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting a "de-involution" strategy in the battery industry, which is expected to restore profitability across the supply chain [1]. - Solid-state battery industrialization is progressing, with a focus on related materials and equipment companies [1]. - In the photovoltaic sector, the "de-involution" strategy is seen as a key investment theme, although terminal demand is currently weak [1]. - Wind power demand is expected to continue growing, with a focus on wind turbine and offshore wind directions [1]. - Energy storage demand remains robust, with battery cells and integration still in a price increase phase [1]. - Hydrogen energy is anticipated to open up demand for green hydrogen, with a focus on downstream applications [1]. - Nuclear fusion is viewed as a long-term catalyst for energy development, with attention on core suppliers in this area [1]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector rose by 3.59% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.40% [10]. - The power generation equipment sector saw the highest increase at 5.34%, followed by wind power at 4.99% and new energy vehicles at 4.48% [13]. Key Industry Information - NIO reported a record high revenue of 21.79 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [25]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is accelerating targeted policy measures to regulate irrational competition in the battery industry [25]. - LG Chem announced a significant improvement in solid-state battery performance, with a basic capacity increase of approximately 15% and a high-rate discharge capacity increase of about 50% [25]. - As of the end of October, China's cumulative installed power generation capacity reached 3.75 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 17.3% [25]. Company Developments - Longpan Technology signed a supplementary agreement with Chuangneng New Energy, with a total sales amount exceeding 45 billion yuan [27]. - JinkoSolar expects global energy storage installation demand to exceed 400 GWh next year, with a compound annual growth rate of over 30% until 2030 [28].

Core Insights - Longi Green Energy has transitioned from a global photovoltaic leader to a comprehensive energy solution provider focusing on "photovoltaic-storage-hydrogen integration" within just 13 days following the acquisition of Jingkong Energy [4] - The company introduced a one-stop energy storage solution at a product launch event in London, emphasizing a "stable triangle" energy architecture centered on photovoltaic, energy storage, and hydrogen energy [4] - Longi Green Energy announced the establishment of its first photovoltaic-storage technology innovation center in Europe, aimed at providing localized professional services to enhance the safety, reliability, and long-term returns of integrated energy storage assets [4] Company Strategy - The acquisition of Jingkong Energy is a strategic move to quickly enter the energy storage market, leveraging Jingkong's mature system integration experience and strong global capacity [5] - Longi Green Energy is expanding its domestic channels, with reports of contracts signed for residential energy storage systems [4] - The company plans to implement its energy storage solutions primarily in key European markets such as the UK, Germany, Italy, and Spain, capitalizing on the urgent demand for energy transition in Europe [4]