Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a rise on September 29, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a price increase of 0.68% during trading, reflecting a positive market sentiment [1] - Key stocks in the sector, such as Multi-Fluorine and Tianqi Lithium, saw significant gains, with Multi-Fluorine hitting the daily limit and Tianqi Materials rising over 7% [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with six other ministries, issued a new growth plan for the petrochemical industry covering 2025-2026, following a previous plan for 2023-2024 [1][3] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities noted that the new growth plan indicates a shift from an "expansion-focused" development model to one emphasizing optimization and high-quality growth in the chemical sector, presenting good investment opportunities [3] - The chemical ETF (516020) is currently at a low valuation, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.26, indicating a favorable long-term investment position [3] - Debon Securities highlighted that core assets in the chemical sector are entering a long-term value zone, with potential for both valuation and profit recovery [4] Group 3 - Donghai Securities pointed out that domestic policies are frequently addressing supply-side requirements, while international uncertainties in chemical supply chains are increasing due to geopolitical tensions [4] - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, covering various sub-sectors and concentrating nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks, which allows investors to capitalize on strong market leaders [5]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on the Refrigerant Industry Industry Overview - The refrigerant industry is currently under strict global policy control due to high CO2 emissions associated with refrigerants, leading to significant greenhouse effects. This has resulted in supply-side restrictions globally [2][31]. - China dominates the global supply of refrigerants, accounting for over 80% of total demand, with a supply cap set at 1.85 billion tons of CO2 equivalent based on average usage from 2020 to 2022 [1][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - The transition to a quota system in 2024 will shift the industry strategy from market share maximization to profit maximization, avoiding price wars and enhancing overall market performance [1][9]. - The upgrade from third-generation to fourth-generation refrigerants is facing challenges, as existing products often represent compromises in safety and efficiency [1][10]. - The 2025 quota policy will increase the total quota to 280,000 tons, reflecting strong market demand, with prices for key products like R32 and R125 expected to continue rising [12][14]. Market Dynamics - The refrigerant market is characterized by high concentration, with leading companies controlling approximately 90% of the market share for major products like R32 and R134a [3][14]. - Liquid cooling technology is emerging as a new application area, driving demand for refrigerants, with leading domestic companies actively investing in related businesses [3][37]. Price Trends and Future Expectations - Historical price trends show a significant increase in refrigerant prices, with R32 rising from 13,000 to 62,000 CNY over two years, indicating a long-term upward trend without extreme volatility [16][40]. - The current market sentiment suggests that the refrigerant industry has not yet reached its peak, with potential for further price increases as demand continues to grow [43][47]. Challenges and Opportunities - The industry faces challenges in developing and applying alternative refrigerants, with existing substitutes like YF facing regulatory scrutiny and compatibility issues [11][23]. - The global quota system is expected to stabilize the industry, providing a framework for sustainable growth and reducing cyclical volatility [26][42]. Conclusion - The refrigerant industry is positioned for growth, driven by increasing demand in various sectors, including air conditioning and automotive applications. The strategic shift towards profit maximization and the implementation of quota systems are likely to enhance market stability and profitability for leading companies [21][47].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The fluorochemical industry is entering a long-term prosperity cycle, with significant growth potential across the entire supply chain, from raw materials like fluorite to high-end fluorinated materials and fine chemicals [23] - The market for fluorite is showing a continuous recovery, with prices increasing due to strong demand and limited supply [35][36] - The refrigerant market is expected to maintain an upward trend, driven by the increasing prices of R32 and other refrigerants, as well as the ongoing transition to more environmentally friendly products [21][22] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Industry Overview - The fluorite price has shown a continuous recovery, with the average market price for 97% wet fluorite reaching 3,512 CNY/ton, up 4.09% from the previous week [19][35] - The fluorochemical index decreased by 0.43% during the week of September 22-26, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [27][30] 2. Fluorite Market - The fluorite market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with increased inquiries and negotiations for new contracts as downstream prices rise [35] - The supply side is tightening due to production limitations and seasonal factors, leading to a bullish market sentiment [36] 3. Refrigerant Market - As of September 26, 2025, the prices for various refrigerants are as follows: R32 at 62,500 CNY/ton, R125 at 45,500 CNY/ton, R134a at 52,000 CNY/ton, R410a at 52,500 CNY/ton, and R22 at 34,500 CNY/ton [21][24] - The export quota for R32 has been progressing well, with a 62% consumption rate, benefiting from the release of overseas production capacity by domestic air conditioning companies [22] 4. Recent Industry Developments - Major companies such as Juhua Co. have received environmental assessments for new projects, indicating ongoing investment in the fluorochemical sector [10] - India has initiated anti-dumping investigations against Chinese HFC refrigerants, which may impact market dynamics [10][11] 5. Recommended Stocks - Key stocks to watch include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Haohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinjubang [11][23]

每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：江西石磊氟材料有限责任公司目前六氟磷酸锂的产能 和规划产能是多少？ 新宙邦（300037.SZ）9月28日在投资者互动平台表示，公司投资的石磊氟材料现有六氟磷酸锂产能为 2.4万吨/年，为持续提升竞争力，石磊氟材料正积极通过技术改造挖掘潜能，待2025年底技改完成后， 六氟磷酸锂规划产能可达3.6万吨/年，后续看市场需求仍会有进一步的扩产计划。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the significant growth and demand for Polyvinylidene Fluoride (PVDF) in various industries, particularly in lithium batteries and photovoltaic applications, highlighting its expanding market potential [1][5][10]. Group 1: Overview of PVDF - PVDF is a specialty fluoropolymer known for its excellent mechanical properties, chemical stability, biocompatibility, hydrophobicity, high dielectric strength, and resistance to UV degradation [1][2]. - The production of PVDF primarily relies on R142b (dichlorofluoroethane), which is produced through two main routes: acetylene and VDC [1][8]. Group 2: Market Status - The demand for PVDF has surged due to the rapid development of the lithium battery and photovoltaic sectors, leading to significant expansions in production capacity [5][6]. - By 2024, China's PVDF production capacity is projected to reach approximately 224,000 tons per year, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.5%, with an output of about 124,000 tons, also up by 13.1% [5][6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The PVDF market features numerous participants, including both domestic companies like Dongyue Group and foreign firms such as Arkema and Solvay [7][8]. - Domestic leaders in PVDF production include Zhejiang Funorlin and Dongyue Group, while other companies like Shandong Deyi and Juhua are positioned in the second tier [7]. Group 4: Application Analysis - The application of PVDF in lithium batteries has increased significantly, now accounting for 38% of its usage, while the coatings industry has seen a decline to 24% [10][15]. - The lithium-ion battery market in China is expected to continue its growth, with total production reaching 1,170 GWh in 2024, a 24% increase year-on-year [10][11]. Group 5: Future Trends - The PVDF industry is expected to focus on technological upgrades, application expansion, and global competition, with structural opportunities and challenges ahead [16][20]. - Emerging applications in hydrogen energy and semiconductors are anticipated to accelerate, with specialized PVDF materials being developed for these sectors [19][20]. - Environmental considerations will drive the industry towards low-emission and recyclable production methods, with a projected 20% of PVDF being recycled by 2030 [21].

Company Overview - Haohua Technology Co., Ltd. is located in Chaoyang District, Beijing, and was established on August 5, 1999, with its listing date on January 11, 2001 [2] - The company provides comprehensive services for chemical engineering and petrochemical engineering projects, including technology development, transfer, consulting, engineering design, and general contracting [2] - Main business revenue composition includes: high-end fluorine materials (54.39%), high-end manufacturing (20.31%), engineering technical services (12.71%), electronic chemicals (6.58%), and others (3.12%) [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Haohua Technology achieved operating revenue of 7.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 124.33% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 645 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 74.02% [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 2.15 billion yuan, with 1.27 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 26, Haohua Technology's stock price was 29.86 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 38.52 billion yuan [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 4.32%, with a 1.05% rise over the last five trading days, a 1.68% decline over the last 20 days, and a 12.98% increase over the last 60 days [1] - The net outflow of main funds was 12.31 million yuan, with significant buying and selling activities recorded [1] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 14.29% to 18,600, with an average of 48,906 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 12.50% [2] - Major shareholders include Huaxia Military Industry Safety Mixed Fund and Dachen New Era Industry Mixed Fund, with changes in their holdings noted [3]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The fluorochemical industry continues to experience high prosperity, with improved profitability for enterprises. In August 2025, prices for third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a increased by 9.09%, 0.00%, and 3.00% respectively compared to the end of July. R22 price rose by 1.43% month-on-month and 18.33% year-on-year [5][6][7] - Domestic air conditioning production is expected to decline year-on-year in October and November 2025, with production volumes of 10.75 million units, 10.88 million units, and 12.20 million units respectively, reflecting declines of -11.98%, -22.60%, and -19.70% [6][7] - The refrigerant industry is anticipated to maintain high prosperity, with major producers like Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. reporting significant net profit growth of 145.84%, 159.22%, and 140.82% respectively in the first half of 2025 [7] Group 2: Company Analysis - Juxing Technology (002444) - Juxing Technology has established a global multi-tier sales channel, achieving a revenue of 7.027 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.87%, and a net profit of 1.273 billion yuan, up 6.63% year-on-year [8][9] - The company’s revenue distribution shows that 65.00% comes from the US and 25.66% from Europe. Juxing Technology is expanding its DTC business, with cross-border e-commerce revenue growing by over 30% [9][10] - The global tools market is projected to reach $67.3 billion by 2026, with a CAGR of approximately 4% from 2024 to 2026. The demand for tools is expected to remain stable due to active housing transactions and industrial production expansion [9][10] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Despite a complex market environment, Juxing Technology is expected to achieve net profits of 2.622 billion yuan, 3.057 billion yuan, and 3.587 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.20 yuan, 2.56 yuan, and 3.00 yuan, and PE ratios of 15X, 13X, and 11X respectively. The company is rated as a "buy" [10]

Company Overview - Multi-Flor's stock price decreased by 2.06% on September 25, closing at 16.67 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.109 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 6.11%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 19.845 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 41.21%, with a 1.58% rise over the last five trading days, 26.48% over the last 20 days, and 38.63% over the last 60 days [2] - Multi-Flor has been listed on the stock market since May 18, 2010, and is primarily engaged in lithium hexafluorophosphate and electronic chemicals, lithium-ion batteries, new energy vehicles, and inorganic fluorides [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Multi-Flor reported a revenue of 4.328 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 51.33 million CNY, down 27.01% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 2.034 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.04 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, Multi-Flor had 160,200 shareholders, a decrease of 4.80% from the previous period, with an average of 6,743 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 5.04% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the third-largest shareholder with 20.875 million shares, an increase of 13.957 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The rapid development of efficient cooling technologies is driven by the increasing scale and power of data centers, with liquid cooling addressing high energy consumption and heat generation issues. By 2024, China's computing centers are expected to consume 166 billion kWh, accounting for 1.68% of the total electricity consumption in society [2] - The main liquid cooling technologies are cold plate and immersion cooling, with cold plate cooling being the most widely used due to its mature technology. Liquid cooling offers multiple advantages such as high heat exchange efficiency, energy savings, and reduced noise [2] - The market for cooling liquids is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated demand of approximately 89,000 tons of cooling liquid driven by the addition of AI data centers by 2028 [2] Summary by Sections 1. Main Cooling Pathways - Liquid cooling technology is categorized into indirect cooling (mainly cold plate) and direct cooling (including immersion and spray cooling). Cold plate cooling is the most widely used, while immersion cooling offers higher heat dissipation capabilities but at a higher operational cost [2][23] 2. Water-based Cooling Liquids - Water-based cooling liquids are primarily used in single-phase cold plate cooling, offering good thermal conductivity and low cost. However, they may pose risks of algae and bacteria growth [48][50] 3. Oil-based Cooling Liquids - Oil-based cooling liquids, including mineral oil and synthetic oil, are mainly used in single-phase immersion cooling. They are cost-effective but have drawbacks such as high viscosity and cleaning difficulties [53][56] 4. Fluorinated Cooling Liquids - Fluorinated cooling liquids are used in both single-phase and multi-phase immersion cooling. They offer excellent thermal properties and low toxicity but are relatively expensive [2][56] 5. Market Space Estimation - The liquid cooling market in China is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% from 2019 to 2027 [17][18] 6. Commercialization of Liquid Cooling Technology - The commercialization of liquid cooling technology is increasing, with major IT companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent implementing successful liquid cooling applications [27][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The rapid growth of data centers and the increasing power demands necessitate efficient cooling technologies, with liquid cooling addressing high energy consumption and heat generation issues. By 2024, China's computing centers are expected to consume 166 billion kWh, accounting for 1.68% of the total electricity consumption [2][2] - The main liquid cooling technologies include cold plate and immersion cooling, with cold plate cooling being the most widely used due to its mature technology. Liquid cooling offers multiple advantages such as high heat transfer efficiency, energy savings, and reduced noise [2][2] - The market for cooling liquids is projected to grow significantly, with an estimated demand of approximately 89,000 tons for AI data centers by 2028, alongside 19,000 tons from traditional server installations [2][2] Summary by Sections 1. Main Cooling Paths - Liquid cooling technology is categorized into indirect cooling (mainly cold plate) and direct cooling (including immersion and spray cooling). Cold plate cooling is the most prevalent, while immersion cooling offers higher heat dissipation capabilities but comes with higher operational costs [2][2][2] 2. Water-Based Cooling Liquids - Water-based cooling liquids are primarily used in single-phase cold plate cooling, offering good thermal conductivity and low cost. However, they may pose risks of microbial growth [50][50] 3. Oil-Based Cooling Liquids - Oil-based cooling liquids, including mineral oil and synthetic oil, are mainly applied in single-phase immersion cooling. They are cost-effective and environmentally friendly but have lower thermal conductivity compared to synthetic alternatives [56][56] 4. Market Space Estimation - The liquid cooling market in China is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 51.4% from 2019 to 2027 [17][17] 5. Commercialization of Liquid Cooling Technology - The commercialization of liquid cooling technology is increasing, with major IT companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent implementing successful liquid cooling applications [27][27]