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恐慌情绪已释放?刚刚,外盘金银反弹!“印度同意停止购买俄石油”,特朗普宣布降低关税!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 23:58
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 早上好,先来关注下金银。 2日夜盘,内盘白银期货延续午盘的暴跌态势。沪银期货10个合约开盘后不久全部跌停。 | 沪银 2602 | 21292 | -20.00% | | --- | --- | --- | | 期货 ag2602 | | | | 沪银 2603 | 21256 | -20.00% | | 期货 ag2603 | | | | 沪银 2604 | 20848 | - 19.04% | | 期货 ag2604 | | | | 沪银 2605 | 20535 | - 19.00% | | 期货 ag2605 | | | | 沪银 2606 | 20232 | - 19.00% | | 期货 ag2606 | | | | 沪银 2607 | 19931 | - 19.00% | | 期货 ag2607 | | | | 沪银 2608 | 19908 | - 19.00% | | 期货 ag2608 | | | | 沪银 2609 | 19845 | - 19.00% | | 期货 ag2609 | | | | 沪银 2610 | 196 ...
格林大华期货早盘提示-20260203
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2026-02-02 23:39
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The global economy has passed its peak and is starting to decline due to continuous wrong policies in the US [2] - There is significant uncertainty in the global economic situation, influenced by factors such as potential inflation resurgence, Fed policy changes, and geopolitical issues [1][2] Summary by Related Content Global Economic News - Global financial giants like BlackRock, Pimco, and Bridgewater are guarding against inflation resurgence, with the 10 - year inflation swap reaching its highest increase in a year. Some top - tier institutions warn that inflation may return above 4% by the end of the year [1] - Morgan Stanley believes that the Fed's current large balance sheet is a decision of the existing FOMC. If unemployment drops further, spending remains strong, and inflation doesn't decline, the Fed may keep interest rates unchanged this year [1] - Oracle plans to raise up to $50 billion in 2026 through bond and equity financing for cloud infrastructure expansion, but it already has $95 billion in debt [1] - Red杉 Capital partner thinks SpaceX's valuation has soared from $36 billion in 2019 to $800 billion, and Musk's business value is still underestimated [1] - Tesla will unveil the third - generation humanoid robot, with a planned annual production of 1 million units. The Model S/X production line at the Fremont factory will be converted, and mass production is expected to start by the end of 2026 [1] - The market interprets Japan's statement on "enhancing economic resilience to exchange - rate fluctuations" as a cautious downgrade of direct yen intervention. The yen faces a rising risk of a short - term decline [1] - Due to inflation stickiness and strong employment, the market is re - evaluating the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy. The probability of a 25 - basis - point rate hike this week has risen to 73%, and the 10 - year bond yield is approaching 5% [1] - Japan officially confirmed no actual intervention in the foreign - exchange market in January. The future of the yen is uncertain as the US denies coordinated action, and Japan may face stronger intervention pressure after the election [1] Global Economic Logic - Bridgewater's Dalio warns that the US is at risk of civil war, and investors should be aware of capital - control risks [2] - The expected balance - sheet reduction policy of Fed nominee chair Wash has a strong negative impact on global equity and commodity assets [2] - Geopolitical actions by the US, such as seizing Venezuelan oil and attempting to buy Greenland, bring great uncertainty to the global economy [2] - Nomura says Fed - related uncertainties may peak from July to November 2026, potentially leading to a "flight from US assets" [2] - Goldman Sachs warns that the decline in Las Vegas gambling revenue is similar to the early warning signs before the 2008 financial crisis [2] - The US is adjusting its economic relationship with China and aiming to revive its economic autonomy [2] - The Fed's Beige Book shows a K - shaped consumer spending pattern, with high - income consumers maintaining spending while low - and middle - income families cut back [2] - TSMC's Q4 performance and 2026 revenue guidance signal the continuation of the AI boom [2] - Musk hopes to achieve full rocket reusability with Starship this year, which could reduce space - entry costs by 100 times to below $100 per pound [2] - The US's return to the Monroe Doctrine will have a profound impact on major asset classes [2] - Wash's proposed combination of rate cuts and balance - sheet reduction indicates a major shift in Fed policy, creating expectations of strong liquidity contraction for equity assets [2]
历史罕见!白银基金,大跌超31%!场内价格溢价率超100%
券商中国· 2026-02-02 23:25
近期白银价格出现史诗级暴跌,上期所白银期货主力合约继2月2日收盘以17%跌停后,当日晚盘开盘再度 大跌近20%。 而国内唯一一只跟踪白银期货的国投瑞银白银期货LOF场内交易亦跌停,场外基金份额净值跌幅超过31%, 历史罕见。 白银基金份额净值单日跌幅超31% 2月2日晚,国投瑞银白银期货LOF披露当日基金净值,单日跌幅超过31%。 值得注意的是,该基金管理人国投瑞银基金在当晚发布了关于基金估值调整的公告。国投瑞银基金表示,鉴于 近期白银国际主要市场价格出现显著波动,与上期所白银期货差异较大。根据《中国证监会关于证券投资基金 估值业务的指导意见》及《国投瑞银白银期货证券投资基金(LOF)基金合同》的相关规定,为保护基金持有 人利益,确保基金净值能够真实、公允地反映底层资产状况,公司经与相关基金托管人协商一致,决定参考白 银期货国际主要市场的价格变动幅度,对基金资产进行合理重估。 自2026年2月2日起,国投瑞银基金对旗下证券投资基金持有的白银期货合约AG2604、AG2605、AG2606、 AG2608、AG2610、AG2612,参考估值日北京时间下午3点的白银期货国际主要市场价格相对前一交易日北京 时间下 ...
千亿级ETF 跌停
Group 1: Market Overview - Gold-related ETFs experienced significant declines, with multiple ETFs hitting the daily limit down [2][5] - The Huashan Gold ETF recorded a trading volume of 19.1 billion yuan, marking the third-highest trading day since its inception in 2013 [2][4] - The total scale of gold-related commodity ETFs reached 333.3 billion yuan as of January 30, up from 70.4 billion yuan at the beginning of 2025 [4] Group 2: Trading Performance - Several gold ETFs, including E Fund Gold ETF and Bosera Gold ETF, also saw high trading volumes, with E Fund Gold ETF at 6.4 billion yuan and Bosera Gold ETF exceeding 4.5 billion yuan [2][3] - The performance of various gold-related ETFs showed a uniform decline of 10% on the trading day [3][6] Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Recommendations - Analysts suggest that the recent drop in gold prices is a short-term technical adjustment and emotional release, emphasizing the importance of avoiding irrational trading behaviors [8] - Investment firms recommend that investors focus on long-term strategies and be cautious of leverage risks, especially in a high-volatility environment [8]
2026年元月94%股基上涨 嘉实绿色主题股票上涨34%
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-02 23:15
Group 1 - In January 2026, 94% of the 1065 comparable ordinary stock mutual funds reported positive performance, with 1001 funds increasing in value and only 64 funds declining [1] - The overall stock market saw a strong rise in January, with 32 funds achieving gains exceeding 20%, led by Wanji Cycle Vision Stock Fund A and C, both up 44.41% [1] - The fund manager of Wanji Cycle Vision, Li Zilong, has a background in quantitative research and has focused on gold stocks, with top holdings including Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [1] Group 2 - The Jia Shi Green Theme Stock Fund A and C also performed well, increasing by 34.14% and 34.07% respectively, managed by veteran Cai Chengfeng [2] - Cai Chengfeng's top holdings include semiconductor companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation and Lanqi Technology, with the fund achieving over 70% cumulative returns since its inception [2] - Other funds like Guoshou Anbao Industry Upgrade Stock Fund and Yin Hua Digital Economy Stock Fund also reported gains over 20% [2] Group 3 - The Silver Hua Digital Economy Stock Fund and Huashang Reform Innovation Stock Fund primarily focus on technology growth stocks, with significant holdings in AI and semiconductor sectors [3] - The Silver Hua Digital Economy Stock Fund's top holdings include Pop Mart and Ninebot, while Huashang Reform Innovation focuses on companies like North Huachuang and Zhaoyi Innovation [3] - On the downside, the Shan Zheng Asset Management Digital Economy Fund A and C experienced declines of over 5% [3] Group 4 - The Longjiang Quantitative Consumer Selected Fund, managed by Qin Changgui and Zhang Shuai, has seen a decline of 4.38% and 4.33% respectively, with a focus on consumer stocks [4] - The fund's top holdings include BYD and Gree Electric, but it has faced cumulative losses exceeding 30% since its inception [3][4]
1月份95%混基正收益 永赢先锋半导体智选混合涨34%
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-02 23:15
中国经济网北京2月3日讯(记者 何潇) 2026年1月份混合型基金业绩出炉,据同花顺数据显示,全市场8843只(各类份额分开计算,下同)有可 比业绩的混合型基金中,有8399只基金净值上涨,占比约95%;有430只基金净值下跌,另外14只基金净值平收。 反观跌幅榜,兴华景成混合C/A在1月份跌幅垫底,分别为11.35%、11.32%。该基金成立于2025年7月9日,截至2026年1月30日累计净值为1.0911 元、1.0936元。去年四季度,该基金聚焦政策导向与产业趋势。截至去年四季度末,其前十大重仓股为锦好医疗、恒合股份、勘设股份、泓禧科技、佳 合科技、驰诚股份、易华录、万通液压。 该基金现任基金经理为崔涛。崔涛曾任中信建投证券股份有限公司风控经理,永安财产保险股份有限公司研究员。2020年10月加入兴华基金管理 有限公司,历任投资研究部、权益研究部研究员,现任权益公募部基金经理。 1月份共计34只混合型基金涨幅超过30%,其中,西部利得策略优选混合A以54.76%的涨幅夺冠,西部利得策略优选混合C紧随其后,单月涨幅 54.64%。西部利得策略优选混合A成立于2011年1月25日,西部利得策略优选混合C成 ...
香港外汇基金去年赚3310亿港元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 23:13
r n 图 H E EV ULTURED I m all min 命命 t 2017-01-11 . . TI And II Home ITCHE 电影 Children 香港外汇基金是香港作为国际金融中心稳健运行的根基。图是位于九龙半岛的环球贸易中心。 1月28日,香港金融管理局(以下简称"香港金管局")公布了香港外汇基金截至2025年12月底未经审计的 财务状况。香港外汇基金在2025年录得3310亿港元的投资收入,创下历史新高。值得留意的是,香港外 汇基金的各组成部分,包括股票、债券以及"长期增长组合"(包括私募股权及实物资产投资等),全部实 现正回报。香港金管局形容这个情况"非常特殊",在过去15年仅出现过两次。 香港金管局分析称,这主要是因为在2025年全年,环球金融市场表现强韧。全球主要股票市场普遍上 升,并在2025年年内录得创纪录新高。其中香港股市受惠于资金流入,恒生指数全年上升28%,而债券 市场也有不错的表现。至于外汇市场方面,美元兑其他主要货币贬值约9%,美元走弱也为香港外汇基 金的非港元资产,带来了外汇估值上调。 市场 AI快速发展带动资本投入 从香港金管局公布的香港外汇基金分类投资报 ...
“卖不出去”:一场白银LOF套利泡沫的破灭
Core Viewpoint - The recent trading of Guotou Silver LOF has been marked by extreme volatility, with a significant drop in silver prices leading to a "circuit breaker" effect, causing a mass exit of investors driven by social media trends [3][4][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On February 2, Guotou Silver LOF resumed trading and immediately hit the daily limit down, closing at 4.722 yuan, despite a premium of 43.8% over its net asset value [3][4]. - The international silver market has experienced rare volatility, with silver prices reaching a historical high of $120 per ounce before plummeting [4][18]. - On January 30, the London silver price fell over 36%, marking the largest single-day percentage drop since March 1980, and closed down 26.42% [4][18]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - A surge of new investors, attracted by social media "LOF arbitrage tutorials," has led to a rapid influx into the market, but many are now struggling to exit as prices fall [3][9][11]. - On February 2, the trading volume of Guotou Silver LOF was only 65 million yuan, while the sell orders exceeded 8 billion yuan, indicating a liquidity crisis [9][23]. - Investors are now sharing "LOF limit down escape guides" on social media, highlighting the difficulties in selling their holdings [11][25]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Market analysts predict that Guotou Silver LOF may face an additional 3 to 5 limit downs due to the high premium and ongoing pressure from falling silver prices [3][10][23]. - The current high premium of 43.8% needs to be digested, and if international silver prices continue to decline, it will further suppress the net asset value [10][23]. - Experts caution that the high volatility in silver prices is largely driven by speculative trading rather than fundamental demand, suggesting a return to industrial pricing in the long term [27][28].
截至2月2日 全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量为1,087.10吨 与前一交易日持平
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 23:12
截至2月2日,全球最大的黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量为1,087.10吨,与前一交易日持 平。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...
今日视点:资本投资者需从“财务投资”走向“价值创造”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 22:51
Core Viewpoint - The new regulation proposed by the China Securities Regulatory Commission aims to expand the types of strategic investors and promote the deep integration of "patient capital" with listed companies, shifting capital investors from "financial investment" to "value creation" [1][7]. Group 1: Expansion of Strategic Investors - The new regulation significantly broadens the definition of strategic investors to include various institutional investors such as national social security funds, basic pension insurance funds, corporate (occupational) annuities, commercial insurance funds, public funds, and bank wealth management [2][8]. - Capital investors are required to hold at least 5% of a listed company's shares and must introduce strategic resources or significantly improve the company's governance and internal controls [2][8]. Group 2: Role Transformation of Capital Investors - Institutional investors are encouraged to evolve from merely being secondary market traders or financial investors to becoming deep value discoverers and active shareholders [3][9]. - Public funds are urged to break free from short-term performance metrics and explore long-term locked products focused on improving corporate governance [3][9]. - Social security and insurance funds, which naturally possess long-term attributes, will have their advantages further enhanced, necessitating more proactive post-investment management [3][9]. Group 3: Macro Perspective on Capital Market Ecosystem - The rule revision is seen as a crucial step in restructuring the Chinese capital market ecosystem, enhancing the effectiveness of corporate governance and focusing on long-term sustainable development rather than short-term stock price fluctuations [4][10]. - A market supported by more "patient capital" will reflect the intrinsic value and long-term prospects of enterprises, improving the overall asset supply efficiency and investment attractiveness of the capital market [4][10]. - The relationship between listed companies and capital investors is expected to shift from transactional to partnership-oriented, with "patient capital" becoming a more frequent presence in the shareholder structure of quality listed companies [4][10]. Group 4: Future Implications for Capital Market - As capital market reforms progress, "patient capital" characterized by long-term holding and value creation is anticipated to become a key force influencing corporate governance [5][11]. - This transition requires capital investors to develop deep industry insights and governance capabilities, while listed companies must adopt a more open and collaborative mindset to effectively utilize these "capital + strategy" investors [5][11]. - Establishing pathways to convert "patient capital" into active strategic investors is essential for channeling financial resources into the real economy, ultimately fostering a more resilient and efficient high-quality development ecosystem in the Chinese capital market [5][11].