Core Insights - The report presents two industry rotation models: one based on similar expected return differentials and another based on changes in analyst expectations, both aimed at identifying investment opportunities in various sectors [11][22]. Group 1: Similar Expected Return Differential Model - The latest configuration suggests focusing on sectors such as coal, communication, basic chemicals, automotive, real estate, and machinery [21]. - In September 2025, the model achieved a monthly return of +4.56%, outperforming the equal-weighted industry index by +3.66% [21]. - The historical backtest from December 2016 to September 2025 shows that the model has a mean Information Coefficient (IC) of 0.09, indicating strong selection ability [14][15]. Group 2: Analyst Expectation Change Model - The latest configuration highlights sectors including non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, communication, steel, and computers [33]. - In September 2025, the model recorded a monthly return of +1.03%, with an excess return of +0.13% over the equal-weighted industry index [33]. - The historical backtest from December 2016 to September 2025 indicates a mean IC of 0.06, demonstrating significant industry selection capability [23][24]. Group 3: ETF Portfolio Construction - The recommended ETF portfolio for October 2025 includes sectors such as non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, communication, basic chemicals, and automotive [35]. - Specific ETFs listed include the Huabao CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF and the Southern CSI Non-Ferrous Metals ETF, among others, with significant fund shares [35].

中国资产大爆发，港A股领涨全球! 万得中概股100指数、恒生科技指数、万得全A、沪深300霸榜2025年三季度全球大类资产涨幅榜TOP4，上证指数、恒生指数紧随其后。 今年以来，科创100、创业板50领跑A股。 科技牛市中，ETF成为锋利的矛! 三季度，通信ETF、5G通信ETF涨超80%;5GETF、人工智能ETF、锂电池ETF、电池ETF涨超70%;通信设备ETF、科创芯片ETF、双创龙头ETF、双创 ETF、双创50ETF等涨超65%。 今年以来 ，港股医药领涨，港股创新药ETF、港股创新药50ETF、港股通医疗ETF富国、恒生创新药ETF翻倍;通信ETF、黄金股ETF、创业板人工智能ETF 涨幅居前。 (本文内容均为客观数据信息罗列，不构成任何投资建议) 三季度，创业板50、创业板指涨超50%;科创50、科创100涨超40%。 恒生科技、恒生指数、万得全A今年以来领涨全球主要指数。 ETF规模突破5万亿。截至9月30日，国内ETF规模达5.63万亿，较年初规模增长1.89万亿。其中，股票型ETF最新规模3.71万亿，占比66%。 从资金流向看，三季度超3147亿元资金净流入ETF，年初至今ETF市场吸 ...

A股三大指数今日集体下跌，截至收盘，上证指数跌0.65%，深证成指跌1.76%，创业板指跌2.6%。 沪深京三市全天成交额21661亿元，较上日缩量2257亿元。全市场超3400只个股下跌。板块题材上，风 电设备、化学纤维、农化制品、大豆、纺织制造、军工装备板块涨幅居前；游戏、算力硬件、光刻机、 消费电子板块跌幅居前。 （责任编辑：刘畅 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ETF方面，博时基金全指现金流ETF基金涨4.6%，最新溢折率为3.68%。港股金融股飘红，华夏基 金港股通金融ETF和广发基金港股通非银ETF分别涨1.36%和1.01%。红利策略ETF表现活跃，摩根基金 港股红利指数ETF、景顺长城基金港股红利低波ETF分别涨1.3%、1.15%。 AI应用端回调居前，游戏ETF、游戏ETF华泰柏瑞均跌4%。云计算板块全线跌幅居前，数据ETF、 云计算ETF广发均跌5%。算力板块全线 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise on September 11, with significant gains in communication and artificial intelligence-related ETFs, driven by a favorable market sentiment and substantial trading volumes [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Performance - Communication and AI-related ETFs led the market, with four communication ETFs and five AI ETFs among the top ten performers, all showing gains exceeding 8% [2][3]. - The top-performing ETF, the AI ETF from Fortune (159246), rose by 9.17%, heavily weighted in stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyisheng, and Tianfu Communication, which together accounted for nearly 44% of its portfolio [2][3]. - The total trading volume of ETFs reached 4850.99 billion yuan, an increase of over 110 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with two ETFs surpassing 20 billion yuan in trading volume [4][5]. Group 2: Sector Trends - Recent trends indicate strong performance in sectors such as precious metals and lithium batteries, with significant net inflows into related ETFs, including over 7 billion yuan into gold ETFs [6][7]. - The battery sector also saw substantial capital inflows, with the Battery 50 ETF (159796) attracting 18.79 billion yuan from September 8 to September 10 [6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of continued attractiveness of Chinese assets due to external liquidity from overseas rate cuts and domestic improvements in capital returns [8]. - Investment opportunities are suggested in the AI industry chain and advanced manufacturing sectors, which are expected to improve fundamentally [8].

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.65%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 3.36%, and the ChiNext Index surging by 5.15%, surpassing the 3000-point mark and reaching a new three-year high [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 24,646 billion yuan, an increase of 4,606 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 4,200 stocks in the market saw gains [1] Sector Highlights - The computing power, semiconductor, and consumer electronics sectors showed explosive growth, with brokerage firms, AI applications, and robotics themes leading the gains [1] - In the ETF market, the AI hardware sector experienced a significant surge, with the Silver Hua Fund 5G ETF, Guotai Fund Communication ETF, and Huaxia Fund 5G Communication ETF all hitting the daily limit, with latest premium/discount rates of 0.82%, 1.2%, and 0.79% respectively [1] - Consumer electronics concept stocks performed strongly, with the Huabao Fund Electronics ETF and Tianhong Fund Electronics ETF rising by 8.14% and 7.72% respectively [1] - The chip sector also saw upward movement, with the Huitianfu Fund Sci-Tech Chip 50 ETF and the Jiashi Fund Sci-Tech Chip ETF increasing by 7.75% and 7.54% respectively [1] Hong Kong and International Markets - The innovative drug sector in the Hong Kong market rebounded from a low point, although the Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETFs from Jiashi and Hang Seng both fell by 2.3% [1] - The German stock market saw a decline, with the German ETF dropping by 0.67% [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - Last week, domestic major stock indices rose across the board, with small and medium - cap indices generally outperforming large - cap indices. The growth style index showed a significant increase, while the financial and stable style indices declined. In the ETF market, both comprehensive and thematic ETFs had increased trading volumes, and there was a clear inflow of funds into sectors such as brokers, consumption, technology, and non - ferrous metals [1][3] Summary by Directory 1. Fund Market Overview 1.1 Stock Market - Last week (2025/08/25 - 2025/08/29), major domestic stock indices all rose. The large - cap indices such as CSI 300, SSE 50, and SSE Composite Index had weekly increases of 2.71%, 1.63%, and 0.84% respectively. Small and medium - cap indices like CSI 500, CSI 1000, and ChiNext Index rose by 3.24%, 1.03%, and 7.74% respectively. Style indices showed mixed performance, with financial, cyclical, consumer, growth, and stable style indices having weekly changes of - 1.31%, 0.94%, 0.54%, 4.45%, and - 0.81% respectively. Among the growth styles, large - cap, mid - cap, and small - cap growth style indices changed by 3.38%, 2.51%, and - 1.33% respectively [1][8] - Recent A - share trading activity has been oscillating upwards and is currently close to the level in December 2024 [9] 1.2 Bond Market and Futures Market - Last week, the SSE Convertible Bond Index fell by 2.68%. Pure - bond indices all rose, with the SSE Treasury Bond, SSE Corporate Bond, and Shenzhen Local Government Bond indices rising by 0.04%, 0.03%, and 0.03% respectively. Major stock index futures contracts all rose, with CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 500 futures rising by 0.49%, 0.12%, and 1.70% respectively. 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year Treasury bond futures prices rose by 0.13%, 0.18%, and 0.03% respectively [15][16] 1.3 Commodity Market - In the past week, the commodity market showed mixed performance. The Nanhua Precious Metals Index, CRB Metal Spot Index, and CRB Commodity Index rose by 1.77%, 1.35%, and 0.78% respectively. Domestic key commodity futures contracts also showed mixed results, with DCE Iron Ore, SHFE Silver, and SHFE Nickel futures rising by 2.34%, 1.80%, and 1.75% respectively [18][21] 2. ETF Market行情统计 2.1 Domestic Stock - type ETF Trading Activity Ranking - Using the weekly fund turnover rate (trading volume / on - exchange floating shares) as a measure of ETF trading activity, high turnover rates indicate possible large differences in market views on a sector. Last week, trading hotspots were concentrated in comprehensive indices such as ChiNext 50 and CSI Innovation and Entrepreneurship 50 ETF, as well as sectors like semiconductors, liquor, and securities [24] 3. Size - style Monitoring 3.1 Comprehensive Stock ETF - As of last week, the total trading volume of comprehensive ETFs was 138.425 billion yuan, an increase of 28.081 billion yuan from the previous week. Among them, the trading volume of large - and mid - cap style comprehensive ETFs was 58.276 billion yuan, an increase of 11.307 billion yuan, and that of small - and mid - cap comprehensive ETFs was 84.351 billion yuan, an increase of 19.109 billion yuan. The on - exchange floating shares of comprehensive ETFs were 361.949 billion shares, an increase of 6.94 billion shares from the previous week. Large - and mid - cap style comprehensive ETFs had 241.165 billion shares, an increase of 19.28 billion shares, while small - and mid - cap comprehensive ETFs had 120.785 billion shares, a decrease of 12.34 billion shares [26] 3.2 Thematic Stock ETF - As of last week, the average weekly return of 32 thematic ETFs was 3.39%. The average weekly return of large - cap style ETFs was 0.95%, and that of small - and mid - cap style ETFs was 5.30%. The total trading volume of tracked thematic ETFs was 138.149 billion yuan, an increase of 30.701 billion yuan from the previous week. Large - cap style ETFs had a trading volume of 73.042 billion yuan, an increase of 14.991 billion yuan, and small - and mid - cap style ETFs had a trading volume of 65.107 billion yuan, an increase of 15.711 billion yuan. The on - exchange floating shares of thematic ETFs were 408.707 billion shares, an increase of 6.175 billion shares from the previous week. Large - and mid - cap style thematic ETFs had 193.157 billion shares, an increase of 12.045 billion shares, while small - and mid - cap style thematic ETFs had 215.549 billion shares, a decrease of 5.87 billion shares [27] 4. Sector Fund Flow Tracking - As of last week, among comprehensive ETFs, the top three performers were CSI Innovation and Entrepreneurship 50 ETF, ChiNext 50, and ChiNext, with weekly returns of 11.34%, 8.93%, and 7.63% respectively. The bottom three were CSI 1000 ETF, SSE 50 ETF, and CSI 300 ETF, with returns of 0.80%, 1.50%, and 2.72% respectively. Among industry - thematic ETFs, the top three were 5G ETF, AI Intelligence ETF, and Non - ferrous Metals ETF, with returns of 15.44%, 10.69%, and 8.63% respectively. The bottom three were Coal ETF, Financial ETF, and Bank ETF, with returns of - 3.02%, - 1.95%, and - 1.88% respectively. In terms of fund flows, important broad - based indices such as CSI 300 and small - and mid - cap ETFs in the innovation and entrepreneurship sector had fund inflows. In industry - thematic sectors, significant fund inflows were seen in sectors such as brokers, consumption, technology, and non - ferrous metals [32] 5. Commodity ETF - Last week, tracked commodity ETFs showed mixed performance. Gold ETF, Bosera Gold, Soybean Meal ETF, Non - ferrous Metals Futures ETF, and Energy and Chemicals ETF had returns of 1.46%, 1.47%, 0.61%, 1.24%, and - 1.21% respectively. The on - exchange floating shares of tracked commodity ETFs decreased by 1.41 billion shares from the previous week, while the total trading volume increased by 1.869 billion yuan [36] 6. Overseas ETF - Last week, among tracked overseas ETFs, Nasdaq ETF, H - share ETF, and Hang Seng ETF had returns of 1.19%, - 0.85%, and - 0.45% respectively. The on - exchange floating shares of tracked overseas ETFs decreased by 0.13 billion shares from the previous week, and the total trading volume decreased by 0.549 billion yuan [38] 7. Money Market ETF - As of the end of last week, the overnight SHIBOR rate was 1.32%, a decrease of 0.15% from the previous week, and the one - week SHIBOR rate was 1.53%, an increase of 0.03% from the previous week. The seven - day annualized yield of Huabao Tianyi was 1.06%, an increase of 0.04% from the previous week, and that of Yinhua Rili was 1.04%, unchanged from the previous week. The on - exchange floating shares of Huabao Tianyi were 63.846 billion shares, a decrease of 2.602 billion shares from the previous week, and those of Yinhua Rili were 61.757 billion shares, an increase of 1.95 billion shares from the previous week [42]

- The style rotation model is constructed based on micro-level stock factors, including valuation, market capitalization, volatility, and momentum. It utilizes 80 base factors to generate 640 micro features, replacing absolute proportion division of style factors with common indices as style stock pools. Random forest is employed for rolling training to avoid overfitting, enabling feature selection and style recommendation. The framework integrates style timing, scoring, and investment implementation[3][8][9] - The performance of the style rotation model during the backtesting period (2017/01/01-2025/08/31) shows an annualized return of 17.08%, annualized volatility of 20.07%, IR of 0.85, monthly win rate of 55.77%, and maximum drawdown of -29.89%. When hedging against the market benchmark, the annualized return is 10.42%, annualized volatility is 13.03%, IR is 0.80, monthly win rate is 56.73%, and maximum drawdown is -9.57%[9][10] - The style rotation model's September 2025 timing direction focuses on growth, large-cap, momentum, and high-volatility factors[17] - The latest holdings of the style rotation model for September 2025 include ETFs such as Semiconductor Leaders ETF (159665.SZ), Big Data ETF (159739.SZ), Artificial Intelligence ETF (159819.SZ), Fintech ETF (159851.SZ), and 5G ETF (159994.SZ)[2][20]

Group 1: Market Performance - The communication equipment sector has seen significant gains, with Tianfu Communication reaching a 20% limit up [1] - Communication ETFs and communication equipment ETFs have increased by over 9%, while the Communication ETF from Southern has risen by over 8% [1] - Year-to-date, communication ETFs and communication equipment ETFs have surged over 80% [2] Group 2: ETF Performance Details - The Communication ETF (515880.SH) rose by 9.33% today and has an annual increase of 87.32% [4] - The Communication Equipment ETF (159583.SZ) increased by 9.19% today with an annual growth of 82.36% [4] - Other ETFs such as 5GETF and 5G Communication ETF also showed significant daily and yearly gains, with increases ranging from 6.87% to 7.75% [4] Group 3: Industry Insights - The Communication ETF tracks the Guozheng Communication Index, with key stocks including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and China Telecom [6] - The Communication Equipment ETF follows the communication equipment theme index, reflecting the performance of 50 listed companies in communication equipment manufacturing and services [6] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued guidelines to optimize business access and promote the satellite communication industry, aiming for over 10 million satellite communication users by 2030 [6] Group 4: Company Performance - Tianfu Communication reported a net profit of 899 million yuan for the first half of 2025, significantly up year-on-year, driven by AI development and global data center construction [7] - The demand for optical devices is being driven by the virtual economy, cloud computing, and AI, leading to a stable demand in the telecom market [7] - The company is maintaining R&D investments in high-speed optical modules and new products, with several projects underway targeting future market needs [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant increase in new A-share accounts, with 1.9636 million new accounts opened in July 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 70.5%, suggesting a surge in investor participation and potential for continued trading activity in the A-share market [1] - As of August 6, 2025, 31 out of 53 listed brokerages have released mid-year profit forecasts, all expecting year-on-year net profit growth, with two companies projecting over 1000% growth in net profit for the first half of the year [3] - The total margin trading balance in the market surpassed 2 trillion yuan on August 5, indicating sustained trading activity, which is expected to directly benefit the brokerage sector [3] Group 2 - A high-level meeting on July 30 emphasized enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market, which may lead to more accommodating IPO and restructuring standards, as well as easing restrictions on non-public offerings [3] - The implementation of self-regulatory management measures aims to stabilize the investment behavior of securities firms, enhancing their role in maintaining the stability and healthy operation of the capital market [4] - The new self-regulatory guidelines will also facilitate more compliant brokerages in obtaining licenses for selling bank wealth management and insurance products, potentially expanding their wealth management business [4] Group 3 - The brokerage sector is seen as a timely investment opportunity, with the Silver Hua Fund's brokerage ETF (159842) offering a low management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05%, providing a cost-effective tool for investors to capture opportunities in the brokerage industry [6]

5G通信概念股走低，工业富联、东山精密跌超5%，沪电股份跌超4%，中际旭创、新易盛跌超3%。 受盘面影响，5G通信ETF、5GETF跌超2%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 515050 | 5G通信ETF | 1.368 | -0.032 -2.29% | | 159994 | 5GETF | 1.124 | -0.024 -2.09% | 有券商表示，受益于AI需求驱动和国内外互联网厂商资本开支增长，服务器、连接器等龙头公司业绩亮眼。以太网交换机 市场结构性分化，看好交换机板块业绩触底回升。国内大模型迭代、落地应用有望加速。建议关注国内AI发展带动的服务 器、IDC、交换机、连接器等板块，以及海外AI发展带动的服务器、光模块等板块。 ...