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专家呼吁有机硅行业创新合作
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-07-01 02:30
Group 1 - The third Organic Silicon Technology and Application Innovation Forum was held in Shanghai, focusing on the theme of "Silicon-based New Energy + Silicon-based New Materials" and discussing innovative development paths for the organic silicon industry [1] - Experts emphasized the need for enhanced communication within the industry chain due to significant differences in end-use application scenarios, advocating for the development of customized products through deep collaboration between upstream and downstream partners [1] - The importance of promoting a circular economy was highlighted, as organic silicon has significant resource value despite its difficulty in degradation, with a call for the industry to explore recycling paths and expand regenerative application scenarios [1] Group 2 - Despite being a major global producer and consumer of organic silicon, China faces notable shortcomings in high-performance and specialty organic silicon materials, necessitating international cooperation and industry upgrades [2] - There is a call for increased collaboration between universities and enterprises to cultivate more talent in the organic silicon field, providing intellectual support for industry innovation [2] - The industry is urged to increase R&D investment to overcome key technological challenges and establish unique advantages in response to the evolving market landscape [2]
工业硅、多晶硅日评:供给端扰动,价格低位反弹-20250627
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-06-27 01:41
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core Viewpoints - The silicon market is experiencing weak supply and demand, and the industry still faces high inventory pressure. Although the silicon price rebounded from a low level due to supply - side disturbances, the medium - and long - term supply - demand contradiction has not been substantially alleviated, and the rebound space is expected to be limited. For industrial silicon, if the production cut is less than expected, short positions can be considered. For polysilicon, due to strong uncertainty in terminal installation and over - capacity issues that are difficult to resolve in the short term, the price is unlikely to have an upward trend in the short term, and shorting on rebounds is recommended for the medium - and long - term [1]. Summaries by Related Content Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Price Changes - The average price of industrial silicon non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained unchanged at 8,100 yuan/ton, and the average price of 421 (East China) remained unchanged at 8,700 yuan/ton. The closing price of the futures main contract rose 2.18% to 7,720 yuan/ton. Among different regions, most prices remained stable, while the average price of oxygenated 553 in some regions had small increases. For polysilicon, the prices of N - type dense material, polycrystalline secondary material, dense material, and cauliflower material remained unchanged, and the closing price of the futures main contract rose 3.56% to 31,715 yuan/ton [1]. Inventory Information - On June 26, the total social inventory of industrial silicon in major regions was 542,000 tons, a decrease of 17,000 tons compared with last week. Among them, the inventory in ordinary social warehouses was 128,000 tons, a decrease of 3,000 tons compared with last week, and the inventory in social delivery warehouses (including non - registered warehouse receipts and spot parts) was 414,000 tons, a decrease of 14,000 tons compared with last week [1]. Industry News - SK plans to sell its silicon - based anode factory to its US partner Group 14, selling its 75% stake in the joint - venture SK Materials Group 14 to Group 14 Technologies through in - kind payment. The joint - venture factory in South Korea is in the trial - production stage [1]. - On the evening of June 24, 2025, Jingshan Light Machinery announced that its wholly - owned subsidiary Suzhou Shengcheng Photovoltaic Equipment Co., Ltd. would invest 150 million yuan in cash in Jiangsu Runyang New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. [1]. Supply and Demand Analysis - **Industrial Silicon**: On the supply side, the operation of silicon enterprises in the north has changed little, and the south - west production area is about to enter the wet season with lower power costs, so the enterprise operation is steadily increasing. On the demand side, polysilicon enterprises are continuing to cut production, and the resumption of production may be postponed; the organic silicon industry has a strong willingness to cut production to support prices, but the demand is weak, and the actual transaction price has declined. Domestic monomer enterprises' operation shows mixed changes, with the overall operation decreasing, and the demand for industrial silicon is further weakened. Silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed, and the downstream has insufficient willingness to stock up at low levels [1]. - **Polysilicon**: On the supply side, silicon material enterprises are maintaining production cuts, and some silicon material factories may have new capacity put into operation. After offsetting, the output is expected to increase slightly, with the overall output remaining within 100,000 tons. On the demand side, the photovoltaic market is generally weak, the inventories of silicon wafers and silicon materials are rising, the prices of silicon wafers, battery cells, and components are continuously falling, the market demand is slowing down, and the transactions are weak [1].
新能源及有色金属日报:现货价格持稳,受情绪带动工业硅盘面反弹-20250626
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 03:21
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The industrial silicon futures price rebounded on June 25, 2025, while the spot price remained stable. The fundamentals are still weak, with an increase in supply and limited growth in terminal consumption. The recent strong performance of the futures market is mainly due to the expected increase in polysilicon production and market sentiment. Attention should be paid to potential industry policies [1]. - The polysilicon futures market maintained a volatile pattern on June 25, 2025, and the spot price remained stable. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers decreased slightly, and the production increased weekly. However, the consumption side weakened, leading to a weak fundamental situation [3][6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Industrial Silicon - **Market Analysis** - On June 25, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price rebounded. The main contract 2509 opened at 7,450 yuan/ton and closed at 7,555 yuan/ton, up 1.55% from the previous settlement price. The position of the main contract was 306,644 lots, and the number of warehouse receipts on June 26 was 53,263 lots, a decrease of 307 lots from the previous day [1]. - The spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - containing 553 silicon was 8,000 - 8,300 yuan/ton, and 421 silicon was 8,400 - 9,000 yuan/ton. The price of Xinjiang oxygen - containing 553 silicon was 7,500 - 7,700 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 7,500 - 7,700 yuan/ton [1]. - The price of organic silicon DMC rebounded slightly, with a quotation of 10,300 - 10,600 yuan/ton. The organic silicon industry has high production capacity pressure, and downstream demand is mainly for rigid procurement [1]. - **Strategy** - For unilateral trading, use range - bound operations, and upstream producers can sell hedging at high prices when appropriate. There are no strategies for cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading [2]. Polysilicon - **Market Analysis** - On June 25, 2025, the polysilicon futures main contract 2508 maintained a volatile pattern, opening at 31,000 yuan/ton and closing at 30,625 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.59% from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 80,107 lots (72,286 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 146,141 lots [3]. - The spot price of polysilicon remained stable. The price of polysilicon re - feedstock was 30.00 - 33.00 yuan/kg, dense material was 28.00 - 32.00 yuan/kg, cauliflower material was 27.00 - 30.00 yuan/kg, granular silicon was 30.00 - 31.00 yuan/kg, N - type material was 33.00 - 36.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 31.00 - 32.00 yuan/kg [3]. - The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers decreased slightly, with the latest polysilicon inventory at 26.20 (a week - on - week decrease of 4.70%), and the silicon wafer inventory at 18.74GW (a week - on - week decrease of 3.10%). The weekly polysilicon production was 24,500.00 tons (a week - on - week increase of 2.94%), and the silicon wafer production was 12.90GW (a week - on - week decrease of 1.53%) [3]. - **Strategy** - The futures market continued to be weak, and the spot trading was average. The fundamentals are weak due to the resumption of production in the southwest during the wet season and the planned start - up in some northwest bases. For unilateral trading, use range - bound operations and sell hedging at high prices. There are no strategies for cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading [6]. Silicon Wafers, Battery Cells, and Components - The price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 0.89 yuan/piece (- 0.01 yuan/piece), N - type 210mm was 1.23 yuan/piece (- 0.03 yuan/piece), and N - type 210R silicon wafers was 1.03 yuan/piece (- 0.02 yuan/piece) [5]. - The price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 battery cells was 0.28 yuan/W, TopconM10 battery cells was 0.24 yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery cells was 0.25 yuan/W, Topcon210RN battery cells was 0.26 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery cells was 0.37 yuan/W [5]. - The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm components was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.67 - 0.69 yuan/W, and N - type 210mm was 0.70 - 0.70 yuan/W [5].
化工股震荡反弹 尤夫股份涨停
news flash· 2025-06-26 02:16
Group 1 - Chemical stocks experienced a rebound, with significant gains in sectors such as chemical fibers and organic silicon [1] - Youfu Co., Ltd. reached the daily limit increase, indicating strong market interest [1] - Other companies such as Jianghan New Materials, Suzhou Longjie, Hesheng Silicon Industry, and Jiuri New Materials saw increases exceeding 5% [1]
有机硅产品价格跌破成本线
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-06-25 02:38
Core Viewpoint - The organic silicon market is experiencing a significant decline, with core product prices dropping sharply due to oversupply and weak demand, leading to widespread losses in the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The price of DMC, a core organic silicon product, fell below 10,500 yuan per ton, representing an approximately 83% decrease from the peak in September 2021, and a cumulative decline of over 23% this year [1]. - The average transaction price has dropped below the cost line, resulting in the industry facing widespread losses [1]. - Supply growth is outpacing demand, with production expected to reach 2.533 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, while demand is projected at 2.191 million tons, a growth of 18.4% [1]. Group 2: Trade and Economic Impact - Trade tensions, particularly the U.S. tariffs on organic silicon products, have increased export costs for Chinese ordinary silicone rubber products by 15% to 20%, impacting the $2.28 billion trade market between China and the U.S. [1]. - The overall performance of listed organic silicon companies has declined in the first quarter, with significant drops in revenue and net profit across multiple firms [2]. Group 3: Industry Challenges and Future Outlook - The primary challenge for the organic silicon sector is the excessive new production capacity, with a projected 24.2% year-on-year increase in production capacity for 2024, marking the peak of the current expansion cycle [2]. - Despite short-term challenges, there are long-term opportunities as policies indicate continued development in real estate, which may boost demand for construction sealants [2]. - The industry is encouraged to focus on high-end and emerging fields, such as medical personal care, photovoltaic films, and automotive sealing components, which are expected to grow at an annual rate exceeding 15% [3].
化工新材料:有机硅及供需格局分析(附32页PPT)
材料汇· 2025-06-22 15:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the diversity and wide application of silicone products, particularly polysiloxane, which includes silicone rubber, silicone oil, and silicone resin. In 2022, silicone rubber accounted for approximately 70% of polysiloxane consumption in China, with room temperature and high-temperature adhesives being the main varieties [1][10][12]. - The main application areas for polysiloxane in China in 2022 were electronics (21.2%), power/new energy (17.3%), construction (16.3%), textiles (9.5%), and medical/personal care (8.7%) [1][16][18]. Group 2 - The supply-demand structure of the silicone industry is expected to improve, with limited new production capacity anticipated in the future. The overall supply is currently exceeding demand, leading to price pressure. However, the demand for silicone products has been robust, with a projected apparent consumption of 1.82 million tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.9% [2][3][64]. - The export scale of silicone products from China has shown an overall growth trend, with an expected export of 550,000 tons of primary polysiloxane in 2024, and a compound annual growth rate of approximately 14.3% from 2017 to 2024 [3][64]. Group 3 - The article suggests that the silicone industry is likely to see a recovery in its overall prosperity due to the anticipated growth in both domestic and international demand, while supply expansion is expected to approach its limits. This is expected to lead to a gradual increase in the industry's operating rate [3][64]. - The current profitability of silicone intermediates is at a historical low, but there is an expectation for gradual recovery in the industry's prosperity in the future [3][64]. Group 4 - Investment recommendations highlight the diverse range of silicone products and their wide applications, with the supply side expected to see limited new capacity while the demand side is anticipated to maintain rapid growth, leading to a potential recovery in industry prosperity [4].
供给端传言复产,过剩格局难改
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-22 10:11
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Industrial silicon: Oscillation - Polysilicon: Oscillation [4] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current supply - demand fundamentals of industrial silicon do not support a significant rebound in spot prices, and the futures market is expected to oscillate at a low level. For polysilicon, before the leading enterprises cut production, the fundamentals are bearish for the market, and a short - term short and long - term long strategy can be considered [1][2][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Industry Chain Prices - The Si2509 contract of industrial silicon increased by 110 yuan/ton week - on - week to 7390 yuan/ton. The SMM spot price of East China oxygen - fed 553 remained flat at 8150 yuan/ton, and the price of Xinjiang 99 remained flat at 7600 yuan/ton. The PS2508 contract of polysilicon decreased by 1550 yuan/ton week - on - week to 31220 yuan/ton. The transaction price of N - type re - feeding material was 34400 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 2300 yuan/ton [9] 3.2 Supply - side Rumors of Resumption of Production, Excess Pattern Remains Unchanged 3.2.1 Industrial Silicon - This week, the industrial silicon futures oscillated. Xinjiang and Sichuan increased the number of furnaces by 8 and 1 respectively, while Qinghai, Liaoning, and Jilin decreased by 1, 2, and 1 respectively. The weekly output was 76,600 tons, a week - on - week increase of 4.9%. The SMM industrial silicon social inventory decreased by 13,000 tons week - on - week, and the sample factory inventory decreased by 10,000 tons week - on - week. The resumption of production is greater than the reduction, and the demand has no obvious improvement. The balance sheet may accumulate inventory from June to July, and the price is expected to oscillate at a low level [11] 3.2.2 Organic Silicon - This week, the price of organic silicon continued to fall. Some enterprises entered maintenance or reduced production. The overall enterprise start - up rate was 70.29%, the weekly output was 46,500 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 0.21%. The inventory was 50,900 tons, a week - on - week increase of 2.83%. The price is expected to continue to face downward pressure [11] 3.2.3 Polysilicon - This week, the main contract of polysilicon futures declined significantly. After the SNEC exhibition, the signing price of polysilicon declined again. The downstream pressured prices severely. The production schedule for June was raised to 100,000 tons, and it is tentatively expected to be 107,000 tons in July. As of June 19, the inventory of Chinese polysilicon factories was 262,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 13,000 tons. Before the leading enterprises cut production, the price is expected to continue to fall [2][12] 3.2.4 Silicon Wafers - This week, the price of silicon wafers continued to fall. As of June 19, the inventory of silicon wafer factories was 18.74GW, a week - on - week decrease of 0.6GW. The production schedule for June was 55GW, and it is expected to be about 54GW in July. The price is expected to continue to be under pressure [12] 3.2.5 Battery Cells - This week, the price of battery cells continued to fall. The production schedule for June was expected to be 53GW, and it was still in the stage of inventory accumulation. As of June 16, the inventory of Chinese photovoltaic battery export factories was 16.19GW, a week - on - week increase of 1.21GW. If there is no significant reduction in supply, the price is expected to continue to fall [13] 3.2.6 Components - This week, the price of components decreased. The production schedule for June was about 50GW, a month - on - month decrease of 10%. It is expected that the demand will weaken further from July to August. The overall production schedule decline is slow, and the price is expected to continue to fall [14] 3.3 Investment Recommendations 3.3.1 Industrial Silicon - The futures market is relatively strong this period, but the fundamentals do not support a significant rebound in spot prices. If the market rebounds, it gives silicon factories a new hedging opportunity. It is expected that the market will oscillate at a low level, and short - selling with a light position can be considered after the rebound [3][15] 3.3.2 Polysilicon - Before the leading enterprises cut production, the fundamentals are bearish for the market. A short - term short and long - term long strategy can be considered. The key lies in the production - cut actions of leading enterprises. There will be a game between long and short positions in the market [3][15] 3.4 Hot News Collation - Pakistan plans to impose an 18% VAT on imported solar panels and photovoltaic cells in the 2025 - 2026 fiscal year to support local manufacturers. Argentina's first photovoltaic component factory is about to open, with an initial production capacity of 450MW and a target of 1GW in the future. Sichuan Province supports Yibin City to build a photovoltaic industrial park, with a total investment of 135.3 billion yuan in the photovoltaic industry chain [16][17] 3.5 Industry Chain High - frequency Data Tracking - The report provides various high - frequency data charts for industrial silicon, organic silicon, polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and components, including price, profit, inventory, and production data [18][29][34]
基础化工行业半年度策略:行业景气寻底,周期与成长两条主线布局
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-06-19 09:08
Group 1 - The chemical industry is experiencing a bottoming out of its economic cycle, with a gradual improvement in profitability observed since late 2023, driven by a recovery in downstream demand and a slowdown in new capacity additions [8][12][14] - In the first quarter of 2025, the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry achieved a revenue of 29,439.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, while total profit was 115 billion, down 4.4% year-on-year, indicating a bottoming out of the industry's economic performance [14][19] - The overall gross margin for the chemical industry in the first quarter of 2025 was 17.55%, a slight year-on-year decline of 0.25% but an increase of 0.85% compared to the previous quarter, reflecting stable profitability [17][18] Group 2 - The report highlights that 2024 saw a majority of the 33 sub-industries in the basic chemical sector report revenue growth, with notable increases in modified plastics, tires, and electronic chemicals, while potassium fertilizer and lithium battery chemicals faced significant declines [19][20] - The profitability of various sub-industries showed significant divergence, with 17 out of 33 sub-industries reporting profit growth, particularly in the chlor-alkali, rubber products, and compound fertilizer sectors, while carbon fiber and lithium battery chemicals experienced substantial profit declines [20][21] - The investment strategy suggests focusing on sectors with guaranteed demand, such as agricultural chemicals, particularly phosphate and potash industries, which are expected to maintain favorable conditions due to resource scarcity and supply constraints [8][26] Group 3 - The report indicates that fixed asset investment in the chemical industry has begun to decline, which is expected to alleviate the pressure of overcapacity in the future, while demand recovery in sectors like automotive and home appliances is anticipated to drive growth [8][12][14] - The chemical industry is expected to see a marginal recovery in overall economic conditions, with profitability likely to rebound from the bottom, driven by both supply and demand factors [8][12][14] - The report maintains an investment rating of "in line with the market," recommending attention to integrated industry leaders such as Wanhua Chemical, Longbai Group, and Baofeng Energy, as well as opportunities in agricultural chemicals and new materials [8][26]
新能源及有色金属日报:多晶硅产量或增加,近月合约回落较多-20250619
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-19 05:07
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - The price of industrial silicon oscillated strongly, mainly affected by the expected increase in the downstream polysilicon start - up and the overall macro - sentiment, with little change in the fundamentals. The polysilicon futures price dropped significantly on June 18, 2025, mainly due to the expected increase in production and weak consumption [1][2][3][6] Market Analysis Industrial Silicon - On June 18, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price oscillated strongly. The main contract 2509 opened at 7390 yuan/ton and closed at 7425 yuan/ton, a change of 80 yuan/ton (1.09%) from the previous settlement. The position of the main contract 2509 was 317763 lots, and the total number of warehouse receipts was 55620 lots, a change of - 448 lots from the previous day [1] - The spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8000 - 8300 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 8400 - 9000 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 7500 - 7700 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 7500 - 7700 yuan/ton. Spot purchases were mainly for rigid demand [1] - The organic silicon DMC was quoted at 10400 - 10900 yuan/ton. The start - up of the organic silicon industry increased, but consumption was average, and prices were under pressure [1] Polysilicon - On June 18, 2025, the main contract 2507 of polysilicon futures dropped significantly, opening at 33960 yuan/ton and closing at 33370 yuan/ton, a - 2.00% change from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract was 30435 lots (43443 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 94724 lots [3] - The spot price of polysilicon remained stable. The price of polysilicon re - feedstock was 31.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg, dense material was 29.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg, cauliflower material was 28.00 - 31.00 yuan/kg, granular silicon was 30.00 - 32.00 yuan/kg, N - type material was 34.00 - 37.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 32.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg [3] - Polysilicon manufacturers' inventory increased slightly, while silicon wafer inventory decreased. The latest polysilicon inventory was 27.50 (a 2.23% change), silicon wafer inventory was 19.34GW (a - 3.40% change). The weekly polysilicon production was 23800.00 tons (an 8.00% change), and silicon wafer production was 13.10GW (a 0.40% change) [3] Silicon Wafer - The price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 0.91 yuan/piece, N - type 210mm was 1.27 yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers was 1.06 yuan/piece [3] Battery Cell - The price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 battery cells was about 0.28 yuan/W, Topcon M10 battery cells was about 0.24 yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery cells was 0.26 yuan/W, Topcon 210RN battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery was 0.37 yuan/W [5] Component - The mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.68 - 0.70 yuan/W (a - 0.01 yuan/W change), and N - type 210mm was 0.68 - 0.70 yuan/W (a - 0.01 yuan/W change) [5] Strategy Industrial Silicon - The price of industrial silicon oscillated strongly. The strategy was mainly range - bound operation, and upstream enterprises should sell hedging at high prices [2] Polysilicon - The futures price dropped significantly, mainly affected by the expected increase in production and weak consumption. The strategy was range - bound operation, and sell hedging at high prices. There were no strategies for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options [6] Factors to Watch - The resumption and new capacity production in the Northwest and Southwest regions [4] - Changes in the start - up of polysilicon enterprises [4] - Policy disturbances [4] - Macro and capital sentiment [4] - The start - up of organic silicon enterprises [4]
新能源及有色金属日报:仓单持续流出,工业硅盘面暂时企稳-20250618
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-18 03:18
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - For industrial silicon, the recent continuous outflow of warehouse receipts, good shipment of spot - futures traders, and improved overall commodity sentiment have led to a stable rebound in the industrial silicon futures market. However, the fundamentals are weak. If the market rebounds significantly, upstream producers can consider selling hedges at high prices. The trading strategy is mainly range - bound operation [2]. - For polysilicon, the polysilicon futures market maintains a range - bound oscillation. Near - month contracts are strong due to delivery games, while far - month contracts are weak due to poor consumption expectations. The trading strategy is neutral [5]. 3. Summary by Industry Industrial Silicon - **Market Analysis** - On June 18, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price was mainly volatile. The main contract 2509 opened at 7360 yuan/ton and closed at 7360 yuan/ton, a change of 80 yuan/ton (1.10%) from the previous day's settlement. The position of the 2509 main contract at the close was 318,893 lots. On June 17, 2025, the total number of warehouse receipts was 56,068 lots, a change of - 755 lots from the previous day [1]. - The spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8000 - 8300 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 8400 - 9000 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 7500 - 7700 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 7500 - 7700 yuan/ton. Silicon prices in Kunming and Huangpu ports decreased slightly, while in Tianjin, the price of 553 silicon increased slightly and 3303 silicon decreased. Prices in Xinjiang, Sichuan, Shanghai, and the northwest remained stable, and the price of 97 silicon also remained stable [1]. - In terms of consumption, the quoted price of silicone DMC was 10,400 - 10,900 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan/ton. The start - up of silicone monomer enterprises continued to increase. After the maintenance of monomer plants in the southwest and east China ended, the maintenance plants in north China were also about to resume. The start - up rate of the silicone monomer industry was expected to approach 70%. Although the start - up situation was good, consumption was average and prices were weak [1]. - **Strategy** - Unilateral: Mainly range - bound operation, upstream producers sell hedges at high prices. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Spot - futures: None. - Options: None [2] Polysilicon - **Market Analysis** - On June 17, 2025, the main contract 2507 of polysilicon futures maintained a volatile pattern, opening at 34,230 yuan/ton and closing at 34,010 yuan/ton, a closing price change of - 0.07% from the previous trading day. The position of the main contract reached 43,443 lots (51,277 lots the previous day), and the trading volume on the day was 45,805 lots [3]. - The spot price of polysilicon remained stable. The quoted price of polysilicon re - feeding material was 31.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg, dense material was 29.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg, cauliflower material was 28.00 - 31.00 yuan/kg, granular silicon was 30.00 - 32.00 yuan/kg, N - type material was 34.00 - 37.00 yuan/kg, and N - type granular silicon was 32.00 - 34.00 yuan/kg. Polysilicon manufacturers' inventory increased slightly, while silicon wafer inventory decreased. The latest statistics showed that polysilicon inventory was 27.50 (a month - on - month change of 2.23%), silicon wafer inventory was 19.34GW (a month - on - month change of - 3.40%), polysilicon weekly output was 23,800.00 tons (a month - on - month change of 8.00%), and silicon wafer output was 13.10GW (a month - on - month change of 0.40%) [3][4]. - In the silicon wafer market, the price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 0.91 yuan/piece, N - type 210mm was 1.27 yuan/piece, and N - type 210R silicon wafers were 1.06 yuan/piece. - In the battery cell market, the price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 battery cells were about 0.28 yuan/W, Topcon M10 battery cells were about 0.24 yuan/W, Topcon G12 battery cells were 0.26 yuan/W, Topcon 210RN battery cells were 0.27 yuan/W, and HJT210 half - piece battery cells were 0.37 yuan/W. - In the component market, the mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm was 0.67 - 0.74 yuan/W, PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 yuan/W, N - type 182mm was 0.69 - 0.70 yuan/W, and N - type 210mm was 0.70 - 0.70 yuan/W [4]. - **Strategy** - Unilateral: Neutral. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Spot - futures: None. - Options: None [5]