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【新华解读】我国房地产市场积极变化持续显现 止跌回稳尚需加力
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 22:51
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market is showing signs of stabilization and improvement despite fluctuations caused by domestic and international factors, as indicated by the National Bureau of Statistics' report on the first eight months of the year [1]. Group 1: Sales and Price Trends - The sales data for the real estate market in the first eight months of the year is better than last year, with new residential sales area down by 4.7%, a reduction of 13.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1]. - The sales revenue for commercial housing decreased by 7.3%, with a narrowing of the decline by 16.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [1]. - In August, the year-on-year decline in new residential prices in first, second, and third-tier cities narrowed by 0.2, 0.4, and 0.5 percentage points respectively [2]. Group 2: Inventory and Funding Conditions - The funding situation for real estate companies has improved, with total funding down by 8% in the first eight months, a reduction of 12.2 percentage points compared to the previous year [3]. - The inventory of unsold commercial housing decreased by 3.17 million square meters at the end of August compared to the end of July, marking six consecutive months of decline [3]. - Domestic loans for real estate companies have shown an accelerated growth rate, indicating an overall improvement in credit funding sources [3]. Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - Recent policies in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen have relaxed housing purchase restrictions in non-core areas, aiming to boost the local real estate market [4]. - The government has emphasized the need for strong measures to consolidate the stabilization of the real estate market, with expectations for further supportive policies to be implemented [3][4].
刚刚,均价18.9万元/㎡的杭州御园流摇了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 22:20
就在刚刚,御园的报名结果出炉了!截止登记期限届满,共有10户有效购房登记家庭,其中,无房家庭4户、普通家庭6户。由于报名登记家庭户数不足房 源套数,项目宣告流摇。 西子御园捅破杭州房价天花板 杭州御园,位于上城区凤山路129号,紧邻南宋皇城遗址、近西湖风景区,是杭州著名豪宅之一。 项目于2009年8月拿地,成交楼面价24295元/㎡,为2009年的杭州单价地王。2011年,因涉及"南宋皇宫遗址",项目停工。2015年6月,御园进行规划调 整,容积率由1.4改为1.01,产品由70席平层官邸、7席法式合院改为49套中式排屋。 2019年初左右,御园曾短暂地开放过售楼部,并传出18万元-20万元/㎡的开盘价。不过,随后售楼部再度关停,房源销售不了了之。直至2024年10月,杭 州全面放开新房限价,御园计划启动销售的消息开始不绝于耳。 | | | | | 四十九九国四一方 | | 11 × (2025.09.09取 (2025.09.07 × (2025.09.00) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | ...
房子靠近这5处,“十户九富”,不是迷信,而是过来人的经验!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 22:20
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of location and surrounding amenities in real estate investment, highlighting various types of properties that can enhance value based on their proximity to educational institutions, transportation, parks, commercial areas, and city centers [1][7]. Chapter Summaries Chapter 1: School District Properties - School district properties are considered a timeless asset due to the persistent demand for quality education, leading to their scarcity and value appreciation [1][3]. - The value is supported by three core logics: 1. The spillover effect of educational resources attracts families, enhancing the area's overall value [3]. 2. Extreme imbalance in supply and demand during school seasons creates a "one house hard to find" situation, making rentals and sales easier [3]. 3. Resilience against price drops, as even older properties maintain strong market appeal as long as educational resources remain unchanged [5]. Chapter 2: Properties Near Subway Lines - Properties along subway lines are highly sought after by urban dwellers for three main reasons: 1. They significantly reduce commuting time, enhancing quality of life [7]. 2. They are popular in the rental market, leading to higher rental prices and more stable returns [9]. 3. They have good liquidity, allowing for quick sales at stable prices [9]. - Data indicates that for every 10-minute reduction in commuting time, rental prices can increase by 8% to 10% [10]. Chapter 3: Residential Properties Next to Parks - Living near parks adds significant value to properties due to the increasing scarcity of urban green spaces [13]. - Properties adjacent to large green areas typically command prices that are at least 15% higher than those in standard neighborhoods [13]. Chapter 4: Properties Near Major Commercial Areas - Proximity to commercial hubs enhances property value by increasing convenience for daily activities, which in turn boosts rental demand and stability [17]. - High foot traffic in commercial areas ensures that properties maintain their value and avoid depreciation [17]. Chapter 5: Properties in Mature City Centers - City center properties are viewed as stable investments due to the concentration of resources such as healthcare, education, and transportation [19]. - They exhibit strong resilience against market downturns, often maintaining their value even during significant market corrections [21]. Conclusion - The article concludes that careful observation of key factors such as foot traffic, resources, transportation, and amenities can significantly increase the likelihood of successful real estate investments [22].
8月70城房价环比下降同比降幅收窄
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-09-15 21:57
中新 国家统计局15日发布的数据显示,8月份,70个大中城市中,各线城市商品住宅销售价格环比下降,同比降幅 总体继续收窄。58安居客研究院院长张波指出,虽然房价下跌态势延续,但政策利好效应逐步显现,市场信 心出现积极变化,房产经纪行业景气度与找房热度回升,预示市场出现底部特征,为"金九银十"传统旺季奠 定基础。 ...
2025年不买房,5年后会庆幸,还是后悔?现在有了答案
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 21:40
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market is undergoing a prolonged adjustment period, with a continuous decline in housing prices expected to persist into 2025, leading to a potential regret for those who choose to buy now rather than wait [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - National second-hand housing prices have been declining for over 30 months, with an average year-on-year drop of 7.34% in August alone, and an overall decline exceeding 30% [1][3]. - In certain areas like Zhuozhou and Yanjiao, housing prices have plummeted nearly 60%, indicating severe market distress [1][3]. - Various stimulus policies have been introduced, including the relaxation of purchase restrictions in most cities, increased housing provident fund loan limits, and a reduction in first-home loan interest rates to a historic low of 3.2% [3][4]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - There are approximately 600 million residential buildings in China, sufficient to accommodate a population of 6 billion if each building houses 10 people, with millions of new properties expected to enter the market annually [4][6]. - A staggering 96% of households already own at least one property, with 41.5% owning two or more, indicating a saturation of demand for new housing [6][7]. - The aging population is expected to further diminish the demand for new housing, as many elderly individuals already own homes and younger generations face challenges such as inheritance and declining birth rates [7][10]. Group 3: Price Adjustments - The real estate market is entering a long-term deep adjustment phase after over 20 years of rapid growth, with persistent price bubbles remaining in major cities [9][12]. - In cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, the price-to-income ratio is as high as 40 times, meaning residents would need to save for 40 years without spending to afford a home [9][12]. - Future housing prices are expected to align more closely with residents' income levels, suggesting that those who wait to purchase may benefit from more favorable pricing in the future [12].
华润置地(1109.HK):销售均价提升明显 资产运营稳健增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 20:34
机构:光大证券 资产运营稳健增长,稳定现金流贡献提升:公司资产运营板块业务稳健增长,对业绩和长期稳定现金流 的贡献显著提升。2025 年上半年,资产运营板块营业收入121.1 亿元(同比增长5.5%)。1)截至2025 年6 月30 日,购物中心总建筑面积1185 万平方米(同比增加13.3%),在营购物中心94 座,零售额 1101.5亿元(同比增长20.2%),整体经营利润率65.9%,再创历史新高。2)截至2025年6 月30 日,写 字楼总建筑面积146 万平方米(同比增加7.8%),在营写字楼23 座,上半年平均出租率74.5%,维持行 业领先。 研究员:何缅南 事件:公司发布截至2025 年8 月31 日未经审核运营数据。 2025 年8 月,公司实现合同销售金额132 亿元,同比下降13.2%;合同销售面53.9 万平方米,同比下降 26.7%。 2025 年1-8 月,公司实现合同销售金额1368 亿元,同比下降12.0%;合同销售面积512.0 万平方米,同 比下降23.3%。 点评:销售均价提升明显,资产运营稳健增长,融资成本持续优化。 销售均价提升明显,销售结构聚焦核心:2025 年1- ...
冲高回落爬了一座山,内房地低开低走,内银行直线跳水,恒生科技逆势上扬
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 19:43
今天恒生指数爬了一座山,开盘后直线拉升,随后冲高回落,截至目前下跌0.26%。恒生科技涨幅居 前,大消费、工商紧随其后;内房地跌幅居前,银行、金融等紧随其后。 内房地低开低走,截至目前下跌2.07%,其中华润万象生活大跌3.59%,万物云下跌3.41%,贝壳下跌 3.12%,华润置地下跌2.31%,中国海外发展、碧桂园服务、碧桂园服务、龙湖集团等跌幅均在1%上 方。 内银行开盘后直线跳水,随后一路下行,截至目前下跌1.46%。其中重庆农村商业银行大跌2.8%,民生 银行下跌2.59%,农业银行下跌2.15%,建设银行、交通银行、中信银行、招商银行等股跌幅均在1%上 方。 恒生科技逆势上扬,截至目前小涨0.39%。其中哔哩哔哩大涨4.73%,蔚来上涨411%,理想汽车上涨 4.18%,华虹半导体、阿里巴巴等股多股涨幅均在2%上方;金蝶国际逆势下跌4.39%,比亚迪电子、百 度集团、联想集团等多股跌幅均在2%上方。 内容只是个人观点,仅供参考,不作为投资依据!欢迎关注交流,互相学习、共同探讨! ...
深圳香江控股股份有限公司股票交易异常波动公告
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:600162 证券简称:香江控股 公告编号:临2025-030 深圳香江控股股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示: ● 深圳香江控股股份有限公司(以下简称"香江控股"、"本公司"或"公司")连续三个交易日(2025年9 月11日、9月12日以及9月15日)收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%,根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》 等有关规定,属于股票交易异常波动的情形。敬请广大投资者理性投资,注意二级市场交易风险。 ● 公司2024年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约为6,179.69万元,较上年同期减少11.07%,公司 2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约为-1,984.62万元,较上年同期减少147.19%。具体内 容详见公司2025年4月19日、2025年8月28日披露的《2024年年度报告》、《2025年半年度报告》,敬请 广大投资者注意公司经营业绩风险。 ● 经公司自查并向控股股东及实际控 ...
工业生产较快增长 消费潜能继续释放
Group 1: Consumer Market Trends - Consumer spending continues to expand and improve, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 4.6% year-on-year from January to August, and a 3.4% increase in August alone [1] - The "trade-in for new" policy has shown positive effects, with retail sales of furniture, home appliances, and communication equipment increasing by 18.6%, 14.3%, and 7.3% respectively in August [1] - Service consumption is growing rapidly, with service retail sales increasing by 5.1% year-on-year from January to August, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales [1][2] Group 2: Real Estate Market Developments - The decline in new housing sales has narrowed, with a 4.7% year-on-year decrease in sales area from January to August, a reduction of 13.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] - New home prices are also seeing a reduced decline, with most cities experiencing a smaller year-on-year price drop in August compared to July [3] - The inventory reduction in the real estate market is progressing steadily, with a decrease of 3.17 million square meters in unsold housing inventory from July to August [3] Group 3: Macroeconomic Policy Outlook - Overall, macroeconomic policies are expected to strengthen, with potential new measures aimed at stabilizing employment, businesses, and market expectations [4][5] - Analysts suggest that new fiscal measures and possible interest rate cuts from the central bank may be introduced in the fourth quarter to counter external demand slowdowns [4]
8月新房价格环比上涨城市增加商品房库存连续6个月减少
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-15 18:47
Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with a narrowing decline in sales and prices, although overall sales are still decreasing [1][2][3] - The government is actively implementing policies to support housing demand and stabilize the market, leading to improvements in sales and inventory levels [2][3] Sales Performance - From January to August, the sales area of new commercial housing decreased by 4.7% year-on-year, but this decline is 13.3 percentage points less than the same period last year [2] - The sales revenue of commercial housing fell by 7.3% year-on-year, a reduction of 16.3 percentage points compared to the previous year [2] - Some first- and second-tier cities have experienced growth in both sales area and revenue [2] Price Trends - In August, 9 out of 70 large and medium-sized cities saw a month-on-month increase in new home prices, with Shanghai, Hangzhou, and Yichang leading at a 0.4% increase [1] - Year-on-year, the price decline for new homes in first, second, and third-tier cities has narrowed by 0.2, 0.4, and 0.5 percentage points respectively [1] Funding and Inventory - From January to August, funding for real estate development decreased by 8% year-on-year, but this decline is 12.2 percentage points less than the same period last year [2] - The inventory of unsold commercial housing decreased by 3.17 million square meters from July to August, marking six consecutive months of reduction [2] Future Outlook - The market requires continued efforts to stabilize and recover, with a focus on high-quality urban renewal and increasing the supply of quality housing to meet demand [3]