行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 16 日 研究员：王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：洪辰亮 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | | 收盘价（元/吨 | 美分 ...

Core Viewpoint - Vietnam has initiated a sunset review investigation on anti-dumping and countervailing duties for cane sugar products originating from Thailand, reflecting ongoing trade tensions and regulatory scrutiny in the sugar industry [1] Group 1: Investigation Details - On June 13, 2025, Vietnam's Ministry of Industry and Trade announced the initiation of the first sunset review investigation on cane sugar products from Thailand [1] - The original anti-dumping and countervailing investigations began on September 21, 2020, leading to a final ruling on June 16, 2021, which imposed anti-dumping duties of 42.99% and countervailing duties of 4.65% for five years [1] - A mid-term review was conducted on September 13, 2022, resulting in adjustments to the anti-dumping duties ranging from 25.73% to 42.99% and countervailing duties from 0% to 4.65% as of August 8, 2023 [1] Group 2: Product Scope - The products involved in this investigation include refined sugar and raw sugar, categorized under Vietnam's tax codes 1701.13.00, 1701.14.00, 1701.91.00, 1701.99.10, 1701.99.90, and 1702.90.91 [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report - International sugar prices are expected to be under pressure due to the expected global sugar surplus in the new season. The ISO has raised its forecast for the global sugar shortage in the 2024/25 season, but Datagro expects a surplus in the 2025/26 season [7][9]. - Brazilian sugar production is expected to increase, but exports in May decreased compared to the same period last year. The number of ships waiting to load sugar at Brazilian ports and the quantity of sugar waiting for shipment have also decreased [10][18][20]. - In India, the 2024/25 season's ending sugar inventory is sufficient to meet domestic demand, and the sugar price is stable. The 2025/26 season is expected to see a strong recovery in sugar production [21]. - In China, the 2024/25 sugar production has ended, with an increase in both production and sales. The 2025/26 season's supply and demand forecast remains unchanged, and the current growing conditions for sugarcane and beets are favorable [24]. - The short - term sugar price is expected to be weak. Domestically, the fast sales pace may support the price, but the upcoming large - scale import of sugar may drag it down. Internationally, the approaching supply peak in Brazil and the weak recent performance of raw sugar also contribute to the weak outlook [3][4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategies - **Comprehensive Analysis** - Internationally, with Brazil approaching the supply peak, the global sugar inventory is expected to start accumulating. Raw sugar is expected to fluctuate, and its short - term trend will be affected by production data. Attention should be paid to Brazil's production progress and actual increase [3]. - Domestically, the fast sales pace may support the sugar price, but the large - scale import of sugar and the weak recent performance of raw sugar may lead to a short - term weakening of the sugar price [3]. - **Logic Analysis** - Raw sugar prices have declined due to the expected high yield in Brazil. Future weather changes may affect the sugarcane crushing progress and raw sugar supply. In China, the delayed summer stocking demand and the weak short - term performance of raw sugar are expected to keep Zhengzhou sugar prices weak [4]. - **Trading Strategies** - Unilateral: Bearish view. - Arbitrage: Wait and see. - Options: Out - of - the - money ratio spread options [5]. 3.2 Core Logic Analysis - The expected high yield in the global sugar market's new season is putting pressure on sugar prices. The ISO has adjusted its forecast for the 2024/25 season's sugar shortage, and Datagro expects a surplus in the 2025/26 season [7][9]. 3.3 Weekly Data Tracking - **Brazil** - S&P Global expects an increase in sugar production in the second half of May in Brazil's central - southern region [10]. - In May, Brazil's sugar and molasses exports were 225.66 million tons, a decrease of 55.45 million tons (19.72%) compared to the same period last year. From April to May in the 2025/26 season, the cumulative sugar exports were 380.92 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 18.84% [20]. - As of the week of June 11, the number of ships waiting to load sugar at Brazilian ports decreased from 90 to 80, and the quantity of sugar waiting for shipment decreased by 33.66 million tons (10.36%) to 291.04 million tons compared to the previous week [20]. - **India** - The NFCSF estimates that the ending sugar inventory in the 2024/25 season will be about 4.865 million metric tons, which can meet domestic demand from October to November 2025 and stabilize the sugar price. The 2025/26 season is expected to see a strong recovery in sugar production [21]. - **China** - In June, the 2024/25 sugar production was adjusted to 11.16 million tons, an increase of 10,000 tons. As of the end of May, the cumulative production was 11.16 million tons (a year - on - year increase of 1.2 million tons), and the cumulative sales were 8.11 million tons (a year - on - year increase of 1.52 million tons). The sales progress was 72.7%, 6.5 percentage points faster than the same period last year [24]. - In April, China imported 130,000 tons of sugar, an increase of 75,700 tons compared to the same period last year. From January to April 2025, the total sugar imports were 278,400 tons, a decrease of 979,100 tons (77.86%) compared to the same period last year. From the start of the 2024/25 season to April, the cumulative sugar imports were 1.7401 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.3773 million tons (44.18%) [26]. - From the start of the 2024/25 season to April, the cumulative imports of three types of goods under item 170290 were 806,700 tons, a decrease of 125,300 tons (13.44%) compared to the same period last year [27].

021-60635740 linzhenlei@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3055047 021-60635732 yulanlan@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0301101 021-60635732 hongchenliang@ccb.ccbfutures .com 期货从业资格号：F3076808 研究员：刘悠然 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 农产品研究团队 研究员：林贞磊 研究员：余兰兰 研究员：洪辰亮 行业 白糖日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 13 日 研究员：王海峰 021-60635728 wanghaifeng@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0230741 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价（元/吨 | 美分/磅） | 涨跌 | ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 白糖 | 报告 2025 年 6 月 12 日 白糖 专业研究·创造价值 供需格局转向宽松 进口压力兑现 核心观点 巴西汽油降价压制乙醇价格，通过糖醇比机制增加食糖供应，叠加全球 增产预期及中国进口压力，导致原糖破位下跌，糖价短期维持弱势。印度和 泰国因气候改善和政策支持增产确定性高，推动全球糖市进入过剩周期，国 际糖价承压。 白糖 国内需警惕进口糖到港节奏对基差的冲击；核心矛盾在于供需宽松格 局强化。国内产销区价格分化持续，产区低库存挺价持续，销区加工糖到港 叠加成本偏低倒逼降价。国内糖产量创新高，销售分化受终端消费转型和进 口预期压制。 短期郑糖期价继续承压偏弱运行，需紧盯进口到港节奏及北半球天气 对供需前景的影响。未来关键变量包括巴西天气与压榨进度（降雨持续可能 加速压榨并增加供应）、印度季风雨强度（影响 2025/26 榨季产量预期）、 原油价格走势（影响乙醇需求前景）和中国进口政策。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 姓名：毕慧 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F0268536 投资咨询证号：Z0011311 电话：0411-84807266 邮 ...

数据来源第三方(同花顺、wind)，观点仅供参考，市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 研究员: 张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0018457 免责声明 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 白糖产业日报 2025-06-12 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:白糖(日,元/吨) | 5647 | -21 主力合约持仓量:白糖(日,手) | 367580 | 9449 | | | 仓单数量:白糖(日,张) | 29116 | -100 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:白 ...

市场快讯 -- 巴西制糖进程加速 郑糖盘中跌破支撑 5月29日,巴西甘蔗和生物能源行业协会(UNICA)在报告中表示,2025年5月上半月, 巴西中南部压榨进程同比下降(但降幅较上份双周报告相比有所收窄),期间共压榨 4232万吨甘蔗,制糖240.8万吨。而以上两组数据在2024/25榨季同期则达到4507万吨和 258.4万吨,同比分别下降6.09%与6.8%。从2025/25榨季至今的累计数据来看,当前巴西中 南部已累计压榨7671.4万吨甘蔗并生产出389.8万吨糖,同比分别下降20.24%和22.68%。 但在6月10日(周二)S&P Global Commodity Insights发布的一项对20位分析师的调查显示, 巴西中南部地区5月下半月甘蔗压榨量预计较上年同期增长1.2%,至4591万吨。这意味看 巴西食糖主产区在摆脱了降水犹动后,整体的食糖生产进程出现明显提速,且此轮预测 的追赶速度超出市场预期。在此消息的抗动下,全球食糖预期供应压力再度增加,登加 市场对印度和泰国2025/26榨李的食糖产量也均抱有增产预期,郑糖于今日上午跌破5700 元/吨支撑。 | | | | | UNICA:202 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangxi Agricultural Investment Sugar Industry Group is implementing a comprehensive strategy to enhance sugar production efficiency and optimize the entire industry chain, achieving significant growth in sugarcane planting area and production volume for the 2024/25 season [1][3]. Group 1: Production and Financial Performance - The company has achieved a sugarcane planting area of 1.53 million acres and a sugar production volume of 862,200 tons for the 2024/25 season [1]. - A total of 3.462 billion yuan has been paid to sugarcane farmers, reflecting a commitment to supporting local agriculture [3]. - Guangxi Baoxuan Food Co., Ltd. has increased its sugarcane planting area to 260,000 acres, a 9.7% increase from the previous season [3]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The company is leveraging digital management systems, including pest monitoring and data integration, to enhance agricultural efficiency and production quality [4]. - The establishment of a comprehensive information system supports the entire sugar production process, from planting to processing [4]. - The use of advanced technologies such as 5G and IoT is being integrated into the sugar production chain to improve operational efficiency [4]. Group 3: Quality and Brand Development - Guangxi Agricultural Investment Sugar Industry has maintained the top position in national sugar quality evaluations for 22 consecutive years, enhancing its brand reputation [5]. - The company has received various certifications, including the zero-carbon factory certificate and the Hong Kong quality certification, further solidifying its market position [5]. - Continuous investment in technological upgrades has led to improvements in production rates and operational safety [5]. Group 4: Future Strategies - The company aims to maximize the value of sugarcane by focusing on quality cultivation, efficient processing, and effective marketing strategies [5]. - Plans include promoting the integration of advanced technologies such as AI and big data into sugar production processes to ensure sustainable growth [5].

Core Points - The company is preparing for its annual shareholder meeting scheduled for June 19, 2025, with specific guidelines to ensure order and protect shareholder rights [1][2][4] - The meeting will include the review of the 2024 annual report and the board's work report, highlighting the company's performance and strategic direction [6][15] - The company reported a revenue of 32.497 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 1.86% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.114 billion yuan [20][22] Meeting Guidelines - The meeting will have a designated management office to oversee procedures and maintain order [1] - Only authorized participants, including shareholders and company officials, will be allowed entry [1] - Shareholders must present identification for registration on the day of the meeting [1] Voting and Agenda - Voting will be conducted through both on-site and online methods [2][4] - The agenda includes the announcement of the meeting's commencement, review of key proposals, and the election of inspectors [4][5] Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 32.497 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 2.114 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease in profitability [20][22] - The total assets at the end of 2024 were reported at 201.03 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.375 billion yuan from the beginning of the year [21] - The company's debt ratio improved to 41.48%, down from 44.90% at the beginning of the year [22] Board and Governance - The board of directors held nine meetings in 2024, addressing 51 major topics including strategic planning and investment [7] - The company emphasizes compliance and governance, with ongoing improvements to its internal control systems [12][14] ESG and Sustainability - The company has launched an ESG strategy with specific goals and measures to enhance its sustainability practices [11] - It received recognition for its ESG efforts, including awards for best practices in sustainable development [11]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On Monday, New York raw sugar futures rebounded, with the main July contract rising 1.27% to 16.70 cents per pound. London ICE white sugar futures' main August contract rose 1.5% to $472.40 per ton. The current market pressure is the increasing production in Brazil, and recent heavy rainfall in the central - southern Brazil may affect the crushing progress. After the sugar price rebounded from below the previous low, it's necessary to observe if a double - bottom pattern can form [6]. - Yesterday, the main contract of Zhengzhou sugar fluctuated weakly. The 09 contract closed at 5,717 yuan per ton, down 14 yuan or 0.24%, with an increase of 1,295 contracts in positions. The spot prices in domestic producing areas remained unchanged. Zhengzhou sugar did not follow the raw sugar's rebound and was weaker than expected. After the market closed, large speculative short - sellers continued to add positions tentatively, while hedging funds from spot seats continued to withdraw. The short - selling momentum of short - sellers to add positions and suppress prices weakened, and the possibility of a price rebound is relatively high [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **New York Raw Sugar and London ICE White Sugar**: The main July contract of New York raw sugar futures rose 1.27% to 16.70 cents per pound, and the main August contract of London ICE white sugar futures rose 1.5% to $472.40 per ton. The increasing production in Brazil is the main market pressure, and rainfall may affect the crushing progress. After the sugar price fell below the previous low and rebounded, observe for a possible double - bottom pattern [6]. - **Zhengzhou Sugar**: The 09 contract of Zhengzhou sugar closed at 5,717 yuan per ton, down 14 yuan or 0.24%, with an increase of 1,295 contracts in positions. Domestic spot prices were flat. Zhengzhou sugar did not follow the raw sugar's rebound. Speculative short - sellers added positions tentatively, and spot hedging funds withdrew. The downward momentum of short - sellers weakened, and a price rebound is more likely [8]. 3.2 Industry News - No relevant content provided 3.3 Data Overview - **24/25 Guangdong Sugar Production and Sales**: The cumulative sugar production in Guangdong in the 24/25 season was 654,500 tons, an increase of 122,800 tons year - on - year. As of the end of May, the cumulative sugar sales were 654,500 tons, an increase of 223,600 tons year - on - year; industrial inventory was 0 tons, a decrease of 100,800 tons year - on - year; the sales - to - production ratio was 100%, an increase of 18.97% year - on - year. In May, the single - month sugar sales in Guangdong were 3,900 tons [10]. - **24/25 Xinjiang Sugar Production and Sales**: The final sugar production in Xinjiang in the 24/25 season was 814,200 tons, an increase of 255,600 tons year - on - year. As of the end of May, the cumulative sugar sales were 618,800 tons, an increase of 231,400 tons year - on - year; the sales - to - production ratio was 76%, an increase of 6.65% year - on - year; industrial inventory was 195,400 tons, an increase of 24,200 tons year - on - year. In May, the single - month sugar sales in Xinjiang were 73,700 tons [10]. - **Brazilian Sugar Exports**: Brazil exported 2.2566 million tons of sugar in May, a year - on - year decrease of 19.6%. From April to May in the 2025/26 season, Brazil's cumulative sugar exports were 3.8092 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 18.84%. As of the week of June 4, the number of ships waiting to load sugar at Brazilian ports was 90, the same as the previous week. The quantity of sugar waiting to be exported was 3.247 million tons, a 4% decrease from the previous week. The quantity of high - grade raw sugar (VHP) was 3.0373 million tons, a 3% decrease from the previous week. The quantity of sugar waiting to be exported at Santos Port decreased 7% from the previous week, and that at Paranagua Port decreased 11% [10].