| 铅锌日评20250704：区间整理 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/4 指标 单位 今值 变动 近期趋势 | | | | | | | | | | | SMM1#铅锭平均价格 元/吨 17,000.00 0.44% | | | | | | | | | | | 期货主力合约收盘价 元/吨 17,245.00 0.41% | | | | | | | | | | | 沪铅基差 元/吨 -245.00 5.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 元/吨 升贴水-上海 -35.00 - | | | | | | | | | | | 升贴水-LME 0-3 美元/吨 -26.47 0.30 | | | | | | | | | | | -64.00 -5.10 升贴水-LME 3-15 美元/吨 | | | | | | | | | | | 沪铅近月-沪铅连一 元/吨 10.00 40.00 | | | | | | | | | | | 沪铅连一-沪铅连二 元/吨 -3 ...

研究局限性和风险提示 | | 20250703申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜： 可能短期区间波动 | | | 摘要 | 锌： 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | | 铝： 可能短期内震荡 | | | | 镍： 可能短期内震荡 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | | 铜：夜盘铜价收涨。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价，考验冶炼产量。 根据国家统计局数据来看，国内下游需求总体稳定向好，电力行业延续正增 | | | 铜 | 长；汽车产销正增长；家电产量增速趋缓；地产持续疲弱。多空因素交织， | 可能短期区 | | | 铜价可能区间波动。关注美国关税进展，以及美元、铜冶炼和家电产量等因 | 间波动 | | | 素变化。 | | | | 锌：夜盘锌价收涨。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来看，国 内汽车产销正增长，基建稳定增长，家电产量增速趋缓，地产持续疲弱。市 | 可能短期宽 | | 锌 | | | | | 场预期今年精矿供应明显改善，冶炼供应可能恢复。短期锌价可能宽幅波 动，关注美国关税进展，以及美元、锌冶炼和家电产量等因素变化。 | 幅波动 | ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-03 锌价上方持续受到供给压力 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-18.75 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日上涨10元/吨至22290元/吨，SMM 上海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日持平于105元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日持平于22250元/吨。SMM广东 锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌10元/吨至65元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日上涨10元/吨至22220元/吨。 SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日持平于35元/吨。 策略 单边：谨慎偏空。 套利：中性。 风险 1、海外矿预期外扰动。2、国内消费不及预期。3、流动性变化超预期。 期货方面：2025-07-02沪锌主力合约开于22250元/吨，收于22230元/吨，较前一交易日下跌25元/吨，全天交易日成 交128020手，较前一交易日减少50663手，全天交易日持仓129763手，较前一交易日减少4670手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到22310元/吨，最低点达到22145元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-06-30，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.06万吨，较上周同期增加0.28万吨。截止20 ...

金融衍生品： 金融期货： 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属： 黄金、白银 集运欧线 广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话：020-88830760 E-Mail：zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录： 商品期货： 有色金属： 铜、氧化铝、铝、铝合金、锌、锡、镍、不锈钢、碳酸锂 黑色金属： 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭 农产品： 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工： 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品： 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 7 月 3 日星期四 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息： 张晓珍（投资咨询资格：Z0003135） 电话：020- 88818009 邮箱：zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂（投资咨询资格：Z0016336） 电话：020-88818026 邮箱：qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁（投资咨询资格：Z0016628） 电话：020- 88818017 邮箱：yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波（投资咨询资 ...

（核准文号 证监许可[2011]1284号） 研究局限性和风险提示 报告中依据和结论存在范围局限性，对未来预测存在不及预期，以及宏观环境和产业链影响因素存在不确定性变化等风险。 | | 20250702申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜： 可能短期区间波动 | | | | 锌： 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | 摘要 | 铝： 可能短期内震荡 | | | | 镍： 可能短期内震荡 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | | 铜：夜盘铜价收低。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价，考验冶炼产量。 根据国家统计局数据来看，国内下游需求总体稳定向好，电力行业延续正增 | | | 铜 | 长；汽车产销正增长；家电产量增速趋缓；地产持续疲弱。多空因素交织， | 可能短期区 | | | 铜价可能区间波动。关注美国关税进展，以及美元、铜冶炼和家电产量等因 | 间波动 | | | 素变化。 | | | | 锌：夜盘锌价收低。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来看，国 内汽车产销正增长，基建稳定增长，家电产量增速趋缓，地产持续疲弱。市 | 可能短期宽 | | 锌 | | ...

铜 有色金属小组 吴坤金 有色金属日报 2025-7-2 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 从业资格号：F3036210 交易咨询号：Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 从业资格号：F03121027 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 张世骄 从业资格号：F03120988 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 从业资格号：F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号：F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号：F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 铅 周二沪铅指数收跌 0.56%至 17108 元/吨，单边交易总持仓 8.36 万手。截至周二下午 15：00，伦铅 3S 较前日同期跌 7 至 2041 美元/吨，总持仓 15.09 万手。SMM1#铅锭均价 16925 元/吨，再生精铅 均价 16875 元/吨，精废价差 50 元/吨，废电动车电池均价 1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Henan Yuguang Gold Lead Group, is undergoing a strategic transformation from traditional non-ferrous metallurgy to high-end lithium battery copper foil production, marking a significant shift towards new materials [1][2]. Group 1: Company Transformation - The copper foil production line at Yuguang Group produces ultra-thin copper foil with a thickness of only 4 micrometers, which is considered a hallmark of the company's transition to high-end materials [1]. - The company has evolved from a traditional smelting factory to a high-end lithium battery copper foil producer and supplier of high-purity metal new materials [1]. - The cleanroom environment in the copper foil production facility is maintained at a cleanliness level of 10,000, highlighting the company's commitment to quality [1]. Group 2: New Materials Development - Yuguang Group has established a new materials industry chain focused on high-purity metals, lead-zinc alloys, new energy materials, and rare metals, with over 260 types of lead-zinc alloy products and an annual output of nearly 300,000 tons [2]. - The company has achieved industry-leading standards with its 7N ultra-pure tellurium and 7N high-purity cadmium, showcasing its technological advancements [2]. - The company aims to accelerate its transformation into a new materials powerhouse, with plans for projects in copper, recycled lead, and a new materials research center, potentially reaching a revenue scale of 100 billion yuan [2].

| | 20250701申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜： 可能短期区间波动 | | | | 锌： 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | 摘要 | 铝： 可能短期内震荡 | | | | 镍： 可能短期内震荡 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | | 铜：夜盘铜价收低。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价，考验冶炼产量。 | | | | 根据国家统计局数据来看，国内下游需求总体稳定向好，电力行业延续正增 | 可能短期区 | | 铜 | 长；汽车产销正增长；家电产量增速趋缓；地产持续疲弱。多空因素交织， | 间波动 | | | 铜价可能区间波动。关注美国关税进展，以及美元、铜冶炼和家电产量等因 | | | | 素变化。 | | | | 锌：夜盘锌价收低。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来看，国 内汽车产销正增长，基建稳定增长，家电产量增速趋缓，地产持续疲弱。市 | 可能短期宽 | | 锌 | 场预期今年精矿供应明显改善，冶炼供应可能恢复。短期锌价可能宽幅波 | 幅波动 | | | 动，关注美国关税进展，以及美元、锌冶炼和家电产量等因素变化。 | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Foreign Exchange Administration's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region branch is actively promoting financial openness towards ASEAN, enhancing cross-border trade and investment, and facilitating high-quality economic development in the region. Group 1: Financial Openness and Trade Growth - From January to April 2025, Guangxi's foreign-related income and expenditure reached $22.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19% [1] - The goods trade income and expenditure amounted to $18.72 billion, growing by 21.5% year-on-year [1] - Guangxi's goods trade with ASEAN reached $2.42 billion, with an 11.6% year-on-year increase, maintaining ASEAN as Guangxi's largest trading partner for 25 consecutive years [1] - The proportion of cross-border funds from ASEAN in Guangxi's total has increased from 23% to 28% over the past three years [1] Group 2: Cross-Border Investment Initiatives - Guangxi is pushing for more high-level open pilot projects for cross-border trade and investment, including the expansion of the Qualified Foreign Limited Partner (QFLP) pilot to the entire region [2] - As of April 2025, registered capital for QFLP pilot enterprises reached $3.377 billion, injecting significant vitality into the regional economy [2] - Guangxi has been approved for a new pilot policy for cross-border trade agency payment, enhancing support for border residents engaging in trade with ASEAN [2] Group 3: Streamlining Foreign Exchange Operations - The Guangxi branch has introduced nearly 30 measures to improve the convenience of cross-border trade and investment financing [3] - Key measures include delegating registration tasks to banks and allowing online processing for various foreign debt registrations [3] - By April 2025, 1,400 entities benefited from these measures, involving $27.61 billion, while over 6,600 capital project digital transactions amounted to $10.454 billion [3] Group 4: Case Studies of Trade Facilitation - A copper company in Guangxi, as a pilot enterprise for trade foreign exchange facilitation, processed 61 transactions worth $170 million, significantly reducing time and costs for payment processing [4] - An automotive group successfully completed a cross-border payment within 48 hours for an urgent software procurement, achieving an 85% speed increase compared to conventional processes [5]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-01 现实及预期供给压力依旧不减 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-0.24 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌80元/吨至22490元/吨，SMM上 海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌35元/吨至80元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌60元/吨至22490元/吨。 SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌15元/吨至80元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌70元/吨至 22410元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌25元/吨至0元/吨。 期货方面：2025-06-30沪锌主力合约开于22330元/吨，收于22495元/吨，较前一交易日上涨70元/吨，全天交易日成 交160924手，较前一交易日减少64900手，全天交易日持仓140186手，较前一交易日减少2242手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到22530元/吨，最低点达到22330元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-06-30，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.06万吨，较上周同期增加0.28万吨。截止2025-06-30，LME 锌库存为117475吨，较上一交易日减少1750吨。 市场分 ...