证券之星消息，2月9日南向资金增持310.2万股中国石油化工股份（00386.HK）。近5个交易日中，获南 向资金减持的有3天，累计净减持2673.49万股。近20个交易日中，获南向资金增持的有14天，累计净增 持4.55亿股。截至目前，南向资金持有中国石油化工股份（00386.HK）75.99亿股，占公司已发行普通 股的31.94%。 中国石油化工股份有限公司是一家主要从事石油和天然气和化工经营业务的中国公司。该公司经营五个 分部。勘探及开发分部勘探和开发油田，生产并销售原油及天然气。炼油分部加工和提炼原油以及制造 和销售石油产品予该公司的化工、营销及分销分部和外界客户。营销及分销分部在中国拥有及经营油库 和加油站，并通过批发及零售网络分销和销售精炼的石油产品。化工分部制造及销售石化产品、衍生石 化产品及其他化工产品予外界客户。本部及其他分部主要包括进出口公司的贸易业务和其他子公司所进 行的研究及开发工作。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月09日 策略周报 杠杆资金和外资流出额增加——2 月第 1 周立体投资策略周报 核心结论：①2 月第 1 周，资金入市合计净流出 499 亿元，前一周流出 1512 亿元。②短期情绪指标处于 05 年以来中高位，长期情绪指标处于 05 年以来 中低位。③从行业角度看，以成交额占比为例，过去一周通信、国防军工、 半导体等热度较高。 2 月第 1 周，资金入市合计净流出 499 亿元，前一周流出 1512 亿元。资金 流入方面，融资余额减少 516 亿元，公募基金发行增加 269 亿元，ETF 净申 购 32 亿元，北上资金估算净流出 82 亿元；资金流出方面，IPO 融资规模 18 亿元，产业资本净减持 67 亿元，交易费用 118 亿元。 短期情绪指标处于 05 年以来中高位。短期情绪指标主要看换手率和融资交 易占比，最近一周换手率（年化）为 497%，当前处在历史上由低到高 83%的 分位；最近一周融资交易占比为 9.21%，当前处在历史上由低到高 63%的分 位。 长期情绪指标处于 05 年以来中低位。长期情绪指标主要看大类资产比价， 一看价格对比，最近一周 A 股风险溢 ...

盘后数据出炉。 沪深300今日主力资金净流入66.71亿元，创业板净流入125.74亿元。 | | | 各板块最近五个交易日主力资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 沪深300 | 创业板 | 科创板 | | 2026-2-9 | 66.71 | 125.74 | -21.49 | | 2026-2-6 | -72.87 | -141.98 | -10.61 | | 2026-2-5 | -141.86 | -198.14 | -0.62 | | 2026-2-4 | -144.23 | -257.76 | -12.22 | | 2026-2-3 | -18.21 | -3.48 | -44.87 | | | | 尾盘资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | 2026-2-9 | 4.77 | 5.70 | -4.57 | | 2026-2-6 | -20.66 | -44.54 | 1.21 | | 2026-2-5 | -12.92 | -17.42 | -2.00 | | 2026-2-4 | 9.36 | 14.02 | -4.14 | | 202 ...

Equity Market Review and Outlook - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.27%, the CSI 300 dropped by 1.33%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 3.28% during the week of February 2-6, 2026, amid significant volatility in global resource futures and earnings disclosures from major US tech companies [1][4] - A-shares experienced increased volatility, with a notable drop of 100 points on Monday, followed by a recovery on Tuesday, and a shift to a fluctuating market for the rest of the week, influenced by upstream resource stocks and internet giants [4][5] - The market's risk appetite was constrained, with an average daily trading volume of 24,032 billion, reflecting a decrease from the previous week [4] - The technology sector is becoming increasingly sensitive to negative news, with potential pressure on tech styles as positive factors may be realized following the Two Sessions after the Spring Festival [5] Fixed Income Market Review and Outlook - The bond market saw a flattening yield curve during the week, with the 1-year government bond yield rising by 1.80 basis points to 1.32%, while the 10-year and 30-year yields fell to 1.81% and 2.25%, respectively [2][6] - The bond market is currently experiencing a strong oscillation, with some risk-averse funds flowing into bonds due to increased stock market volatility before the holiday [6][7] - The People's Bank of China has been actively injecting liquidity, with a net injection of 700 billion yuan through MLF in January, and the bond market is expected to remain stable without significant fluctuations in the short term [7] REITs Market Overview - The CSI REITs total return index fell by 0.91% to 1,042.84 points during the week, with most sectors declining, particularly consumption, data centers, and industrial parks [8] - Four new public REITs made progress in the primary market, indicating ongoing developments in the sector [8] Fund Index Performance Tracking - The monetary enhancement strategy index increased by 0.03% for the week, while the short-term bond fund index rose by 0.04% [11] - The mid-to-long-term bond fund index saw a gain of 0.09%, while the low-volatility fixed income plus fund index decreased by 0.04% [11] - The REITs fund index experienced a significant drop of 1.86%, reflecting the overall market trend [11] Investment Strategy Indices - The active stock fund selection index focuses on 15 funds with equal weight, emphasizing performance competitiveness and style stability [12] - The value stock fund selection index includes deep value and quality value styles, assessing companies based on absolute valuation levels and cash flow efficiency [14] - The growth stock fund selection index aims to capture high-growth opportunities, focusing on companies with significant future potential [17] Industry Theme Indices - The pharmaceutical stock fund selection index is constructed based on the intersection of fund holdings and representative indices, ensuring a minimum purity of 60% [19] - The consumer stock fund selection index targets funds with significant holdings in consumer-related sectors, maintaining a minimum purity of 50% [21] - The technology stock fund selection index is based on funds with substantial investments in technology sectors, also ensuring a minimum purity of 60% [24] Other Fixed Income Indices - The convertible bond fund selection index focuses on funds with a high proportion of convertible bonds, assessing performance and risk management [43] - The QDII bond fund selection index includes overseas bonds, prioritizing funds with stable returns and good risk control [44] - The REITs fund selection index emphasizes funds with stable cash flows from quality infrastructure projects [46]

Group 1 - The article highlights the rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly between the US and Iran, which could lead to significant impacts on global energy and chemical markets [2][4] - Iran's role as a major supplier of energy and chemical products is emphasized, with potential disruptions in supply and transportation through the Strait of Hormuz if conflicts escalate [2][4] - Recent market movements show a cautious sentiment, with significant inflows into oil and chemical futures, indicating investor interest despite geopolitical risks [2][4][6] Group 2 - The article notes that the "Middle East factor" has become a key driver of market capital flows, with oil prices showing a notable increase of approximately 10.89% since January due to geopolitical tensions [4] - Analysts predict that energy and chemical sectors will experience short-term volatility, particularly in response to developments in the US-Iran situation [4][5] - The chemical sector is expected to see a recovery in 2026, with supply pressures easing and valuations at historical lows, making it an attractive investment opportunity [5][8] Group 3 - Institutional investors are increasingly bullish on the domestic chemical sector, driven by expectations of improved supply conditions and the potential for short-term price surges due to geopolitical events [7][8] - Data indicates a significant number of chemical products have seen price increases, with notable gains in liquid chlorine, lithium hydroxide, and other chemicals, reflecting a recovery trend in the basic chemical market [7] - The A-share market has shown resilience in the chemical sector, with substantial inflows into related stocks and indices, indicating strong investor confidence [6][8]

来源：环球网 在春节这一关键的保供"大考"前夕，中国石化销售上海石油分公司（以下简称"上海石油"）的"新春走 基层"活动，深入闵行油库的管线巡检一线与位于市中心的第十加能站，实地探访这座能源央企如何在 传统能源与新能源的双赛道上，保障城市运行的安全底记与绿色转型的活力。 地下"生命线"的守护者：日行万步丈量安全 位于上海西南的闵行油库始建于1968年，是保障上海市西南地区成品油市场供应的重要枢纽。而在油库 之外，全长约110公里的两条输油管道则如同隐秘的"大动脉"，将成品油源源不断地从上海石化输送至 此。 对闵行油库管道技术管理人员邓师傅和他的团队来说，春节并不意味着休息，而是"提级管理"的开 始。"管道埋在地下，地面上每隔约100米设有一个标志桩。我们的工作，就是确保这100多公里管廊不 仅在图纸上清晰，更在现实中无恙。"邓师傅介绍道。 据了解，为了满足日益增长的市场保供需求，设计年输量300万吨的新成品油管道已于2025年底投入试 生产，目前正处于首个迎峰度冬的关键期，巡检压力随之倍增。 "我们有9位专职徒步巡线员，加上车辆巡检作为补充。"邓师傅指着墙上的地图解释说，这支队伍无论 寒暑，每天都要在这条线路 ...

Market Overview - The A-share and stock index futures market are exhibiting distinct "pre-holiday characteristics" as the Spring Festival approaches, aligning with historical patterns of risk aversion and market sentiment contraction [1] - Trading volume has significantly shrunk, with the average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets dropping to around 2.5 trillion yuan in February, down from 3 trillion yuan in January [1] - The market is experiencing a cautious sentiment, with traders preferring short-term speculative trades rather than long-term holdings, reflecting increased uncertainty [1] Trading Behavior - The last week before the holiday is expected to see a continued decline in average daily trading volume due to traders' inclination to secure profits and a lack of willingness for new capital to enter the market [2] - The margin financing scale has also decreased, indicating a decline in risk appetite and cautious trading sentiment ahead of the holiday [2] - The current margin financing balance accounts for only 2.62% of the A-share market's circulating market value, suggesting a healthy market structure [2] Industry Performance - In the first week of February, there was a notable divergence in industry performance, with food and beverage, beauty care, transportation, and banking sectors showing gains, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, electronics, and petrochemicals faced declines [3] - Defensive sectors such as food and beverage and banking are performing better, aligning with the trend of risk-averse capital seeking stable returns [3] - The market sentiment has shifted from previous exuberance to a more rational phase, with long-term investors focusing on valuation and earnings certainty [3] Futures Market Dynamics - The significant divergence in performance among stock index futures is attributed to the varying styles in the spot market, with the price spread between IC and IH narrowing after reaching a historical high [4] - The price spread is expected to continue contracting in February, aligning with the mean reversion logic of stock index futures [4] - Post-holiday, there is a strong likelihood of a "New Year rally," driven by the return of previously withdrawn funds and positive market sentiment [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly between the US and Iran, which could lead to significant impacts on global energy and chemical markets, especially in oil and methanol prices [1][2] - As of February 6, 2023, the oil futures market attracted nearly 3.4 billion yuan in investments, while the chemical futures sector saw over 1.4 billion yuan inflow, indicating a strong interest despite overall cautious market sentiment [1] - The geopolitical risks have led to a noticeable increase in international oil prices by approximately 10.89% and methanol prices by about 1.26% since January 2023, reflecting the market's sensitivity to Middle Eastern developments [2] Group 2 - In the context of the chemical sector, 207 out of 319 tracked products experienced price increases, with significant gains in liquid chlorine (71.43%), lithium hydroxide (44.10%), and acetonitrile (32.86%), indicating a recovery in basic chemical prices [3] - The A-share basic chemical sector showed resilience, with notable gains in fluorine chemicals and chemical fibers, as the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index rose by 2% on February 6, 2023 [3] - Fund managers have shown increased interest in the chemical sector, with a reported active allocation increase of 1.13% in the basic chemical industry, reflecting a growing confidence in the sector's long-term prospects [4]

截至2月9日13：20，石化ETF（159731）涨0.69%，持仓股浙江龙盛、彤程新材、华峰化学涨幅居前。 从资金净流入方面来看，石化ETF（159731）近20个交易日资金净流入总计14.47亿元，最新份额达 17.30亿份，最新规模达17.48亿元，均创成立以来新高。 据国家发展改革委2月5日消息，为保障2026年春耕及全年农业生产用肥需求，国家发展改革委近日发布 通知，从保障化肥生产原料供应，稳定化肥生产；促进化肥顺畅流通；加强化肥储备管理；加强化肥进 出口服务管理；加强化肥市场监管；推进科学施肥等六方面，全面部署做好2026年春耕及全年化肥保供 稳价工作。 光大证券认为确保国家粮食安全始终是头等大事，化肥及农药行业的稳健发展不仅是化工产业的重要组 成部分，更是落实乡村振兴战略、提升农业综合生产能力的核心物质基础。上述政策文件的发布体现了 政府部门对于农业发展的高度重视，将为化肥、农药行业提供长期稳定的发展环境和转型升级的动力。 华福证券认为，随着海内外经济回暖，主要化工品价格与需求均步入修复通道。化工行业龙头企业历经 多年竞争和扩张，具有显著规模优势，且通过研发投入持续夯实成本护城河，核心竞争力显著 ...

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose in early trading on February 9, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.17%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.07%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.11% [1] - The North Stock 50 index rose by 1.42% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached approximately 1,490.98 billion yuan, an increase of about 106.78 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Stock Movement - A total of 4,442 stocks in the market rose, while 903 stocks declined, with 84 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 6 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - Industries such as CPO, AI corpus, short dramas, film and television, cultural media, and communications saw significant gains [1] - Conversely, sectors including sugar substitutes/sweeteners, dairy products, iron ore, energy metals, and petroleum and petrochemicals experienced notable declines [1]