Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent tensions in the Middle East have caused short-term impacts on A-shares, but these are expected to be temporary and limited in substance [1] - A-shares are anticipated to return to a narrow range of fluctuations after the short-term adjustment, with a gradual upward trend expected as trade conflict concerns ease [1][2] - The market is entering a policy window period in late June, with expectations for new policies aimed at stabilizing employment and promoting high-quality development [2] Group 2 - In June, the market is likely to experience event-driven thematic trends, with a focus on low-position sectors such as consumption, pharmaceuticals, and technology growth [3] - The promotion of consumption and expansion of domestic demand is a key task for 2025, with expectations for policy support in sectors like dairy products, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics [3] - The trend of domestic robotization is expected to continue, with opportunities arising in related sectors such as sensors and controllers [3] - The semiconductor industry is moving towards domestic production, with attention on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, and IC design [3] - The military industry is expected to see a rebound in orders by 2025, with signs of recovery in various military sub-sectors [3] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is anticipated to reach a turning point in fundamentals by 2025, following a period of adjustment [3] - The AI sector is expected to see new catalysts, particularly with updates from MiniMax, which may lead to renewed interest in AI-related investments [3] Group 3 - The market showed a preference for safe-haven assets, with energy-related sectors rising amidst the tensions in the Middle East [4] - Popular sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals and banking experienced adjustments, while oil and petrochemical sectors saw gains due to increased risk aversion [4] - Overall market performance was characterized by more declines than gains, with only the oil and petrochemical sector rising [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is the largest oil and gas producer in China, playing a crucial role in stabilizing energy supply for the economy and ensuring the operation of industrial production and infrastructure [4]. - The company is actively pursuing a "reduce oil and increase specialty products" strategy through refinery upgrades and extending the natural gas industry chain [5]. - The company has made significant advancements in unconventional oil and gas development, energy supply security, and refining upgrades, as demonstrated by its recent roadshow and facility tours [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Energy Supply and Development - The company operates the Hutu Bi gas storage facility, which is the first large-scale underground gas storage facility in China with a capacity exceeding 10 billion cubic meters, ensuring stable gas supply for residents and emergency situations [4][17]. - The Xinjiang oilfield has a long history and has achieved breakthroughs in shale oil development, with a projected production of 20 million tons of crude oil by 2025 [6][8]. Refining and Chemical Production - The company has established four major bases for heavy oil processing, high-grade lubricating oil production, high-grade road asphalt production, and low-temperature diesel production [5]. - The Dushanzi Petrochemical Company is advancing its ethylene production capacity, with a 600,000 tons/year ethylene cracking unit already operational and a 1.2 million tons/year unit expected to be completed by 2026 [5][38]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 167.4 billion, 170.9 billion, and 174 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with diluted EPS of 0.91, 0.93, and 0.95 yuan [5][42].

投资策略 +-[Table_MainInfo]科创板改革获推进，市场延续窄幅震荡 ――A 股市场投资策略周报 | 分析师： 严佩佩 | | SAC NO： | S1150520110001 2025 年 6 月 19 日 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Analysis] 证券分析师 | [Table_Summary] 投资要点： | | | | | | | 严佩佩 |  | 市场回顾，近 | 个交易日（6 月 日-6 月 日），重要指数纷纷收跌； 13 19 | | | 5 | | 022-23839070 | | 其中，上证综指收跌 | 1.19%，创业板指收跌 1.95%；风格层面，沪深 | 300 | | | | SAC NO:S1150520110001 | 收跌 | 1.26%，中证 | 收跌 2.12%。成交量方面小幅缩量，两市统计区 | | 500 | | | yanpp@bhzq.com | 间内成交 | 6.33 | 万亿元，日均成交额达到 万亿元，较前五个交易日 1.27 | | | | | | ...

Market Overview - On June 19, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3362.11 points, down 0.79%, with a trading volume of 473.26 billion yuan [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10051.97 points, down 1.21%, with a trading volume of 777.38 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index closed at 2026.82 points, down 1.36%, with a trading volume of 386.86 billion yuan [1] - The total trading volume of both markets was 1,250.64 billion yuan, an increase of 59.55 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The oil and petrochemical, and media sectors showed strength, with companies like Shandong Molong and Zhun Oil Co. achieving five consecutive trading limit increases [2] - Most sectors experienced declines, particularly textiles, beauty care, light manufacturing, non-ferrous metals, pharmaceuticals, retail, real estate, education, securities, etc. [3] - The energy sector, including oil and gas, was among the few that saw gains [3] Stock Performance - A total of 690 stocks rose while 4405 stocks fell, with 39 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 23 stocks hitting the limit down [3] - Among the limit-up stocks, Zhongjing Electronics had the highest closing limit-up order volume at 39.53 million shares [4] - Five stocks had limit-up order amounts exceeding 100 million yuan, with Zhongjing Electronics leading at 392 million yuan [4] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 39.39 billion yuan [5] - The media sector saw the highest net inflow of main funds at 245 million yuan, followed by steel and coal sectors [6] - The electronics sector experienced the largest net outflow of main funds at 546.6 million yuan [6] Individual Stock Highlights - A total of 1924 stocks saw net inflows, with 26 stocks receiving over 100 million yuan in net inflows, led by Innovation Medical with 514 million yuan [7] - Conversely, 3212 stocks experienced net outflows, with 84 stocks seeing over 100 million yuan in net outflows, with Dongfang Caifu leading at 978 million yuan [10] - Institutional investors net bought 24.41 million yuan worth of stocks, with Kexin Co. being the most purchased stock at 75.16 million yuan [11]

ETF Industry News Summary Core Insights - The three major indices experienced fluctuations and declines, while several oil and gas-related ETFs saw gains, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards energy sectors amidst geopolitical uncertainties [1][4]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.79% to 3362.11 points, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.21% to 10051.97 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.36% to 2026.82 points [4]. - The oil and gas sector outperformed, with the Oil and Gas Resources ETF (563150.SH) rising by 1.24%, and the Oil and Gas Resources ETF (159309.SZ) increasing by 0.99% [1][13]. - Conversely, the gold sector faced declines, with the Gold Stocks ETF (517520.SH) down by 2.35% [1]. ETF Market Developments - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange held a meeting focused on the high-quality development of the bond ETF market, discussing improvements in institutional mechanisms and product systems [2]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced that starting from October 9, 2025, qualified foreign investors will be allowed to participate in on-exchange ETF options trading, aimed at enhancing the investment landscape for foreign institutions [3]. ETF Category Performance - Among various ETF categories, bond ETFs showed the best performance with an average increase of 0.02%, while cross-border ETFs had the worst performance with an average decline of 1.80% [10]. - The top-performing ETFs included the Oil and Gas Resources ETFs and the Semiconductor ETF, with respective gains of 1.24%, 0.99%, and 0.93% [13][14]. Trading Volume Insights - The top three ETFs by trading volume were the A500 ETF (159351.SZ) with a volume of 2.964 billion, the A500 ETF Fund (512050.SH) at 2.734 billion, and the CSI 300 ETF (510300.SH) at 2.331 billion [17][18].

石油石化行业今日上涨0.86%，全天主力资金净流入1.33亿元，该行业所属的个股共48只，今日上涨的 有33只，涨停的有4只；下跌的有13只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有23只， 其中，净流入资金超3000万元的有6只，净流入资金居首的是中国石油，今日净流入资金1.78亿元，紧 随其后的是中国石化、蓝焰控股，净流入资金分别为9116.78万元、8492.54万元。石油石化行业资金净 流出个股中，资金净流出超千万元的有12只，净流出资金居前的有贝肯能源、广汇能源、准油股份，净 流出资金分别为1.75亿元、7129.03万元、6580.71万元。（数据宝） 石油石化行业资金流向排名 沪指6月19日下跌0.79%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有1个，涨幅居前的行业为石油石化，涨幅分别 为0.86%。石油石化行业位居今日涨幅榜首位。跌幅居前的行业为纺织服饰、美容护理，跌幅分别为 2.36%、2.28%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出516.60亿元，主力资金净流入的行业仅有3个，传媒行业净流入 资金1.82亿元；石油石化行业净流入资金1.33亿元；家用电器行业净流入资金295.15万元。 主力 ...

6月19日，沪指下跌0.79%，深成指下跌1.21%，创业板指下跌1.36%，沪深300指数下跌0.82%。可交易 A股中，上涨的有716只，占比13.25%，下跌的4646只。 | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | 行业 | 日涨跌幅（%） | 资金流向（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 传媒 | -0.48 | 1.82 | 食品饮料 | -0.70 | -9.63 | | 石油石化 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 商贸零售 | -1.82 | -11.25 | | 家用电器 | -0.98 | 0.03 | 交通运输 | -1.35 | -13.70 | | 综合 | -1.43 | -0.03 | 公用事业 | -0.97 | -20.16 | | 钢铁 | -1.30 | -0.95 | 汽车 | -1.47 | -21.05 | | 建筑材料 | -1.18 | -1.10 | 电力设备 | -1.45 | -23.52 | | 环保 | -1.69 | -3.75 | 通信 | -0.83 | -24.30 | | 银行 ...

上周跟大家分析过，这一轮A股站上3400，主要受三大预期提振：领导人通话、经贸磋商机制首次会谈以及本周的陆家嘴论坛，A股的尿性大家应该清楚-买 预期、卖兑现，短期内这三大预期都落地了，资金必然会兑现，看证券走势就知道了，上周持续走强，这周论坛一开就暴跌。还有一个指标很重要，那就是 ah溢价，上周提示大家这个指标创出阶段性新低，除非是牛市来了否则都意味着要回调，本周恒生指数连续三天大跌。 这周我又开始提示高位题材票风险，昨天我说题材股要崩，很多人不以为意，今天核电、创新药、新消费热门题材暴跌，超过4600家下跌，20家跌停，亏钱 效应拉满。熟悉我的人应该知道，只要我开始提示微盘股风险，后面基本都会跌，这一次有月底结账、季度末机构调仓、7月份量化新规、中报窗口期等诸 多压制，肯定要伤筋动骨的。 再来看今天的重磅消息： 北京时间周四（6月19日）凌晨，美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至4.50%之间不变，这是该行连续第四次决定维持利率不变。 备受关注的利率预测"点阵图"显示，19位政策制定者对2024年末利率预期的中位数落在3.75%至4.00%之间，即到年底会在当前的基础上累计降息50个基 点，与 ...

【博时市场点评6月19日】风险偏好收敛，沪深两市调整 6月19日，A股三大指数下跌。截至收盘，上证指数报3362.11点，下跌0.79%；深证成指报10051.97点， 下跌1.21%；创业板指报2026.82点，下跌1.36%；科创100报1022.12点，下跌0.46%。申万一级行业中， 仅石油石化上涨，涨幅为0.86%；纺织服饰、美容护理、轻工制造跌幅靠前，分别下跌2.36%、2.28%、 1.96%。699只个股上涨，4471只个股下跌。 简评：通过深化科创板改革"1+6"政策措施，重启未盈利企业适用科创板第五套标准上市，未盈利的优 质企业可在成长层渡过研发高风险期，盈利达标后转至科创板主层或主板，从而对科创企业形成全生命 周期的资本市场多层次支持链条，有助于提振科创企业发展信心，避免优质企业因盈利门槛外流，促进 资本市场各板块良性互动。 美联储公布6月利率决议，将基准利率维持在4.25%-4.50%不变，连续第四次会议按兵不动，符合市场预 期。美联储表示，对前景的不确定性已减弱，但仍然处于较高水平。美联储将2025年GDP预估下调至 1.4%，同时将通胀预期上调至3%。另外，美联储点阵图显示，202 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - During the week from June 9 to June 14, 2025, the A - share market continued to fluctuate, with major stock indices generally pulling back. The convertible bond market showed differentiation, with the average daily trading volume rising to 69.61 billion yuan. The market style gradually shifted from theme preference to defensive low - valuation. It is recommended to balance the layout of low - valuation pro - cyclical directions and high - rating large - cap convertible bonds and pay attention to phased opportunities in structural rotation [2][6]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Theme Weekly Review Equity Theme Weekly Review - The A - share market continued the theme rotation. Resource and pharmaceutical sectors were active. The rare earth permanent magnet index led the rise with a 12.5% increase. The pharmaceutical sector also performed well. However, the technology track was under pressure, with many technology - related indices falling by more than 2%. The short - term capital style switched from technology themes to resource and pharmaceutical sectors [14]. Convertible Bond Weekly Review - The convertible bond market was slightly under pressure, with trading activity continuing to pick up. The ChinaBond Convertible Bond Index fell slightly by 0.02%. Large - cap convertible bonds were more stable. The valuation of low - price convertible bonds was repaired, while that of high - price areas was under pressure. In the primary market, 6 listed companies updated their convertible bond issuance plans, and clause games were active. It is recommended to focus on medium - and low - price individual bonds with underlying stock catalysts and valuation repair space, and also consider high - rating large - cap convertible bonds [17][18]. Weekly Market Tracking Capital Shifts to Pro - cyclical, Structural Market Continues and Trading Heat Differs - Major A - share stock indices pulled back. The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index fell by 0.7%, 1.2%, and 0.8% respectively. The market turnover increased, but the main funds had a net outflow of 1.77 billion yuan per day on average. Pro - cyclical sectors such as non - ferrous metals and petroleum and petrochemicals led the rise, while TMT and consumer sectors pulled back. It is recommended to pay attention to the rotation and repair opportunities of low - valuation sectors and beware of the valuation pull - back risk of high - level sectors [10]. Convertible Bond Market Narrowly Pulls Back, Defensive Sectors Strengthen - The convertible bond market was in shock consolidation. The average daily trading volume rose to 69.61 billion yuan. Capital preferred large - cap high - rating targets. In terms of valuation, low - price convertible bonds were repaired, and high - price areas were under pressure. In the industry, defensive sectors such as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and non - ferrous metals performed strongly. It is recommended to focus on medium - and low - price individual bonds supported by fundamentals [10]. Primary Market Tracking and Clause Games - In the primary market of convertible bonds, there was no new bond listing, only Luwei Convertible Bond entered the application stage. Six listed companies updated their convertible bond plans. In terms of clause games, 12 convertible bonds were expected to trigger downward revisions, 7 announced no downward revisions, and 1 proposed a downward revision. In terms of redemptions, 3 announced expected trigger of strong redemptions, 2 announced early redemptions, and 3 clearly stated no redemptions [10]. Weekly Market Outlook - The A - share market may continue to fluctuate in the short term. Pro - cyclical directions may have relatively advantageous opportunities, and TMT and consumer sectors may attract low - buying funds after the pull - back. For convertible bonds, the activity is stable at a high level, and the market preference shifts to large - cap high - rating targets and theme - game resonance varieties. It is recommended to balance the layout of medium - and high - price convertible bonds with reasonable valuations and medium - and low - price individual bonds with safety margins and elasticity repair space [19]. Convertible Bond Allocation Suggestions - Prioritize the layout of large - cap high - rating convertible bonds with high valuation safety margins and stable coupon structures. Moderately participate in the game opportunities of medium - and low - price, high - elasticity individual bonds, especially those in the consumer and pro - cyclical directions. Control positions, select varieties with short remaining terms and high trading activity to improve liquidity [8].