值得注意的是，中国央行连续13个月增持黄金储备，国家外汇管理局最新统计显示，截至11月末，我国 黄金储备达到7412万盎司，较上月增加3万盎司。这种稳定的增持模式体现出央行对黄金资产的长期配 置策略。 国泰海通证券指出，2025年11月以来，国内大类资产中黄金表现亮眼，SHFE黄金涨幅达3.15%。尽管经 济整体处于弱复苏态势，通胀与核心需求偏弱，但PPI跌幅收窄显示大宗商品价格企稳，叠加央行维持 流动性合理充裕，资金面平稳，对黄金形成支撑。当前增长、通胀、利率等因子暴露偏离值均处于中性 或偏低水平，有利于黄金等抗通胀及避险资产配置。 截至2025年12月12日 09:37，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)强势上涨1.84%，成分股晓程科技 (300139)上涨6.43%，中国黄金国际(02099)上涨3.00%，山东黄金(01787)上涨2.55%，紫金矿业(02899)， 中金黄金(600489)等个股跟涨。 周四(12月11日)，随着美联储连续第三次降息25个基点，黄金价格强势反弹，现货黄金上涨1.2%，触及 每盎司4285.75美元的逾一个月高点。这一轮贵金属行情的爆发，不仅源于美元走软和通 ...

短期看，美联储打开降息通道，驱动黄金的估值中枢上移；长期看，在地缘政治风险、逆全球化趋势和美元信用体系弱化 的背景下，强化了黄金的配置价值。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 A | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159322 | 黄金股票ETF基金 | 1.610 | 0.039 | 2.48% | | 159321 | 黄金股票ETF | 1.516 | 0.032 | 2.16% | | 159315 | 黄金股ETF基金 | 1.625 | 0.034 | 2.14% | | 159562 | 黄金股ETF | 2.160 | 0.044 | 2.08% | | 517520 | 黄金股ETF | 1.981 | 0.040 | 2.06% | | 517400 | 黄金股票ETF | 1.562 | 0.029 | 1.89% | 消息面上，美国联邦储备委员会12月10日宣布，将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点到3.5%至3.75%之间。这是美联储继 9月17日、10月29日降息后年内的第三次降息，幅度均为25个基点。 黄金概念股走强，山东黄 ...

09:34 摩尔线程跌超15% 摩尔线程早盘大幅走低，盘中跌超15%，股价回落至800元下方。 09:33零售板块短线走低，东百集团、永辉超市跌停，中百集团、三江购物、美凯龙、广百股份、国光 连锁等跟跌。 09:32北证50指数跌幅扩大至1%，现报1427.92点。 09:25港股黄金股走强，紫金矿业涨超3%，灵宝黄金涨3.23%，中国白银集团涨2.90%。 09:25 A股开盘丨三大指数涨跌不一 2025.12.12 本文字数：561，阅读时长大约1分钟 作者 |一财阿驴 09:22 港股开盘丨恒生指数高开0.9% 恒生指数高开0.9%，恒生科技指数涨1.02%。紫金矿业、京东健康涨逾3%，蔚来涨逾2%。 | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | mi | 56.56 | 1.02% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | મટા | 恒生指数 | ma | 230.90 | 0.90% | PS：家人们！ 沪指低开0.10%，深成指高开0.21%，创业板指高开0.29%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | ...

Core Viewpoint - The investment momentum in the non-ferrous metals sector remains strong, with significant inflows into the non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876), indicating positive market sentiment towards this sector's future performance [1][8]. Fund Inflows - As of December 11, the non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876) has attracted a total of 140 million yuan in the last four days and 371 million yuan over the past 20 days, reflecting a robust interest from investors [1][8]. - The latest scale of the non-ferrous metal leader ETF is 835 million yuan, making it the largest ETF tracking the same index in the market [1][8]. Sector Analysis Gold - Goldman Sachs has indicated that there may still be upward potential for gold prices next year, predicting a target price of $4,900 by the end of 2026. A 1 basis point increase in gold's portfolio allocation could raise its price by approximately 1.4% [3][10]. Aluminum - Short-term forecasts suggest that aluminum prices may continue to show strong fluctuations. The domestic production capacity is constrained by a "ceiling" of 45 million tons, limiting new capacity additions. Demand remains resilient, leading to expectations of stable or rising prices in the aluminum sector [3][10]. Copper - Supply shortages and tariff concerns are likely to continue driving copper prices higher. The supply-demand imbalance in the copper mining and smelting sectors may ease, with expectations for smelting fees to stabilize, supporting a positive outlook for copper prices [3][10]. Lithium - The lithium battery production forecast for December shows a production of 143.3 GWh, a month-on-month increase of 2.3%. The overall sentiment in the lithium sector remains positive, with expectations for rising prices due to increased production capacity utilization [4][11]. Investment Strategy - Given the varying degrees of market conditions and drivers across different non-ferrous metals, a diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876) and its associated funds (A class: 017140, C class: 017141) is recommended. This strategy allows for risk diversification while capturing the overall sector's performance [5][11].

长期看，货币超发及财政赤字货币化背景下，美元信用体系受到挑战；加上全球地缘动荡频发推动资产 储备多元化，黄金作为安全资产的需求持续提升。全球"去美元化"的趋势使得黄金有望成为新一轮定价 锚，使得贵金属有望具备上行动能。后续可持续关注全球宏观经济走势及全球央行购金情况。关注直接 投资实物黄金，免征增值税的黄金基金ETF（518800），覆盖黄金全产业链股票的黄金股票ETF （517400）。 相关机构表示，美联储降息如期落地。当地时间12月10日，美联储宣布降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率 目标区间下调至3.50%-3.75%，这是继9月17日，10月29日之后的年内第三次降息，幅度均为25个基点。 本次降息落地前市场已经有充分预期，关注点更多在于美联储对后续降息路径的态度。点阵图中位数维 持了2026年仅有1次降息的预测，鲍威尔也表示当前利率处于"有利位置"，表明后续降息门槛可能提 高。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测 ...

一边是连续增持的坚定布局，一边是财政需要的现实考量。 12月初，中国央行发布最新数据显示，11月末黄金储备报7412万盎司（约2305.39吨），环比增加3万盎司（约0.93吨），增持量与上月持平，连续第13个 月增持黄金。而另一边，俄罗斯央行确认，开始出售储备的实物黄金，以弥补国家预算所需资金。 一买一卖的鲜明对比，让不少投资者心生疑惑：两大央行为何做出相反选择？这种分歧会改变黄金的牛市格局吗？2026年金价将走向何方？ 中俄央行操作，逻辑完全不同 中国央行连续增持，本质是长期战略布局，优化官方储备资产，降低对美元的过度依赖，增强整体资产的安全性和对抗风险能力。在全球地缘政治不确定 性加剧、美元信用体系受挑战的背景下，黄金作为终极避险资产，能为人民币提供坚实的价值支撑。 2025年11月，柬埔寨国家银行已决定将新购买的金条运往中国，寄存在深圳保税区内的上海黄金交易所注册金库。 俄罗斯会展基金会认为，中国有成为新的原材料大宗商品贸易中心的长期战略，目前已经在铁矿石、煤炭、铜和石油贸易上有所展现。在黄金、白银等贵 金属领域，中国只是在执行这一战略。增持黄金，也间接在为主要原材料大宗贸易人民币化提供支持。 俄罗斯 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.1% at 3869.41 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.21% to 13174.45 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.29% to 3172.73 points [1] Sector Performance - The sectors that weakened included Moer Thread, e-commerce, GPU, CPO, 6G, and cross-strait integration concept stocks. In contrast, the non-ferrous metals industry saw a general increase, with lithium and gold leading the gains [1] Stock Movement - According to Wind statistics, there were 2156 stocks that rose, 2378 stocks that fell, and 919 stocks that remained flat across the two markets and the Beijing Stock Exchange [2] Monetary Policy - The central bank conducted a 120.5 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.4%. On the same day, 139.8 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 19.3 billion yuan [2] Margin Trading - The margin trading balance in the two markets decreased by 6.394 billion yuan, totaling 248.2437 billion yuan [2] Currency Exchange - The central parity rate of the RMB against the USD was reported at 7.0638, an increase of 48 basis points [3]

| 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | VV | 3869.41 | -3.90 | -0.10% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | M | 13174.45 | 27.06 | 0.21% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | | 3172.73 | 9.06 | 0.29% | 盘面上，电商、GPU、CPO、6G、两岸融合概念股走弱；有色金属行业普涨，锂矿、黄金涨幅居前。 盘面上，电商、GPU、CPO、6G、两岸融合概念股走弱；有色金属行业普涨，锂矿、黄金涨幅居前。 09:25 A股开盘丨三大指数涨跌不一 沪指低开0.10%，深成指高开0.21%，创业板指高开0.29%。 | HSTECH 恒生科技 | | 1 | 5591.15c | 56.56 | 1.02% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Hટા | 恒生指数 | WN | 25761.41 c | 230.90 | 0.90% | 09:21 央行开 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on December 12, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 230.9 points, an increase of 0.9% to 25,761.41 points [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 56.56 points, up 1.02% to 5,591.15 points [1] - The National Enterprises Index rose by 78.78 points, a gain of 0.88% to 9,013.06 points [1] - The Red Chip Index climbed by 17.19 points, up 0.42% to 4,119.82 points [1] - Technology stocks saw broad gains, with companies like NetEase, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Lenovo, Tencent, and Kuaishou rising over 1% [1] - Gold stocks also performed well, with China National Gold International increasing by over 4% [1] - Power equipment stocks opened higher, with Dongfang Electric rising by over 2% [1] - New consumption concept stocks were active, with Hu Shang Ayi increasing by over 1% [1] - The lithium battery sector opened higher, with CATL rising nearly 3%, and Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium both increasing by over 2% [1] Company News - Hong Kong Technology Exploration (01137.HK) reported a total merchandise transaction value of HKD 636 million in November, a year-on-year decline of 7.4% [2] - BOE Technology Group (00710.HK) signed a total product processing agreement with BOE in Vietnam [3] - China Merchants Securities (06099.HK) was approved to issue company bonds not exceeding RMB 40 billion [4] - China Galaxy (06881.HK) completed the issuance of short-term company bonds amounting to RMB 4 billion [5] - Cloudwalk Technology (02670.HK) plans to establish a joint venture focusing on innovative robotic solutions [6] - Innovent Biologics (09969) received approval for the use of Selpercatinib in treating adult and adolescent patients with NTRK fusion gene solid tumors in China [7] - Peijia Medical-B (09996) received approval from the National Medical Products Administration for the registration application of the TaurusTrio transcatheter aortic valve system [8] - China Antibody-B (03681) had its new drug research application accepted by the National Medical Products Administration [9] - Hengyi Holdings (01894.HK) plans to undergo capital restructuring and fundraising activities [10] Institutional Insights - GF Securities noted that the Hong Kong stock market is more sensitive to external risks, with uncertainties regarding the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts and a peak in lock-up stock releases in December, which may lead to liquidity shocks [11] - Dongwu Securities believes that the Hong Kong stock market is still in a left-side phase, and a rebound will require more time [11] - Ping An Securities highlighted the growing importance of the ice and snow economy, which encompasses ice and snow sports, tourism, equipment, and culture, as a new economic growth point [11] - The ice and snow industry is experiencing rapid growth, and companies like Anta Sports, Bosideng, and Sanfu Outdoor are recommended for investment due to their improving margins and stable dividend yields [11] Industry Trends - Western Securities reported that since the end of 2024, the bidding prices for wind turbine manufacturers have shown a continuous upward trend due to self-discipline among manufacturers and changes in bidding rules [12] - The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines in January-October 2025 was RMB 1,618 per kW, a year-on-year increase of 6.86% [12] - The average bidding price for onshore wind turbines (including towers) was RMB 2,096 per kW, a year-on-year increase of 9.78% [12] - The demand for wind turbines in overseas markets is strong, with companies like Goldwind and Envision Energy seeing significant increases in overseas order volumes [12]

消息面上，根据美劳工部周四公布的数据，在截至12月6日的一周内，初请失业金人数增加了4.4万人， 达到23.6万人，高于市场预期的22万人，这是自2020年3月以来的最大增幅。而在此前一周，该数字曾 创下三年多来的最低水平。 12月11日，美联储降息落地，金价冲高回落，受鲍威尔鸽派言论及就业市场低迷双重催化，纽约金价尾 盘再度拉升，重新站上4300美元关口，创近一个月新高。截至收盘，COMEX黄金期货涨2.00%报 4309.30美元/盎司；截至亚市收盘，黄金ETF华夏(518850)涨0.17%，黄金股ETF(159562)涨跌持平。 中金研究分析称，展望未来，鉴于经济与就业数据仍面临下行压力，预计美联储或将在2026年继续降 息；但考虑到通胀粘性犹存，降息节奏趋于放缓。2026年1月可能按兵不动，下一次降息或在2026年3 月。 ...