r and and and the start ■ 证券研究报告 宏观专题报告 / 2025.12.28 核心观点 ❖ 库存视角来看: 请阅读最后一页的重要声明! 张伟 分析师 SAC 证书编号：S0160525060002 liants@ctsec.com 工业企业利润增速为何回落: 11 月 , 工业经营量价同降、利润率增速回落, � 工业利润增速的"恶化"，除了利润率的掣肘，与基数也有较大关系，这一点 延续了 10 月的态势。 分结构来看: � � 上游采矿业"增利+增收+大幅增率",与上个月相比利润出现大幅提升,营收 增速也由负转正。非金属矿采选营是核心支撑,可能受到 11 月《关于增强消 费品供需适配性进一步促进消费的实施方案》的拉动。 ❖ 上游原材料工业"增收+增利+不增率",利润率最差。企业处于"控产维利" 阶段,其背后可能是由于 11 月生产经济指标疲弱、旺季需求恢复有限和多地 环保限产等多因素综合影响的结果。 中游中间品制造业掣肘于 PPI，呈现"不增利+不增收+小幅增率"。"原材料 � -产成品"价格剪刀差不断拉大，依旧压制了中游环节的利润空间。装备制造 业仍然受益于企业的出海和产业链的重 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of high-level construction of manufacturing pilot platforms to accelerate the transformation and application of major scientific and technological achievements in China. Group 1: Manufacturing Pilot Platforms - The Chengdu High-tech Zone's pilot base has successfully assisted over 300 products in reaching mass production by providing a full-chain service for product finalization, process optimization, and reliability verification [3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) aims to establish a modern pilot platform system by the end of 2027, with a focus on multi-entity participation and multi-level service networks [3][4] - Currently, over 2,400 pilot platforms have been established in China, with 241 selected as key cultivation platforms by MIIT, which have undertaken 25,000 pilot service projects [5] Group 2: Importance of Pilot Testing - Pilot testing is identified as a critical link connecting the innovation chain, technology chain, and industrial chain, with an 80% success rate for industrialization when pilot testing is conducted, compared to only 30% without it [4] - The MIIT has released guidelines to address key issues in pilot platform construction, focusing on strategic positioning, basic capabilities, and future potential [6] Group 3: Development Strategies - The MIIT's strategy includes strengthening, activating, and supplementing pilot platforms to enhance their development and competitiveness, with a focus on key industries such as artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and biomedicine [6][7] - To avoid redundant construction and competition, the guidelines emphasize the need for complementary functions, resource sharing, and business promotion based on actual industrial development conditions [7]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment and enhancement of manufacturing pilot testing platforms are crucial for accelerating the transformation and application of major scientific and technological achievements in China, with a focus on improving the success rate of industrialization through systematic support and development strategies [1][2][3]. Group 1: Manufacturing Pilot Testing Platforms - The Chengdu High-tech Zone's pilot testing base has successfully assisted over 300 products in reaching mass production by providing comprehensive services for product finalization, process optimization, and reliability verification [1]. - As of now, more than 2,400 pilot testing platforms have been established in China, with 241 selected as key cultivation platforms by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), which have undertaken 25,000 pilot service projects [2]. - The success rate of industrialization for technologies that undergo pilot testing is 80%, compared to only 30% for those that do not [1]. Group 2: Guidelines for High-level Construction - The MIIT has released guidelines addressing key issues in the construction of pilot testing platforms, focusing on what to build, who will build it, and how to build it [3]. - The guidelines emphasize a systematic approach to strengthen, activate, and supplement pilot testing platforms, targeting strategic positioning, foundational capabilities, and future potential [3]. - Specific sectors and industries have been identified for the development of pilot testing platforms, including raw materials, equipment manufacturing, consumer goods, information technology, and emerging industries [3]. Group 3: Avoiding Redundant Construction - To prevent redundant construction and "involution" competition, the guidelines advocate for a resource-based approach that considers local conditions and industry foundations, promoting complementary functions and shared resources among pilot testing platforms [4].

在装备制造业方面，赛迪研究院产业政策研究所研究室主任尹训飞介绍，我国装备制造业发展态势良 好，有力支撑了工业稳增长大局。展望2026年，我国装备制造业将展现出从"规模扩张"向"质效提升"转 变的强劲势头，新质生产力将加速成长，但同时也面临非理性竞争、企业账款压力与国际贸易环境趋紧 等问题。建议通过规范市场秩序、缓解资金压力、深化出海服务、加强技术攻关与推广应用等系统举 措，不断巩固装备制造业在工业经济中的"压舱石"作用。 赛迪研究院消费品工业研究所研究室副主任于娟表示，2025年以来，我国消费品工业呈现稳健恢复态 势，轻工、食品、医药、纺织等细分领域协同发力，生产持续回升、营收实现小幅增长，内需市场平稳 恢复，出口总体平稳。展望2026年，随着增强消费品供需适配性等政策措施落地实施，消费品工业有望 延续稳健增长态势。但同时，国际贸易政策调整带来的不确定性增多，国内有效需求不足问题尚未根本 缓解，企业仍面临成本、市场与转型等多重压力，建议多措并举稳出口，推动供需精准衔接以巩固消费 回升基础。 从电子信息制造业来看，赛迪研究院电子信息研究所研究室主任马蓓蓓表示，2025年，我国电子信息制 造业总体保持稳定快速增长 ...

Core Insights - In November 2025, Shenzhen's Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 1.3% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month, while the Industrial Producer Purchase Price decreased by 0.3% year-on-year and increased by 0.5% month-on-month [1] Group 1: Producer Price Index (PPI) Analysis - The average PPI from January to November showed a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [1] - The prices of production materials remained stable, with a notable decline in the mining industry by 6.5% and a slight decrease in raw materials by 0.4%, while processing industry prices increased by 0.1% [1] - Consumer goods prices rose by 3.8%, with durable goods prices decreasing by 2.1%, clothing prices down by 1.8%, food prices up by 1.3%, and general daily goods prices soaring by 25.9% [1] Group 2: Purchase Price Index Analysis - In the purchase price index, fuel and power prices fell by 6.7%, building materials and non-metallic prices decreased by 5.8%, and agricultural products prices dropped by 4.0% [1] - Other industrial raw materials and semi-finished products saw a decline of 3.4% [1] - Month-on-month, the purchase prices for textiles decreased by 0.5%, black metal materials fell by 0.4%, while other industrial raw materials and semi-finished products increased by 0.1%, and agricultural products rose by 0.2% [2]

央视网消息：据国家统计局消息，2025年11月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.2%，工业 生产者购进价格同比下降2.5%；工业生产者出厂价格和购进价格环比均上涨0.1%，涨幅均与上月相 同。1—11月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比上年同期下降2.7%，工业生产者购进价格下降3.1%。 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格上涨0.1%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平上涨约0.08 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格上涨1.7%，原材料工业价格下降0.2%，加工工业价格上涨0.1%。生活 资料价格持平。其中，食品价格下降0.1%，衣着价格上涨0.1%，一般日用品价格上涨0.2%，耐用消费 品价格下降0.2%。 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降2.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约1.79 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降6.1%，原材料工业价格下降2.9%，加工工业价格下降1.9%。生活 资料价格下降1.5%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.38个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.5%， 衣着价格下降0.3%，一般日用品价格上涨1.1%，耐用消费品价格下降 ...

2025年11月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.2%，工业生产者购进价格同比下降2.5%；工业生产者出厂价格和购进价格环比均上涨0.1%，涨幅均与 上月相同。1—11月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比上年同期下降2.7%，工业生产者购进价格下降3.1%。 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降2.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约1.79个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降6.1%，原材料工 业价格下降2.9%，加工工业价格下降1.9%。生活资料价格下降1.5%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.38个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.5%，衣 着价格下降0.3%，一般日用品价格上涨1.1%，耐用消费品价格下降3.6%。 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降6.9%，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降5.8%，化工原料类价格下降5.0%，农副产品类价格下降4.9%，黑色金属 材料类价格下降3.0%，纺织原料类价格下降1.9%；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨8.1%。 二、工业生产者价格环比变动情况 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格上涨0.1%，影响工业生产者出 ...

2025年11月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.2%，工业生产者购进价格同比下降2.5%；工业生 产者出厂价格和购进价格环比均上涨0.1%，涨幅均与上月相同。1—11月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比 上年同期下降2.7%，工业生产者购进价格下降3.1%。 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降2.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约1.79 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降6.1%，原材料工业价格下降2.9%，加工工业价格下降1.9%。生活 资料价格下降1.5%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.38个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.5%， 衣着价格下降0.3%，一般日用品价格上涨1.1%，耐用消费品价格下降3.6%。 工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降6.9%，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降5.8%，化工原料类 价格下降5.0%，农副产品类价格下降4.9%，黑色金属材料类价格下降3.0%，纺织原料类价格下降 1.9%；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨8.1%。 二、工业生产者价格环比变动情况 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格上涨0.1%，影响工业生 ...

一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降2.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约1.79 个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降6.1%，原材料工业价格下降2.9%，加工工业价格下降1.9%。生活 资料价格下降1.5%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.38个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.5%， 衣着价格下降0.3%，一般日用品价格上涨1.1%，耐用消费品价格下降3.6%。 2025年11月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.2%，工业生产者购进价格同比下降2.5%；工业生 产者出厂价格和购进价格环比均上涨0.1%，涨幅均与上月相同。1—11月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比 上年同期下降2.7%，工业生产者购进价格下降3.1%。 工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降6.9%，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降5.8%，化工原料类 价格下降5.0%，农副产品类价格下降4.9%，黑色金属材料类价格下降3.0%，纺织原料类价格下降 1.9%；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨8.1%。 二、工业生产者价格环比变动情况 11月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格上涨0.1%，影响工业生 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China has issued a notice to accelerate the systematic layout and high-level construction of pilot testing platforms in the manufacturing sector, emphasizing the importance of these platforms in bridging the gap between laboratory research and large-scale industrial production [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Pilot Testing Platforms - Pilot testing platforms serve as the core carrier for manufacturing pilot services, enabling the verification of innovative results from the laboratory stage through small-scale trial production [1]. - These platforms are crucial for transitioning technologies from the prototype stage to stable market-ready products, thereby reducing research and development cycles and lowering trial and error costs for enterprises [2][3]. Group 2: Goals and Strategies - The notice outlines three main tasks: strengthening existing platforms, activating dormant ones, and filling gaps in key industry areas where pilot testing supply is lacking [1][2]. - Strengthening involves upgrading and expanding the service capacity of well-utilized platforms, while activating dormant platforms focuses on improving operational efficiency and increasing external service ratios [1][2]. Group 3: Broader Implications - The development of pilot testing platforms is expected to enhance technological innovation, support the transformation of traditional industries, and improve China's position in the global value chain [2][3]. - A well-structured pilot testing network can lead to the growth of related professional services such as testing, certification, and engineering services, creating a new business model of "pilot testing + services" [3][4]. Group 4: Implementation and Collaboration - Successful implementation requires a combination of government guidance and market operations, with public service platforms reducing barriers for small and medium-sized enterprises [3][4]. - Collaboration among local governments, leading enterprises, and research institutions is essential to create a comprehensive support system from basic research to mass production [4].