数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ | 研究员: | 林静宜 | 期货从业资格号F03139610 | 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 助理研究员: | 徐天泽 | 期货从业资格号F03133092 | | 塑料产业日报 2025-10-09 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 期货主力合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 7077 | -76 1月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 7077 | -76 | | | 5月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 7106 | -86 9月合约收盘价:聚乙烯(日,元/吨) | 7158 | -62 | | | 成交量(日,手) | 264961 | 107880 持仓量(日,手) | 546305 | 20384 | | | 1-5价差 | -29 | 10 期货前20名持仓:买单量:聚乙烯(日,手) | 430131 | 8535 | ...

证券之星消息，10月9日塑料板块较上一交易日上涨1.21%，横河精密领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3933.97，上涨1.32%。深证成指报收于13725.56，上涨1.47%。塑料板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300539 | 横河精密 | 52.78 | 13.07% | 24.09万 | | 12.10亿 | | 300806 | 斯迪克 | 28.75 | 9.90% | 34.84万 | | 9.93亿 | | 600143 | 金发科技 | 22.20 | 5.76% | 248.11万 | | 53.32 Z | | 605008 | 长竭昌科 | 15.83 | 5.39% | 9.82万 | | 1.55亿 | | 300995 | 奇德新材 | 49.30 | 4.67% | 3.98万 | | 1.97亿 | | 000920 | 沃顿科技 | 13.08 | 3.56% | 19.53万 | | 2.55亿 | | 68 ...

长江期货聚烯烃月报 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格：鄂证监期货字【2014】1号 【产业服务总部能化产业服务中心】 研 究 员： 张 英 执业编号:F03105021 投资咨询号:Z0021335 2025-10-09 01 核心观点总结 聚烯烃：现实与预期背离，预计区间震荡 01 重点关注：下游需求情况、美联储降息、中美会谈情况、中东局势、原油价格波动 资料来源：iFIND，隆众资讯，长江期货 1 市场变化：9月30日塑料主力合约收盘价7153元/吨，月环比-1.84%。LDPE均价为9596.67元/吨，环比-0.55%，HDPE均价 为7912.50元/吨，环比-0.88%，华南地区LLDPE（7042）均价为7550元/吨，环比-0.54%。LLDPE华南基差收于397元/吨， 环比+30.52%，1-5月差-39元/吨（-47）。9月30日聚丙烯主力合约收盘价6852元/吨，较上月末-122元/吨，环比-1.75%。 生意社聚丙烯现货价报收6920元/吨（-3.98%）。PP基差收68元/吨（-165），基差走缩。1-5月差-40元/吨（-19），月差 走缩。 2 基本面变化：1、供应端：本月 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report provides market analysis and trading strategies for various industries including macro finance, black commodities, non - ferrous metals and new materials, agricultural products, and energy chemicals. It suggests different trading approaches based on industry fundamentals, supply - demand relationships, and market trends [3][16][20]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro Information - The US federal government "shut down" on October 1st due to a lack of funds, which impacts economic data release and brings uncertainty to global financial markets. The deadlock is centered on disagreements over healthcare subsidies. As of October 6th, the "shut down" continued [7]. - From October 1st to 6th, the average daily passenger volume in China increased by 5.18% year - on - year. The average full - fare of civil aviation decreased by 2.58% year - on - year, and the average bare - fare decreased by 0.03% year - on - year [8]. - In September, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.8%, up 0.4 percentage points month - on - month; non - manufacturing PMI was 50.0%, down 0.3 percentage points; the composite PMI output index was 50.6%, up 0.1 percentage points [8]. - On October 9th, the central bank will conduct a 110 billion yuan 3 - month (91 - day) outright reverse repurchase operation. In October, 80 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse repurchases will mature [9]. - The US will impose tariffs on imported softwood logs, lumber, cabinets, bathroom cabinets, upholstered wood products, and medium and heavy - duty trucks starting from October 14th and November 1st respectively [9]. - Fed officials showed a willingness to further cut interest rates in September but were cautious due to inflation concerns [14]. Macro Finance Stock Index Futures - Consider buying on dips and mainly adopt a shock - trading strategy. The A - share market was active before the holiday, and during the holiday, overseas related indexes showed small increases. Overall, the market may be in a shock state [16][17]. Treasury Bond Futures - Consider buying short - term bonds on dips and focus on the steepening strategy. The domestic bond market news was stable during the holiday. The market's expectations for aggregate policies may fluctuate, and further central bank easing may be needed [18][19]. Black Commodities Spiral Steel and Iron Ore - The black market is expected to maintain a medium - term shock trend. Policy expectations are neutral, downstream demand improvement is limited, and inventory and cost factors also affect the market [19][20]. Coking Coal and Coke - The prices of coking coal and coke may continue to fluctuate weakly in the short term, and attention should be paid to the demand of finished products during the "Golden September and Silver October" period [21]. Ferroalloys - After the holiday, focus on the settlement electricity price in Ningxia in September. The supply and demand of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese are in an oversupply state, and a high - selling short - bias strategy is recommended in the long - term [21]. Soda Ash and Glass - For soda ash, adopt a high - selling short - bias strategy; for glass, mainly adopt a wait - and - see approach. The market of soda ash lacks driving factors, and glass needs to pay attention to demand improvement and cost changes [23]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials Aluminum and Alumina - After the holiday, Shanghai aluminum may follow the rise of LME aluminum, but the increase may be limited. Alumina is expected to fluctuate weakly at the bottom, and short - selling on rallies can be considered [25]. Lithium Carbonate - Supported by strong short - term reality, lithium carbonate will mainly operate in a shock state. Pay attention to the demand rhythm after the holiday [26]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - Industrial silicon will operate in a range, and short - term long - positions can be considered at the lower end of the range. Polysilicon will continue to operate in a shock state, and attention should be paid to policy and demand changes [27][29]. Agricultural Products Cotton - Adopt a short - selling on rallies strategy. The international cotton market was affected by the US government shutdown and supply pressure during the holiday, and the domestic cotton market is expected to be under supply pressure after the holiday [31][33]. Sugar - Domestically, the sugar market is fundamentally bearish, and a short - selling strategy is recommended in the medium - term. In the short - term, pay attention to the impact of typhoon weather on production [34][35]. Eggs - The spot price of eggs dropped significantly during the holiday. It is recommended to adopt a short - bias strategy for near - month contracts and pay attention to the spread trading of short - near and long - far contracts [36]. Apples - Adopt a wait - and - see approach. Pay attention to the impact of rainfall on apple quality during the National Day holiday and the price differences in different regions [38]. Corn - Adopt a wait - and - see approach for single - side trading and consider selling out - of - the - money call options for the 01 contract. The supply of new corn is increasing, and the price is under pressure [39]. Red Dates - Adopt a wait - and - see approach. Pay attention to the impact of weather on the quality and output of new dates and the progress of orchard contracting [41]. Pigs - Adopt a short - selling on rallies strategy for near - month contracts. The market is in a state of strong supply and weak demand after the double festivals [42][43]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - The price of crude oil is expected to decline due to increased supply and decreased demand. It is recommended to hold existing short - positions [44]. Fuel Oil - The price of fuel oil will follow the trend of crude oil, with a supply - abundant and demand - weak pattern [44]. Plastics - Polyolefins are expected to fluctuate weakly due to supply pressure, and the market will return to fundamental logic in the short - term [47]. Rubber - The domestic rubber market may continue to fluctuate weakly, affected by macro factors, but the decline space is limited. Pay attention to raw material supply and inventory changes [48]. Methanol - The port inventory of methanol is large, but the inventory accumulation speed has slowed down. A weak - shock strategy is recommended, and pay attention to port de - stocking [49]. Caustic Soda - The futures price of caustic soda is expected to be under pressure before the improvement of fundamentals [49]. Asphalt - Asphalt will follow the trend of crude oil, and pay attention to the de - stocking speed in October [50][51]. Polyester Industry Chain - Polyester products are expected to be weak due to cost decline. Pay attention to device maintenance and terminal orders [52]. Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - LPG supply is abundant, and a long - term bearish strategy is recommended. The CP price may be affected by peak - season stocking in the short - term [53]. Offset Printing Paper - The market of offset printing paper is expected to operate in a shock state. A light - long or put - selling strategy can be considered near the production cost [54]. Pulp - The pulp market has some support. A long - position strategy can be considered on dips if the spot price stabilizes [55]. Urea - The price of urea is expected to be weak due to increased supply, postponed demand, and decreased cost [56]. Synthetic Rubber - Synthetic rubber is expected to fluctuate weakly, and pay attention to downstream procurement after the holiday [57].

初级形态的塑料产量：108.4 万吨 同比增长：0.4% 增速较上一年同期变化：低16.8个百分点 摘要：【图】2025年1-6月江苏省初级形态的塑料产量数据分析 2025年6月初级形态的塑料产量统计： 增速较上一年同期变化：低0.1个百分点 据统计，2025年1－6月，江苏省规模以上工业企业初级形态的塑料产量与上年同期相比增长了6.7%， 达638.0万吨，增速较上一年同期低0.1个百分点，增速放缓，增速较同期全国低3.6个百分点，约占同期 全国规模以上企业初级形态的塑料产量7012.34753万吨的比重为9.1%。详见下图： 图2：江苏省初级形态的塑料产量分月（累计值）统计图 据统计，2025年6月江苏省规模以上工业企业初级形态的塑料产量与上年同期相比增长了0.4%，达108.4 万吨，增速较上一年同期低16.8个百分点，增速放缓，增速较同期全国低11.7个百分点，约占同期全国 规模以上企业初级形态的塑料产量1203.20899万吨的比重为9.0%。 详见下图： 图1：江苏省初级形态的塑料产量分月（当月值）统计图 2025年1-6月初级形态的塑料产量统计： 初级形态的塑料产量：638.0 万吨 同比增长： ...

商务部新闻发言人就墨西哥近日连续对我发起多起反倾销调查答记者问。 问：据报道，墨西哥近日连续对中国的浮法玻璃、自粘胶带、聚氯乙烯涂塑布和钢制螺栓发起反倾销调查。商务部对此有何回应？ 答：我们注意到，墨西哥经济部应国内企业申请，近日连续对我浮法玻璃、聚氯乙烯涂塑布等产品发起4起反倾销调查。 中方坚决反对 损害中方正当权益的保护主义行为，将密切关注墨方调查进展，敦促墨方在调查中严格遵守世贸组织规则，保障中国企业的合法权益 今年以来，墨西哥对中国产品的反倾销调查已达11起，几乎为去年立案总数的两倍，而中方一直审慎克制发起贸易救济调查。中方认 为，在当前美方滥施关税的背景下，各国应共同反对单边主义，不应放任保护主义蔓延，更不应在他人胁迫下以各种名目对华设限。 商务部已依据《对外贸易法》和《对外贸易壁垒调查规则》有关规定，就墨西哥拟对华提高进口关税和其他贸易投资限制措施启动贸易 投资壁垒调查。中方将根据调查结果和实际情况，采取包括贸易、投资领域在内的一切必要措施，坚决维护企业合法权益。 来源：商务部网站 End 欢迎分享给你的朋友！ 出品 | 中国能源报（c ne ne rgy） 责编丨李慧颖 。 ...

Group 1 - Double-Helix Pharmaceutical announced that its associate, Changfeng Pharmaceutical, is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on October 8, 2025, with a global offering of 41.198 million shares priced at HKD 14.75 each. Double-Helix holds approximately 3.68% of Changfeng's shares, with a lock-up period of 12 months post-listing [1] - Changfeng Pharmaceutical is involved in the pharmaceutical industry, specifically in the research and development of gene-engineered drugs [2] Group 2 - Lio Corporation has submitted an application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for issuing H-shares and listing on the main board [3] - Lio Corporation operates in the mechanical manufacturing and digital marketing sectors [3] Group 3 - Changjiang Securities received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to issue corporate bonds totaling no more than CNY 20 billion, valid for 24 months [4] - Changjiang Securities provides services such as securities and futures brokerage, financial product distribution, investment advisory, asset custody, and margin financing [4] Group 4 - Jingye Intelligent plans to acquire 51% of Hefei Shengwen Information Technology for CNY 108 million, focusing on engineering information technology and intelligent products [5][6] - Jingye Intelligent specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of special robots and intelligent equipment systems [6] Group 5 - Aimeike's subsidiary received approval for the registration of Minoxidil topical solution, a non-prescription drug for treating hair loss [7][8] - Aimeike is engaged in the research, development, production, and sales of biomedical materials and biopharmaceuticals [8] Group 6 - Dalian Heavy Industry expects a net profit of CNY 474 million to CNY 508 million for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.91% to 28.52% [9] - Dalian Heavy Industry specializes in the design, manufacturing, assembly, and installation of major technical equipment [9] Group 7 - Huayou Cobalt signed supply agreements with LGES for a total of approximately 76,000 tons of ternary precursor products from 2026 to 2030 [10][11] - Huayou Cobalt focuses on the research, manufacturing, and sales of new energy lithium battery materials and cobalt new materials [11] Group 8 - Zhenjiang Co. plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 5.529 million shares, not exceeding 3% of the total share capital, due to personal funding needs [12] - Zhenjiang Co. is involved in the design, processing, and sales of wind power equipment and components [12] Group 9 - Watson Bio's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for a 13-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide conjugate vaccine for children [14][15] - Watson Bio specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of human vaccines and biopharmaceuticals [15] Group 10 - Yikang Pharmaceutical's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 42 million shares, not exceeding 2.04% of the total share capital, due to personal funding needs [16] - Yikang Pharmaceutical is engaged in the production and sales of excipients, raw materials, finished drugs, and new energy materials [16] Group 11 - Sichuan Gold's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 7.56 million shares, accounting for 1.80% of the total share capital [19] - Sichuan Gold focuses on the construction, mining, and sales of gold mines [19] Group 12 - Kangchen Pharmaceutical received approval for a clinical trial of an innovative drug for treating advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma [20][21] - Kangchen Pharmaceutical specializes in the manufacturing of chemical drug formulations [21] Group 13 - UCloud plans to repurchase shares worth between CNY 8 million and CNY 10 million for employee stock ownership plans [22] - UCloud provides cloud computing services centered on IT infrastructure [22] Group 14 - Woton Technology announced an adjustment to its share repurchase plan, raising the price cap to CNY 60 per share [24] - Woton Technology specializes in the research, manufacturing, and sales of separation membrane products [24] Group 15 - Five Continents Medical announced plans for shareholders to reduce holdings by up to 126,530 shares, accounting for 1.8606% of the total share capital [26] - Five Continents Medical focuses on the research, manufacturing, and sales of disposable sterile infusion medical devices [26] Group 16 - CIMC Group plans to repurchase A-shares with a total amount not exceeding CNY 5 billion [27] - CIMC Group specializes in logistics and energy equipment solutions [27] Group 17 - Zhifei Biological's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for a trivalent influenza vaccine suitable for individuals aged 3 and above [29][30] - Zhifei Biological is involved in the research, development, production, and sales of vaccines and biological products [30]

证券之星消息，9月30日塑料板块较上一交易日上涨0.56%，圣泉集团领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3882.78，上涨0.52%。深证成指报收于13526.51，上涨0.35%。塑料板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605589 | 圣泉集团 | 33.89 | 5.74% | 38.08万 | | 12.78亿 | | 002395 | 双象股份 | 18.26 | 2.99% | 6.76万 | | 1.24亿 | | 301216 | 万凯新材 | 20.44 | 2.46% | 22.87万 | | 4.62 Z | | 605008 | 长鸡高科 | 15.02 | 2.46% | 4.84万 | 7130.51万 | | | 001333 | 米华股份 | 24.37 | 2.27% | 3.62万 | 8768.15万 | | | 002632 | 道明光学 | 10.88 | 1.97% | 39.95万 | | 4.33亿 | | ...

9月29日晚间，海螺(安徽)节能环保新材料股份有限公司(以下简称"海螺新材（000619）")发布公告称， 公司拟以9527万元收购河南省华北工业塑料有限公司(以下简称"华北塑料")51%股权，交易完成后华北 塑料将成为其控股子公司，并纳入公司合并报表范围。 上海大学悉尼工商学院讲师王雨婷对《证券日报》记者表示，此次海螺新材收购股权计划，不仅是公司 寻求新业务发展的体现，也折射出传统企业在产业升级中的转型逻辑。 作为以PVC型材为核心业务的企业，海螺新材正处于行业发展瓶颈期。隆众资讯数据显示，截至目前， 国内PVC行业库存为130.05万吨，环比增加1.11%，PVC社会库存为95.37万吨，环比增加2.03%。 此外，海螺新材2025年上半年营收24.01亿元，同比下降9.70%，而归母净利润则亏损2899.82万元。在 此背景下，布局高附加值的高分子材料领域，成为突破业务增长瓶颈重要选择之一。 在技术层面，华北塑料的改性材料研发能力与海螺新材的规模化生产技术结合，可快速突破高端产品壁 垒，摆脱对传统PVC型材的依赖。在渠道方面，华北塑料的产品已销往全国多地，其成熟的销售网络与 海螺新材的建材渠道形成联动， ...

Group 1 - Pingzhi Information has been selected as the eighth candidate for the "2025 China Unicom General Server Centralized Procurement Project" with a bid amount of approximately 451 million yuan [1] - The project involves the procurement of general servers primarily for cloud computing infrastructure [1] - Pingzhi Information was established in November 2002 and focuses on communication equipment, computing power, and operator equity products [1] Group 2 - Betta Pharmaceuticals has submitted an application for the issuance of H shares and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2] - Betta Pharmaceuticals was founded in January 2003 and specializes in the production and sales of innovative drugs [2] Group 3 - Guangli Micro plans to sign an agreement with Zhejiang University to establish a joint research center for silicon photonics technology and measurement equipment [3] - The company will invest no less than 15 million yuan over three years for the center's development [3] - Guangli Micro was founded in August 2003 and provides a range of services including integrated circuit manufacturing and design [3] Group 4 - Shanhe Pharmaceutical's controlling shareholder and actual controller has changed due to the passing of Yin Zhenglong, with his wife and daughter inheriting shares [4] - After the change, Wu Changhong holds 20.172% of the total shares, while Yin Zhiya holds 6.724% [4] - Shanhe Pharmaceutical was established in April 2001 and focuses on the research, production, and sales of pharmaceutical excipients [5] Group 5 - Hengwei Technology plans to acquire 75% of Shanghai Shuhang Information Technology Co., Ltd. through a combination of share issuance and cash payment [6] - The acquisition will make Shuhang Technology a subsidiary of Hengwei Technology [6] - Hengwei Technology was founded in March 2003 and specializes in intelligent system solutions [7] Group 6 - Shougang Co. intends to repurchase its A-shares for an amount between 260 million yuan and 520 million yuan [8] - The repurchase will be used for implementing an equity incentive plan [8] - Shougang Co. was established in October 1999 and focuses on the production and sales of steel products [9] Group 7 - Pulit plans to build a 6GWh sodium-ion battery production base in Sichuan with a total investment of approximately 800 million yuan [10] - The project will be constructed in two phases, with the first phase having a capacity of 2GWh [10] - Pulit was founded in October 1999 and specializes in high polymer new materials and battery production [10] Group 8 - Saisir has proposed a cash dividend of 3.1 yuan per 10 shares for its A-share shareholders [10] - Saisir was established in May 2007 and focuses on the research, manufacturing, and sales of new energy vehicles [10] Group 9 - Guangyang Co. plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary for the development of precision components for robots [11] - The investment is part of a project to produce high-end components for new energy vehicles and robots [11] - Guangyang Co. was founded in April 1995 and specializes in precision components for various vehicles and equipment [11] Group 10 - Conch New Materials intends to acquire a 51% stake in North China Industrial Plastics Co., Ltd. for approximately 95.27 million yuan [12] - The acquisition will make North China Plastics a subsidiary of Conch New Materials [12] - Conch New Materials was established in October 1996 and focuses on the production and sales of plastic profiles and aluminum profiles [12] Group 11 - Daikin Heavy Industries has submitted an application for H-share issuance and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [13] - The company specializes in the production and sales of offshore wind power equipment [13] - Daikin Heavy Industries was founded in September 2003 [13] Group 12 - Tengya Precision plans to invest up to 8 million USD to establish a subsidiary in Vietnam for the production of garden robots and electric tools [14] - The project will involve leasing a factory in Dong Nai Province [14] - Tengya Precision was established in August 2000 and focuses on power tools and building hardware [15] Group 13 - Luoxin Pharmaceutical plans to raise up to 207 million yuan through a private placement for innovative drug research and development [16] - The funds will primarily support clinical research for specific innovative drugs [16] - Luoxin Pharmaceutical was founded in May 1998 and specializes in pharmaceutical product development [17] Group 14 - *ST Guohua's subsidiary has become the first candidate for a project with a bid of 236 million yuan [18] - The project involves a 90-day construction period [18] - *ST Guohua was established in May 1986 and focuses on mobile network security [19] Group 15 - Su Chen Technology plans to acquire 60% of Likong Technology for a total price of 192 million yuan [20] - The acquisition will make Likong Technology a secondary subsidiary of Su Chen Technology [20] - Su Chen Technology was founded in February 2006 and specializes in CAE software development [21] Group 16 - Qingmu Technology's major shareholder plans to reduce their stake by up to 276,000 shares [22] - The reduction is due to the shareholder's financial needs [22] - Qingmu Technology was established in August 2009 and provides comprehensive e-commerce operation services [23] Group 17 - Tongda Sea plans to acquire 40% of Jiangsu Sufuda Data Technology Co., Ltd. for 25.64 million yuan [24] - The acquisition will result in Tongda Sea holding 100% of Sufuda [24] - Tongda Sea was founded in March 1995 and provides information technology services for electronic government affairs [24] Group 18 - Rongsheng Development has signed a memorandum of cooperation to promote the development of the seaplane industry [25] - The cooperation will focus on infrastructure construction and talent training [25] - Rongsheng Development was established in December 1996 and specializes in real estate development [26] Group 19 - Jinma Amusement plans to repurchase 16.52% of its subsidiary for 60 million yuan [28] - The repurchase will convert the subsidiary into a wholly-owned entity [28] - Jinma Amusement was founded in November 2007 and focuses on amusement facilities and projects [28] Group 20 - Huilv Ecology plans to acquire 49% of Junheng Technology for 1.127 billion yuan [29] - The acquisition will make Junheng Technology a wholly-owned subsidiary [29] - Huilv Ecology was established in January 1990 and specializes in optical communication products and landscape engineering [30]