新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-27 社会库存持续小幅去化 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-21.55 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌140元/吨至22570元/吨，SMM 上海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨30元/吨至390元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌150元/吨至22550 元/吨。SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨20元/吨至370元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌130元 /吨至22570元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨40元/吨至390元/吨。 期货方面：2025-05-26沪锌主力合约开于22155元/吨，收于22185元/吨，较前一交易日下跌115元/吨，全天交易日 成交142739手，较前一交易日增加15550手，全天交易日持仓118520手，较前一交易日增加4451手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到22300元/吨，最低点达到22085元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-05-26，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为7.88万吨，较上周同期减少-0.5万吨。截止2025-05-23，LME 锌库存为153500吨，较上一交易日减少2725 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-05-08 锌锭库存低位制约锌价下跌空间 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-39.30 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌90元/吨至22770元/吨，SMM 上海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨55元/吨至515元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌140元/吨至22770 元/吨。SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨5元/吨至515元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌140元/ 吨至22760元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨5元/吨至505元/吨。 期货方面：2025-05-07沪锌主力合约开于22300元/吨，收于22210元/吨，较前一交易日下跌210元/吨，全天交易日 成交155956手，较前一交易日增加40900手，全天交易日持仓116701手，较前一交易日增加4986手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到22530元/吨，最低点达到22210元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-05-06，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.41万吨，较上周同期减少-0.18万吨。截止2025-05-07，LME 锌库存为171400吨，较上一交易日减少15 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-04-29 锌价冲高乏力 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-33.73 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌300元/吨至22880元/吨，SMM 上海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨80元/吨至450元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌330元/吨至22910 元/吨。SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨50元/吨至480元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌300元 /吨至22960元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日上涨80元/吨至530元/吨。 期货方面：2025-04-28沪锌主力合约开于22630元/吨，收于22520元/吨，较前一交易日下跌225元/吨，全天交易日 成交149791手，较前一交易日减少53425手，全天交易日持仓117883手，较前一交易日减少4544手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到22650元/吨，最低点达到22380元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-04-28，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.59万吨，较上周同期减少-0.71万吨。截止2025-04-28，LME 锌库存为179325吨，较上一交易日减少725吨。 市 ...

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 2: Core View - Zinc prices are expected to maintain a short - term oscillating trend [1]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Important Data - **Spot Market**: The LME zinc spot premium is -$15.80 per ton. SMM Shanghai zinc spot price rose by 150 yuan/ton to 22,920 yuan/ton, with the premium rising by 220 yuan/ton to 490 yuan/ton. SMM Guangdong zinc spot price rose by 220 yuan/ton to 22,900 yuan/ton, with the premium rising by 290 yuan/ton to 470 yuan/ton. SMM Tianjin zinc spot price rose by 160 yuan/ton to 22,980 yuan/ton, with the premium rising by 230 yuan/ton to 550 yuan/ton [2]. - **Futures Market**: On April 14, 2025, the main SHFE zinc contract opened at 22,445 yuan/ton and closed at 22,515 yuan/ton, up 170 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 155,488 lots, an increase of 22,142 lots, and the position was 105,798 lots, an increase of 41,317 lots. The intraday price fluctuated between 22,355 yuan/ton and 22,595 yuan/ton [2]. - **Inventory**: As of April 14, 2025, the total inventory of SMM seven - region zinc ingots was 105,600 tons, a decrease of 5,400 tons from the previous week. The LME zinc inventory was 117,300 tons, a decrease of 2,050 tons from the previous trading day [3]. Market Analysis - **Spot Market**: The change of the main contract led to a significant increase in the premium of the spot to the main contract, but the premium of the actual spot market transaction to the 05 contract declined [4]. - **Fundamentals**: On the supply side, the TC has not changed its upward trend so far, but the future upward space and amplitude are limited. Currently, with the high TC and price, the smelting enthusiasm is high, and the supply will continue to increase, which will limit the upward height of zinc prices. Consumption is relatively strong. The export market has not been affected by tariffs, and the year - on - year export growth rate is relatively fast. After the absolute price dropped, the downstream's enthusiasm for point - price procurement was high, the social inventory decreased significantly, the spot premium rose rapidly, and the low inventory provided favorable support for zinc prices, resulting in a range - bound trend of zinc prices [4]. Strategy - **Unilateral**: Neutral. - **Arbitrage**: Inter - period positive spread [5]