以下文章来源于投资家 ，作者笔锋 投资家 . 投资家是投资家网旗下专注创投、商业、科技领域的内容平台。多次获得百度、头条、新浪、网易、搜狐、东财、同花顺、澎湃等颁 发的荣誉奖项。投资家网是国内知名资本与产业创新综合服务平台。 北航学霸，58岁再战港股。 作者：笔锋 来源：投资家 在高端制造赛道，有个隐形战场藏着千亿机会——PCB（印制电路板）设备，小到手机芯片的信号传输，大到AI 服务器的 算力运转，都离不开它的"毫米级精准操作"。 这个曾被外资垄断的领域，如今杀出一位狠角色： 北航飞行器设计专业学 霸、 58 岁的高云峰，靠"钻孔"设备半年狂赚 17 亿。 如今，缔造这份"钻孔神话"，在高端制造赛道打拼三十年的行业大佬，没有选择躺在功劳簿上，反而带着自己一手打造的 PCB设备龙头大族数控，再次叩响了港交所大门。这已经是该公司继5月30日首次递表失效后，第二次向港股IPO发起冲 击。作为独家保荐人的中金公司，显然也看中了AI浪潮下高端PCB 设备的稀缺性。 这里插播一条课程资讯： 报名 「吴世春·西安出行活动」， 1月22日-24日 ， 吴世春将亲自带队 100家企业家 ， 去陕西西安线下游学 ， 走进科技 ...

Summary of PCB Equipment Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The PCB equipment industry is entering a performance inflection point starting from Q4 2024, with significant revenue growth observed in companies like Dazhu CNC, driven by capital expenditures from PCB manufacturers, particularly those receiving orders from Nvidia like Shenghong and Hude. [1][5] - The demand for AI computing servers is surging, leading to increased production of complex, high-layer HDI boards, resulting in substantial capital expenditure increases among suppliers. Domestic PCB manufacturers such as Shennan and Jingwang are accelerating their capital investments, with expectations of strong capital expenditures and equipment procurement in 2026. [1][6] Key Financial Insights - Leading PCB manufacturers are planning a total capital expenditure of 58 billion yuan, with 40 billion yuan allocated for production equipment, indicating an 80% increase in global demand. This suggests a high level of industry prosperity in 2026. [1][7] - Dazhu CNC reported a nearly 500% year-on-year growth in Q4 2024, with quarterly growth rates exceeding 100% in 2025. Other companies like Xinqi Micro and Kaige are also showing strong performance. [3] Technological Developments - The introduction of the Rubin architecture server has raised the requirements for PCBs, necessitating new materials and orthogonal backplanes, which in turn increases the demand for high-end PCBs and difficult-to-process materials. [1][12] - The drilling equipment segment is crucial, accounting for up to 40% of the production line, with significant demand growth expected due to new materials and technological upgrades. Ultra-fast laser drilling is emerging as a key development direction. [1][15][17] Market Dynamics - The strong capital expenditure from PCB manufacturers is positively impacting equipment manufacturers' performance, with companies like Shenghong benefiting from high-margin orders from Nvidia. [5][9] - The market for high aspect ratio drill bits is expanding rapidly, with significant growth expected in the 40x aspect ratio segment. Companies like Dingtai and Zhongtung are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. [4][20] Future Outlook - The PCB industry is expected to maintain strong capital expenditures and equipment procurement in 2026, with many projects still in early stages and not yet undergoing large-scale equipment tenders. [7] - Key players expected to drive growth in 2026 include Shennan Circuit, Pengding, Dongshan Precision, Jingwang, and others, with substantial planned investments. [8] - The introduction of new materials, such as 麻九 (Majiuwu) material, is anticipated to enhance performance but may also increase the complexity and cost of production. [14][23] Company-Specific Insights - Dazhu CNC is recommended as a key player in the drilling equipment segment, with expectations of achieving a market value of 80 billion yuan by 2026 due to successful product penetration and order fulfillment. [23] - Zhongtung High-tech's subsidiary, Jingzhou Precision, is expected to expand its capacity significantly, with a projected monthly capacity of 120-130 million by 2026, indicating strong growth potential. [24] - Dingtai High-tech is noted for its high capacity and rapid expansion, with a target market value of 60 billion yuan or higher due to its competitive advantages in the high aspect ratio drill bit market. [25] Conclusion - The PCB equipment industry is poised for significant growth driven by technological advancements, strong capital expenditures, and increasing demand for high-performance materials and equipment. Key players like Dazhu CNC, Dingtai High-tech, and Zhongtung High-tech are expected to lead this growth trajectory. [26]

智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，2026年度，美联储降息周期下，海外需求或于2026年进入新 一轮上行周期，工程机械出口有望延续景气，形成国内外共振局面。内需有望β筑底需求景气度改善， 推荐FA/注塑机/检测/机床行业的α标的；高景气赛道上，该行认为AI催化下的PCB设备/液冷产业链/柴 发&燃气轮机迎来黄金期。新技术方面，人形机器人量产仍需打通降本关键一环，国产零部件厂商有望 充分受益。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 装备出海：油服设备面向沙漠寻蓝海市场，工程机械出口一带一路景气高 工程机械：2025年工程机械板块国内全面复苏&出口温和复苏，看好盈利质量持续提升。内需方面，在 资金到位情况的扰动下，该行判断此轮周期将呈现斜率较低但周期较长的特征；外需方面，美联储降息 周期下，海外需求有望于2026年进入新一轮上行周期，形成国内外共振局面。工程机械重点推荐出口盈 利贡献较高的三一重工(600031.SH)、徐工机械(000425.SZ)、中联重科(000157.SZ)、柳工(000528.SZ)、 恒立液压(601100.SH)。 半导体设备：景气复苏+国产替代共振，AI&存储周期带动设备高增。国产设备率先 ...

Group 1: Robotics Industry - The U.S. government is focusing on the development of robotics, indicating that robotics technology is becoming a key frontier in U.S.-China competition, with potential for continued resonance between the two countries' industries [1] - The Trump administration's actions suggest a strategic elevation of the U.S. robotics industry, with domestic policies expected to follow suit [1] - U.S. companies are actively investing in the robotics sector, creating a closed loop of "model-simulation-hardware," while China's supply chain is accelerating the implementation of robotics in various scenarios [1] Group 2: Construction Machinery - In November, domestic excavator sales exceeded expectations, and exports maintained high growth rates despite a high base, indicating a strong overall fundamental outlook for the sector [2] - The upward trend in both domestic and international sales of construction machinery has been validated, with a focus on overseas markets where profits from exports account for about 70% of many companies [2] - The performance of companies in the construction machinery sector remains strong, with non-excavator domestic sales also showing significant growth [2] Group 3: Lithium Battery Equipment - The electrification of ships is expanding the application of lithium batteries into new scenarios, with a positive outlook for lithium battery equipment in the upcoming year [3] - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to increase as new technologies like solid-state and sodium-ion batteries emerge, enhancing the electrification rate across various sectors [3] - The mid-term acceptance of solid-state batteries is anticipated to be completed by the end of the year, leading to a new round of order tenders from leading battery manufacturers and vehicle manufacturers [3] Group 4: PCB Equipment - The PCB industry is experiencing a resurgence, characterized by high-end product development and factory establishment in Southeast Asia, which is driving the demand for PCB equipment upgrades [4] - Key segments of PCB equipment, such as drilling and plating, hold significant value and are critical for circuit board performance [4] - The industry is evolving towards higher layer counts and more precise wiring due to AI-driven advancements, necessitating improvements in processing technology [4] Group 5: Forklifts & Mobile Robots - Sales of large forklifts are maintaining growth, with domestic sales increasing by 5% to 16% and exports growing by 8% to 23% from July to October [5] - The industry is optimistic about the upward trend in demand for smart logistics and unmanned forklifts, with major companies launching intelligent logistics products in Q4 [5] Group 6: Recommended Companies in Machinery Sector - Key companies recommended include Hengli Hydraulic, Aibin Technology, LiuGong, XCMG, Jereh, Naipu Mining, SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, Huace Testing, Shoucheng Holdings, Xian Dao Intelligent, Bozhong Precision, Haitai International, Yizhiming, Puyuan Precision Electronics, Zhongji United, and Maiwei Shares [6]

Core Insights - The mechanical industry has shown an overall upward trend in 2025, with the CITIC Mechanical Industry Index recording a 30.9% increase, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 15.3 percentage points [11] - The performance of listed companies in the mechanical sector has been stable, with total revenue of 1.8801 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.73%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 127.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.99% [23] - The report highlights significant growth opportunities in the robotics sector, particularly with the upcoming mass production of humanoid robots and the increasing demand for industrial robots driven by aging populations and domestic substitution trends [31][42] Industry Overview - The manufacturing PMI in China has been fluctuating around the threshold, indicating overall weakness, with a PMI of 49.2% in November [20] - Fixed asset investment in the manufacturing sector showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 2.7% from January to October, reflecting a decline from earlier in the year [22] - The mechanical industry has experienced differentiated performance across various segments, with service robots and shipbuilding showing strong revenue and profit growth [23] Growth Opportunities - The robotics sector is expected to see continued demand growth, with the installation of industrial robots in China projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.52% from 2015 to 2024, reaching 295,000 units [36] - The PCB equipment market is benefiting from the recovery in consumer electronics and AI development, with global PCB industry output expected to grow by 6.8% in 2025 [54] - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a rebound in domestic demand, with excavator sales from January to October 2025 reaching 192,135 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.0% [66] Investment Recommendations - For the robotics sector, companies such as Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Zhenyu Technology are recommended for investment [3] - In the PCB equipment segment, companies like Dingtai High-Tech and Dazhu CNC are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3] - The engineering machinery sector suggests focusing on companies like SANY Heavy Industry and XCMG Machinery for investment [3] - In the general equipment category, attention is drawn to companies in the tool and machine tool segments, such as Huari Precision and Neway CNC [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, specifically recommending AI equipment, humanoid robots, and related sectors [1]. Core Insights - The expansion of AI data centers in the U.S. is driving increased demand for power generation, particularly benefiting domestic equipment manufacturers [2]. - The introduction of Google's Gemini 3 model indicates a sustained growth in AI computing infrastructure, leading to increased demand for PCB and liquid cooling equipment [3]. - The humanoid robot sector is expected to experience a significant upward trend, particularly with upcoming catalysts in December and early 2026 [4]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report suggests a focus on companies such as North China Huachuang, SANY Heavy Industry, Zhongwei Company, and others across various segments including semiconductor equipment, engineering machinery, and automation [1][13]. Investment Highlights - **Gas Turbines**: The U.S. AI data center expansion is expected to boost demand for gas turbine power generation, with significant opportunities for domestic brands like Jereh and Haomai Technology [2]. - **AI Equipment**: The performance of Google's Gemini 3 has exceeded expectations, indicating a robust demand for AI computing infrastructure, particularly in PCB and liquid cooling solutions [3]. - **Humanoid Robots**: The humanoid robot sector is poised for a major rally, driven by key developments from Tesla and other domestic players [4]. Industry Trends - The mechanical equipment sector is projected to recover, with a focus on electric forklifts and automation solutions driven by labor shortages and technological advancements [17][49]. - The global market for warehouse automation solutions is expected to grow significantly, with AMR solutions leading the way due to their efficiency and flexibility [49]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts substantial growth in net profits for various companies within the sector, with specific projections for 2025-2027 indicating a positive outlook for companies like Zhongli and Jereh [19][25][32].

Core Viewpoint - The PCB industry is expected to benefit from AI demand and the continuous growth in the market for high-end PCBs, with global PCB output projected to reach $94.661 billion by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [1] Market Space - The global PCB market is projected to reach $73.6 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, with China holding the largest production capacity [1] - The third round of capital expenditure is expected to explode, with eight leading domestic PCB companies projected to spend a total of 16.3 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 85% year-on-year [1] Equipment Demand - The global PCB equipment market is expected to grow from $5.84 billion in 2020 to $7.085 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.95%, while the Chinese PCB equipment market is projected to reach 29.442 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.6% from 2020 to 2024 [1] - The demand for PCB equipment is expected to rise due to AI-driven needs for high-layer boards, HDI boards, and IC packaging substrates [1] Competitive Landscape - The industry concentration is relatively low, with the top five companies in China holding a combined market share of 23.9%, and Dazhu CNC leading with approximately 10.1% market share domestically [2] - The domestic high-end PCB equipment localization rate is below 30%, indicating significant room for growth [2] Focus Areas - The global market for drilling equipment is expected to exceed 10 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the increasing demand for high-layer PCBs [3] - The global PCB drilling needle market is projected to reach $836 million in 2024, with AI driving demand towards high-end products [3] - Exposure equipment is expected to benefit from the trends of higher precision, lower costs, and faster iterations in AIPCB [3] - Plating equipment will benefit from the increase in PCB layers, which raises the complexity and quality requirements of the equipment [3]

Group 1: Core Insights - The high-end manufacturing sector will remain a key focus and investment theme in 2026, with significant breakthroughs expected in humanoid robots, liquid cooling equipment, and solid-state battery equipment [1] - The PCB equipment industry is anticipated to improve due to the growing demand for AI computing power [1] Group 2: Humanoid Robots - 2026 is projected to be a breakthrough year for mass production in the humanoid robot industry, with a focus on high-complexity dexterous hands, screw rod production and cost reduction, reducer supply chain, six-dimensional force sensors, and precision injection molding [2] Group 3: Liquid Cooling Equipment - The liquid cooling industry is expected to see increased penetration driven by higher chip power density and lower data center PUE, with a shift from single-phase to dual-phase and immersion cooling technologies [3] Group 4: PCB Equipment - The AIPCB industry's positive outlook is extending to upstream equipment, with domestic manufacturers actively capturing the high-end PCB equipment market, indicating a broad market space for domestic equipment [4] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Equipment - Multiple battery manufacturers have confirmed plans for mass production of all-solid-state batteries, with rising demand expectations and supportive policies, indicating a potential breakthrough in the industry [5] Group 6: External Demand - The easing of tariff impacts is expected to sustain proactive inventory replenishment in tools and OPE, with a focus on mining equipment investment driven by copper grade decline and supply gaps [6] Group 7: Internal Demand - The recovery in manufacturing sentiment is likely to boost demand for machine tools and cutting tools, alongside accelerated automation upgrades in manufacturing enterprises [7]

Core Viewpoints - In 2026, high-end manufacturing will remain a key focus for the market, with significant breakthroughs expected in humanoid robots, liquid cooling equipment, and solid-state battery equipment industries. The PCB equipment sector is anticipated to see increased demand driven by the growth in AI computing power [3][4]. Group 1: Technology - The humanoid robot industry is expected to achieve mass production breakthroughs in 2026, with a focus on high-complexity dexterous hands, screw rod mass production, and the reducer supply chain [4][21]. - Liquid cooling technology is projected to evolve from single-phase cooling plates to dual-phase and immersion cooling systems, driven by increased chip power density and reduced PUE in data centers [4][49]. - The PCB equipment market is set to benefit from the rising demand for AI-related PCBs, with domestic manufacturers actively expanding their high-end PCB production capacity [4][50]. Group 2: External Demand - The impact of tariffs is expected to stabilize, leading to a recovery in external demand, particularly in tool & OPE and mining machinery exports [4][5]. - The mining equipment sector is highlighted with two main investment lines: the inflation of consumables due to declining copper ore grades and the acceleration of capital expenditures driven by supply gaps [4][5]. Group 3: Internal Demand - The recovery of the manufacturing sector is likely to boost demand for machine tools and automation equipment, with a focus on domestic replacements [4][5]. - The automation upgrade pace among manufacturing enterprises is accelerating, indicating a strong trend towards domestic automation equipment [4][5]. Group 4: Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies in the humanoid robot sector include Zhaowei Electromechanical, Mingzhi Electric, and others focusing on various components of humanoid robots [4][21]. - In the liquid cooling equipment space, companies such as Invec, Highlan, and others are suggested for investment [4][49]. - For PCB equipment, leading firms like Dazhu Laser and Dongwei Technology are highlighted as key players to watch [4][50][55].

Summary of Conference Call on PCB Equipment and Industry Outlook Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) equipment industry, highlighting advancements in materials and technology, particularly related to AI applications and drilling equipment [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Material Upgrades**: Nvidia's upcoming Ruby Ultra series, expected to launch in 2027, will fully adopt the Ma Jiu material across various components, including middle boards and orthogonal backplanes, driving upgrades in upstream PCB materials [1][3]. 2. **Increased Drill Demand**: The demand for drilling needles is anticipated to rise significantly due to the reduced lifespan of drilling in Ma Jiu materials, which is less than 200 holes, approximately 10 times shorter than standard materials [1][3]. 3. **Limited Production Expansion**: Major manufacturers like Ding Tai plan to increase production by about 50% in 2025, with expectations to maintain this level in 2026. Taiwanese manufacturers are expected to see only a modest increase in production capacity [1][3]. 4. **Price Trends**: Ding Tai's drilling needle prices are steadily increasing, driven by a higher proportion of AI applications. The average price is currently 1.2 yuan, with potential for high-end drilling needle prices to increase significantly as demand grows [1][4]. 5. **Technological Developments**: Zhejiang Beta is collaborating with Nvidia to finalize technical solutions by the end of the year, with simulated mass production expected to start in the second half of 2026 [1][4]. 6. **Laser Equipment Demand**: The demand for ultra-fast laser equipment is increasing due to its ability to meet the needs for drilling in Ma Jiu materials, which traditional CO2 lasers cannot satisfy [1][4]. 7. **Orthogonal Backplane Benefits**: Orthogonal backplanes, as high-layer boards, directly benefit from mechanical drilling, positively impacting companies like Ding Tai and Dazhu CNC [2][4]. 8. **AI Market Growth**: The recent increase in demand for optical modules suggests a growing end-user demand, which could benefit the entire AI supply chain and the PCB market [4][5]. Additional Important Insights - **Price Adjustments**: Taiwanese manufacturers have begun raising prices by 15% for certain drilling needle models due to rising raw material costs, while Ding Tai has not yet increased prices due to fixed agreements [5][6]. - **Future Trends**: The PCB industry is expected to see increased demand for AI PCBs, material structure upgrades, and improved equipment consumption, with leading companies showing strong performance in recent quarterly reports [7]. This summary encapsulates the critical developments and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the PCB equipment industry and its future trajectory.