Report Title - Focus on Convertible Bond Equity Characteristics and Seize Structural Opportunities: Convertible Bond Strategy for Q4 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - Q4 2025 may be the quarter with the strongest equity characteristics of convertible bonds since 2017. Equity characteristics are likely to be one of the most important factors determining convertible bond returns in Q4. Attention should be paid to technology - related catalysts and the implementation of the 15th Five - Year Plan. There are still structural opportunities, especially bond downward revisions. Additionally, clues can be found from convexity, undervaluation, and debt resolution. The pressure to take profits is expected to bottom out, and there is still room for valuation to rise [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Q4 Convertible Bond Outlook: Focus on Equity Characteristics and Seize Structural Opportunities 1.1 In Q4, the Key to Convertible Bonds Lies in Equity Characteristics - Due to institutional behavior, the equity characteristics of convertible bonds may be at a historically strong level. As of the end of Q3 2025, the overall parity level of convertible bonds was at a historical high, the YTM levels of overall/partial - debt convertible bonds were at almost historical lows, and the median delta of convertible bonds was at a historical high. For "fixed - income +" investors, equity characteristics have become the primary investment attribute. From the perspective of return decomposition, the contribution ratio of equity/valuation returns in Q4 may exceed 4:1 [6][8]. 1.2 Pay Attention to Potential Opportunities Brought by Technology Catalysts and the 15th Five - Year Plan - In Q4, the industrial track may remain active. There are many leading technology - sector targets among new bonds that have recently or may be listed in Q4, such as Maolai Optics and Weidao Nano in the photolithography semiconductor concept. The "technology content" of the convertible bond market may continue to increase. Looking forward to the 15th Five - Year Plan, concepts such as new - quality productivity, green and low - carbon, and anti - involution in industries may bring new industrial opportunities, and convertible bonds in the new energy direction are worthy of long - term attention [13]. 1.3 Beyond Equity Characteristics, There Are Still Structural Opportunities. Pay Attention to Terms, Convexity, Undervaluation, and Debt Resolution - In terms of terms, downward revisions are particularly worthy of attention. 47 convertible bonds will end their downward - revision cooling periods in October 2025. Six convertible bonds with a scale of over 2 billion yuan are about to start downward - revision counting. In terms of convertible bond quantification, the convexity and undervaluation strategies have performed well since 2025, and it is expected that they will have a high probability of generating stable excess returns in Q4. In the context of aging convertible bonds and strong equity sentiment, 2025 is expected to be a big year for debt resolution. It is recommended to allocate debt - resolution targets in the early and middle stages when funds are at a low level [15][17][19]. 2. Valuation: The Probability of Valuation Compression Is Low, and There May Still Be 3% - 5% Upside Space - The pressure for insurance funds to take profits on convertible bonds in Q4 may decrease, and the probability of valuation compression is low. The insurance convertible bond position has reached a historically low level, and the cycle of insurance funds reducing their convertible bond holdings that started in September 2024 may be approaching the end. Implied volatility is an important reference factor for specific valuation points. The three important thresholds for the 100 - yuan premium rate in Q4 may be 26%, 31%, and 34%, with an upside space of about 5% [21][23]. 3. Risk: The Risk of Near - Maturity Convertible Bonds Is Small, and Market Risk Appetite May Be Stable - It is expected that there will be 10 convertible bonds maturing in Q4, with a total scale of about 30 billion yuan. From three perspectives, the probability of substantial credit risk in the convertible bond market in Q4 is small: the unrestricted monetary funds of these convertible bonds in H1 2025 can cover the bond balances; convertible bonds with low parity are actively resolving debts; and the credit rating results in 2025 are the best in recent years [25]. 4. Supply: Faster Approval Cannot Offset the Delisting Speed, and the Market May Continue to Shrink - The approval speed of new convertible bonds has significantly accelerated recently. However, the delisting speed of convertible bonds is faster. By the end of Q4, the convertible bond market size may decrease to about 550 billion yuan. As of September 30, 2025, 21 convertible bonds have announced early redemptions, with a total scale of 3.129 billion yuan. There are 10 convertible bonds maturing at the end of the year, with a total scale of 31.196 billion yuan. There are also 53 convertible bonds that have triggered the early - redemption price and are in the counting period, with a total scale of 65.285 billion yuan [27][31]. 5. Capital Behavior: Pay Attention to Potential Style Drifts of Convertible Bond ETFs - After excluding early - redeemed and near - maturity convertible bonds, the market - value contribution of power equipment by Boshi Convertible Bond ETF will exceed that of bank convertible bonds. Similarly, for Haifutong Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF, the proportion of bank convertible bonds' market - value contribution will significantly decrease after excluding relevant bonds. Overall, power equipment and electronics have the largest increase in total market - value contribution [35][40][43].

Summary of PCB Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The PCB industry is experiencing accelerated capital expenditure driven by AI demand, starting from Q4 2024, with growth expected to nearly double by Q2 2025 and continue through 2026 [1][2][4] - Supply constraints in upstream equipment and materials are becoming critical limitations [1][2] Key Points and Arguments - **Technological Advancements**: New technology iterations are driving structural and material upgrades in PCBs, increasing equipment precision requirements and enhancing equipment value and demand [1][2][5] - **High-End Materials Demand**: The demand for high-end materials, such as high-end electrolytic copper foil, has surged, with prices increasing by approximately 15% as forecasted by Japan's Mitsui and Taiwanese manufacturers [1][11] - **Orthogonal Backplane Development**: The orthogonal backplane solution is progressing steadily, having passed two rounds of testing, with expectations for product finalization in 2025 and mass production in 2026 [1][10][12] - **Drill Bit Technology**: The core of PCB drill bit technology focuses on improving breakage rates, with downstream material upgrades and increased single-board value driving continuous growth in drill bit demand [1][8] Market Dynamics - **Increased Equipment Demand**: As PCB technology evolves with smaller hole diameters and narrower line widths, the demand for equipment is rising, while precision improvements are leading to increased equipment value [3][9] - **Investment Recommendations**: Key companies to watch include DingTai High-Tech, Chipbond Technology, and Dazhong CNC, as well as companies like Dazhong Laser and Kaige Precision that are positioned within the PCB industry chain [3][13] Additional Insights - **AI's Impact on Capital Expenditure**: The acceleration of capital expenditure in the PCB sector reflects successful advancements in AI PCB capabilities, with leading companies investing significantly in capacity expansion [4][12] - **Market Sentiment on New Materials**: The market holds a positive outlook on new materials and their applications, viewing them as crucial for future development, with expectations for breakthroughs in high-end materials [7] - **Challenges in Material Requirements**: The increasing complexity of PCB manufacturing processes necessitates higher performance standards for materials, including drill bits that must meet stringent durability and precision criteria [6][8] This summary encapsulates the key insights and developments discussed in the conference call regarding the PCB industry, highlighting the interplay between technological advancements, market dynamics, and investment opportunities.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on AI equipment and oil service equipment [1]. Core Insights - The rapid development of AI chips is expected to drive demand for advanced testing and packaging equipment, particularly in the semiconductor sector [2][20]. - The PCB equipment market is set to benefit from significant investments in AI infrastructure, with major players expanding their production capacities [3][44]. - The oil service equipment sector is poised for growth due to Saudi Aramco's plans to initiate 85 major projects over the next three years, which will create substantial demand for related products and services [9]. Summary by Sections Semiconductor Equipment - The demand for high-performance testing machines is increasing due to the complexity of AI chips and advanced storage chips, which require enhanced testing capabilities [2][21]. - The advanced packaging technology CoWoS is crucial for GPU and HBM interconnects, leading to a surge in demand for advanced packaging equipment [2][22]. - The semiconductor testing equipment market is projected to exceed $13.8 billion by 2025, with significant contributions from SoC and storage testing machines [21]. PCB Equipment - The AI infrastructure investment by Alibaba is expected to significantly boost the PCB market, with leading companies expanding their high-end HDI production capacities [3][4]. - The report highlights the increasing complexity and investment inflation in PCB production processes, particularly in drilling and exposure stages [4][44]. - Major PCB manufacturers are actively expanding their capacities to meet the rising demand for high-performance PCBs driven by AI servers [44][46]. Oil Service Equipment - Saudi Aramco's upcoming projects will require extensive procurement of materials and equipment, benefiting companies with technological advantages in the oil service sector [9]. - Companies like Neway and Jereh are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for oil service equipment due to their established relationships and capabilities [9]. Carbon Silicon - The report emphasizes the potential of single crystal silicon carbide (SiC) in enhancing the performance of CoWoS structures, which is critical for high-power GPU applications [5]. - The successful launch of a 12-inch SiC substrate processing line by Jing Sheng marks a significant advancement in domestic SiC technology [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Huafeng Measurement and Changchuan Technology for testing equipment, and Jing Sheng for packaging equipment, as they are expected to benefit from the growth in AI chip production [2][22]. - In the PCB sector, companies like Dazhu CNC and East China Electric are recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [43][46].

当前 PCB 设备市场的需求情况如何？ 目前，PCB 设备市场的需求类似于 2020 年三四季度或 2021 年的光伏锂电设 备市场。下游需求景气度显著，订单落地刚开始，预计今年第四季度和明年整 体订单兑现度会很高。这是基于现有上市公司扩产推算得出的结论。按照专用 设备扩产周期来看，不排除未来出现竞争性扩产机会，因此当前是配置设备公 司的较好时机。 PCB 设备行业的市场空间如何评估？ PCB 设备行业的需求主要分为存量更新替换和增量需求。存量更新替换方面， 可以通过产值法倒推整体空间。去年国内 PCB 行业产值约 400 亿美元（约 2,840 亿人民币），其中高多层占比 38%，HDI、封装基板和柔性板各占 17%左右。消费类 PCB 产品的设备占产值比重约 20%，HDI 为 50%~70%， AI 驱动 PCB 设备需求提升 20250922 摘要 PCB 设备行业存量更新替换市场空间巨大，约 1,000 亿人民币，每年稳 定替换需求在 200-300 亿人民币，主要通过产值法倒推得出，消费类 PCB 产品的设备占产值比重约 20%，HDI 为 50%~70%，载板为 1:1。 AI 相关领域驱动 P ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, specifically highlighting the potential in PCB equipment, solid-state battery equipment, and humanoid robots [1]. Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is driving the high-end PCB market, with significant growth expected in the server market from 2024 onwards, leading to increased production capacity among domestic PCB manufacturers [2][29]. - Solid-state battery equipment is seeing steady industrialization, with key suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent delivering critical production lines, indicating a growing market for solid-state batteries [4]. - The humanoid robot sector is poised for significant opportunities, particularly with upcoming product launches from Tesla and other companies, suggesting a favorable investment environment [5]. Summary by Sections PCB Equipment - Oracle's recent financial results indicate a substantial increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO), suggesting a strong demand for AI computing infrastructure [2]. - Leading PCB manufacturers in China are expanding their high-end HDI production capacity to capture quality orders in the server PCB market, which will significantly boost demand for drilling equipment [3]. - Key recommendations for PCB production include focusing on drilling, exposure, and electroplating processes, with specific companies highlighted for their roles in these areas [3][30]. Solid-State Battery Equipment - Leading equipment manufacturers are successfully delivering key solid-state battery production equipment, with significant energy savings and cost reductions reported [4]. - The solid-state battery sector is expected to enter a critical phase of pilot production by 2025-2026, with ongoing equipment optimization anticipated [4][22]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing a surge in interest, driven by new product releases and advancements in AI capabilities, with specific companies recommended for investment [5][44]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-performance AI models for the development of humanoid robots, indicating a need for continued innovation in this area [44][45]. Industry Trends - The mechanical equipment industry is witnessing a strong upward trend, with significant sales growth in excavators and other machinery, driven by infrastructure projects and international demand [11][36]. - The report highlights the increasing importance of electric and unmanned machinery in high-altitude projects, suggesting a shift in industry dynamics towards more advanced technologies [37][38].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a surge in artificial intelligence (AI) investments, but there are concerns about the sustainability of this trend due to rapid valuation increases in leading companies and segments like optical modules and optical communications [1] Investment Strategy - The focus is on identifying growth sectors with high potential and reliable management that can deliver on performance, while dynamically assessing cost-effectiveness based on future growth and current valuations [2] - The investment strategy emphasizes the importance of performance exceeding expectations, as many stocks that are fundamentally strong may not show significant price increases [2] AI Industry Segmentation - The AI industry chain is divided into three segments: upstream (computing power), midstream (data and large models), and downstream (applications) [3] - Downstream applications include software-related AI in education, office, and taxation, as well as hardware like robots, smart driving, AI phones, and AI glasses [3] Investment Opportunities - Current investment opportunities are concentrated in the computing power sector and downstream applications like robotics and certain hardware areas, which are seen as having relatively high investment value [3] - The robotics sector is viewed as a promising investment direction, particularly for companies that can participate in the Tesla supply chain and related domestic industries [3] AI Applications - AI applications are a focal point for investment, with companies that can turn "impossible into possible" through AI technology, such as humanoid robots and smart driving, being particularly attractive [3] - Companies that deepen their competitive advantages, such as those controlling channel access, are also seen as valuable long-term investments in the AI application space [3]

Macro Strategy - The report highlights the need to monitor domestic economic policy changes due to the upcoming Fourth Plenary Session and the focus on countering "involution" [1] Fixed Income - The report discusses why domestic commercial banks are unlikely to reduce their balance sheets, citing factors such as the need to support the economy during a slowdown, the current accommodative monetary policy, and the role of state-owned capital in maintaining financial services to the real economy [2][22] - It emphasizes that the probability of a sector-wide balance sheet reduction is low, despite some smaller banks potentially facing this situation [22] Industry Analysis - The environmental industry report indicates that the waste incineration sector saw a revenue increase of 1% year-on-year in H1 2025, with net profit rising by 8% and an improvement in cash flow [4][6] - The report notes that operational efficiency improvements and reduced financial costs are driving performance growth, with a significant increase in return on equity (ROE) for pure waste operation companies [4][6] - It highlights the importance of enhancing operational efficiency and expanding both B-end and C-end markets to boost profitability and cash flow [6] Food and Beverage Industry - The beer industry report suggests that the sector is expected to benefit from a recovery in consumption, particularly in dining and retail scenarios, with a focus on high-growth companies like Yanjing Beer and Qingdao Beer [7] - The health supplement sector is noted for its potential valuation reconstruction, with a focus on quality stocks [8] Company-Specific Insights - The report on Yingke Recycling indicates strong growth in the decorative building materials business, with a focus on expanding its recycling capabilities and global presence [9] - The analysis of Magmi Te highlights a revenue increase of 16.5% year-on-year in H1 2025, despite a significant drop in net profit due to increased strategic investments [10][11] - The report on Weirgao emphasizes its leadership in the power PCB sector, projecting significant revenue growth driven by AI server demand and production capacity expansion [12] - The analysis of Dacilin shows a revenue increase of 1.33% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a notable profit growth of 21.38% [13] - The report on Dazhu CNC highlights its position as a leader in PCB equipment, benefiting from the demand for high-layer PCB devices driven by AI server needs [14]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **High-end Equipment and AI PCB Market**: The AI PCB market is driven by key players such as Xinxin Microelectronics, Dazhu CNC, and Dongwei, which dominate the exposure machine, mechanical drilling, and pulse plating segments, respectively. Their capital expenditures are expected to account for over 80% of the AI PCB market in 2025, indicating strong stock performance and investment potential [1][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Domestic Substitution in PCB Equipment**: There is significant potential for domestic substitution in the PCB equipment sector. While Shenghong Technology relies heavily on imported equipment, companies like Dazhu CNC and Dongwei are positioned to capitalize on domestic alternatives. By the second half of 2025 to the first half of 2026, domestic substitutes for CO2 laser drilling machines and horizontal three-in-one plating are expected to emerge [1][5]. - **Apple's Investment in AI**: Apple plans to significantly increase its investment in generative AI and related machine learning technologies, committing an additional $100 billion, bringing total investments to $900 billion over four years. The upgrade of the mobile GPT-4 model to GPT-5 is also anticipated [1][10]. - **Apple's Hardware Innovations**: The years 2026 and 2027 are projected to be pivotal for Apple's hardware innovations, including the iPhone 17, which will support edge AI applications and introduce new cooling technologies. The launch of a foldable phone is expected in 2026, with sales projections of 10 million units in the first year, increasing to 25 million in 2027, benefiting related mechanical companies [1][11][13]. - **Lithium Battery Equipment Sector**: The lithium battery equipment industry is experiencing a domestic cyclical turning point, driven by ongoing overseas cycles and advancements in solid-state battery technology. Revenue and profit recovery is evident, with significant growth reported by leading companies [1][18]. Additional Important Insights - **Investment Opportunities in 3C Automation Equipment**: The 3C automation equipment market is heavily reliant on Apple's product innovation cycles. Despite a relatively stagnant performance in 2025, the upcoming product launches and AR device demand are expected to provide substantial growth opportunities [4][9][17]. - **Solid-State Battery Technology Impact**: The solid-state battery technology is catalyzing growth in the lithium battery equipment sector, with significant government subsidies and a projected release of equipment flexibility between 2026 and 2027 [19][20]. - **Military Sector Trends**: The military sector is expected to continue its upward trend post-adjustment, with a focus on new types of equipment that enhance systemic confrontation, unmanned capabilities, and strategic deterrence. Key areas of investment include drones, laser weapons, and commercial aerospace [4][26][30]. - **Emerging Investment Recommendations**: Investors are advised to focus on leading companies in the lithium battery equipment sector, such as Xian Dao Intelligent and Hangke Technology, which are well-positioned for growth due to their strong financial performance and market positioning [23][24][25]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and trends from the conference call records, highlighting the potential investment opportunities and risks within the high-end equipment, AI PCB, 3C automation, lithium battery, and military sectors.

Group 1 - The manufacturing PMI in August showed a slight recovery, increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 49.4%, indicating a modest improvement in market demand [1] - The production and new orders indices were reported at 50.8% and 49.5%, respectively, with increases of 0.3 and 0.1 percentage points, suggesting a warming in manufacturing market demand [1] - The company observes structural opportunities in AI infrastructure and new consumption, with expectations for improved profitability in downstream manufacturing by the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Excavator sales, both domestic and international, saw significant year-on-year growth of 17% and 32% respectively, indicating a positive outlook for external sales and improving profit margins for manufacturers [2] - Companies such as XCMG, Liugong, and Zoomlion are recommended for investment due to their potential in the improving market [2] Group 3 - Leading companies in lithium battery equipment, such as Sieng and Hanke Technology, have shown a turning point in revenue, profit, and cash flow, confirming the timely release of downstream demand [3] - An investment of approximately 6 billion yuan is expected for solid-state battery research, with potential short-term catalysts anticipated from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's project acceptance [3] - Long-term trends indicate increasing battery penetration rates in Europe and the U.S., with recommendations for companies like Sieng, Hanke Technology, Lianying Laser, and Keda Li [3] Group 4 - The PCB equipment and materials sector is entering a new innovation and expansion cycle, with capital expenditure expected to accelerate from the fourth quarter of 2024 [4] - The PCB industry's capital expenditure is projected to increase monthly, with potential for upward revisions in industry orders [4] - In the liquid cooling segment, demand is expected to rise due to overseas capital expenditure expansion, with recommendations for companies like Invec and Tsugami Machine Tool [4]

Industry Overview - The global PCB industry value is expected to decline by 14.9% in 2023 but is projected to grow by 5.9% to $73.6 billion in 2024 [1][2] - The PCB market is anticipated to grow by 6.8% in 2023, driven by the recovery in consumer electronics and increased demand for high-value PCB products, particularly from AI servers [1][2] - From 2024 to 2029, the global market for PCBs used in servers/storage is expected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.0%, while the overall PCB market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.6% [1][2] Company Recommendations - Companies to watch in the PCB equipment sector include: - 大族数控 (Dazhu CNC) for drilling equipment - 芯碁微装 (Xinqi Micro) for exposure equipment - 鼎泰高科 (Ding Tai High-Tech) for drilling needles - 中钨高新 (Zhongtu High-Tech) for drilling needles - 凯格精机 (Kaige Precision) for solder paste printing - 东威科技 (Dongwei Technology) for electroplating [2] Specific Company Insights - 绿田机械 (Lvtian Machinery) is focused on general power machinery products and has begun mass production of energy storage products. The company is expected to see net profit growth rates of 24.1%, 55.9%, 56.3%, and 70.4% from Q3 2024 to Q2 2025 [2] - 宏华数科 (Honghua Digital Science) continues to experience rapid growth in digital printing equipment, with projected revenue of 1.04 billion yuan and net profit of 250 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 27.2% and 25.2% respectively [3] - 新锐股份 (Xinxin Co.) has reported revenue growth of 28.97% and net profit growth of 2.88% in the first half of the year, with expectations for improved profitability as business growth stabilizes [5]