华龙证券近日发布机械设备行业周报：上周（2025.12.08-2025.12.12）机械设备行业上涨1.79%，在一级 31个行业中排名第5位。子行业中，专用设备（+3.34%）、通用设备（+2.72%）、轨交设备 （+0.37%）、工程机械（+0.19%）、自动化设备（-0.12%）。 以下为研究报告摘要： 摘要： 上周（2025.12.08-2025.12.12）机械设备行业上涨1.79%，在一级31个行业中排名第5位。子行业中，专 用设备（+3.34%）、通用设备（+2.72%）、轨交设备（+0.37%）、工程机械（+0.19%）、自动化设备 （-0.12%）。我们认为，伴随三季报完成披露市场风险偏好有望提升，建议兼顾科技成长与顺周期，配 置具备业绩支撑的板块及个股，维持行业"推荐"评级。科技方向关注：PCB设备、可控核聚变、人形机 器人、半导体设备等；周期方向关注：工程机械、通用设备复苏等。 全球算力竞争日趋激烈，推动半导体产业链自主可控进程加速。一方面，国内外算力硬件企业资本活动 密集：国内以摩尔线程、沐曦为代表的GPU企业正加速推进上市融资；另一方面，国际云计算巨头（如 亚马逊）持续迭代先进制程自 ...

韩冰 机械行业分析师 执业编号：S1500523100001 邮 箱： hanbing1@cindasc.com 机械行业 2026 年度投资策略：成长引领， 周期价值共振 [Table_Industry] 2025 年 12 月 5 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业策略报告 王锐 机械行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500523080006 邮 箱： wangrui1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127 号金 隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 机械行业 2026 年度投资策略：成长引领，周 期价值共振 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 5 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 [Table_Author] [Table_Summary] 行业整体回顾: 今年市场整体呈上涨趋势，年初至今（截至 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Analyst Conference highlighted the potential for a bull market in A-shares, attracting global capital inflow [1][4] - The event gathered over 300 experts to discuss future opportunities in the Chinese capital market [1][4] Group 1: Human-Robot Development - The commercialization path for humanoid robots is becoming clearer, progressing through a "three-step" approach [5][6] - Current applications have moved from static displays to dynamic uses, with a growing rental market emerging [5][6] - The next phase involves standardizing scenarios in factory environments, leading to deeper integration with existing industrial robots [5][6] - The ultimate goal is to introduce humanoid robots into households, which requires high levels of intelligence and versatility, potentially creating a market as large as that for automobiles or consumer electronics [5][6] Group 2: Specific Applications and Market Predictions - Current research focuses on high-risk sectors such as elderly care, firefighting, and mining, with 2026 expected to be a pivotal year for scaling applications [2][6] - Robots will specialize in specific tasks, with their competitive edge relying on deep understanding and accumulation of scenario data [2][6] - Industries like logistics, automotive manufacturing, and textiles are likely to see early adoption of these technologies [2][6] Group 3: Automotive Industry Involvement - The involvement of companies like Tesla and Xpeng in humanoid robotics is seen as a natural extension of their strategies [6] - These automotive companies possess inherent advantages in technology, supply chains, and sales channels, enabling them to integrate resources more efficiently than many startups [6] Group 4: Global Manufacturing Trends - The Chinese manufacturing sector is experiencing a dual trend of accelerating overseas expansion and focusing on high-end production [6] - Many Chinese firms are shifting from exporting products to exporting production capacity, leading to a rise in globally competitive companies in sectors like engineering machinery and injection molding [6] - The themes of domestic substitution and self-sufficiency remain long-term priorities in high-end fields such as industrial machinery and integrated circuit equipment [6] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Investment strategies for the coming year should focus on emerging areas closely tied to technological transformation, such as humanoid robots, solid-state battery equipment, and PCB equipment [6] - Additionally, sectors like engineering machinery and injection molding, which are currently undervalued but poised for growth due to overseas market expansion, should be considered [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, specifically recommending AI equipment, humanoid robots, and related sectors [1]. Core Insights - The expansion of AI data centers in the U.S. is driving increased demand for power generation, particularly benefiting domestic equipment manufacturers [2]. - The introduction of Google's Gemini 3 model indicates a sustained growth in AI computing infrastructure, leading to increased demand for PCB and liquid cooling equipment [3]. - The humanoid robot sector is expected to experience a significant upward trend, particularly with upcoming catalysts in December and early 2026 [4]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report suggests a focus on companies such as North China Huachuang, SANY Heavy Industry, Zhongwei Company, and others across various segments including semiconductor equipment, engineering machinery, and automation [1][13]. Investment Highlights - **Gas Turbines**: The U.S. AI data center expansion is expected to boost demand for gas turbine power generation, with significant opportunities for domestic brands like Jereh and Haomai Technology [2]. - **AI Equipment**: The performance of Google's Gemini 3 has exceeded expectations, indicating a robust demand for AI computing infrastructure, particularly in PCB and liquid cooling solutions [3]. - **Humanoid Robots**: The humanoid robot sector is poised for a major rally, driven by key developments from Tesla and other domestic players [4]. Industry Trends - The mechanical equipment sector is projected to recover, with a focus on electric forklifts and automation solutions driven by labor shortages and technological advancements [17][49]. - The global market for warehouse automation solutions is expected to grow significantly, with AMR solutions leading the way due to their efficiency and flexibility [49]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts substantial growth in net profits for various companies within the sector, with specific projections for 2025-2027 indicating a positive outlook for companies like Zhongli and Jereh [19][25][32].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies in the engineering machinery and forklift sectors, emphasizing undervalued growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of NVIDIA in FY26Q3, with revenue reaching $57.01 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.0%, indicating robust demand in the AI equipment sector [2][3]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with domestic excavator sales projected to grow at an annual rate of over 30% from 2025 to 2028, despite current funding challenges affecting sales conversion [4]. - The forklift industry shows a positive trend with October sales reaching 114,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 16%, driven by low domestic demand baselines and recovering overseas demand [4]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report recommends a focus on companies such as Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and others in the engineering machinery and AI equipment sectors [1][14]. AI Equipment - NVIDIA's strategic partnerships with OpenAI and other tech giants are expected to enhance AI infrastructure, with significant revenue growth anticipated in the upcoming quarters [3]. - Recommendations for AI equipment include Dazhu CNC for PCB drilling equipment and Hongsheng for liquid cooling solutions [4]. Engineering Machinery - October data shows a significant improvement in domestic sales of various machinery types, with excavator sales expected to peak at 250,000 units by 2028 [4]. - Key companies recommended in this sector include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and others [4]. Forklift Industry - The forklift sector is experiencing steady growth, with a notable increase in both domestic and export sales, indicating a recovery in demand [4]. - Recommended companies include Hangcha Group and Anhui Heli [4]. Lithium Battery Equipment - The report anticipates a 40% growth in energy storage demand from 2025 to 2026, driven by the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and AI data centers [4]. - Key recommendations include suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent and Hangke Technology [4]. General Market Trends - The overall machinery industry is expected to benefit from a recovery in fixed asset investment and a rebound in demand across various sectors, including construction and logistics [4].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates a structural prosperity in the mechanical industry despite relatively weak domestic demand, with a focus on new technologies and identifying beneficiaries from interest rate cuts and manufacturing capacity transfers [1][2]. Group 1: Focus on New Technologies - Emphasis on emerging industries with intensive technological changes and strong capital expenditures, such as humanoid robots, solid-state battery equipment, controllable nuclear fusion, and PCB equipment [1][3]. - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see significant advancements, with major companies like Tesla and Nvidia making substantial investments, marking 2026 as a pivotal year for mass production [3]. - The lithium battery equipment sector is showing signs of recovery after a two-year downturn, with improvements in revenue and profit, driven by new technologies [3]. Group 2: Seeking New Growth - The engineering machinery sector is recovering, with various categories showing growth, particularly in non-excavation machinery, supported by favorable export trends [4]. - The tools and hardware sector is expected to benefit from improved US-China relations and tariff reductions in the short term, with long-term gains anticipated from real estate demand following US interest rate cuts [4]. - The mining machinery sector is experiencing increased capital expenditures due to rising non-ferrous metal prices, with domestic companies expanding their overseas presence [4].

Core Viewpoint - The PCB industry is expected to benefit from AI demand and the continuous growth in the market for high-end PCBs, with global PCB output projected to reach $94.661 billion by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 5.2% from 2024 to 2029 [1] Market Space - The global PCB market is projected to reach $73.6 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, with China holding the largest production capacity [1] - The third round of capital expenditure is expected to explode, with eight leading domestic PCB companies projected to spend a total of 16.3 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 85% year-on-year [1] Equipment Demand - The global PCB equipment market is expected to grow from $5.84 billion in 2020 to $7.085 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.95%, while the Chinese PCB equipment market is projected to reach 29.442 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.6% from 2020 to 2024 [1] - The demand for PCB equipment is expected to rise due to AI-driven needs for high-layer boards, HDI boards, and IC packaging substrates [1] Competitive Landscape - The industry concentration is relatively low, with the top five companies in China holding a combined market share of 23.9%, and Dazhu CNC leading with approximately 10.1% market share domestically [2] - The domestic high-end PCB equipment localization rate is below 30%, indicating significant room for growth [2] Focus Areas - The global market for drilling equipment is expected to exceed 10 billion yuan in 2024, driven by the increasing demand for high-layer PCBs [3] - The global PCB drilling needle market is projected to reach $836 million in 2024, with AI driving demand towards high-end products [3] - Exposure equipment is expected to benefit from the trends of higher precision, lower costs, and faster iterations in AIPCB [3] - Plating equipment will benefit from the increase in PCB layers, which raises the complexity and quality requirements of the equipment [3]

Group 1: Core Insights - The high-end manufacturing sector will remain a key focus and investment theme in 2026, with significant breakthroughs expected in humanoid robots, liquid cooling equipment, and solid-state battery equipment [1] - The PCB equipment industry is anticipated to improve due to the growing demand for AI computing power [1] Group 2: Humanoid Robots - 2026 is projected to be a breakthrough year for mass production in the humanoid robot industry, with a focus on high-complexity dexterous hands, screw rod production and cost reduction, reducer supply chain, six-dimensional force sensors, and precision injection molding [2] Group 3: Liquid Cooling Equipment - The liquid cooling industry is expected to see increased penetration driven by higher chip power density and lower data center PUE, with a shift from single-phase to dual-phase and immersion cooling technologies [3] Group 4: PCB Equipment - The AIPCB industry's positive outlook is extending to upstream equipment, with domestic manufacturers actively capturing the high-end PCB equipment market, indicating a broad market space for domestic equipment [4] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Equipment - Multiple battery manufacturers have confirmed plans for mass production of all-solid-state batteries, with rising demand expectations and supportive policies, indicating a potential breakthrough in the industry [5] Group 6: External Demand - The easing of tariff impacts is expected to sustain proactive inventory replenishment in tools and OPE, with a focus on mining equipment investment driven by copper grade decline and supply gaps [6] Group 7: Internal Demand - The recovery in manufacturing sentiment is likely to boost demand for machine tools and cutting tools, alongside accelerated automation upgrades in manufacturing enterprises [7]

Core Viewpoints - In 2026, high-end manufacturing will remain a key focus for the market, with significant breakthroughs expected in humanoid robots, liquid cooling equipment, and solid-state battery equipment industries. The PCB equipment sector is anticipated to see increased demand driven by the growth in AI computing power [3][4]. Group 1: Technology - The humanoid robot industry is expected to achieve mass production breakthroughs in 2026, with a focus on high-complexity dexterous hands, screw rod mass production, and the reducer supply chain [4][21]. - Liquid cooling technology is projected to evolve from single-phase cooling plates to dual-phase and immersion cooling systems, driven by increased chip power density and reduced PUE in data centers [4][49]. - The PCB equipment market is set to benefit from the rising demand for AI-related PCBs, with domestic manufacturers actively expanding their high-end PCB production capacity [4][50]. Group 2: External Demand - The impact of tariffs is expected to stabilize, leading to a recovery in external demand, particularly in tool & OPE and mining machinery exports [4][5]. - The mining equipment sector is highlighted with two main investment lines: the inflation of consumables due to declining copper ore grades and the acceleration of capital expenditures driven by supply gaps [4][5]. Group 3: Internal Demand - The recovery of the manufacturing sector is likely to boost demand for machine tools and automation equipment, with a focus on domestic replacements [4][5]. - The automation upgrade pace among manufacturing enterprises is accelerating, indicating a strong trend towards domestic automation equipment [4][5]. Group 4: Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies in the humanoid robot sector include Zhaowei Electromechanical, Mingzhi Electric, and others focusing on various components of humanoid robots [4][21]. - In the liquid cooling equipment space, companies such as Invec, Highlan, and others are suggested for investment [4][49]. - For PCB equipment, leading firms like Dazhu Laser and Dongwei Technology are highlighted as key players to watch [4][50][55].

Group 1: Aerospace Industry - The "Aerospace Power" has been included in the 14th Five-Year Plan, indicating a potential rapid development phase over the next five years[10] - The deep space economy is expected to become a core engine for transforming China from a space power to a space superpower, with significant breakthroughs in key technologies like satellite internet and reusable rockets[10] - The aerospace industry value chain is structured like a pyramid, with high profit margins in the mid and downstream sectors, which include satellite services and ground equipment[12] Group 2: PCB Equipment - Demand for drilling equipment is increasing due to the rise in the number of holes required for high-speed materials, leading to a significant increase in the number of machines needed for PCB production[33] - The market for laser drilling equipment is experiencing both volume and price increases, driven by the growing complexity of PCB designs[33] - Major players in the PCB equipment market, such as Dazhu CNC and Dingtai High-Tech, are expected to see substantial revenue growth, with Dazhu reporting a 95.19% year-over-year increase in revenue for Q3 2023[35] Group 3: Automotive Industry - The automotive industry is expected to focus on "expanding domestic demand" and "high-quality development" during the 14th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing smart and green technologies[51] - The integration of AI and green technologies is projected to enhance the competitiveness of the automotive sector, with a focus on electric and hybrid vehicles[54] Group 4: AI Glasses - The market for AI glasses is rapidly expanding, with major players like Meta launching products that have received strong market responses, indicating a growing consumer interest[60] - AI glasses are expected to enhance user interaction through integrated functionalities, positioning them as a significant advancement in wearable technology[64] Group 5: Floor Cleaning Machines - The floor cleaning machine market has seen significant sales growth since Q4 2024, driven by government subsidies, with a projected increase in sales volume[89] - The market is currently dominated by a few key players, indicating a trend towards increased market concentration[89]