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新宝股份(002705):海外需求旺盛带动外销增长,Q1利润表现亮眼
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-29 08:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 16.82 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.05 billion yuan, up 7.75% year-on-year [1]. - The company is experiencing strong overseas demand, leading to significant growth in exports, while domestic sales are under pressure due to a sluggish consumer market [2]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 20.91%, a decrease of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.63%, down 0.51 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.13 billion yuan, a 6.15% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 268 million yuan, up 11.07% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.83 billion yuan, a 10.36% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 247 million yuan, a significant increase of 43.02% year-on-year [1]. Sales and Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the company's domestic sales decreased by 4.42% while international sales increased by 21.68%. In Q4 2024, domestic sales fell by 11.3% and international sales grew by 14.1% [2]. - For Q1 2025, domestic sales declined by 4.94% while international sales rose by 15.77%, indicating a continued trend of strong export growth despite domestic challenges [2]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 20.91%, down from the previous year, while the net margin was 6.63% [3]. - In Q4 2024, the gross margin was 19.38%, a decline of 4.01 percentage points year-on-year, but the net margin slightly improved to 7.01% [3]. Expense Management - The company maintained good control over its expense ratios in 2024, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 3.6%, 4.94%, 3.94%, and -0.52% respectively [3]. - For Q1 2025, the expense ratios were 3.9% for sales, 5.8% for management, and 3.36% for R&D, indicating a slight increase in management expenses [4]. Future Outlook - The company expects to see gradual recovery in domestic sales due to a low base, while external orders are anticipated to continue driving overall revenue growth [4]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.21 billion yuan, 1.37 billion yuan, and 1.51 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.74x, 7.68x, and 6.99x [4].
新宝股份(002705):Q1外销延续快增,内销边际改善
Guotou Securities· 2025-04-29 08:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 17.10 CNY for the next six months [4][6]. Core Views - The company has shown strong growth in overseas sales, with a year-on-year increase of 15.8% in Q1, driven by robust demand for small household appliances and increased inventory needs due to uncertainties in U.S. tariff policies [2]. - Domestic sales have shown marginal improvement, with a year-on-year decline of 4.9% in Q1, compared to a decline of 11.2% in Q4 2024, supported by government subsidies for replacing old appliances [2]. - The company's profitability has improved, with a net profit margin of 6.4% in Q1, up by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to better investment returns and a favorable exchange rate [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 16.82 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, and a net profit of 1.05 billion CNY, up by 7.7% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.83 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit of 0.25 billion CNY, up by 43.0% [1][3]. - The company's gross profit margin improved by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating better cost management and product mix [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing government subsidies for small household appliances, which will likely enhance domestic sales [4]. - The establishment of a manufacturing base in Indonesia is anticipated to mitigate trade policy risks and support stable growth in overseas sales [2]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 to 2027 are estimated to be 1.43 CNY, 1.62 CNY, and 1.88 CNY respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [7].
新宝股份(002705):公司信息更新报告:2025Q1外销延续较好景气,内销降幅收窄
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 05:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xinbao Co., Ltd. is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company continues to experience good external sales performance while the decline in domestic sales is narrowing. The overall revenue growth remains stable, with a projected net profit increase for 2025-2027 [5][6] - The company reported a revenue of 16.82 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.84%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.05 billion yuan, up 7.75% year-on-year [5][6] - The company is expected to benefit from category expansion, which is likely to drive steady growth in external sales, while improvements in domestic sales will enhance profitability [5][6] Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2025E Revenue: 18.52 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1% - 2025E Net Profit: 1.20 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4% [8][10] - Key Financial Ratios: - Gross Margin: 21.4% in 2025E - Net Margin: 6.5% in 2025E - Return on Equity (ROE): 13.3% in 2025E [8][11] Sales Performance - In Q1 2025, domestic sales revenue was 860 million yuan, down 5% year-on-year, while external sales revenue was 2.97 billion yuan, up 16% year-on-year. The trend shows a recovery in external sales and a narrowing decline in domestic sales [6][7] Market Outlook - The company is actively cooperating with downstream clients to shift production capacity, which is expected to support steady growth in external sales as overseas production ramps up [6][7]
新宝股份:Q1抢出口效应强,Q2或面临挑战-20250429
HTSC· 2025-04-29 04:10
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 16.47 [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 16.82 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.05 billion, up 7.75% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, total revenue grew by 10.36% year-on-year, while net profit surged by 43.02% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is a leader in small appliance exports, benefiting from strong demand in Q1 2025, although it may face challenges in Q2 due to increased tariffs from the US [1][3] - The company has initiated a share buyback and declared a dividend of RMB 0.45 per share, enhancing shareholder returns [1] Summary by Sections Domestic Sales - The company's domestic sales faced significant pressure in 2024, with a revenue decline of 4.5% year-on-year, and continued to decline by 4.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025. The main brands, Mofei and Dongling, are less sensitive to the new subsidy policies, leading to a slower recovery compared to the industry [2] Export Business - The export revenue growth for the company was strong in 2024 and Q1 2025, with year-on-year increases of 29.7%, 25.1%, 20.3%, and 14.1% for each quarter of 2024. However, the growth rate is expected to be pressured in Q2 2025 due to rising tariffs imposed by the US [3][5] Profitability and Costs - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 20.91%, a decrease of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the higher proportion of low-margin exports. In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 22.42%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. The company also optimized its expense ratios, with a decrease in the period expense ratio by 1.08 percentage points in 2024 [4] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to RMB 1.43, 1.57, and 1.75, reflecting a downward revision of 5% and 7% for 2025 and 2026, respectively. The target price is adjusted to RMB 16.47, corresponding to a 2025 price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11.5x [5][10]
新宝股份:外销保持较快增速,Q1盈利水平有所提升-20250429
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 16.82 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.05 billion yuan, up 7.8% year-on-year [1] - The company experienced strong growth in overseas sales, with a 21.7% increase in foreign revenue for 2024, while domestic sales faced pressure with a decline of 4.4% [2] - The gross margin for 2024 decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 20.9%, primarily due to intensified market competition and changes in sales structure [3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 250 million yuan, a significant increase of 43.0% year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [4] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the company's revenue from kitchen appliances, home appliances, and other products was 11.51 billion yuan, 2.92 billion yuan, and 2.08 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.3%, 17.4%, and 7.4% [2] - For Q1 2025, the company’s revenue from foreign and domestic markets showed a year-on-year increase of 15.8% and a decline of 4.9% respectively [2] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved by 0.5 percentage points to 22.4%, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [4] - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 increased by 1.3 percentage points to 6.9% [4] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.16 billion yuan, 1.27 billion yuan, and 1.38 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.5%, 9.4%, and 8.5% [4]
苏泊尔(002032):合同负债高增44% 国补提振效果显现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:43
公司披露一季报。2025Q1 收入实现同比增长7.6%,归母净利润同比增长+5.8%,扣非归母净利润同比 增长+5%,表现符合市场预期。一季度公司经营活动现金流净额5.8 亿元,超出业绩绝对值。 维持强烈推荐投资评级。我们预计苏泊尔2025-2027 年业绩分别为24.3/26.3/27.5 亿元,同比分别增长 8%、8%及5%,对应PE 分别为19 倍、18 倍及17 倍,维持"强烈推荐"投资评级。 国补助力内需改善。我们预计苏泊尔25Q1 国内恢复增长3.5%,相较24H2下滑2.7%,环比改善明显,主 要跟国补提振市场终端需求有关,公司合同负债同比大幅增长44%,预示经销商打款积极性高;根据奥 维云网,厨小电2025Q1 零售额同比增长2.5%。苏泊尔今年AWE 期间发布多款电饭煲、破壁机、空气 炸锅等小厨电新品,同时迭代多款饮水机、熨烫机、吹风筒、母婴系列等产品,预期有望凭借出色产品 力充分受益国补。 风险提示:行业需求不振、以旧换新国家补贴效果不及预期;海外需求景气度不及预期;原材料价格大 幅上涨。 SEB 订单稳增无惧关税冲击。公司25Q1 外销收入预计同比增长18%,主要跟SEB 持续订单转移助 ...
比依股份(603215):2025Q1收入业绩高增 咖啡机预期逐步兑现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
2025Q1 盈利微降,管理费用率明显优化,整体运营提效。1)毛利率: 事件:2025 年4 月24 日,比依股份发布2024 年年报及2025Q1 报告。2024 年公司实现总营收20.59 亿元 (+32.01%),归母净利润1.40 亿元(-30.84%),扣非归母净利润1.35 亿元(-29.82%)。2025Q1 营业 收入为5.30 亿元(+65.68%),归母净利润0.15 亿元(+47.96%),扣非归母净利润0.12 亿元 (+26.00%)。公司拟以1.86 亿股为基数,向全体股东每股派发现金红利0.30 元(含税),合计0.56 亿 元(含税),占公司2024 年度合并报表归母净利润的40.01%。 风险提示: 关税加征导致全球贸易政策变化、市场竞争加剧、新品类新业务拓展受阻等。 2024 年空炸主业快增,咖啡机逐步放量,环电新品类开始贡献收入。 2024Q4/2025Q1 公司毛利率分别为13.95/12.70%,分别同比-5.09/-0.25pct,短期承压或系主业大客户低 毛利率产品占比提升,叠加咖啡机、环境电器等产品初期模具、设备等投入较高。我们认为,伴随产能 爬坡及高端产品订单 ...
新宝股份(002705):Q1抢出口效应强,Q2或面临挑战
HTSC· 2025-04-29 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 16.47 [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 16.82 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.84%, and a net profit of RMB 1.05 billion, up 7.75% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, total revenue grew by 10.36% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 43.02% year-on-year. The performance for 2024 met expectations [1][2] - The company is a leader in small appliance exports, benefiting from strong demand in Q1 2025, although potential challenges from increased tariffs in the U.S. may impact Q2 performance. The company has significant experience in product planning, industrial design, and rapid production, indicating resilience in long-term export sales [1][3] - The domestic sales faced challenges, with a revenue decline of 4.5% in 2024 and a further decline of 4.9% in Q1 2025. The main brands are less sensitive to the new replacement subsidy policies, leading to a slower recovery compared to the industry [2] - The company's export growth was strong in 2024, with quarterly growth rates of 29.7%, 25.1%, 20.3%, and 14.1% respectively. However, the growth rate is expected to face pressure in Q2 2025 due to increased tariffs imposed by the U.S. [3][5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 20.91%, a decrease of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a higher proportion of low-margin exports. The gross margin improved to 22.42% in Q1 2025 [4] - The company has initiated a share buyback and declared a dividend of RMB 0.45 per share, enhancing shareholder returns [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 17.69 billion, RMB 18.89 billion, and RMB 20.15 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 5.16%, 6.78%, and 6.70% [10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.43, RMB 1.57, and RMB 1.75 respectively [10] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for comparable companies is projected at 15x for 2025, while the company is assigned a PE of 11.5x, leading to a revised target price of RMB 16.47 [5]
德昌股份:收入保持良好增长趋势,发布定增强化海外产能建设-20250429
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.0% to 80 million yuan [1] - The company is expanding its overseas production capacity, with plans to raise up to 1.524 billion yuan through a private placement to enhance its competitive strength [2] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.8%, down by 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 8.1%, down by 2.2 percentage points [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.775 billion yuan in 2023 to 7.422 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.3% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 322 million yuan in 2023 to 721 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 7.9%, 27.5%, 15.0%, 24.5%, and 22.7% for the respective years [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.87 yuan in 2023 to 1.94 yuan in 2027 [4] Investment Strategy - The company aims to optimize its domestic and overseas production layout, focusing on the construction of new facilities in Thailand and Vietnam to enhance its product offerings [2] - The report anticipates a steady increase in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 4.7 billion yuan, 5.9 billion yuan, and 7.2 billion yuan respectively [2]
新宝股份(002705):外销保持较快增速,Q1盈利水平有所提升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 16.82 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.05 billion yuan, up 7.8% year-on-year [1] - The company experienced strong growth in overseas sales, with a 21.7% increase in foreign revenue for 2024, while domestic sales faced pressure with a decline of 4.4% [2] - The gross margin for 2024 decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 20.9%, primarily due to intensified market competition and changes in sales structure [3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit of 250 million yuan, up 43.0% year-on-year [1][4] Revenue Breakdown - For 2024, the company's revenue from kitchen appliances was 11.51 billion yuan, up 16.3%, while home appliances revenue was 2.92 billion yuan, up 17.4% [2] - The revenue from global ODM/OEM and proprietary brands in 2024 was 14.34 billion yuan and 2.48 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +20.1% and -8.3% [2] Profitability Metrics - The net profit margin for 2024 was 6.6%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 22.4%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [4] Future Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.16 billion yuan, 1.27 billion yuan, and 1.38 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.5%, 9.4%, and 8.5% [4]