东兴证券指出，在指数维持区间震荡的前提下，建议维持中等仓位，可参与市场结构性投资的机会。在 7月之前市场有望维持大的区间震荡走势，由于市场成交量维持在较低水平，市场成交难以支撑大市值 板块持续上涨，因此，市场热点轮动态势将会十分明显，即使人工智能、机器人等产业向好的主线，目 前量能情况下也难有整体性上涨基础，因此，积极参与主线轮动将是较为合理的策略。在二季度存在业 绩压力的预期下，对于低估值板块可逢低布局，随着利率持续下行，机构资金尤其是中长线资金配置的 方向仍在低估值高分红板块。一旦进入6月之后，市场开始重新回归业绩预期，低估值板块有望迎来恢 复性反弹。 中原证券认为，周三A股市场高开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在3378点 附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震荡，盘中消费电子、互联网服务、证券以及有色金属等行业表现较好； 航空机场、物流、航天航空以及化学制药等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特 征。当前上证综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别为13.78倍、36.16倍，处于近三年中位数平均水平， 适合中长期布局。两市周三成交金额11776亿元，处于近三年日均成交量中位数区域上 ...

易主五年后，海南发展（002163）（002163.SZ）首次获得控股股东方面的增持。 6月2日晚间，海南发展发布公告称，公司控股股东海南控股及其一致行动人计划通过深圳证券交易所交 易系统允许的方式（包括但不限于集中竞价和大宗交易等），增持公司股份。本次拟增持金额为不低于 1亿元、不超过2亿元，增持股份数量不超过公司总股本的2%。 公告披露，中信银行海口分行同意为海南控股提供股票增持专项贷款支持，贷款金额不超过1.53亿元， 贷款期限不超过36个月。除了上述贷款外，本次股票增持资金来源为控股股东及一致行动人的自有资 金。 长江商报奔腾新闻记者注意到，这是海南发展自2020年5月易主五年以来，首次获得海南控股及其一致 行动人增持。截至2025年第一季度末，海南控股持有海南发展2.593亿股，持股比例为30.69%，市值约 21.91亿元。 长江商报奔腾新闻记者 杨蝶 毫无疑问，海南发展控股股东方面选择在此时增持，旨在提振市场信心。海南发展表示，此举是基于对 公司未来战略发展的信心以及公司价值的认可，同时为提升投资者信心，稳定公司股价，维护中小股东 利益。 海南发展主要从事幕墙与内装工程、光伏玻璃、特种玻璃深加工 ...

Mergers and Acquisitions - Cixing Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 75% of Shenyang Shunyi Technology Co., Ltd. through a combination of issuing shares and cash payments, while also raising supporting funds from no more than 35 qualified investors [1] - United Optoelectronics intends to purchase 100% of Changyi Optoelectronics from 12 shareholders via share issuance and will also raise supporting funds [2] - Inte Group's subsidiary, Inte Pharmaceutical, successfully acquired 100% equity of Zhejiang Huadong Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. for 369 million yuan and signed a transaction contract with the transferor [3] Shareholding Changes - Guokang Biochemical announced that shareholders plan to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 6% of the company's total shares, with specific plans from two major shareholders to reduce by 3% each [4] - Ruilian New Materials reported that a major shareholder, Guofu Yongyu, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 3.33%, equivalent to 573,110 shares [5] - Hongxin Technology disclosed that two major shareholders, Baiqiang and Taizhou Qixin, plan to reduce their holdings by 2.62% and 2.12% respectively [6] Risk Matters - Sinovac Biotech highlighted the high-tech, high-risk, and high-value characteristics of its innovative drugs, emphasizing the uncertainties involved in the research and approval processes [7] - Zhongheng Design noted that the revenue from its low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace projects is minimal compared to its consolidated financial statements, despite winning several contracts in these sectors [8] Restructuring - *ST Xinyan announced that it received a notice from a creditor applying for the company's restructuring and pre-restructuring procedures [10]

还有一些报告会从 "性价比" 找机会。这里的性价比可以理解为对市场的动态关注视角。 东吴证券的报告中同样提示了科技成长板块，但理由和日历效应无关。在其看来，5月的市场交易结构呈 现较为明显的杠铃特征。一方面在公募调仓预期下市场抢筹低位价值权重；另一方面在指数无明显回调风 险的背景之下，投机性交易活跃，而科技成长板块整体经历了一定的调整。行至当前，科技成长板块性价 比则相对凸显。另从交易结构来看，截至5月29日TMT成交额占全A交易比重已经回落至27.3%的相对低位 水平，因此科技成长板块性价比已经回升至较高区间。 今天是6月的第一个交易日。主要股指的"开门红"让市场振奋，但不得不说，近期的投资并不好做。一方 面是波动大、轮动快，另一方面还有业绩真空阶段带来的方向感缺失。 往往越是看不清方向，就越想找到方向。6月启幕之际，大家都在从哪里找方向？ 日历效应， 是不少策略报告寻找6月机会时的着力点之一。 兴业证券的报告中提到，就近十年风格表现的日历效应看，进入6月后科技成长往往会进入到相对占优的 窗口。另外，在经历5月的调整后，其跟踪的拥挤度、滚动收益差、成交占比等多个指标显示，科技已经 到了可以寻找细分方向布局的 ...

点击注册小程序 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 五维行业比较框架介绍 6月主观因素判断 五维行业比较框架中，有三个维度涉及到一些主观判断，这三个维度分别为市场风格、交易面及估值。市 场风格维度中，预计经济现实可能偏弱、市场情绪可能也会出现回落，对应于风格层面即为防御；资金面 方面，预计未来主导资金为ETF、公募资金可能会净流出，我们对于ETF资金重仓的行业将给予更高分 数，而对公募重仓行业则会给予更低分数；估值维度方面，预计市场情绪可能会出现回落，对应于低估值 行业表现会更好。 6月行业配置观点 预计市场风格将偏向防御与低估值板块。结合我们对于6月主观因素的判断，五维行业比较框架视角下， 预计市场风格将偏向防御与低估值板块，煤炭、公用事业、银行、非银金融、建筑装饰、石油石化等行业 得分较 ...

Group 1: Market Strategy and Industry Outlook - The article suggests that the market style is expected to lean towards defensive and undervalued sectors, with high scores for industries such as coal, public utilities, banking, non-bank financials, construction decoration, and oil and petrochemicals, indicating potential investment opportunities [3] - The PB-ROE-50 strategy has outperformed the CSI 500, CSI 800, and the overall market by 2.39%, 1.30%, and 1.33% respectively, reflecting a strong performance in the current market environment [4] Group 2: Real Estate Sector - In May, the total sales amount of the top 100 real estate companies reached 317.8 billion, with a month-on-month increase of 2.9% but a year-on-year decrease of 10.4%. The cumulative sales from January to May showed a year-on-year decline of 8% [5] - Notable performers in May included China State Construction with a 455% increase, Sunac China with a 128% increase, and China Jinmao with a 72% increase, indicating some recovery in high-capacity cities [5] Group 3: Automotive Industry - The automotive market remained stable in May, with new forces expected to lead the industry in intelligent driving innovations. A new round of price wars is causing short-term disruptions, but the outlook for domestic sales in 2025 remains positive due to trade-in incentives [6] - The theme of intelligence in vehicles is anticipated to continue to develop, with a focus on companies capable of high-level autonomous driving and their supply chains [6] Group 4: Company-Specific Analysis - Up Beauty Co., listed in Hong Kong in 2022, has transformed from a single brand to a multi-brand, all-channel group, with its main brand, Han Shu, ranking second among domestic beauty brands in online GMV for 2024 and showing the fastest growth among leading beauty brands [7] - Peak Technology achieved a revenue of 600 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 45.94%, and a net profit of 222 million, up 27.18%. In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 171 million, a 47.34% year-on-year increase, indicating sustained growth momentum [8]

1 五维行业比较框架介绍。股价表现受多重因素影响，单一指标难以有效指导行业比较。想要做好行业比较，需要对各种可能 影响股价的因素均进行分析并做出综合判断，并且对于未来可能的市场主导因素，应该赋予更高的权重。基于此，我们综合 市场风格、基本面、资金面、交易面、估值五个维度，构建了"五维行业比较框架" ，在非财报季时期，我们对于五个维 度进行等权打分，而在财报季，则给予基本面维度更高权重，并降低市场风格及估值维度的权重。 历史回测来看，五维行业比较框架表现优异，得分越高的行业表现往往更好。通过复盘2016年至2025年2月期间五维行业比 较框架的历史表现，可以发现该框架下得分越高的行业股价表现往往更好，按得分高低将行业依次分为第1组、第2组 、第3 组、第4组、第5组，各组的年化收益率分别为11.8%、1.3%、-1.4%、-7.5%及-10.5%，年化夏普比率分别为0.53、0.06、 -0.07、-0.35及-0.51。若通过做多第1组行业，做空第5组行业构建多空组合，多空组合的年化收益率为23.7%，年化夏普比 率为1.69。 6月主观因素判断。五维行业比较框架中，有三个维度涉及到一些主观判断，这三个维度分 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market sentiment score has declined, indicating a bearish outlook for the market as it has ended its upward repair trend [1][4]. Group 1: Market Sentiment Indicators - The market sentiment structure indicator has shown significant fluctuations over the past five years, with a low position for most of 2023, only breaking above 2 in October 2024 [1]. - As of May 30, the market sentiment score was 2.5, down from 2.65 the previous week, suggesting a shift towards a bearish sentiment [1]. - The decline in sentiment is supported by a decrease in industry trading activity and a drop in the PCR combined with VIX indicators, reflecting increased uncertainty in fund sentiment [4][6]. Group 2: Industry Performance - The trading activity score across industries has significantly decreased, indicating a lack of investment themes and weak trends in industry performance [6][13]. - The overall trading volume in the A-share market has dropped, with a notable decline in the first three trading days of May, reaching a low of 1.16 trillion RMB on Friday [8]. - The industry performance shows that sectors like environmental protection, biomedicine, and national defense have maintained positive growth, while sectors like automobiles, electric equipment, and non-ferrous metals have seen significant declines [16][17]. Group 3: Short-term Trends - The short-term trend scoring model indicates that sectors such as computer, media, electronics, and biomedicine have shown significant upward trends, with the computer sector's score increasing by 22.22% [19][20]. - The model suggests that small-cap growth stocks are currently favored, with strong signals indicating a preference for this style despite a potential strengthening of value styles [21].

中信建投：关税冲击再起，内需韧性支撑 关税担忧再起，短期或压制市场情绪，但从边际上看，市场正逐步对关税脱敏。4月工业企业利润改善，"两 新"与消费激励政策兑现程度良好，拉动下游消费增长，同时支撑中游设备制造业，5月PMI制造业整体景气回 暖，出口订单反弹，新动能和消费品表现突出，中国基本面的韧性将为市场提供底部支撑。微盘股交易热度上 升，拥挤度高位，注意交易拥挤风险。 配置上继续看好具备地缘政治隔离、内需驱动和成长弹性特征的"新质内需成长"方向，目前仍以内需循环为 佳，聚焦服务消费、新消费、反关税。行业重点关注：美容护理、农林牧渔、国防军工、有色金属、医药生 物、计算机、社会服务、商贸零售等。 中国银河证券：市场调整空间有限 近期板块轮动速度加快，行情震荡格局尚未改变，市场成交额未出现明显放量，仍以存量博弈为主。外围市场 方面仍然存在较大不确定性。尽管当前中美达成阶段性关税协议，短期缓解了外贸压力，但后续特朗普政府政 策仍然存在反复性。短期内，市场或仍维持震荡格局，关注外部关税的变化与国内政策的落地节奏。在国内一 系列政策支持下，市场调整空间有限。同时，6月18日至19日陆家嘴论坛期间将发布若干重大金融政策， ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.47% on May 30, with five industries experiencing gains, led by agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, which rose by 1.20%, and the banking sector, which increased by 0.64% [1] - The construction decoration industry saw a slight increase of 0.06% [1] - The automotive and comprehensive sectors faced the largest declines, with decreases of 1.91% and 1.87%, respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 44.445 billion yuan, with only four industries experiencing net inflows [1] - The banking sector had the highest net inflow, amounting to 0.787 billion yuan, contributing to its 0.64% increase [1] - The construction decoration industry followed with a net inflow of 0.550 billion yuan [1] Construction Decoration Industry Performance - The construction decoration industry had 157 stocks, with 47 stocks rising and 8 hitting the daily limit [2] - A total of 66 stocks in this industry experienced net capital inflows, with five stocks exceeding 0.1 billion yuan in net inflow, led by Palm Holdings with 0.192 billion yuan [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflows included High-tech Development, China Nuclear Engineering, and Zhengzhong Design, with outflows of 38.6515 million yuan, 37.028 million yuan, and 36.9793 million yuan, respectively [2][4] Top Gainers in Construction Decoration Industry - The top gainers in the construction decoration sector included: - Palm Holdings: +10.00%, turnover rate 6.80%, net inflow 191.95 million yuan - Dongzhu Ecology: +9.94%, turnover rate 14.22%, net inflow 170.19 million yuan - ST Lingnan: +4.83%, turnover rate 21.44%, net inflow 121.52 million yuan [2] Top Losers in Construction Decoration Industry - The top losers in the construction decoration sector included: - High-tech Development: -2.15%, turnover rate 2.51%, net outflow 38.6515 million yuan - China Nuclear Engineering: -2.37%, turnover rate 1.17%, net outflow 37.028 million yuan - Zhengzhong Design: -5.34%, turnover rate 13.06%, net outflow 36.9793 million yuan [4]