催化剂密集！Q4 继续重视 AI 智能车板块机会！ 20251028 摘要 投资者应转变电动化投资体系，关注智能化，四季度行情将以 AI 扩散为 主，而非依赖传统汽车周期。 2026 年智能车市场将迎来多重催化剂，包括小鹏科技日、特斯拉股东 大会、小马智行上市及 L3/L4 国标征求意见稿，行业主要变化集中在 L2 向 L4 进阶的企业发力及流量入口争夺。 投资布局应覆盖 A 股、H 股和美股，优先选择 B 端软件标的，其次是 C 端硬件。H 股关注小鹏、地平线、黑芝麻，美股关注特斯拉、小马智行， A 股关注有意愿拓展软件的硬件公司。 智能体应用将扩散至 AI 领域，并横跨数字与物理世界，智能车商业模式 可能率先落地。头部企业如小鹏、华为、理想等明年或具备 L4 能力，地 平线、Momenta 等也将走向 L4。 Robotaxi 领域，滴滴已开始内测，曹操加速推进，高德和腾讯等聚合 平台或将进入。小米事故推动国标征求意见稿出台，一线城市积极放开 政策，预计更多二三线城市明年加入。 Q&A 如何看待智能车板块未来的投资机会？ 智能车板块在未来三年内具有显著的投资机会。预计 2026 至 2028 年，智能 化 ...

Core Points - The Avita 12 Four Laser Edition was officially launched on October 28, 2025, with a price range of 269,900 to 429,900 yuan, and a net price after rights of 259,900 to 419,900 yuan [1] - Huawei's Executive Director and Chairman of the Terminal BG, Yu Chengdong, attended the launch event, highlighting the depth and height of the strategic cooperation between Huawei and Avita [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - Avita has become a priority platform for Huawei's leading smart technology after six years of collaborative research and innovation [3] - The new Avita 12 Four Laser Edition features four laser radars, achieving 360-degree coverage and maintaining precise perception capabilities in blind spots [3] - The upgraded Huawei Drive ADS4 system reduces end-to-end latency by 50%, improves traffic efficiency by 20%, and decreases emergency braking rates by 70% [3] Group 2: Intelligent Cabin Features - The HarmonySpace5 intelligent cabin system offers a highly personalized driving experience, supporting seamless iOS screen mirroring and various user-friendly features [4] - The system includes voiceprint recognition, dynamic ambient lighting, and proactive service suggestions, creating a mobile smart space that understands user needs [4] Group 3: Future Collaboration - The official launch of the Avita 12 Four Laser Edition reinforces the deep cooperation between Huawei and Avita [4] - Both companies plan to continue collaborating to drive design aesthetics through technological innovation, aiming to provide consumers with exceptional smart travel experiences [4]

Core Insights - The strategic partnership between Avita and Huawei has entered a new phase, moving from product technology empowerment to deeper collaboration in product and marketing ecosystems [1][3] - The rebranding of Avita stores reflects the evolving competitive logic in the smart automotive industry, emphasizing the importance of deep technological integration as a core competitive advantage [3] Company Developments - Avita was established in 2019 through a collaboration between Changan Automobile, Huawei, and CATL, initially focusing on technology supply [3] - The recent store rebranding is a direct manifestation of Avita's Strategic 2.0 plan, which aims for comprehensive collaboration in team efforts, joint listings, and ecosystem building [3] - Avita has achieved cumulative sales of over 190,000 vehicles, leveraging the advantage of standardizing Huawei's smart driving technology across its entire lineup [3] Product Launches - The rebranding serves as a promotional effort for the upcoming Avita 12 four-laser version, which features Huawei's advanced driving system and is seen as a model of their deep collaboration [4] - The Avita 12 will include significant upgrades, such as a 52-degree CATL super battery and a VIP four-seat package, showcasing ten new enhancements in product capabilities [4] Future Plans - Avita plans to launch a total of 17 models by 2030, targeting diverse market segments and aiming for a global sales goal of 800,000 units by 2030 [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company has reported a steady growth in revenue and profit, indicating an improvement in profitability and a successful strategic transformation towards becoming a diversified technology solution provider [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.20% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company, excluding non-recurring items, was 314 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.06% [1] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 21.53%, up by 0.73 percentage points compared to the same period last year, while the gross margin for Q3 alone was 25.45%, an increase of 1.69 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2: Strategic Transformation - The company is transitioning from a single RF leader to a diversified technology solution provider, focusing on new business areas such as AI terminal hardware, commercial satellites, smart vehicles, data centers, and robotics [1][2] - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix for AI glasses, which is a key area for growth, and has successfully entered the supply chains of well-known brands like Meta [2] Group 3: AI Terminal Business - The company is leveraging its first-mover advantage in AI terminal business to gain additional growth momentum during the recovery phase of consumer electronics [3] - The demand for AI end-side hardware is rapidly increasing, driven by the proliferation of smart devices, which presents significant growth opportunities for the company [2] Group 4: Satellite Communication - The company is positioned to benefit from favorable satellite policies and has developed a product matrix that includes connectors, antennas, and structural components, enhancing its competitive edge in the satellite communication industry [4] - The company has strengthened its leading position in the commercial satellite sector through deepened collaborations with key North American clients [4] Group 5: Automotive Electronics - The rapid penetration of smart connected vehicles has opened up growth opportunities in automotive electronics, with the company establishing a diverse product matrix in this sector [6][7] - The company is actively exploring commercial opportunities in digital keys, wireless communication, and perception technologies within the automotive sector [7] - The company's overseas manufacturing bases in Vietnam and Mexico enhance its global delivery capabilities and cost control, supporting stable supply chains [7] Group 6: Overall Business Outlook - The company's diversified business layout, including consumer electronics, satellite communication, and smart vehicles, is showing initial success, positioning it for sustained growth [7] - Continuous breakthroughs in new industries, clients, technologies, and products are expected to enhance the company's growth certainty as it evolves from a "RF leader" to a "diversified technology solution provider" [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Siwei Tuxin, has officially upgraded its brand to SEEWAY.AI, marking a significant transition from being a "map provider" to an "AI-driven" entity, emphasizing its commitment to AI-centric solutions in the intelligent driving sector [1][19]. Group 1: Brand and Strategic Transition - The brand upgrade to SEEWAY.AI signifies a shift towards AI as the core of the company's offerings, aiming to provide integrated solutions for cabin and driving collaboration [1][19]. - The transition from "map provider" to "car provider" and now to "AI provider" reflects the evolution of the company in line with the broader trends in the automotive industry [3][5]. Group 2: Industry Insights and Trends - The automotive industry is shifting from "price competition" to "value competition," with a focus on high cost-performance ratios and compliance with national standards [2]. - Safety is becoming a fundamental prerequisite for innovation, transitioning from a cost burden to a qualification for global market entry [2]. Group 3: Product Development and Market Position - The company has achieved significant milestones in its advanced driving assistance systems (ADAS), with 5.85 million new orders covering over 20 mainstream automakers and 100 models, positioning itself as a leader in the industry [7]. - The PhiGo Pro solution offers comprehensive coverage for both highways and urban areas, integrating multiple driving assistance functions while maintaining high safety and reliability [9]. Group 4: Global Expansion and Localization - The company’s intelligent cockpit solutions have been deployed in over 100 countries, with a shipment of over 5 million AC8015 chips, indicating a strong global presence [10][12]. - The strategy of "hardware compatibility globally + localized experience" addresses regional adaptation challenges faced by automakers in international markets [14]. Group 5: Technological Advancements - The company has achieved a significant milestone with its semiconductor products, with both SoC and MCU shipments exceeding 100 million units, showcasing its capabilities in the domestic automotive chip market [15][17]. - The high-precision positioning services cover over 80 countries, with a rapid delivery capability of 3 to 6 months, enhancing the company's competitive edge in global positioning services [18][19].

Core Insights - The capital market policies have increasingly favored the technology sector over the past two years, focusing on "supporting the development of new productive forces" [1] - The escalation of the US-China tech rivalry has acted as a catalyst for domestic innovation, with companies like Huawei and BYD making significant advancements [1] - A positive feedback loop has formed, characterized by "policy benefits → technological breakthroughs → market expansion" [1] - The ongoing domestic advancements in computing power, AI applications, and robotics are expected to enhance the competitiveness and valuation of Chinese tech companies against US counterparts [1] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have alleviated global dollar liquidity pressures, benefiting the valuation recovery of Hong Kong tech stocks [1] Industry Summary - The technology sector is experiencing a shift from being a "follower" to a "leader" in innovation, with significant breakthroughs in areas such as AI and robotics [1] - Companies like iFlytek have surpassed international counterparts in core capabilities, while the smart car industry has established a presence in the global market [1] - The influx of resources into the tech sector is supported by favorable policies, which are expected to continue driving growth and expansion [1] - The low interest rate environment is enhancing the attractiveness of Hong Kong tech stocks as high-growth assets, supported by increased foreign investment in emerging markets [1] ETF Overview - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101) covers the entire technology industry chain [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) focuses on leading internet companies [2]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the smart driving industry, particularly the performance and outlook of various automotive companies, including BYD, Li Auto, Geely, Great Wall, and Chery [1][4][6]. Core Insights and Arguments - **BYD's Sales Forecast**: BYD's annual shipment forecast for its "Tiangsheng Zhi Yan" model has been revised down from 3 million to 1.4 million units due to poor sales, especially for the C1 version [1][4]. - **Performance of Other Models**: Models from Li Auto (L6, L7) and AITO (M7, M9) have exceeded sales expectations, while the impact of smart driving on overall shipments from Geely, Great Wall, and Chery remains minimal and stable [1][4]. - **Price Trends for Smart Driving Features**: Urban OA functions are expected to drop to the 150,000 RMB price range, while high-speed NV functions may reach the 100,000 RMB level. Mid-to-high-end models are increasingly expected to standardize high-speed LV functions [1][5]. - **Cost Reduction Strategies**: Automakers are reducing costs through domestic chips (e.g., Horizon G6) or self-developed chips, and by simplifying features to achieve basic urban OA [1][5]. - **Development Models**: Traditional OEMs are using a cooperative and gradual self-research model, resulting in slower implementation (over 18 months), while new players adopt a full-stack self-research and end-to-end model, achieving faster delivery (9-12 months) and smoother experiences [1][6]. - **Sensor Selection Criteria**: OEMs prioritize sensor selection based on scene requirements and the balance between cost and performance. L2 level focuses on pure vision solutions, while L3 typically includes LiDAR [1][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Share of Domestic Chips**: Over 60% of L2 level chips are domestically produced, with 70% from Horizon. The market share for L3 level chips is under 25%, primarily led by Huawei. By 2026, domestic L2 chip share is expected to exceed 80% [3][12]. - **Chip Supply Dynamics**: The first half of 2025 saw tight supply for automotive-grade chips due to high demand from manufacturers like BYD. However, supply is expected to balance out in the second half of 2025 and continue into 2026 [3][16][17]. - **Laser Radar Market**: The demand for laser radar is anticipated to remain strong, with many new models expected to launch in 2026, including those from traditional manufacturers and new players [3][17]. - **Competition in the Laser Radar Market**: The domestic laser radar market is currently dominated by four main players: Huawei, Hesai, Suteng, and Tudatong, with Suteng and Hesai holding about 70% of the market share [3][23]. - **Global Chip Market Trends**: The global automotive chip market is currently dominated by NVIDIA, which holds 80% of the domestic market share. However, as domestic alternatives like Horizon gain traction, NVIDIA's share is expected to decrease to around 60% [3][24]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the current state and future trends of the smart driving industry and the competitive landscape among automotive manufacturers.

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the comparative performance of Horizon's HSD technology and Li Auto's VLA system, highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of both in terms of autonomous driving capabilities and user experience [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - Horizon's HSD engineering vehicle demonstrated superior auxiliary driving capabilities compared to Li Auto's L7 VLA as of October 2025, although there is a possibility that mass production vehicles may not perform as well as engineering prototypes [1]. - During a 1.5-hour test drive around West Lake in Hangzhou, the HSD vehicle showed high levels of comfort and smoothness, with no need for manual speed adjustments, contrasting with the frequent adjustments required in the Li Auto VLA [2]. - Feedback from multiple testers indicated that the A model of Horizon's HSD performed well, while the B model was considered average, attributed to differences in chip computing power and collaboration between the two companies [2]. Group 2: Limitations and Challenges - Horizon's team acknowledged that the HSD system performs poorly in extreme weather, non-standard scenarios, and complex situations, indicating that it is not yet fully reliable for autonomous driving [3]. - The team also noted that the transition from auxiliary driving to full autonomy can sometimes lead to subpar experiences, particularly in scenarios requiring navigation adjustments [3]. - The integration of HUD and vehicle interfaces is crucial for the overall driving experience, with some design choices being counterintuitive, which could affect user satisfaction [3]. Group 3: Community Engagement - There is an invitation for deeper discussions regarding Li Auto's operational status and long-term fundamentals, emphasizing a focus on practical business insights rather than technical discussions [4].

Core Insights - The collaboration between Dongfeng Motor Corporation and Huawei aims to accelerate the implementation of the DH project through deep technological integration and a mechanism for regular interaction [1][2] Group 1: Project Overview - The DH project was initiated in early 2023, with a strategic cooperation agreement signed between Dongfeng and Huawei in January 2025 [1] - The project has evolved to include a comprehensive strategic partnership, expanding into core technology areas such as Huawei's QianKun intelligent driving, Harmony cockpit, and QianKun vehicle control [1][2] Group 2: Collaboration Mechanism - A regular interaction mechanism will be established, including dedicated liaison teams for seamless daily communication and regular cross-domain coordination meetings to manage resource allocation and project goals [1] - The DH project team has achieved efficient collaboration across the entire process from R&D to market [1] Group 3: Product Development - The DH project products will feature Huawei's latest QianKun intelligent automotive solutions, making them among the most technologically integrated smart vehicles [2] - The collaboration is expected to inject new momentum into the intelligent transformation of the Chinese automotive industry [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively exploring four main areas in the civilian sector, focusing on advanced testing, consumer electronics, AI humanoid robots, and drones, leveraging its expertise in metamaterials [1] Group 1: Advanced Testing and Certification - The company's metamaterials testing center has received CNAS expansion certification, covering a wide range of testing including composite materials, environmental tests, geometric testing, electromagnetic property tests, non-destructive testing, thermal testing, and coating capabilities [1] - The testing center has also achieved recognized metrology capabilities in mechanics and thermodynamics, with a total of 12 calibration procedures or standards, aligning with international advanced levels [1] - The company has established a comprehensive testing environment for smart vehicles, utilizing aerospace-grade compression fields and high-precision multi-dimensional turntables to simulate real communication scenarios [1] Group 2: Consumer Electronics - The company is exploring application opportunities for innovative metamaterial technologies in the consumer electronics sector, engaging in technical exchanges and discussions with HW [1] Group 3: AI Humanoid Robots - The company is developing key components made from metamaterials for AI humanoid robots, aiming to enhance production efficiency across its bases through intelligent manufacturing [1] - The company plans to continue its strategy of technological innovation, increasing R&D investment to deepen the integration of AI technology with the metamaterials industry [1] Group 4: Drones - The company's drones have successfully completed field test flights, including extreme environment tests, with performance indicators meeting expectations, and are now entering the trial production phase [1] - The company aims to create a comprehensive industrial chain platform for drones, leveraging core metamaterial technologies to support rapid development in the drone sector [1]