Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight increase of 0.12%, while the Shenzhen Component rose by 0.81% and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.18% as of the close on February 12 [1] - Over 2,700 stocks in the market saw gains, indicating a broad-based rally [1] Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector showed strong performance, with companies like Siyi Electric and Sifang Co. reaching new highs, and stocks such as Wangbian Electric and Shun Sodium Co. hitting the daily limit [1] - Other notable sectors included: - Other power equipment: +4.40% [2] - Small metals: +3.23% [2] - Electric grid equipment: +3.02% [2] - Flexible DC transmission: +2.88% [2] - Liquid-cooled servers: +2.83% [2] - Optical fiber concept: +2.56% [2] Declining Sectors - The film and cinema sector faced significant declines, with companies like Huanrui Century and Hengdian Film experiencing limit-downs [2] - Other sectors that saw declines included: - Film and cinema: -5.54% [3] - Short drama games: -2.02% [3] - Cultural media: -1.91% [3] Hong Kong Market - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.89%, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping by 1.68% [4] - Major tech stocks in Hong Kong, including Bilibili, NetEase, and Meituan, saw declines of approximately 4%, while Baidu and Tencent dropped around 3% [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that NetEase's revenue and operating profit for Q4 2025 are projected to be 5% lower than market consensus, with adjusted net profit expected to be 23% below consensus due to investment losses [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - NetEase's deferred revenue shows strong growth of 34% [1] - The company's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected at 13.5 times for the next 12 months, which is approximately 0.7 standard deviations below its historical average [1] - UBS believes that historically low P/E ratios often correspond to regulatory or product cycle troughs, but NetEase is not in a similar situation, indicating limited downside potential for the stock price [1] Group 2: Positive Catalysts - Future positive catalysts are expected from the official progress of the dual primary listing plan and the launch of the new game "Forgotten Sea" in Q3 2026 [1] - UBS slightly lowers the target price for NetEase's U.S. stock from $185 to $180 and adjusts the target price for its Hong Kong stock to HKD 280.8, which corresponds to a projected P/E of 21 times for 2026 [1] - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that NetEase's management emphasizes the company's role as a pioneer and beneficiary of artificial intelligence technology in the gaming sector, rather than being challenged by AI world models [1] Group 1: Company Developments - NetEase is in communication with regulatory authorities regarding its dual primary listing, having met the trading volume threshold with over 55% of its trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange last year [1] - The management believes that a clear timeline for the dual listing is not yet established, but they consider it a matter of time [1] Group 2: Industry Environment - The gaming industry is currently in a favorable regulatory environment, with no preliminary discussions on imposing a consumption tax on games or altering the preferential income tax rates for high-tech companies based on R&D intensity [1] - Morgan Stanley notes that a longer deferred revenue cycle is a structural trend driven by increased user engagement [1] Group 3: Product Launch and Financial Outlook - The target launch date for the key game "Forgotten Sea" is set for the third quarter of this year [1] - Morgan Stanley sets a price target of $168 for NetEase's U.S. stock and maintains an "Overweight" rating [1]

▲ 戳蓝 色字关注我们！ 技术本身没有善恶，关键在于使用它的人。——史蒂夫·乔布斯 前一天冯骥还在微博狂赞Seedance是"地表最强"，第二天就发《黑神话：钟馗》预告，然后马上降温说"看个乐就行，别太严肃，差不多得 了"——这24小时到底发生了什么？ 我跟你讲，这里面藏着游戏行业最大的秘密，也藏着普通人看不到的赚钱机会。 这个降温速度啊，比我妈看到我玩游戏的态度转变还快。前一天吹AI吹上天，后一天让大家别深究，这事儿我越想越有意思。 大家好，我是杜雨！带你看懂AI赛道的钱和事儿！ 24小时，从狂吹到降温 2月9号，《黑神话：悟空》制作人冯骥发了条超长微博，夸字节的Seedance 2.0夸到什么程度呢？"当前地表最强的文章生成模型，没有之 一"、"AIGC的童年时代结束了"、"很庆幸这项技术来自中国"。你品品这措辞，比官方通稿还官方。 结果第二天，2月10号，游戏科学直接发了《黑神话：钟馗》6分钟实机预告。网友们一看这画面质量，第一反应全是——"卧槽，这是AI跑出来 的吧？" 冯骥估计也怕大家过度解读影响团队过年，立马发微博："看个乐就行，别太严肃，差不多得了。" 不喊AI口号，却把AI用得最狠 正好，我前 ...

Economic Indicators - In January, the U.S. non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, adding 130,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3%[4] - The U.S. labor market remains focused on recruitment contraction, with layoff intentions rising but actual layoffs not yet widespread[4] Market Reactions - U.S. stock markets reacted negatively to strong employment data, with the Dow Jones falling 66 points (0.13%) to close at 50,121 points, ending a three-day rally[9] - European markets showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 reaching a new high, while the German DAX and French CAC 40 indices declined[9] Commodity and Currency Movements - Nickel prices rose by 2.23% to $17,880 per ton due to Indonesia's significant reduction in nickel production quotas from 42 million tons to 12 million tons[27] - Crude oil prices increased, with NYMEX crude oil rising 1.05% to $64.63 per barrel amid geopolitical tensions in Iran[27] Investment Insights - T-Mobile reported a 10% year-over-year increase in service revenue for Q4 2025, driven by a strong postpaid customer base, and raised its growth guidance[7] - Xiaomi's January vehicle deliveries fell to 39,000 units, down from over 50,000 in December, as the company prepares for the launch of its new SU7 model in April 2026[13] Bond Market Trends - The U.S. Treasury yields rose following the strong employment report, with the 10-year yield increasing by 3 basis points to 4.17%[30] - Asian investment-grade bond spreads widened by 2-3 basis points, reflecting a sell-off in Australian, Japanese, and Korean bonds[30]

Core Insights - The Zhejiang gaming industry is guided by the philosophy of "green mountains and clear waters are as valuable as mountains of gold and silver," focusing on high-quality development through health, technology empowerment, and content innovation [1][2] - The 2025 Qingshan Award ceremony recognized key players in the industry, with Kaineng Network winning the "Outstanding Industry Contribution Award" and three of its products receiving accolades for excellence [1][2] Industry Development - The Qingshan Award aims to promote high-quality development in the regional gaming industry and enhance the brand image of Zhejiang's gaming sector, reflecting annual achievements and serving as a benchmark for corporate strength and product quality [2] - The award evaluation process is rigorous and professional, focusing on industry contribution, market performance, innovation capability, and user reputation [2] Company Achievements - Kaineng Network's award-winning products include "Hot Blood Jianghu: Return," "Liangshan Legend," and "Douluo Continent: Zhu Xie Chuan Shuo," showcasing the company's diverse development capabilities [3] - "Hot Blood Jianghu: Return" received the "Outstanding Game" award for its solid quality and market performance, while "Liangshan Legend" won "Outstanding Creative Game" for its innovative design [3] - "Douluo Continent: Zhu Xie Chuan Shuo" was recognized as the "Most Anticipated Game" due to its strong IP appeal and forward-thinking design [3] Strategic Focus - Kaineng Network maintains a core strategy focused on the gaming industry, supported by four main business areas: R&D, publishing, investment + IP, and user platforms [3][4] - The company is committed to enhancing game development efficiency through technological innovations, including AI game creation, and aims to improve the gaming industry ecosystem through diversified business layouts and deep industry collaboration [3][4] - Kaineng Network emphasizes high-quality development and corporate social responsibility, positioning itself as a key driver of high-quality development in the gaming industry in Zhejiang and nationwide [4]

Group 1 - The gaming concept stocks have declined, with Light Media falling over 10%, Perfect World down over 4%, and companies like Kaiying Network, G-bits, and Changchun Technology dropping over 2% [1] - The gaming-related ETFs have also seen a decrease of approximately 3% [1] Group 2 - Some brokerages indicate that the global gaming market is currently in an upward cycle, with long-term optimistic growth expected in terms of revenue and player numbers [2] - The strong generative capabilities of DeepSeek may significantly enhance game development efficiency, creating more user-demanded virtual characters, maps, and storylines, thereby enriching gameplay and fostering paid scenarios [2]

2026年2月，曾凭借《饿殍：明末千里行》创下百万销量纪录的零创游戏，因其续作《哀鸿：城破十日 记》再度开启众筹而陷入舆论漩涡。前作千万级营收与续作众筹并行的策略，引发玩家对"零成本开 发"的质疑，而此前众筹资金用于慈善的争议，更让这场信任危机雪上加霜。 《饿殍：明末千里行》的成功本应为零创游戏奠定资本基础。该作于2024年4月发售，截至2025年初销 量突破百万，营收达千万元级别，成为国产独立游戏的现象级作品。然而，2026年2月13日，零创游戏 为续作《哀鸿：城破十日记》启动众筹，最高档位设置达18888元，但周边价值被玩家质疑"可能不足几 百块"。 更令玩家不解的是，制作人嵇零在直播中透露，公司同时开发四个项目，并筹备2A、3A级游戏，前作 收益"绝大多数将用于后续游戏开发"。这种将续作众筹资金用于更远期项目的表述，激化了玩家对风险 转嫁的担忧——为何已盈利的团队仍要求玩家预付开发费用？ 2025年，零创游戏因一次捐款行为遭遇信任危机。其与出版公司合作的实体设定集众筹项目中，部分资 金被用于捐赠贫困儿童，但玩家批评此举是"用玩家的钱，以制作组名义捐款"。尽管官方辟谣称捐款经 过玩家知情且已兑现为实物，但 ...

地址：北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层（100020） 总机：010-8535 6666 注:本报告资讯信息来源于万得资讯和金十数据，冠通研究整理编辑 本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格，请务必阅读免责声明。 分析师：王静，执业资格证号 F0235424/Z0000771。 免责声明： 本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料，我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。报告中的内容和 意见仅供参考，并不构成对所述品种买卖的出价或征价。我公司及其雇员对使用本报告及其内容所引发的 任何直接或间接损失概不负责。本报告仅向特定客户传送，版权归冠通期货所有。未经我公司书面许可， 任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版，复制，引用或转载。如引用、转载、刊发，须注明出处为冠通期 货股份有限公司。 资讯早间报 发布日期：2026/2/12 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨，COMEX 黄金期货涨 1.53%报 5107.80 美元/盎司， COMEX 白银期货涨 4.60%报 84.08 美元/盎司。 2. 美油主力合约收涨 1.45%，报 64.89 美元/桶；布油主力合约涨 1.15%，报 6 ...

证券研究报告 网易 (NTES US) 4Q 收入低于预期，游戏递延周期增长 2026 年 2 月 12 日│美国 互联网 网易 4Q25 总营收同比+3%至 275 亿元，低于 VA 一致预期（下同）5%， 主因游戏收入递延周期增加。递延收入超预期 21%，环比提升 10 亿元。经 调整归母净利润同比下降 27%至 71 亿元，低于预期 23%，主因投资损益影 响，拼多多等股票投资减值金额较大。我们预计网易 1H 流水有望边际改善： ①《燕云》全球累计用户达 8000 万，26 年海外全端流水有望达到 20-30 亿元；②《遗忘之海》管理层表示 3Q 有望上线，2 月测试反馈优秀，题材 和美术风格具备差异化优势，我们预计 12 个月流水有望达 25-50 亿元；③ 其他重点储备：《无限大》1 月封闭测试符合预期，中式妖鬼题材自走棋《妖 妖棋》1 月获版号，ARPG 端游《归唐》关注度较高。当前网易估值尚处低 位，我们看好 26 年收入和利润释放，重申"买入"评级。 《燕云》海外放量在即，《遗忘之海》打开 26 年增量空间 4Q 游戏和增值服务收入同增 3%至 220 亿元，其中游戏收入同增 4%至 213 ...