智通财经APP获悉，近期，网易-S(09999)发布2025年Q4及全年财报，凭借扎实的业务布局、强劲的产 品储备与稳健的财务表现，成为资本市场的 "定心丸"。中金、华泰、摩根大通三大机构近期发布的研 报均给予其积极评级，研报表示多项核心利好因素凸显企业韧性，当前估值处于历史低位，配置价值凸 显。 《燕云十六声》全球突破 长青战略成效显著 华泰证券在研报中指出，《燕云十六声》在产品品质与后续运营延续了网易长青游戏的一贯水准，展现 了持续焕新能力，有望逐步成长为公司重要的流水抓手。 在长青战略与全球化的双轮驱动下，网易游戏业务重回两位数增长。财报显示，2025年网易游戏及相关 增值服务营收921亿元，其中在线游戏净收入896亿元，同比增长11%。 重磅新游 pipeline 逐渐清晰，2026年增量空间可观 市场对游戏公司的担忧常集中于"青黄不接"，但网易的储备产品线显示了强大的持续输出与精品打造能 力。 三份研报一致重点提及了以下核心新游进展：《遗忘之海》作为2026年网易最受期待的新品之一，在近 期开启测试并获得市场积极评价。在财报电话会上网易管理层表示，该游戏有望在2026年第三季度上 线。华泰证券预估其 ...

证券研究报告 网易 (NTES US) 4Q 收入低于预期，游戏递延周期增长 2026 年 2 月 12 日│美国 互联网 网易 4Q25 总营收同比+3%至 275 亿元，低于 VA 一致预期（下同）5%， 主因游戏收入递延周期增加。递延收入超预期 21%，环比提升 10 亿元。经 调整归母净利润同比下降 27%至 71 亿元，低于预期 23%，主因投资损益影 响，拼多多等股票投资减值金额较大。我们预计网易 1H 流水有望边际改善： ①《燕云》全球累计用户达 8000 万，26 年海外全端流水有望达到 20-30 亿元；②《遗忘之海》管理层表示 3Q 有望上线，2 月测试反馈优秀，题材 和美术风格具备差异化优势，我们预计 12 个月流水有望达 25-50 亿元；③ 其他重点储备：《无限大》1 月封闭测试符合预期，中式妖鬼题材自走棋《妖 妖棋》1 月获版号，ARPG 端游《归唐》关注度较高。当前网易估值尚处低 位，我们看好 26 年收入和利润释放，重申"买入"评级。 《燕云》海外放量在即，《遗忘之海》打开 26 年增量空间 4Q 游戏和增值服务收入同增 3%至 220 亿元，其中游戏收入同增 4%至 213 ...

证券研究报告 网易 (NTES US) 4Q 收入低于预期，游戏递延周期增长 2026 年 2 月 12 日│美国 互联网 网易 4Q25 总营收同比+3%至 275 亿元，低于 VA 一致预期（下同）5%， 主因游戏收入递延周期增加。递延收入超预期 21%，环比提升 10 亿元。经 调整归母净利润同比下降 27%至 71 亿元，低于预期 23%，主因投资损益影 响，拼多多等股票投资减值金额较大。我们预计网易 1H 流水有望边际改善： ①《燕云》全球累计用户达 8000 万，26 年海外全端流水有望达到 20-30 亿元；②《遗忘之海》管理层表示 3Q 有望上线，2 月测试反馈优秀，题材 和美术风格具备差异化优势，我们预计 12 个月流水有望达 25-50 亿元；③ 其他重点储备：《无限大》1 月封闭测试符合预期，中式妖鬼题材自走棋《妖 妖棋》1 月获版号，ARPG 端游《归唐》关注度较高。当前网易估值尚处低 位，我们看好 26 年收入和利润释放，重申"买入"评级。 《燕云》海外放量在即，《遗忘之海》打开 26 年增量空间 4Q 游戏和增值服务收入同增 3%至 220 亿元，其中游戏收入同增 4%至 213 ...

Group 1 - The AI application sector remains active, while the gaming sector shows slight fluctuations, with the largest gaming ETF (159869) experiencing a minor decline [1] - As of January 12, the gaming ETF (159869) has reached a scale of 16.384 billion yuan, with a net inflow of funds for five consecutive trading days, totaling 1.519 billion yuan, providing investors with a convenient tool for positioning in A-share gaming leaders [1] - The year 2026 is expected to be a significant year for gaming products, with ample reserves from A-share and Hong Kong gaming companies, including key new games such as "Ming Jiang Sha," "Ji Kun Huang Ye," and "Code MLK" in A-shares, and new product lines for "Crossfire" and "Honor of Kings" in Hong Kong [1] Group 2 - The media and gaming industry continues to show positive momentum, with Chinese mobile game manufacturers expected to reach global revenues of 14 billion yuan by December 2025, led by Tencent and DianDian Interactive [2] - AI technology is profoundly changing the industry ecosystem, with companies like MiniMax going public and contributing significant revenue through AI applications, while AI optimizes game production processes and enhances user experience [2] - The gaming sector is experiencing multiple catalysts, including policy benefits, product cycles, and AI empowerment, suggesting a favorable window for investment in the gaming sector [2]

Group 1: Gaming Industry Growth - The domestic gaming market in 2025 is projected to reach a sales revenue of 350.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.68%, and a user base of 683 million, marking a 1.35% increase, both hitting historical highs [1][8] - Growth is driven by improvements in mobile game quality, successful new releases, innovative gameplay and operations in long-standing games, strong growth in mini-program games, and user expansion through multi-platform connectivity [1][8] - In December, the National Press and Publication Administration issued 144 domestic game licenses, maintaining a high monthly issuance rate, with a total of 1,676 domestic licenses expected in 2025, a nearly 30% year-on-year increase, supporting high-quality industry development [1][8] Group 2: AI Industry Developments - AI unicorns have seen successful IPOs, with Zhihua Huazhang's stock rising 36% on its first day and MiniMax achieving a record 109% increase, setting a new benchmark for AI company IPOs [9] - DeepSeek is expected to launch its V4 version in mid-February, with internal tests indicating its programming capabilities have surpassed current leading models [10] - Major AI models are experiencing rapid growth in user traffic, with ChatGPT leading with 870 million monthly active users, followed by Doubao (172 million), DeepSeek (145 million), and Yuanbao (33 million) [9][10] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The AI industry is undergoing continuous catalysis, with commercial applications opening new possibilities, making the Guotai Zhongzheng Animation Game ETF Connect C (012729) a noteworthy investment [11] - The gaming industry is leveraging AI tools to optimize development efficiency and enhance user experience, driving down costs and increasing revenue potential [11] - The long-standing game model is becoming mainstream, with titles like Supernatural Action Group and Kingshot validating this trend, leading to a potential systematic increase in gaming sector valuations [11]

Group 1 - The company achieved revenue of 28.36 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, but below Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 29.22 billion yuan [1] - The gross profit margin increased by 1.2 percentage points to 64.1%, while the operating profit margin rose by 1.0 percentage point to 28.3% [1] - GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.8%, and Non-GAAP net profit was 9.50 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.7%, slightly below Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 9.51 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Revenue from games and related value-added services grew by 11.8% year-on-year to 23.33 billion yuan, driven by new and existing game products [2] - The mobile gaming business benefited from record revenues from "Dream of Dreams" and "Yanyun," with a year-on-year revenue increase of 6.6% [2] - Deferred revenue increased by 25.3% year-on-year to 19.47 billion yuan, indicating a profit release in the upcoming quarters [2] Group 3 - The company reported Q3 revenue of 1.96 billion yuan for Cloud Music, a year-on-year decline of 1.8%, with a gross profit margin of 35.4% [3] - The company aims for a revenue CAGR of 12.9% and a Non-GAAP net profit CAGR of 15.5% from 2025 to 2027 [3] - The target price is set at 165.00 USD/256.74 HKD, with a buy rating, indicating potential upside compared to current stock prices [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating with a target price of $165.00, representing an upside potential of 18.04% for US shares and 18.42% for HK shares [2][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a 25% year-on-year increase in deferred revenue, indicating a strong future product pipeline in gaming [4]. - The gaming and related services revenue grew by 11.8% year-on-year, driven by both new and existing game titles, with mobile gaming revenue increasing by 6.6% [4]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue CAGR of 12.9% and a Non-GAAP net profit CAGR of 15.5% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, total revenue is projected to reach $16,175 million, reflecting an 8.6% increase from the previous year [3]. - Non-GAAP net profit is forecasted to be $5,408 million for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 13.2% [3]. - The company achieved a GAAP net profit of 87.9 billion RMB in Q3 2025, marking a 31.8% increase year-on-year [4]. Revenue Breakdown - The gaming segment is expected to generate revenue of 940 billion RMB in 2025, representing a 12.4% year-on-year growth [4]. - The report highlights the successful launch of new titles such as "Dreamland" and "Yanyun," which have received positive feedback in international markets [4]. Shareholder Information - Major shareholders include Ding Lei with a 45.78% stake, followed by BlackRock and The Vanguard Group with 3.02% and 2.47% respectively [2].

Core Insights - NetEase-S reported a net income of RMB 28.4 billion (USD 4 billion) for Q3 2025, representing an 8.2% year-on-year increase [1] - Gross profit reached RMB 18.2 billion (USD 2.6 billion), up 10.3% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately RMB 8.616 billion (USD 1.2 billion), reflecting a 31.77% year-on-year growth [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from games and related value-added services for Q3 2025 was RMB 23.3 billion (USD 3.3 billion), compared to RMB 22.8 billion in the previous quarter and RMB 20.9 billion in the same quarter last year [1] - Online games accounted for approximately 97.6% of the segment's net revenue, showing a slight increase from 97.1% in the previous quarter and 96.8% year-on-year [1] - The growth in online game revenue was driven by self-developed games such as "Dream of the Red Chamber" PC and "Nirvana in Fire" mobile, as well as several agency games [1] Product Performance - The performance of "Dream of the Red Chamber" PC and mobile games, along with "Party of Eggs," was strong during the summer, showcasing the company's long-standing game operation capabilities [2] - The company plans to allocate more resources to evergreen projects and provide opportunities for innovative teams [2] - Upcoming new games include "Forgotten Sea," set to launch in 2026, with additional titles like "Infinite" and "Return to Tang" in the pipeline [2]

公司3Q25《梦幻西游》PC及手游、《蛋仔派对》等产品暑期内表现良好，体现公司长青游戏运营能 力。公司也在业绩会表示会把更多资源倾斜给长青项目，同时会给有创新力的团队更多机会。 关注全球化能力验证及新游节奏 新游《命运：群星》8月28日/10月16日分别在海外和中国市场发行，游戏入选亦2025TGA最佳移动游戏 提名。《燕云十六声》、《逆水寒》手游分别于11月14/7日在全球发行，其中《燕云十六声》上线首日 玩家规模超200万，登陆Steam全球游戏畅销榜Top4。新游方面，公司公告表示《遗忘之海》将于2026 年上线，同时储备有《无限大》《归唐》等产品。该行建议关注网易本土团队全球化能力升级，及重点 新游进展。 3Q25业绩 公司3Q25收入同增8%至284亿元，Non-GAAP归母净利润同增27%至95亿元，公司3Q25每股分红0.114 美元(0.57美元/ADS);同时宣布目前在运行的回购计划(不超过50亿美元)有效期延长至2029年1月，该计 划截至3Q25末已回购共20亿美元。此外，公司本季度实现投资收益13.8亿元增厚利润，相应抵消营销费 用开支增加对利润端的影响。 游戏及增值服务收入同增12% ...

Core Insights - Apple's CEO Tim Cook's visit to a gaming experience room in Guangzhou highlighted the city's growing prominence in the gaming industry [1][3] - The game "Mingchao" developed by Guangzhou's Kuro Technology topped the iOS free game charts in 42 countries upon its release in 2024, generating 600 million yuan in its first month [3][4] - Guangzhou's gaming industry generated 140.67 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for 43.2% of China's total gaming revenue, with overseas markets contributing 19.058 billion yuan [4][5] Industry Performance - In 2023-2024, nine gaming companies from Guangzhou were listed among the "Key Cultural Export Enterprises," showcasing the city's leadership in the gaming sector [5] - Sensor Tower reported that 33 Chinese companies made it to the global mobile game publisher revenue list TOP100, collectively earning 2 billion USD, which is 38.4% of the total revenue of the top 100 [5] - 37 Interactive Entertainment, a pioneer in overseas gaming, achieved overseas revenue of 5.722 billion yuan in 2024, nearly one-third of its total revenue [5][9] Successful Game Titles - "Mingchao" reached over 30 million downloads globally by June 2023, receiving public praise from Tim Cook [9] - "Identity V," developed by NetEase, gained significant traction in the global market and was selected as an esports event for the 2026 Asian Games [10] - The mini-game "Mushroom Hero Legend" generated nearly 400 million yuan in a single month in Japan and South Korea in early 2024, exemplifying the success of smaller titles [12] Industry Ecosystem - Guangzhou's gaming industry is supported by a dense network of nearly 150 companies in the Tianhe district, fostering collaboration and resource sharing [14][16] - The local government has implemented supportive policies, including a dedicated gaming eSports industrial park and a service center for overseas expansion, enhancing the industry's growth [20][18] - The commitment to high-quality game development is evident in the significant investment in R&D, with Kuro Technology spending over 300 million yuan on "Mingchao" [20][21] Future Outlook - The integration of AI technology in game development is becoming a trend, with companies exploring AI applications to enhance game design and player experience [21][22] - The gaming industry in Guangzhou is expected to continue thriving due to its established ecosystem, supportive policies, and dedication to quality [23]