Economic Overview - China's economic indicators showed fluctuations in July, but the overall growth rate remains stable, with employment and prices generally stable, indicating a steady economic operation [1] - The foundation for long-term economic growth remains strong, with significant potential and resilience, despite facing risks and challenges [1] Market Demand - Consumer demand is supported by ongoing initiatives to boost consumption, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 4.8% year-on-year from January to July, and service retail sales growing by 5.2% [1] - Exports have also shown resilience, with a 7.3% increase in goods exports during the same period, and a notable 9.3% growth in electromechanical product exports [1] New Productive Forces - The development of new productive forces is actively promoted through technological and industrial innovation, with high-tech industries growing rapidly [2] - From January to July, the added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 9.5%, with specific sectors like electronic and communication equipment manufacturing growing by 12.8% [2] Reform and Opening Up - Continuous deepening of reforms and high-level opening up has improved economic circulation and enhanced the resilience of foreign trade [2] - The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reached 52% in the first half of the year, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [2] Macroeconomic Policies - Proactive macroeconomic policies have been implemented to expand production demand and stabilize economic growth [3] - Retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment supported by consumption upgrade policies saw significant year-on-year growth of 30.4% and 22.9%, respectively [3] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for China's economic growth by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence in China's economic development [3]

7月份国民经济保持稳中有进发展态势。 据国家统计局消息，7月份，在以习近平同志为核心的党中央坚强领导下，各地区各部门认真贯彻落实 党中央、国务院决策部署，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，完整准确全面贯彻新发展理念，加快构建新发展 格局，加紧实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，国民经济保持稳中有进发展 态势，生产需求持续增长，就业物价总体稳定，新质生产力培育壮大，高质量发展取得新成效。 一、工业生产较快增长，装备制造业和高技术制造业发展较好 7月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%，环比增长0.38%。分三大门类看，采矿业增加值同比 增长5.0%，制造业增长6.2%，电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长3.3%。装备制造业增加值同比 增长8.4%，高技术制造业增加值增长9.3%，分别快于全部规模以上工业增加值2.7和3.6个百分点。分经 济类型看，国有控股企业增加值同比增长5.4%；股份制企业增长6.5%，外商及港澳台投资企业增长 2.8%；私营企业增长5.0%。分产品看，3D打印设备、工业机器人、新能源汽车产品产量同比分别增长 24.2%、24.0%、17.1%。1—7月份，全国规模以上工业 ...

Economic Overview - The national economy is maintaining a steady and progressive development trend, with continuous growth in production demand, stable employment and prices, and significant advancements in new productive forces [1] Industrial Production - The industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.7% year-on-year and 0.38% month-on-month [2] - Key sectors such as 3D printing equipment, industrial robots, and new energy vehicles saw production increases of 24.2%, 24.0%, and 17.1% respectively [2] Service Sector Growth - The service industry is experiencing rapid growth, with the national service production index rising by 5.8% year-on-year [5] - Specific sectors like information transmission, software and IT services, finance, and leasing and business services reported year-on-year growth rates of 11.9%, 8.7%, and 8.0% respectively [5] Retail Sales - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [7] - Retail sales in categories such as grain and oil, daily necessities, sports and entertainment products, and gold and silver jewelry grew by 8.6%, 8.2%, 13.7%, and 8.2% respectively [7] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 288,229 billion yuan from January to July, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.6% [8] Trade Performance - The total import and export value of goods reached 39,102 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [9]

Economic Overview - In July, China's national economy maintained a steady and progressive development trend, with industrial production and service sectors showing significant growth [2][4] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.7% year-on-year and 0.38% month-on-month, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing growing by 8.4% and 9.3% respectively [2] - The service sector's production index rose by 5.8% year-on-year, indicating robust growth in modern services [2] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan in July, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [3] - From January to July, the retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.8%, with service retail sales growing by 5.2%, demonstrating overall stability in consumption [8] Supportive Factors for Economic Growth - Market demand is expanding, supported by consumption-boosting initiatives, with a notable increase in household appliance and communication equipment retail sales by 30.4% and 22.9% respectively from January to July [9] - High-tech manufacturing added value grew by 9.5% year-on-year, with significant contributions from electronic and communication equipment manufacturing, as well as aerospace manufacturing [8] - The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reached 52% in the first half of the year, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [9] Policy Impact - The implementation of more proactive macroeconomic policies has effectively stimulated production demand and supported stable economic growth [9] - The International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for China's economic growth by 0.8 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence from the international community [10]

Economic Overview - In July, the national economy showed signs of recovery, with macro policies proving effective despite complex external environments and extreme domestic weather conditions [1] - The overall economic performance maintained a steady and progressive development trend, demonstrating strong resilience and vitality [1] Industrial Production - The industrial production experienced rapid growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.7% in July and a month-on-month increase of 0.38% [1] - From January to July, the industrial added value grew by 6.3% year-on-year [1] Service Sector - The service sector also saw significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.8% in July and a production index growth of 5.9% [2] - The business activity index for the service sector was recorded at 50.0 in July [2] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan in July, marking a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [2] - From January to July, the total retail sales amounted to 284,238 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [2] Fixed Asset Investment - The total fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to July was 288,229 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [3] - Investment in the manufacturing sector grew by 24%, while real estate development investment increased by 25%, but infrastructure investment saw a decline of 12.0% [3] Trade Performance - The total import and export value accelerated, reaching 256,969 billion yuan from January to July, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% in July [3] - Private enterprises' import and export activities increased by 7.4% [3] Employment Situation - The employment situation remained generally stable, with the urban surveyed unemployment rate at 5.2% in July [3]

每经编辑｜程鹏 今天（8月15日）上午，国务院新闻办召开新闻发布会，国家统计局公布了今年7月份经济数据。 7月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%，全国服务业生产指数同比增长5.8%，社会消费品零售总额同比增长3.7%，国民经济保持稳中有进发展态 势，生产需求持续增长，就业物价总体稳定，新质生产力培育壮大，高质量发展取得新成效。 另外，8月15日，国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖在发布会上表示，上半年最终消费支出对经济增长贡献率达到52%，比上年全年提升7.5个百分点。1-7月 份，货物进出口总额同比增长3.5%，货物周转量、旅客周转量均保持较快增长。随着全国统一大市场建设纵深推进，依法依规治理企业无序竞争，促进 核心CPI连续回升 1-7月全国网上零售额86835亿元 按消费类型分，7月份，商品零售额34276亿元，同比增长4.0%；餐饮收入4504亿元，增长1.1%。1—7月份，商品零售额252254亿元，增长4.9%；餐饮收 入31984亿元，增长3.8%。 同比增长9.2% 具体来看，工业生产较快增长，装备制造业和高技术制造业发展较好。7月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.7%，环比增长0.38% ...

Core Viewpoint - In July, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the national economy maintained a steady and progressive development trend, with continuous growth in production demand, stable employment and prices, and new achievements in high-quality development [1]. Group 1: Industrial Production - In July, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.7% year-on-year and 0.38% month-on-month. The mining industry grew by 5.0%, manufacturing by 6.2%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 3.3% [2]. - The equipment manufacturing industry saw an 8.4% year-on-year increase, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 9.3%, outperforming the overall industrial growth by 2.7 and 3.6 percentage points respectively [2]. - The manufacturing purchasing manager index was at 49.3%, and the business activity expectation index was at 52.6% [2]. Group 2: Service Sector - The national service production index increased by 5.8% year-on-year in July, with significant growth in information transmission, software and IT services (11.9%), finance (8.7%), and leasing and business services (8.0%) [3]. - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.0%, while the business activity expectation index was at 56.6% [3]. Group 3: Market Sales - In July, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 38,780 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [4]. - Online retail sales amounted to 86,835 billion yuan, growing by 9.2% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail sales at 70,790 billion yuan, a 6.3% increase [4]. - The sales of essential and some upgraded consumer goods showed strong growth, with significant increases in categories such as home appliances and furniture [4]. Group 4: Fixed Asset Investment - From January to July, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 288,229 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [5]. - Manufacturing investment grew by 6.2%, while real estate development investment decreased by 12.0% [5]. - High-tech industries such as aerospace and information services saw substantial investment growth, with increases of 33.9% and 32.8% respectively [5]. Group 5: Trade and Employment - In July, the total value of goods imports and exports reached 39,102 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7% [6]. - The average urban survey unemployment rate from January to July was 5.2%, with a slight increase in July compared to the previous month [7]. Group 6: Consumer Prices - In July, the national consumer price index (CPI) remained flat year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [8]. - Core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a slight increase in inflationary pressure [8].

Economic Performance Overview - In July, the industrial production showed a rapid growth with a year-on-year increase of 5.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.38%. For the first seven months, the industrial added value increased by 6.3% year-on-year [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in July reached 38,780 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.7% but a month-on-month decline of 0.14% [1] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) for the first seven months amounted to 288,229 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.6%. Excluding real estate development investment, the growth rate was 5.3% [1] Economic Stability and Growth Factors - Despite fluctuations in some economic indicators in July, the overall growth rate of major indicators remains stable, with employment and prices generally stable. The economy is maintaining a steady growth trend [2] - The expansion of market demand is supported by ongoing consumption initiatives, with retail sales of consumer goods growing by 4.8% year-on-year in the first seven months, and service retail sales increasing by 5.2% [2] - The high-tech manufacturing industry saw a year-on-year increase of 9.5% in added value for the first seven months, indicating a positive development in new productive forces [3] Trade and Export Dynamics - In July, the total import and export volume increased by 6.7% year-on-year, reflecting strong resilience and vitality in foreign trade [5] - The diversification of foreign trade is showing positive results, with exports to ASEAN, the EU, and countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative growing by 14.8%, 8.2%, and 11.7% respectively in the first seven months [6] - The export of mechanical and electrical products increased by 9.3%, with integrated circuit exports growing by 21.8% [6] Price Trends and Inflation - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% month-on-month, reversing a previous decline, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month decrease of 0.2%, with the decline narrowing compared to the previous month [7] - The improvement in market supply and demand relationships has led to some positive changes in prices, with certain sectors experiencing reduced competitive pressure [7]

Economic Overview - In July, China's economy showed steady progress with improved economic data, driven by effective policies to stabilize growth [1][4] - The industrial production, consumption, and service sectors all experienced certain improvements, contributing to a stronger capital market [1][4] Industrial Production - In July, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.7% year-on-year and 0.38% month-on-month [1] - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors performed particularly well, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.4% and 9.3%, respectively [1] Service Sector - The service sector production index increased by 5.8% year-on-year in July, with notable growth in information transmission, software, and financial services [2] - Social retail sales reached 38,780 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, with online retail sales growing by 9.2% [2] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to July, fixed asset investment rose by 1.6% year-on-year, with a 5.3% increase when excluding real estate development investment [3] - Real estate development investment continued to decline, dropping by 12% year-on-year in July [3] Trade Performance - In July, the total value of goods imports and exports grew by 6.7% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 8% and imports by 4.81% [3] - The trade structure is improving, with a notable upgrade in the value-added of export products [3] Consumer Prices - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained flat year-on-year in July, with a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.8% year-on-year, indicating a need for measures to boost consumption and investment [3] Capital Market Dynamics - The capital market is showing signs of strength, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3,700 points, indicating increasing investor confidence [1][4] - New stock accounts opened in July approached 2 million, and trading volume has significantly increased, reflecting a growing willingness of outside funds to enter the market [4] Investment Opportunities - Compared to the U.S. stock market, which is at historical highs, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks remain below historical average valuations, presenting a favorable investment opportunity [5] - Investors are encouraged to consider quality stocks or funds to capitalize on the current market conditions for wealth growth [5]

Group 1 - In July, the industrial added value of large-scale industries increased by 5.7% year-on-year, a slight decline of 1.1 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1] - From January to July, the industrial added value grew by 6.3% year-on-year [1] - Among the three major sectors, mining increased by 5.0%, manufacturing by 6.2%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 3.3% in July [1] Group 2 - In July, 35 out of 41 major industries maintained year-on-year growth in added value, with notable increases in chemical manufacturing (7.2%), transportation equipment manufacturing (13.7%), electrical machinery (10.2%), and computer and electronic equipment manufacturing (10.2%) [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector saw an 8.4% increase in added value, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 9.3%, both exceeding the overall industrial growth rate by 2.7 and 3.6 percentage points respectively [1] - The policy for equipment updates has stimulated demand across industries for upgrading equipment, supported by financial assistance and policy incentives [1] Group 3 - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that 188 billion yuan of special government bonds for equipment updates have been allocated, supporting approximately 8,400 projects across various sectors, leading to a total investment exceeding 1 trillion yuan [2] - Analysts predict that industrial production momentum may weaken in the second half of the year due to declining exports and increased domestic consumption and investment efforts [3] - The overall industrial production growth rate is expected to slow down, potentially aligning with or slightly below GDP growth, indicating a shift in economic growth drivers towards the service sector [3] Group 4 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to introduce growth stabilization measures for key industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials [4] - The ministry aims to support major industrial provinces in implementing supportive policies, fostering new growth points, and enhancing industrial transformation to stabilize industrial economic operations [4]