[Table_Main] 行业研究|能源|新能源 证券研究报告 新能源行业周报、月报 2025 年 05 月 14 日 [Table_Title] 下游需求迎来增量，价格体系有望修复 ——电力设备新能源行业周报 投资建议 光伏：在经历"430 抢装"驱动的分布式项目采购潮后，光伏产业链 价格如期进入回调周期，硅料、硅片及组件等环节价格中枢较抢装期 下移，但较 Q1 低点仍保有一定的缓冲空间。当前价格波动实为产能 调节的必然结果，行业通过自律已实现库存良性周转，产业链盈利修 复的底层逻辑依然稳固。需求端呈现结构性韧性：国内大基地项目储 备、欧洲库存去化加速，叠加 N 型技术迭代带来的成本优势，支撑 5 月组件排产仍维持较高水平。头部企业通过供应链优化和产能升级， 正在构建穿越周期的能力，为下半年国内外需求共振储备弹性空间。 建议关注协鑫科技、钧达股份、晶科能源、阳光电源。 风电：持续看好国内风电产业链，2025 年是海上风电大年，国内各地 海风招标陆续落地、建设提速，行业基本面持续向好，同时海上风电 也是深海经济重要领域，有望得到政策长期支持。建议关注风电行业 投资机会，整机建议关注金风科技、明阳智能，海缆建议 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology HKETF (513890) has risen by 1.58%, with a trading volume of 609.18 million yuan, indicating active market participation [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index (HSTECH) increased by 1.90%, with notable gains from Tencent Music (up 13.94%), JD Health (up 5.92%), and XPeng Motors (up 4.44%) [1] - Zhongtai Securities suggests that the Hong Kong tech sector, particularly in internet and computing power, may experience structural opportunities similar to the 2021 new energy market [1] Group 2 - Morgan Asset Management is integrating its "Global Vision Investment Technology" product line to help investors capitalize on quality tech companies globally [2] - The actively managed funds include the Morgan Emerging Power Fund, focusing on emerging industry trends, and the Morgan Smart Connectivity Fund, which targets AI-related opportunities [2] - The Morgan Hang Seng Technology ETF (QDII) allows for easy investment in Hong Kong tech assets, while other funds focus on innovative pharmaceuticals and global tech leaders [3]

消息面上，今年的"618"年中大促已经于5月13日正式开启，比往年的5月20日来得早一些。日前，淘宝 天猫、京东、抖音电商、苏宁易购等多个电商平台陆续发布"618"大促安排，全力迎接这场年中购物狂 欢。提振消费是今年经济工作的首要任务，也是当前扩内需稳增长的关键点。作为上半年电商大促的重 头戏，"618"大促无疑是一次激发消费市场活力的契机。 华泰证券表示，首先，从高频数据来看，4月地铁客运量回升，表明居民出行活动维持在较高景气度， 侧面反映出消费活动的活跃。其次，政府出台的以旧换新政策正在发挥积极作用，手机、家电、汽车等 主要消费品类受到政策支持，带动了销售回暖。例如，截至4月24日，全国已有超过270万辆汽车完成以 旧换新，12类家电以旧换新数量达到4746.6万台，手机等数码产品购新数量达3661万件，电动自行车以 旧换新数量也超过420万辆。这些政策不仅提升了短期消费信心，还带动了超1.2亿人次享受补贴，销售 额突破7200亿元，显示出较强的内需支撑力。 相关产品：港股消费ETF（159735）。 每日经济新闻 5月14日，港股市场大幅修复，汽车、国潮服装、消费电子等大消费方向涨势居前。港股消费指数成 ...

电力设备 电力设备 2025 年 05 月 13 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究报告 《氢能深度系列（二）：政策助推应用 落地，氢能两轮车有望迎放量元年— 行业深度报告》2025.5.12 《低空经济行业周报（5 月第 2 周）： 沃兰特获 100 架 eVTOL 订单，小鹏汇 天 PC 证正式获民航局受理—行业周 报》2025.5.11 《低空经济行业周报（5 月第 1 周）： 峰飞获 100 架 eVTOL 订单，中科星图 拟募资进行低空平台建设—行业周 报》2025.5.4 欧洲电动车销量月报（2025 年 4 月）：复苏趋势确立， 4 月同比增速创年内新高 ——行业点评报告 | 殷晟路（分析师） | 王嘉懿（联系人） | | --- | --- | | yinshenglu@kysec.cn | wangjiayi@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080001 | 证书编号：S0790123070003 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - Focus on various sectors including banking, photovoltaic, AI, robotics, chemical, and new energy vehicles Core Insights and Arguments - **Investment Strategy**: A "barbell" investment strategy is recommended, focusing on banks and high-dividend cyclical stocks while also considering valuation-driven thematic rotation opportunities, especially in a market shifting from domestic demand to export orientation [1][2] - **Financial Policy Impact**: A comprehensive financial policy is beneficial for bank convertible bonds. Although interest rate cuts may pressure asset prices, they will enhance credit issuance and improve bank asset structures, supported by new capital inflows from insurance and public funds [1][8][9] - **Trade Negotiation Effects**: U.S.-China trade negotiations may impact export-oriented convertible bonds, particularly in the photovoltaic sector, where companies like JA Solar and Trina Solar, with over 20% revenue from the Americas, could see rebound opportunities if tariff conditions improve [1][10] - **New Energy Vehicle Growth**: Minglida is adjusting its business structure to significantly increase production of structural components for new energy vehicles, with expectations of turning losses into profits as overseas production capacity ramps up [1][18] - **Phosphate Chemical Industry Outlook**: The phosphate chemical industry remains robust due to stable demand and supply constraints, although high-grade phosphate resource depletion and policy restrictions may delay capacity release. Companies like Chuanheng are highlighted for their capacity expansion potential [1][23][24] Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content - **AI Industry Potential**: Deepin Technology's AI industrialization efforts, including products like GPT and AI agents, are expected to stimulate local enterprise demand for AI applications and cloud services [1][29][30] - **Robotics Sector**: The robotics sector shows significant potential, particularly in pneumatic components and reducers, with companies like Keda Li and Haoneng being key players [1][6] - **Emerging Technologies**: Investment opportunities in emerging technologies such as brain-computer interfaces and controlled nuclear fusion are noted, with companies like Guo Da and Xin Da being mentioned [1][7] - **Banking Sector Performance**: The banking sector is experiencing strong credit growth, with several banks exceeding expectations in their first-quarter performance, supported by favorable monetary policies [1][14] - **Wind Power and PCB Markets**: Companies in the wind power sector, such as Guo Da and Tong Yu, are recommended due to strong demand and good performance in their first-quarter reports [1][15][25] - **East Material Technology's Development**: The company is focusing on high-frequency and high-speed materials, with significant revenue growth expected from new production capacity in the second half of the year [1][26][27] - **Health and Wellness Products**: Rongtai Health is expanding its massage chair business, with notable growth in overseas markets driven by e-commerce [1][19][20][22]

电力设备 电力设备 2025 年 05 月 13 日 《低空经济行业周报（5 月第 2 周）： 沃兰特获 100 架 eVTOL 订单，小鹏汇 天 PC 证正式获民航局受理—行业周 报》-2025.5.11 《低空经济行业周报（5 月第 1 周）： 峰飞获 100 架 eVTOL 订单，中科星图 拟募资进行低空平台建设—行业周 报》-2025.5.4 欧洲电动车销量月报（2025 年 4 月）：复苏趋势确立， 4 月同比增速创年内新高 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究报告 《氢能深度系列（二）：政策助推应用 落地，氢能两轮车有望迎放量元年— 行业深度报告》-2025.5.12 ——行业点评报告 | 殷晟路（分析师） | 王嘉懿（联系人） | | --- | --- | | yinshenglu@kysec.cn | wangjiayi@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522080001 | 证书编号：S07901230700 ...

Market Overview - The main board saw significant gains with notable stocks such as Wantech (+10.04%), Tianjian Technology (+10.00%), and Chaoyang Technology (+10.00%) leading the charge [1] - The ChiNext board also performed well, with stocks like Yekeshu (+13.85%) and Sihui Fushi (+13.70%) showing strong increases [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation board was led by Weide Information (+9.76%) and Jiahe Meikang (+6.90%) [1] - Active sub-industries included SW Portal Websites (+0.64%) and SW Passive Components (+0.61%) [1] Domestic News - Longxin Zhongke announced the successful adaptation of its Longxin 3A5000/3A6000 desktop terminals with UniVista Archer, achieving a fully domestic supply chain for electronic system design [1] - IDC reported that China's tablet market shipped 8.52 million units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, driven by the "national subsidy" policy [1] - Taiwan's GlobalWafers is set to complete its 12-inch silicon wafer factory in Texas by May 15, marking the first of its kind in the U.S. [1] - In April, domestic new energy vehicle sales reached 905,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 33.9%, while the cumulative sales from January to April were 3.324 million units, up 35.7% year-on-year [1] Company Announcements - Chongda Technology announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its convertible bonds, lowering it to 10.25 yuan per share, effective from May 22, 2025 [2] - Dahua Intelligent reported a guarantee agreement with Fujian Haixia Bank, providing a joint liability guarantee for its subsidiary New East Network for a credit line of 10 million yuan [2] - Taijia Co. plans to invest up to 100 million yuan in its wholly-owned subsidiary Hong Kong Taijia to establish a project base in Thailand [2] - Guangyun Technology disclosed a share reduction plan, with Hainan Qiyu intending to reduce its holdings by up to 7,111,271 shares, representing 1.67% of the total share capital [2] Semiconductor Industry Insights - Samsung Electronics has finalized a plan to increase DRAM supply prices, with DDR4 expected to rise by approximately 20% and DDR5 by around 5% [3] - Nvidia has raised prices for its GPU products, with increases of 10% to 15% for modules including AI chips H200 and B200 [3] - Reports indicate that Samsung will begin mass production of its 12-layer stacked HBM3E around February 2025, ahead of Nvidia's expected certification [3] - Samsung Display plans to start mass production of its first foldable phone OLED panels next month, with an initial production scale of 200,000 to 300,000 units [3]

Core Viewpoint - The blogger "Zurich Beller" publicly apologized for questioning the authenticity of the wind resistance coefficient test results of the Avita 12, acknowledging inappropriate behavior and agreeing to post the apology for 30 days [1][3]. Group 1: Apology and Acknowledgment - The blogger admitted to making unfounded comparisons between the Avita 12's wind resistance coefficient and that of "20-year-old fuel vehicles," recognizing this as "not rigorous or scientific" [3]. - The blogger expressed regret for omitting key information that led to misunderstandings, specifically neglecting details provided by Avita during a live stream [3]. Group 2: Legal and Company Response - Avita's legal department issued a letter demanding the blogger to delete false statements made between May 2 and May 10, 2025, and to publicly apologize [3][4]. - Avita announced plans to increase rewards for reporting "black public relations" activities, offering up to 5 million RMB for verified leads [4]. Group 3: Testing and Results - Avita conducted a public wind tunnel test for the Avita 12, simulating six different conditions, with wind resistance coefficients ranging from 0.217 to 0.2973 [4]. - The company emphasized that technical parameters should be based on official releases, refuting the blogger's claims of a 0.28Cd wind resistance coefficient [4].

以下文章来源于雪豹财经社 ，作者玄介卿 雪豹财经社 . faster , deeper and wiser 来源 | 雪豹财经社 小伙子比跑步速度。老人主观上可以有这个意愿，客观上也可以作出努力（堆配置等），但底 层限制（动力的传动形式、电子元气件的分布架构等），决定了它会在这场比赛里被逐渐甩 开。 5月8日，理想汽车L系列智能焕新版发布；9日，焕新版的全系车型就正式开启了全国交付， 实现了"发布即交付"的节奏。 发新车，就不免联想到销量。 理想今年的销量目标是70万辆，去年是50万辆。有一种观点是，理想今年要多卖20万辆车， 这个目标将异常艰难。原因在于，理想规划的新车型仅有下半年才发布的i8和i6，其他均为改 款焕新。冲量的主力，还是在L系列上。而L系列的竞争力正在逐渐被瓦解，经历了不同程度 的下滑。 短期视角或许没错。但今年能不能到70万辆，从投资视角看，并不是关键问题。对理想的成 长，可以按3年达成70万辆销量进行底线估值。 为什么2027年达成70万销量是一个底线估值？这里涉及由股价、预期PE、车辆销售均价、净 利润率等多个基本面指标搭建的评估模型，不在本篇文章展开。 简单说我的结论：只要理想汽车能 ...

1、汽车股上行，蔚来涨超5%，吉利、小鹏涨超3%，零跑涨超2%。 今日上午港股 点击蓝字，关注我们 消息面上，中国4月新能源车厂商批发渗透率51.7%，同比上升11个百分点。4月新能源乘用车批发销 量达到113.3万辆，同比增长40.2%，环比增长0.3%；1-4月累计批发398.1万辆，增长42.1%。4月新能 源乘用车市场零售90.5万辆，同比增长33.9%，环比下降8.7%；1-4月累计零售332.4万辆，增长 35.7%。4月新能源乘用车厂商出口18.9万辆，同比增长44.2%，环比增长31.6%；1-4月累计出口59.0万 辆，增长26.7%。 2、汽配股早盘走高， 国泰海通称中资零部件企业在美竞争优势仍在。 敏实集团(00425) 涨4.07%； 德昌电机控股(00179) 涨3.58%； 耐世特(01316) 涨3.07%；京东方精电(00710)涨2.35%。 3、啤酒股普涨，华润啤酒涨超3%，百威亚太涨超2%，青岛啤酒涨超1%。 消息面上，东吴发布研 报称，25Q1啤酒板块恢复性增长。 4、KEEP涨超10% ，公司加速AI融合，或帮助打破用户规模与商业化规模天花板。 5、小米一度跌超6%， ...