前10个月规模以上工业企业利润同比增长1.9%，连增三个月。 11月27日，国家统计局发布数据显示，1—10月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额59502.9亿元，同比增长1.9%。10月当月受上年同期基数有所抬高、财务费 用增长较快等因素影响，规模以上工业企业利润同比下降5.5%。值得一提的是，国家统计局表示，前10个月累计，传统产业新质生产力发展成效初步显现，利润明 显高于行业平均水平。 上年同期基数有所抬高等拖累利润表现 10月当月，规模以上工业企业利润同比下降5.5%。国家统计局工业司首席统计师于卫宁分析，受上年同期基数有所抬高、财务费用增长较快等因素影响。 不过，8月份以来，工业企业利润累计增速连续三个月保持增长。从三大门类看，1—10月份，采矿业下降27.8%，降幅较1—9月份收窄1.5个百分点；制造业增长 7.7%；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长9.5%。 于卫宁表示，1—10月份，规模以上工业企业营业收入同比增长1.8%，营业收入持续保持增长，为工业企业盈利恢复创造有利条件。此外，营业收入利润率为 5.25%，同比提高0.01个百分点。 传统产业提质升级成效显现 据介绍，1—10月份， ...

Core Insights - In October, the profit growth of industrial enterprises at or above designated size declined due to high base effects from the previous year and rising financial costs, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.5% [1][3] - From January to October, the profit of industrial enterprises increased by 1.9%, maintaining growth for three consecutive months since August [1][3] - The mining sector saw a profit decline of 27.8%, while the manufacturing sector experienced a profit increase of 7.7%, and the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector grew by 9.5% [3][4] Industry Performance - High-tech manufacturing showed strong performance, with profits increasing by 8.0% year-on-year, surpassing the overall industrial average by 6.1 percentage points [4] - Specific sectors within high-tech manufacturing, such as smart electronic manufacturing and semiconductor manufacturing, reported significant profit growth, with increases of 116.1% and 89.2% respectively [4] - Traditional industries are also seeing improvements, with certain sectors like chemical and building materials showing profit growth significantly above the industry average, such as graphite and carbon products at 77.7% [5] Future Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission is addressing issues of price competition in various industries to maintain a stable market environment, which is expected to support high-quality development [6] - Analysts suggest that for sustained profit improvement, policies to expand domestic demand and optimize supply structures are crucial, along with monitoring the balance between inventory replenishment and end-user demand [5][6]

11月27日，国家统计局公布 2025年1—10月份全国规模以上工业企业利润数据 。其中，国有控股企业实现利润总额18490.2亿元，同比持平； 股份制企业实现利润总额44328.3亿元，增长1.5%；外商及港澳台投资企业实现利润总额14848.6亿元，增长3.5%； 私营企业实现利润总额 16995.6亿元，增长1.9%。 国家统计局工业司首席统计师于卫宁对数据进行详细解读： 1—10月份，在党中央坚强领导下，各地区各部门认真落实党中央、国务院决策部署，着力做强国内大循环，积极畅通国内国际双循环，带动 工业企业利润稳定增长，工业经济高质量发展稳步推进。 工业企业利润稳定增长。1—10月份，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长1.9%，自今年8月份以来累计增速连续三个月保持增长。从三大门类 看，1—10月份，采矿业下降27.8%，降幅较1—9月份收窄1.5个百分点；制造业增长7.7%；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长9.5%。10 月份，受上年同期基数有所抬高、财务费用增长较快等因素影响，规模以上工业企业利润同比下降5.5%。 工业企业营收保持增长。1—10月份，规模以上工业企业营业收入同比增长1.8%，营业收入 ...

Core Insights - The overall fixed asset investment in China for the first ten months of 2025 reached 4,089.14 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.7%. However, project investment excluding real estate development increased by 1.7% [2] Group 1: Equipment Investment - Investment in equipment and tools saw a significant increase of 13.0% year-on-year, contributing 1.9 percentage points to the overall investment growth. This category accounted for 17.0% of total investment, up 2.2 percentage points from the previous year [3] Group 2: Industrial Investment - Industrial investment grew by 4.9% year-on-year, contributing 1.7 percentage points to overall investment growth. Within this sector, mining investment increased by 3.8%, while manufacturing investment rose by 2.7%. Notably, investment in railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment surged by 20.1%, and automotive manufacturing investment grew by 17.5% [4] Group 3: High-Tech Service Investment - Investment in high-tech services increased by 5.5% year-on-year, representing 5.3% of total service investment, an increase of 0.5 percentage points from the previous year. Information service investment alone grew by 32.7% [5] Group 4: Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment in key areas saw rapid growth, with internet and related services investment rising by 20.0% and water transportation investment increasing by 9.4%. Private investment in infrastructure grew by 4.5%, making up 22.6% of total infrastructure investment, an increase of 1.0 percentage points from the previous year [6] Group 5: Livelihood Investment - In the primary industry, forestry investment surged by 35.6%, and fishery investment grew by 10.9%. In the secondary and tertiary industries, investment in electricity and heat production increased by 14.6%, while accommodation and catering investment rose by 10.5% [7]

Core Insights - The overall industrial production in China is stable with significant growth in various sectors, indicating a solid advancement towards high-quality development [1] Group 1: Industrial Production Overview - In the first ten months of the year, the industrial added value for large-scale industries increased by 6.1% year-on-year, surpassing the previous year's growth by 0.3 percentage points [1] - In October, the industrial added value grew by 4.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.17% after seasonal adjustments [1] - Among the three major sectors, manufacturing increased by 4.9%, while mining and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply grew by 4.5% and 5.4%, respectively [1] - Out of 41 major industrial categories, 29 experienced year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 70.7% [1] - Of the 623 major industrial products tracked, 313 saw an increase in production, representing a growth coverage of 50.2% [1] Group 2: Equipment Manufacturing Sector - The added value of large-scale equipment manufacturing increased by 8.0% year-on-year, accounting for 36.1% of the total industrial output, which is an increase of 1.5 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2024 [2] - All eight industries within equipment manufacturing reported growth, with the automotive and electronics sectors leading at growth rates of 16.8% and 8.9%, contributing 22.8% and 19.3% to the overall industrial growth, respectively [2] - The railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace sectors have maintained double-digit growth since December 2024, with a growth rate of 15.2% in October [2] - High-end equipment products are steadily developing, with production increases of 71.3% for railway locomotives, 21.4% for civil steel ships, and 16.9% for generator sets [2] Group 3: Emerging Industries and Digital Integration - The integration of the real economy and digital economy is deepening, with high-tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing increasing by 7.2% and 6.7% year-on-year, respectively, both exceeding the overall industrial growth by 2.3 and 1.8 percentage points [3] - Specific sectors such as electronic materials, integrated circuits, and smart vehicle equipment saw substantial growth rates of 35.5%, 33.7%, and 28.4%, respectively [3] - The rapid development of "artificial intelligence+" has led to production increases of 34.0% for servers and 17.7% for integrated circuits; the robotics sector is also thriving, with production of robot reducers and industrial robots increasing by 4.6 times and 17.9%, respectively [3] Group 4: Traditional Industries - The petroleum processing industry saw an 8.1% year-on-year increase in added value, with the biofuel processing sector growing by 19.1%, contributing 1.9 percentage points more than the same period in 2024 [4] - The chemical fiber industry grew by 7.3%, with bio-based materials manufacturing increasing by 26.3%, contributing 13.3 percentage points more than the same period in 2024 [4] - Other traditional industries also showed positive growth, with chemical and coal industries increasing by 7.1% and 6.5%, respectively; non-ferrous and ferrous metal mining grew by 6.2% and 5.9% [4] - The long-term positive conditions and trends for China's industrial economy remain unchanged, although challenges such as insufficient effective demand and pressure on corporate profits persist [4]

Economic Overview - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2][3][38] - The industrial added value above designated size grew by 4.9% year-on-year in October, with a month-on-month increase of 0.17% [8][36] Retail Sales - Retail sales excluding automobiles amounted to 42,036 billion yuan in October, growing by 4.0% [2][38] - For the first ten months, total retail sales reached 412,169 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3% [2][38] - Online retail sales for the first ten months were 127,916 billion yuan, up 9.6%, with physical goods online sales accounting for 25.2% of total retail sales [7][38] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for the first ten months increased by 6.1% year-on-year [8][36] - In October, the mining industry saw a 4.5% increase, manufacturing grew by 4.9%, and the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry rose by 5.4% [10][36] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing showed strong growth, with increases of 7.2% and 8.0% respectively [36] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [20][39] - Manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, while real estate development investment fell by 14.7% [39][20] Employment and Unemployment - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in October was 5.1%, slightly lower than the previous month [3][41] - The average working hours for employees in enterprises was 48.4 hours per week [41] Price Trends - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year, reversing a previous decline [42] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [42] Overall Economic Stability - The national economy showed overall stability in October, with ongoing transformation and upgrading efforts [3][43] - The government aims to expand domestic demand and stabilize employment, enterprises, and market expectations [43]

Core Insights - National fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) in China for January to October 2025 reached 408,914 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 1.7% [1] - Private fixed asset investment saw a more significant decrease, down 4.5% year-on-year [1] - In October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.62% month-on-month [1] Investment by Industry - First industry investment totaled 8,075 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.9% [1] - Second industry investment amounted to 148,411 billion yuan, showing a growth of 4.8% [1] - Third industry investment reached 252,429 billion yuan, experiencing a decline of 5.3% year-on-year [1] Second Industry Breakdown - Industrial investment in the second industry grew by 4.9% year-on-year [1] - Mining investment increased by 3.8%, while manufacturing investment rose by 2.7% [1] - Investment in the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector surged by 12.5% [1] Third Industry Insights - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) saw a slight decline of 0.1% year-on-year [1] - Pipeline transportation investment grew by 13.8%, while water transportation investment increased by 9.4% [1] - Railway transportation investment experienced a growth of 3.0% [1]

Core Insights - In October, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.17%. For the first ten months, the year-on-year growth was 6.1% [2][3][24]. Group 1: Industrial Performance - The mining industry saw a year-on-year increase of 4.5% in added value, while manufacturing grew by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 5.4% in October [5][24]. - State-owned enterprises reported a year-on-year growth of 6.7% in added value, while private enterprises grew by 2.1% [5][24]. - Among 41 major industries, 29 experienced year-on-year growth in added value, with notable increases in coal mining (6.5%), chemical raw materials (7.1%), and automotive manufacturing (16.8%) [5][24]. Group 2: Product Output - Out of 623 industrial products, 313 saw a year-on-year increase in output. Notably, automotive production reached 3.279 million units, up 11.2%, with new energy vehicles growing by 19.3% [6][24]. - The production of ethylene increased by 11.7%, while steel output decreased by 0.9% [6][24]. Group 3: Sales and Exports - The sales rate of products from industrial enterprises above designated size was 96.4%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year. The export delivery value was 1.3245 trillion yuan, down 2.1% year-on-year [7][24]. Group 4: Economic Context - The overall economic operation in October was stable, with a focus on maintaining employment, enterprises, and market expectations. The industrial production index for the manufacturing sector was at 49.0%, indicating a slight contraction [23][24].

Core Viewpoint - In October, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee with Xi Jinping at its core, the national economy maintained overall stability and progressed steadily, with improvements in employment, market expectations, and price levels, while promoting the construction of a unified national market and facilitating domestic and international dual circulation [1] Industrial Production - In October, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month, with mining, manufacturing, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sectors growing by 4.5%, 4.9%, and 5.4% respectively [2] - The equipment manufacturing industry saw an 8.0% increase, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 7.2%, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points respectively [2] - From January to October, the industrial added value increased by 6.1%, and the manufacturing purchasing managers' index was at 49.0% [2] Service Industry - The service production index rose by 4.6% year-on-year in October, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services (13.0%), leasing and business services (8.2%), and finance (5.6%) [3] - From January to October, the service production index increased by 5.7%, and the revenue of large-scale service enterprises grew by 7.6% year-on-year [3] Market Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [4] - Online retail sales amounted to 127,916 billion yuan, growing by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail sales at 103,984 billion yuan, a 6.3% increase [4] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [5] - Manufacturing investment grew by 2.7%, while real estate development investment fell by 14.7% [5] Trade and Exports - In October, the total value of goods imports and exports was 37,028 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [6] - From January to October, the total value of goods imports and exports reached 373,090 billion yuan, up by 3.6% year-on-year [6] Employment - The urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1% in October, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [7] - The average weekly working hours for employees were 48.4 hours [7] Consumer Prices - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year, reversing from a decline of 0.3% in the previous month [8] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [8] Overall Economic Outlook - The national economy showed overall stability in October, with solid progress in transformation and upgrading, and new growth drivers continuing to strengthen [9]

Core Viewpoint - In October, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee with Xi Jinping at its core, the national economy maintained overall stability and progressed steadily, with improvements in employment, market expectations, and price levels, while promoting the construction of a unified national market and facilitating domestic and international dual circulation [1]. Group 1: Industrial Production - In October, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month [2]. - The equipment manufacturing industry saw an 8.0% year-on-year increase, while high-tech manufacturing grew by 7.2%, both outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points respectively [2]. - The manufacturing purchasing managers' index was recorded at 49.0, indicating a slight contraction in manufacturing activity [2]. Group 2: Service Industry - The service production index increased by 4.6% year-on-year in October, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services at 13.0% [3]. - The business activity index for the service industry was at 50.2, indicating stable activity levels [3]. - For the first ten months, the service production index grew by 5.7% year-on-year [3]. Group 3: Market Sales - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [4]. - Online retail sales amounted to 127,916 billion yuan, growing by 9.6% year-on-year, with physical goods accounting for 25.2% of total retail sales [4]. - The growth rate of service retail sales accelerated to 5.3% year-on-year in the first ten months [4]. Group 4: Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [5]. - Manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, while real estate development investment fell by 14.7% [5]. - High-tech industries, such as information services and aerospace manufacturing, saw significant investment growth of 32.7% and 19.7% respectively [5]. Group 5: Trade and Employment - In October, the total value of goods imports and exports was 37,028 billion yuan, with exports decreasing by 0.8% and imports increasing by 1.4% [6]. - The urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1% in October, showing a slight decrease from the previous month [7]. - The average working hours for employed persons were recorded at 48.4 hours per week [7]. Group 6: Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year in October, reversing from a decline of 0.3% in the previous month [8]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing compared to the previous month [9]. - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 1.2% year-on-year, reflecting a slight acceleration in inflationary pressures [8].