Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI for December 2025 increased by 0.9 points to 50.1, significantly above the seasonal trend, which typically sees a decline of 0.3 points over the past decade [1][5][6]. The main driving force behind this increase is the upward shift in the economic center of high-tech manufacturing [1][5]. Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The absolute economic performance is led by the pharmaceutical, automotive, textile, and computer communication electronics industries, supported by the upcoming "two new" policies in 2026, which include subsidies for digital and smart products, and vehicle replacement policies [1][9]. - The computer communication electronics sector has maintained a PMI above 52 for five consecutive months, driven by the "AI+" industry trend [1][9]. - Export orders have rebounded, with the textile industry’s export order index rising above 60 and the pharmaceutical industry’s export order index reaching 55 [1][9]. Group 2: Marginal Changes - Industries showing improvement in economic performance include pharmaceuticals, textiles, electrical machinery, petrochemicals, and metal products, with the pharmaceutical sector potentially benefiting from the flu season [2][12]. - The petrochemical industry has stabilized at a low level, with production indicators rising significantly by 15 points, likely due to stabilizing oil prices in late December [2][12]. - The electrical machinery sector's improvement is linked to the continuation of the 2026 "old-for-new" appliance policy and strong demand in the energy storage sector, with the sector's factory price index rising by 4.9 points in December [2][12]. Group 3: Emerging Industries - Emerging industries such as biotechnology, new energy vehicles, and next-generation information technology continue to maintain high levels of economic performance, with biotechnology seeing a 2.7-point increase in its economic index [2][15]. - Among the seven emerging industries, biotechnology has the highest economic performance, while new energy vehicles and next-generation information technology are in the 50-55 range [15]. Group 4: Construction Sector - The construction industry has returned to economic expansion after four months, with the real estate sector showing a slight increase of 0.5 points in its index [3][16]. - The construction activity index for civil engineering rose by 1.2 points, driven by the concentrated release of new policy financial tools and favorable construction conditions in southern regions [3][16]. - The construction PMI increased by 3.2 points to 52.9, marking a return to economic expansion [3][17]. Group 5: Service Sector - The service sector's business activity index rose by 0.2 points to 49.7, with online information technology services and postal services leading the performance [3][22]. - The financial services and capital market services sectors have business activity indices above 60, indicating high economic performance [3][22]. - The accommodation and catering services sector showed the lowest performance, declining in line with weak consumer mobility data [3][22].

海南自贸港药品、医疗器械"零关税"政策明确，在海南博鳌乐城国际医疗旅游先行区内注册登记具有独 立法人资格并经认定的医疗机构、医学教育高等院校、医药类科研院所，进口政策规定范围内的药品、 医疗器械，可享受免征进口关税、进口环节增值税。该政策有效降低医疗机构运营成本，也减轻了患者 就医负担。 【纠错】 【责任编辑:薛涛】 新华社海口1月4日电（记者吴茂辉）海口海关4日发布数据，自2024年12月31日首票业务落地以来，海 南自贸港药品、医疗器械"零关税"政策已平稳运行一周年，截至2025年12月31日，累计进口"零关税"药 械货值约4.6亿元，减免税款约6200万元。 海口海关相关负责人表示，将继续优化监管服务，引导企业用好用足政策，进一步推动药械"零关税"政 策红利释放，助力乐城先行区打造全球优质医疗资源集聚高地。 ...

Core Insights - In the first eleven months of 2025, trade between China and South Korea reached 2.14 trillion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 1.6% [1] - The trade of electromechanical products accounted for 1.43 trillion yuan, growing by 5.9% and representing 67% of the total trade volume, an increase of 2.7 percentage points from the previous year [1] Trade Dynamics - China imported 1.2 trillion yuan worth of goods from South Korea and exported 0.94 trillion yuan, with Sino-Korean trade constituting 5.2% of China's overall foreign trade [1] - There is a deepening collaboration in supply chains, with imports of electronic components and computer accessories from South Korea increasing by 9.9% and 7.4% respectively [1] Emerging Cooperation Areas - In the new sectors, imports of medicinal materials and pharmaceuticals from South Korea rose by 8.9% and 3% respectively, while exports of "new three samples" products and medical instruments to South Korea grew by 12.4% and 1.1% [1] Agricultural Trade Expansion - The trade volume of agricultural products between China and South Korea reached 52.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.1% [1] - Notably, imports of alcoholic beverages and pasta from South Korea, as well as exports of dried and fresh fruits, nuts, and tea to South Korea, saw double-digit growth rates [1]

Group 1 - The short-term performance of A-shares after the New Year is mainly influenced by policies, external events, liquidity, and overseas market trends [1][6] - Since 2010, in 16 years, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen in 11 instances during the 10 trading days before the holiday and has shown similar patterns after the holiday [1][6] - Positive policies and external events are core influencing factors for post-holiday A-share performance, with examples including the resolution of the "fiscal cliff" in the US in January 2013 and the easing of US-China trade tensions in early 2019 [1][6] Group 2 - Current observations suggest that the A-share spring market is ongoing, with potential for a strong but volatile performance post-New Year [1][6] - There is a likelihood of further positive policy implementation after the holiday, including the rollout of guidelines for equipment updates and trade-in policies, as well as local government meetings to stimulate consumption [1][6] Group 3 - External risks post-holiday are expected to be limited, with a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January and stable US-China relations, although tensions with Japan may persist [2][7] - Liquidity is anticipated to further loosen, with potential for accelerated capital inflow into the stock market [2][7] Group 4 - The economic recovery remains weak, with industrial profits continuing to decline, but there is potential for recovery in certain sectors, particularly in technology and cyclical industries [2][7] - Historical trends indicate that industries driven by upward policies and trends before the holiday are likely to maintain their strength afterward [3][8] Group 5 - Recommendations for post-holiday investment include focusing on technology, certain cyclical sectors, and consumer industries, with specific mention of machinery, military, new energy, media, computing, electronics, telecommunications, and pharmaceuticals [4][9] - Current PEG ratios for growth sectors like power equipment and media are relatively low, indicating potential for investment [4][9]

Group 1 - The report indicates that geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S. actions in Venezuela, are expected to boost oil and gold prices, while the impact on equity assets is manageable. Attention should be paid to the Federal Reserve chair nomination, liquidity, and the CES conference, with U.S. stocks showing signs of recovery. [4][12][13] - Domestic PMI for December showed a significant rebound, driven by new subsidies, major projects, and proactive real estate policies. The report anticipates a positive start for A-shares, supported by policy initiatives, increased capital inflow, and technological catalysts. [4][18][19] - The report emphasizes a focus on technology and cyclical industries, particularly in sectors like commercial aerospace, robotics, AI, and semiconductors, as well as lithium batteries, non-ferrous metals, and chemicals. [4][20] Group 2 - The report lists the top ten stocks for January, including companies from various sectors such as electronics, automotive, and healthcare, with no specific ranking provided. [5][10] - Semiconductor company SMIC (688981.SH) is highlighted as a leader in integrated circuit manufacturing, with a projected revenue growth from 574.77 billion to 742.45 billion from 2024 to 2026, reflecting its critical role in the industry. [21][22] - Tianfu Communication (300394.SZ) is noted for its strong revenue growth driven by high-speed optical module demand, with a forecasted revenue increase from 57.33 billion to 106.87 billion from 2025 to 2027. [23][26] - New energy company Haopeng Technology (001283.SZ) is focusing on AI applications and has begun mass production of AI-related products, with projected net profits increasing from 2.47 billion to 5.50 billion from 2025 to 2027. [44][46] - Zhongmin Resources (002738.SZ) is expanding its lithium salt production capacity and has significant projects underway, with revenue expectations of 56.91 billion to 97.27 billion from 2024 to 2026. [48][52] - China Aluminum (601600.SH) reported a revenue increase of 13.95% in Q1 2025, with a focus on improving cash flow and reducing debt levels, indicating a strong operational performance. [54][56]

Core Viewpoint - The "zero tariff" policy for drugs and medical devices in Hainan Free Trade Port has been successfully implemented for one week, significantly reducing operational costs for medical institutions and patient burdens [1]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - The "zero tariff" policy has been in effect since December 31, 2024, and has resulted in a tax reduction of approximately 62 million yuan, with a total value of goods benefiting from the policy amounting to about 460 million yuan [1]. - The policy allows registered medical institutions, higher medical education institutions, and medical research institutes in the Boao Lecheng International Medical Tourism Pilot Zone to import specified drugs and medical devices without paying import tariffs, VAT, or consumption tax [1]. Group 2: Operational Support - Haikou Customs has optimized customs clearance processes and conducted in-depth enterprise research to ensure the effective release of policy benefits, aiming to meet the needs of the beneficiaries [1]. - The customs authority will continue to enhance supervision and services, guiding enterprises to fully utilize the policy and further support the Lecheng Pilot Zone in becoming a global hub for high-quality medical resources [1]. Group 3: Policy Context - The "zero tariff" policy for drugs and medical devices is part of a broader tax incentive framework in the Hainan Free Trade Port, which also includes zero tariffs on self-use production equipment, vehicles, yachts, and raw materials [1].

Core Viewpoint - The strategic cooperation between China National Pharmaceutical Group (Sinopharm) and Betta Pharmaceuticals represents a strong alliance between an innovative pharmaceutical company and a supply chain giant, aiming to create a new ecosystem for an efficient pharmaceutical supply chain [1] Group 1: Strategic Cooperation - The signing ceremony for the strategic cooperation between Sinopharm and Betta Pharmaceuticals took place at Betta's headquarters [1] - This partnership is seen as a model of complementary strengths between an innovative drug company and a supply chain leader [1] - Both companies aim to deepen their collaboration and create a synergistic and efficient pharmaceutical supply chain ecosystem [1] Group 2: Company Statements - Sinopharm's Vice President, Hu Ligang, expressed satisfaction with the strategic cooperation, emphasizing the integration of internal resources and optimization of service models to support innovative companies like Betta [1] - Betta Pharmaceuticals' Chairman, Ding Lieming, acknowledged the significant support from Sinopharm in Betta's commercialization process, highlighting the importance of this partnership in enhancing collaborative innovation outcomes [1]

Core Viewpoint - Furuida, a state-controlled listed company under Lushang Group, is recognized for its innovation-driven industrial upgrades in the pharmaceutical and cosmetics sectors, having formed a collaborative innovation consortium and achieved significant technological breakthroughs [1][3]. Group 1: Innovation and Collaboration - Furuida has been a leader in the hyaluronic acid industry for over 30 years, addressing challenges such as limited core technologies and low competitiveness of high-value products through open collaboration [3]. - The company has established the "Shandong Synthetic Biology and Green Manufacturing Innovation Consortium," integrating top universities and research institutions to tackle common technological challenges in cutting-edge fields like cell factories and green catalysis [3]. - Furuida's research team has developed a nanocrystal/bioadhesive transmembrane delivery technology that resolves critical issues in drug absorption and targeting, resulting in 29 national invention patents and the launch of 33 new drug products, generating an annual output value exceeding 1 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Ecosystem and Market Position - Furuida promotes a "four-chain" integration model to bridge gaps between talent, education, innovation, and industry, enhancing the flow of innovation elements [6]. - The company has implemented a collaborative investment and shared outcome model, creating a full chain from raw material research to end products, and has initiated the "Hyaluronic Acid+" industry ecosystem plan, successfully incubating 19 new brands [6]. - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, Furuida has solidified its leading position in the hyaluronic acid sector, establishing a research cluster with 4 national and 17 provincial platforms, and has undertaken over 30 major scientific projects, accumulating nearly 400 authorized patents [6].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market has significantly rebounded in 2025, with 99 companies listed as of December 12, raising over 250 billion HKD, accounting for 67% of the total fundraising for Chinese companies this year, marking a 10-year high [1][17][21] - The IPO success rate has increased to 73% with an apparent return rate of 34%, both significantly higher than previous years, although the average winning rate has dropped to 20%, the lowest in a decade [1][21] - The characteristics of the Hong Kong IPO market include a registration system with a low listing success rate of 37% since 2016, no market capitalization requirements for participation, and a higher first-day failure rate compared to A-shares, averaging 45% since 2016 [1][6][50] Group 2 - There is a weak positive correlation between the primary market financing and the secondary market performance, driven by common macroeconomic factors such as a weak US dollar and low Hibor rates [2][7][62] - Large IPOs do not significantly impact the overall secondary market but can boost specific sectors like consumer goods and technology [2][8] - A selection model for IPOs can enhance returns by evaluating market sentiment, company fundamentals, and issuance characteristics, with a scoring system that can increase returns by approximately 15 percentage points for selected stocks [2][9] Group 3 - The outlook for 2026 suggests continued activity in the Hong Kong IPO market, with 314 companies currently in the listing application process, estimating a central fundraising scale of around 330 billion HKD [3][24][28] - The historical data indicates that the performance of the secondary market in the previous year influences the IPO application decisions of companies [3][25] - The average fundraising scale in 2026 is expected to be over 20% higher than in 2025, reflecting a robust pipeline of IPOs [3][28]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This year after the New Year's Day, the A - share spring market is underway and may be volatile and bullish, affected by factors such as policy implementation, liquidity, and the performance of the Hong Kong stock market [1][4][7]. - After the holiday, technology growth and some cyclical industries may be relatively dominant, with continuous upward industrial trends and policy support [1][26]. - After the holiday, it is recommended to continue to allocate industries such as technology, some cyclical and consumer sectors on dips [1][38][46]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Post - holiday Spring Market is Underway 3.1.1 Factors Affecting Post - holiday A - share Movement - Since 2010, in 11 out of 16 years, the Shanghai Composite Index showed the same upward or downward trend in the 10 trading days before and after the holiday. The post - holiday short - term market performance is affected by policies, external events, liquidity, and the performance of the Hong Kong stock market [1][4]. - Positive policies and external events may lead to a short - term rise in the post - holiday A - shares, while tight policies or negative external events may result in weak performance. Liquidity also plays a key role, and the performance of the Hong Kong stock market during the holiday has a certain impact on the post - holiday A - shares [4]. 3.1.2 This Year's A - share Spring Market is Underway and May be Volatile and Bullish - Positive policies may continue to be implemented after the holiday, and external risks may be limited. The "two new" policies are accelerating implementation, local two - sessions may be held intensively, and consumption - stimulating policies may be introduced. Externally, the Fed may cut interest rates in January, Sino - US relations may remain stable, and geopolitical conflicts may ease [7][8]. - Post - holiday short - term liquidity may be further relaxed. Overseas, the Fed is likely to cut interest rates, and the RMB exchange rate may be strong. Domestically, the central bank may cut interest rates and reserve requirements. Also, stock market funds may accelerate inflow [9]. - The Hong Kong stock market performed strongly during the New Year's Day holiday, which may boost the post - holiday A - shares. The correlation coefficient between the Hong Kong stock market's rise and fall during the New Year's Day holiday and the Shanghai Composite Index's rise and fall in the 10 trading days after the holiday is about 0.5 [18][19]. - The post - holiday economy and corporate profits are still in weak recovery. The economy is in a weak recovery state, and corporate profits may continue to recover, although the industrial enterprise profits in November continued to decline [21]. 3.2 Industry Allocation: Focus on Growth after the Holiday 3.2.1 Technology Growth and Some Cyclical Industries May be Relatively Dominant after New Year's Day - Historically, policy and industrial trends drive pre - holiday strong industries to maintain their strength after the holiday. Pre - holiday leading industries may switch due to high sentiment or market adjustments. Industries with continuous strength around the New Year's Day usually have a relatively low historical quantile of trading volume [26]. - This year, the industrial trends of technology growth and some cyclical industries may continue to rise after the holiday. The pre - holiday leading cyclical industries have neutral - low sentiment, while the technology growth industries have high sentiment [26]. 3.2.2 Currently, the PEG of Electric Power, Media, and Automobile is Low - Among the primary growth industries, the predicted PEG of electric power equipment, media, and automobile is relatively low, at 0.64, 0.86, and 1.13 respectively. The historical quantiles of trading volume of medicine, computer, media, and automobile are low [40]. - Among the secondary growth industries, the sentiment of traditional Chinese medicine, biological products, automobile services, and chemical pharmaceuticals is low. The predicted PEG of nautical equipment, games, commercial vehicles, and wind power equipment is relatively low [44]. 3.2.3 After the Holiday, it is Recommended to Continue to Allocate Industries such as Technology, Some Cyclical and Consumer Sectors on Dips - It is recommended to allocate industries with upward policy and industrial trends, such as machinery (robotics), military (commercial aerospace), electric power (nuclear fusion, energy storage), media (AI applications, games), computer (AI applications, satellite Internet), electronics (semiconductors, AI hardware), communication (AI hardware), and medicine (innovative drugs) on dips [46]. - In the short term, it is recommended to allocate sectors that may make up for lost ground and have potentially improved fundamentals, such as securities and consumer sectors (food, retail, social services) on dips [56].