Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - No industry - wide investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The report covers different commodity futures and options, presenting diverse views for each variety. For example, for pork, it will likely rebound slightly in the short - term and remain weak in the medium - term; for sugar, it will stop falling and stabilize in the short - term and be weak in a volatile manner in the medium - term; for crude oil, it will fluctuate at a high level in the short - term and face pressure in the medium - term; for PVC, it will show a warm trend in the short - term but lack strong driving forces for continuous increase in the medium - term [1][2][5][8]. 3. Summary by Variety Pork - **Intraday View**: Slight rebound [1] - **Medium - term View**: Remain weak after the rebound [1] - **Reference Strategy**: Short after the rebound [1] - **Core Logic**: Official measures such as state purchases, bans on secondary fattening, and stricter environmental policies have signaled market price stabilization. In the short - term, changes in the average slaughter weight should be monitored, and in the long - term, policy implementation and capacity reduction are key factors. Overall, the price will likely remain weak after a short - term rebound [1]. Sugar - **Intraday View**: Stop falling and stabilize [2] - **Medium - term View**: Weak in a volatile manner [2] - **Reference Strategy**: Sell out - of - the - money put options [2] - **Core Logic**: Internationally, the tense Middle - East situation and weather conditions in major producing countries affect supply. Domestically, although sales are fast and industrial inventory is down, imports are expected to increase, and the overall 25/26 sugar season is expected to be in surplus, leading to a short - term stabilization and medium - term weakening of sugar prices [3][4]. Crude Oil - **Intraday View**: Fluctuate at a high level [5] - **Medium - term View**: Face pressure [5] - **Reference Strategy**: Exit the profitable position of selling out - of - the - money put options on SC2508 [5] - **Core Logic**: On the supply side, the escalation of the Middle - East geopolitical situation and OPEC+ policies affect supply. On the demand side, refinery operating rates are rising, but actual downstream demand is weak. In terms of inventory, commercial crude oil inventory is falling, while fuel inventory is rising. Overall, the price will fluctuate at a high level in the short - term and face pressure in the medium - term [5][6][7]. PVC - **Intraday View**: Show a warm trend [8] - **Medium - term View**: Lack strong driving forces for continuous increase [8] - **Reference Strategy**: Sell out - of - the - money call options on PVC at an appropriate time [8] - **Core Logic**: Cost factors such as power rationing in Inner Mongolia affect supply. Supply has decreased due to plant maintenance. Demand from downstream enterprises has some changes, and inventory is decreasing. Overall, it will show a warm trend in the short - term but face pressure as demand seasons change [8][9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural products sector [1][4]. Core Views - The report is optimistic about the reversal of the beef cycle, recommending investments in leading livestock companies with low valuations, and highlighting the sustained high demand in the pet industry [3][4]. - The report notes that the pork industry is expected to maintain a stable price environment, with a projected continuation of favorable conditions for pig prices into 2025 [1][3]. - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the cattle market due to domestic supply reduction and shrinking imports, suggesting a positive outlook for beef prices [3][15]. Summary by Sections Livestock - **Pork**: Prices are stable with a current price of 13.99 CNY/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.50% and a year-on-year decrease of 24.95% [1][13]. - **Poultry**: The price of broiler chicks has decreased by 13.25% week-on-week to 2.2 CNY/chick, while the price of broilers has increased by 0.56% to 7.2 CNY/kg [1][14]. - **Beef**: The average price of beef is 59.38 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week but showing a year-on-year increase of 28.39% [1][15]. Feed and Crop Products - **Soybean Meal**: The current price is 2994 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.84% [2][15]. - **Corn**: The price has risen to 2406 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.43% and a year-on-year increase of 0.21% [2][15]. - **Sugar**: The price in Guangxi is 5990 CNY/ton, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.32% [2][15]. - **Rubber**: The price remains stable at 1700 USD/ton, with a slight increase in domestic prices [2][15]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - **Beef**: Guangming Meat Industry [4]. - **Pork**: Muyuan Foods, Huatong Foods, and others [3][4]. - **Pet Industry**: Guibao Pet and others [3][4]. - **Feed**: Haida Group [3][4]. - **Poultry**: Lihua Stock and others [3][4].

Group 1 - The 2025 Technology Finance and Industry Innovation Conference was held in Shanghai, focusing on the integration of innovation chains and industrial chains, and the role of technology finance in empowering industrial upgrades [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange aims to deepen reforms and enhance the adaptability of its system to support technological and industrial innovation, with plans to innovate low-volatility fund products and diversify asset allocation tools for investors [1] Group 2 - The ESG performance of small home appliance companies is becoming a critical dimension for assessing their long-term value, but the overall ESG disclosure rate among 22 listed companies in the sector is low, with significant disparities in environmental investment and governance structures [2] - Key issues such as customer service, product safety, and information security are gaining market attention, indicating a strategic value in improving ESG performance for future development [2] Group 3 - Recent regulatory actions have halted high-interest automotive finance practices, which were initially seen as beneficial but have led to consumer rights violations and market disorder [3] - The automotive finance market is expected to return to its service-oriented nature, leveraging technology and differentiated competition for healthy development [3] Group 4 - Several actively managed pharmaceutical equity funds have reported returns exceeding 60% this year, with a general optimistic outlook on the innovative drug sector, although some experts caution about potential valuation risks [4] - Institutions are exploring new investment directions for the second half of the year, particularly in AI and consumer sectors [4] Group 5 - The recent policy allowing companies from the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is seen as a key measure for financial collaboration and supporting the real economy [5] - The return of quality tech companies from Hong Kong to A-shares is expected to enhance investor confidence in China's capital market [5] Group 6 - As of June 15, 10 A-share listed companies have released their half-year performance forecasts, with 8 expecting year-on-year growth in net profit, including companies like Zhongce Rubber Group and Ying Shi Innovation Technology [8] - The number of newly established index-enhanced funds has surged by approximately 438% year-on-year, driven by policy support and investor demand [8] Group 7 - In May, New Hope sold 1.3339 million pigs, showing a month-on-month decrease of 16.42% and a year-on-year decrease of 2.41%, while Wen's shares sold 3.1554 million pigs, with a year-on-year increase of 32.64% [9] - Despite a decline in sales, the pig farming sector has remained profitable for 12 consecutive months, with expectations of stable price fluctuations in the industry [9]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Livestock Industry Industry Overview - The average price of pork has dropped to approximately 14 RMB per kilogram, leading to a narrowing of industry profits. If pork prices continue to decline, the industry may face reduced profitability and a shift in investment logic towards a left-side approach [1][2]. Supply Side Insights - The theoretical output volume in the first half of the year has seen a slight year-on-year decrease. However, there has been a weight accumulation phenomenon in the industry from the Spring Festival to before the Dragon Boat Festival, with weights increasing to 129-130 kg [1][3][4]. - The data from Yongxin and Muyuan indicates that the weight of pigs has increased from 121-122 kg before the Spring Festival to 129 kg before the Dragon Boat Festival. This weight accumulation phase is expected to lead to a decline in piglet prices in the third to fourth quarters of 2025, potentially resulting in reduced profitability for breeding farms [3][10]. - The current valuation of the livestock sector is low, with continuous fundamental catalysts. Companies with significant cost advantages, such as Muyuan, Wens, and Shennong Group, are recommended for investment due to their potential in the current market environment [3][11]. Demand Side Insights - There has been a slight increase in slaughter volume, attributed to improved social demand and state inventory management. However, the extent of inventory support has been limited [5]. - The utilization rate of secondary fattening has increased from low levels before the Spring Festival to approximately 50-60% in April and May, absorbing a significant amount of supply during this period [5]. Key Factors Affecting the Market - The primary factor disrupting the market's calm is the weight of the pigs. From February to May, weight increases led to a throttling of supply, keeping market prices relatively stable. Currently, a weight reduction phase has begun, with an acceleration in outflow and a decrease in incoming rates [6][7]. - As of late May, some large groups have suspended their secondary fattening sales plans as a means of weight reduction. This indicates a net outflow process within the industry [7]. Price Dynamics - As of June 11, the price difference between fat pigs and standard pigs has narrowed in some provinces, indicating a weakening demand for fat pigs in regions with high demand. This trend suggests a shift towards reducing weight before prices [9]. - The price of piglets is expected to continue declining in the third to fourth quarters of 2025, with current prices already decreasing from their peak. This trend may lead to a situation where breeding farms enter a non-profitable phase [10]. Investment Logic - The livestock sector is currently undervalued, with ongoing fundamental catalysts. The focus should be on companies with strong positions, as these will enhance marginal catalysts during the supply release process. The sector is deemed worthy of attention, particularly companies like Muyuan, Wens, and Shennong Group, which have clear cost advantages [11].

Core Insights - Labubu's global popularity has propelled Wang Ning, the founder of Pop Mart, into the spotlight as the new richest person in Henan with a net worth of $20.7 billion, surpassing the previous record held by Qin Yinglin of Muyuan Foods at $16.9 billion [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The new consumption companies, including Pop Mart and Mixue Ice City, have seen their stock prices double this year, with a combined market capitalization exceeding HKD 700 billion [2] - Pop Mart's stock price has surged over 170% this year, reaching HKD 250.8, and has increased more than 11 times since the beginning of 2024 [9] - Mixue Ice City has a market capitalization of HKD 214.7 billion, with a stock price increase of 5.41% on June 9 [3][4] Group 2: Business Models and Consumer Trends - New consumption brands are thriving by addressing current consumer pain points, with Mixue Ice City focusing on cost-effectiveness and Pop Mart targeting emotional consumption through blind boxes and social attributes [9][10] - Pop Mart's revenue for 2024 is projected to be CNY 13.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 106.9%, with adjusted net profit expected to rise by 185.9% to CNY 3.4 billion [5] Group 3: Economic and Industrial Shifts - The rise of new consumption brands reflects a shift in Henan's economic landscape from traditional agriculture and manufacturing to emerging industries like new consumption and cultural creativity [14][18] - The success of these brands is supported by Henan's strong agricultural and manufacturing base, which provides essential resources for production and supply [18] Group 4: Future Outlook - The emergence of new consumption brands in Henan indicates a broader trend of wealth creation linked to new industries, as seen in other provinces like Sichuan and Shaanxi [21][22] - Despite the current success, there are concerns about the sustainability of the new consumption boom, with potential risks of market bubbles and overvaluation [24]

Core Viewpoint - Several listed companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets announced significant updates, including changes in control, regulatory measures, and sales performance, which may present investment opportunities and risks for investors [2]. Company Announcements - Zhongying Electronics announced that its controlling shareholder is planning a change in control, leading to a suspension of trading from June 9, 2025, for up to two trading days [3]. - ST Lutong received an administrative regulatory measure from the Jiangsu Securities Regulatory Bureau due to internal control deficiencies and failure to disclose significant lawsuits and account freezes [4]. - Lianhua Technology clarified that it does not directly produce chlorantraniliprole and that the related matters have limited impact on its overall business [5]. - Longshen Rongfa's subsidiary received a CNAS laboratory accreditation certificate, which is expected to positively influence future operations, though it will not significantly impact current performance [6]. Sales Performance - Yisheng Co. reported a significant increase in May sales of breeding pigs, with a total of 10,849 heads sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 207.08% [7]. Shareholding Changes - Shentong Technology's shareholder, Biheng Investment, plans to reduce its stake by up to 3%, equating to a maximum of 12.88 million shares [8]. - Ruoyuchen's shareholder, Langzi Co., intends to reduce its stake by up to 3%, not exceeding 4.7681 million shares [9]. - Oujing Technology's shareholder, Wanzhao Huigu, plans to reduce its stake by up to 3%, equating to a maximum of 5.7722 million shares [10]. - Jindan Technology's shareholder, Guangzhou Chengxin, plans to reduce its stake by up to 2.93%, equating to a maximum of 5.635 million shares [11]. - Huashu Gaoke's shareholder, Guotou Chuangye Fund, plans to reduce its stake by up to 2.2%, equating to a maximum of 9.1117 million shares [12]. - Zhongke Soft's shareholder, Kesuan Chuangyuan, plans to reduce its stake by up to 2%, equating to a maximum of 16.6208 million shares [13]. - Hengrun Co. announced multiple shareholders planning to reduce their stakes, with total reductions not exceeding 1.89% of the company's shares [14]. - Del Shares' shareholder, Wuxu 15 Fund, plans to reduce its stake by up to 1.987%, equating to a maximum of 3 million shares [15]. - Jian Ke Yuan's shareholder, Jian Ke Investment, plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% [17]. - Mindong Electric's shareholder, Fujian Investment Development Group, plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% [18]. - Puli Software's chairman and executives plan to reduce their stakes by a total of up to 0.69% [19].

2025 年 5 月养殖业务主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 天域生物科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年 5 月养殖业务 主要经营数据公告如下： 证券代码：603717 证券简称：天域生物 公告编号：2025-042 天域生物科技股份有限公司 二、特别提示 1、上述经营数据均未经审计，与定期报告披露的数据之间可能存在差异， 因此仅作为阶段性数据供投资者参考。 2、基于生猪市场价格大幅波动以及公司投苗节奏变化等因素影响，未来公 一、2025 年 5 月养殖行业主要经营数据 2025 年 5 月，公司销售生猪 2.48 万头，销售收入 4,038.75 万元，环比变动分 别为-29.18%、-31.93%，同比变动分别为 5.26%、-0.63%。 2025 年 1-5 月，公司累计销售生猪 17.24 万头，同比上升 16.21%；累计销售 收入 27,404.81 万元，同比上升 21.27%。 2025 年 5 月末，公司生猪存栏 14.14 万头，同比上升 0.46%，环 ...

Mergers and Acquisitions - Bohai Automotive plans to acquire 51% equity stakes in Beijing Beiqi Moulding Technology Co., Ltd. and other companies through a combination of issuing shares and cash payment, indicating a significant asset restructuring [1] - Zhejiang Longsheng intends to purchase 37.57% of the shares in Desida Global Holdings for a total consideration of $697 million [2] - Hangzhou High-tech's subsidiary aims to acquire assets worth 19.29 million yuan, including machinery and electronic equipment, to support its business development [3] Shareholding Changes - Wuhan Tianyuan's major shareholder, Konka Group, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 19.90 million shares, representing 3% of the total share capital [4] - Xiaoming Co. announces that its shareholder, Xiamen Chentu, along with its concerted parties, intends to reduce their holdings by up to 5.57 million shares, accounting for 2.97% of the total share capital [5] - Dianzhi Technology's board member and supervisor plan to sell a small number of shares for personal financial needs, with reductions of 5,000 shares and 40,000 shares respectively [6] Risk Matters - ST Tianyu is under investigation by the police for alleged fund misappropriation involving its actual controller, which may impact investor confidence [7] - ST Jinglan has been subjected to an investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected information disclosure violations, although it claims this will not significantly affect its operations [9] - ST Yazhen warns of potential stock trading anomalies due to a significant price increase of 93.14% over a short period, indicating possible irrational market behavior [10]

Market Overview - The A-share market ended May with a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index down by 0.47%, 0.85%, and 0.96% respectively, while over 4,100 stocks fell and more than 1,100 stocks rose [4] Brain Science Sector - The brain science sector showed resilience, with stocks like Innovation Medical and Guanxiao Biological hitting the daily limit, and others like Zhongke Information and Chengyitong rising over 15%. The sector initially rose over 3% but closed up by 1.01% [8][9] - The sector's performance was catalyzed by news of Elon Musk's Neuralink completing a $600 million financing round, with a pre-financing valuation of $9 billion, and Musk's tweet suggesting a significant breakthrough [8][9] Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy sector experienced a surge in the afternoon, with stocks like Shangle Electronics rising over 17% and several others also performing well. However, the sector closed down by 0.4% after an initial rise [12][13] - The catalyst for this movement was a purported internal document from a brokerage suggesting optimism for logistics drones, which resonated with current market trends [13] Aquaculture Sector - The aquaculture sector saw a brief spike following news of progress in technical exchanges regarding Japanese seafood safety, leading to a surge in stocks like Guolian Aquatic and Dahu Co. However, this was short-lived, and the sector ultimately closed down by 0.46% [15][16] - The market's reaction reflects a tendency to react impulsively to news, with previous concerns about Japanese seafood imports now seen as a potential negative [17] Strong Stocks - Strong stocks faced a downturn, with several hitting the daily limit down, including Wangzi New Materials and Rongfa Nuclear Power. Other stocks like Suzhou Longjie and Liren Liren also saw significant declines [19][20] - The overall sentiment in the strong stock segment indicates a retreat, although some stocks attempted to recover, such as Xue Ren Co. [22]

农产品早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/05/30 | 玉米/淀粉 | | | | 玉米 | | | | | | 淀粉 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 长春 | 锦州 | 潍坊 | 蛇口 | 基差 | 贸易利润 | 进口盈亏 | 黑龙江 | 潍坊 | 基差 | 加工利润 | | 2025/05/23 | 2180 | 2270 | 2370 | 2390 | -57 | -15 | 263 | 2800 | 2950 | 132 | -111 | | 2025/05/26 | - | 2270 | 2380 | 2390 | -48 | -15 | 258 | 2800 | 2950 | 142 | -111 | | 2025/05/27 | - | 2270 | 2370 | 2390 | -54 | -15 | 256 | 2800 | 2950 | 143 | -113 | | 2025/05/28 | - | 2270 | 2380 | 2410 | -55 | ...