本周的汇市中，日元成为了表现最差的主要货币，日元兑美元在周三一夜贬值1%，跌至1月以来的最低水平，日本股市在本周后半段反弹的势头也将面临考 验。 对日本央行加息前景构成挑战 日本央行是全球最后一个放弃负利率和收益率曲线控制的主要央行，其货币政策正常化的道路本就充满不确定性，这份刺激计划让这条路更加崎岖。刺激计 划会推高国内需求，可能带来更持久、由内需驱动的通胀，这将支持日本央行收紧货币政策。 但另一方面， 刺激计划导致的日元疲软会大幅推高进口成本，这是输入性通胀，会挤压家庭和企业利润，如果市场对财政失去信心导致国债收益率失控， 日本央行将被迫干预债市。所以，日本央行需要在 "对抗通胀"、"支持经济增长" 和 "维持金融市场稳定" 这三个目标之间做出艰难取舍。当前日央行的加息 计划一拖再拖，仍面临挑战。 外界预计日本政府将于周五公布期待已久的经济刺激方案，日本首相高市早苗正面临上任以来的首次重大市场考验，人们对政府即将推出的刺激计划的担忧 可能会破坏她当选后点燃的股市上涨行情。市场担忧支出计划会加剧日本的财政困境，导致政府债券价格暴跌，日元疲软的局面也进一步加剧。 彭博社指出："抛售日本"的交易可能才刚刚开始。 ...

钛媒体App 11月21日消息，渣打银行预计美联储将于2026年第一季度降息，最有可能在1月份，而此前 的预测是2026年不会降息。（广角观察） ...

今天打开行情软件，估计不少朋友都倒吸一口凉气吧？沪指直接低开低走失守3900点，跌了2.45%，深证成指和创业板指跌得更狠，全市场超5000只个股飘 绿，手里的票要么绿油油要么原地踏步，是不是越看越慌，甚至想点开卖出键割肉离场？ 作为跑了20年财经的老记者，也是盯着中长线做投资的老兵，帮主见过太多这样的恐慌时刻。从2008年的1664点到2018年的2440点，每次市场跌得大家直 呼"扛不住"的时候，其实都是情绪在主导，而非基本面真的塌了。今天这波下跌也一样，前期涨得火的电池、能源金属、硅能源这些赛道股，不少资金赚了 钱想年末落袋为安，加上3900点这个心理关口一破，杠杆资金和止损盘集中出逃，越卖越跌形成了恶性循环，就像菜市场没人抢菜，商贩只能降价甩卖，不 管菜品好坏先清仓再说。 下周操作，帮主给中长线朋友三个实在建议。第一，绝对别割肉，尤其是手里拿着消费、金融、优质制造龙头的朋友，现在割肉就是把便宜筹码在地板上送 给别人，咱们做中长线图的是稳，不是跟着短期波动追涨杀跌。第二，分批布局，重点关注两类标的：一类是高股息的银行、公用事业股，它们分红稳定， 就像投资里的"压舱石"，现在股息率比不少理财还高；另一类是 ...

亚商投顾曾宪瑞老师提醒大家：股市有风险，投资需要多加小心，避免不必要的风险。 一、大盘 1.盘面 上证指数早盘小幅低开，随后震荡下跌，午后跌幅进一步加大，截止收盘，指数下跌2.45%，收出大阴线，全天成交额8249亿，相比上交易日的7113亿，增 加了1136亿。 深证成指早盘大幅低开，随后震荡回落，午后反拉之后再度下跌，截止收盘，指数下跌3.41%，收出大阴线，全天成交额1.14万亿，相比上交易日的9968 亿，增加了1432亿。 2.技术分析 图片来源：东方财富 上证指数今日低开低走，大幅下跌，并且失守60日均线，短期空头格局更盛。从技术面来看，MACD指标绿柱体持续放大，DIFF线与DEA线进一步下探， 死叉信号强化，表明空头动能强劲且无收敛迹象。同时，RSI指标虽处于超卖区间，但未形成有效底背离，暗示反抽空间有限；KDJ指标中K线与D线延续下 行趋势，J值反弹乏力，金叉形态难现，反映市场信心疲软。量能方面，成交额并无明显改善，资金入场意愿低迷，若缺乏增量支撑，反弹易夭折。操作 上，投资者需保持谨慎，避免盲目抄底，紧盯MACD柱体收敛或量能放大信号，以把握更安全的入场时机。 深证成指今日跳空低开，震荡下 ...

11月21日，港股三大指数大幅下挫，尤其是恒生科技指数一度跌至3.8%，最终收跌3.21%，恒生指数、 国企指数分别下跌2.38%及2.45%，三者均刷新阶段新低位。 盘面上，大型科技股、大金融股(银行、保险、券商)、中字头等权重股集体承压拖累市场情绪，其中， 百度跌近6%，阿里巴巴跌4.65%，中国太平、工商银行等行业龙头皆下跌；半导体芯片板块跌幅居前， 光伏股、濠赌股、生物科技股、黄金股、锂电池股等纷纷下跌。另一方面，零售股个别板块飘红，内房 股部分上涨，富力地产、碧桂园、龙湖集团逆势上涨。此外，全市场仍有超40个股涨幅在10%以上，细 价股融太集团盘中涨幅翻倍。 | 行业热力圈 ▼ | 喷蛋板块 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 汽车 -2.79% | 地产发展商 -1.11% | 黄金及贵会属 -3.48% | 服裝 0.69% | | 证券及经纪 -4.12% | | | 银行 -1.92% | 线上零售商 -4.43% | 电讯服务 -0.51% | | ...

Group 1 - The "Venture Capital Development Conference" was held in Beijing, emphasizing the critical role of venture capital in promoting the "technology-industry-finance" cycle [1][2] - The conference highlighted the government's commitment to venture capital, including the establishment of a national venture capital guidance fund and the development of secondary market funds [1][2] - Future growth in venture capital is expected to be driven by policy, market, and industry dynamics, with a focus on supporting the real economy and driving innovation [1][2] Group 2 - Beijing Bank is enhancing its integration with the venture capital industry to stimulate innovation and drive industrial upgrades, focusing on a comprehensive service model that combines equity and debt [2][3] - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Beijing Bank and the China Investment Association's venture capital committee to create a one-stop service solution for technology innovation enterprises [3] - Beijing Bank has provided over 1.4 trillion yuan in credit to 58,000 technology SMEs, serving a significant portion of listed companies on various stock exchanges [3]

Core Viewpoint - The event highlighted the critical role of venture capital in promoting the "technology-industry-finance" cycle, with policies supporting the growth of venture capital as a key driver for technological innovation and high-quality development in China [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The "Venture Capital Development Conference" was held on November 20, organized by the Beijing Financial Street Research Institute and other institutions, featuring key figures from the venture capital industry and technology enterprises [1]. - The conference emphasized the alignment of venture capital with the 14th Five-Year Plan, underscoring its importance in strengthening the real economy and driving innovation [1]. Group 2: Policy and Market Dynamics - Policies have been introduced to enhance venture capital, including the establishment of a national venture capital guidance fund and the development of secondary market funds [1]. - The next five years are expected to see significant support for venture capital from policies, market dynamics, and industry capabilities, fostering a conducive environment for innovation [1]. Group 3: Banking and Venture Capital Integration - The integration of banking and venture capital is seen as a vital pathway for activating innovation and promoting industrial upgrades, with Beijing Bank focusing on a comprehensive service model that combines equity and debt financing [2]. - Beijing Bank plans to establish a strategic alliance for equity-debt linkage, creating a new ecosystem for high-quality development in technology finance [2]. Group 4: Research and Collaboration - The China Venture Capital Association, Beijing Financial Street Research Institute, and other organizations released the "China Venture Capital Market Development Index Report," which includes various indices to track the dynamics of the venture capital market [4]. - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed between Beijing Bank and the China Venture Capital Association to enhance collaboration and provide integrated solutions for technology innovation enterprises [5]. Group 5: Beijing Bank's Commitment - Beijing Bank has committed to serving technology innovation as a core strategy, having provided over 1.4 trillion yuan in credit to more than 58,000 technology SMEs [5]. - The bank has developed a comprehensive service system tailored to the needs of technology enterprises, including innovative credit products and extensive support for specialized and innovative companies [5].

盘面上，大型科技股、大金融股(银行、保险、券商)、中字头等权重股集体承压拖累市场情绪，其中， 百度跌近6%，阿里巴巴跌4.65%，中国太平、中国财险、工商银行、中国银行、招商证券、中国银河证 券等行业龙头皆下跌；由于对人工智能泡沫的担忧再度抬头，半导体芯片板块跌幅居前，光伏股、濠赌 股、生物科技股、黄金股、锂电池股、苹果概念股、汽车股、煤炭股纷纷下跌。 另一方面，惟零售股个别板块飘红，受传言影响，内房股部分上涨，富力地产、碧桂园、龙湖集团逆势 上涨。此外，全市场仍有超40个股涨幅在10%以上，细价股融太集团盘中涨幅翻倍。(格隆汇) 全球多个主要股市都出现了显著下跌，这背后是美联储降息预期降温引发的全球流动性担忧，以及投资 者对人工智能泡沫的担忧，叠加风险市场比特币大跌。导致港股三大指数大幅下挫，尤其是恒生科技指 数一度跌至3.8%，最终收跌3.21%，恒生指数、国企指数分别下跌2.38%及2.45%，三者均刷新阶段新低 位。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in investment strategies among private equity investors, highlighting a growing interest in dividend stocks as a safer investment option amidst market uncertainties [3][5][11]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Investment Strategies - There is a noticeable shift from the initial enthusiasm for quantitative strategies to a more rational approach, with investors seeking more certainty in their investments [3]. - Concerns about market beta and the potential for high valuations in small-cap stocks have led to a preference for dividend-paying stocks [4][5]. - The Shanghai Composite Index faces a resistance level at 4000 points, prompting cautious behavior among investors as year-end approaches [4]. Group 2: Dividend Stocks as a Safe Haven - Dividend stocks are viewed as a natural hedge due to their higher dividend yields, providing stable cash flow and a safety net for investors [5]. - Companies that offer stable high dividends typically have lower valuations and stable cash flows, making them more resilient during market downturns [5][6]. - Historical trends show that during market volatility, funds tend to flow into dividend stocks as a defensive strategy [5][8]. Group 3: Portfolio Diversification and Risk Management - Dividend stocks can effectively hedge against aggressive investment styles, particularly those concentrated in small-cap stocks [6][11]. - The current market environment suggests an acceleration in sector rotation, which may further enhance the appeal of dividend stocks [8]. - Investors are increasingly adopting a "barbell" strategy, combining small-cap holdings with dividend strategies to balance their portfolios [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook for Dividend Stocks - The A-share premium for traditional dividend sectors is expected to rise, with the market anticipating a recovery in the AH premium index [10]. - Policies aimed at reducing competition and optimizing supply structures are likely to benefit high-dividend traditional industry leaders [10]. - Long-term confidence in A-shares is growing, with a focus on reducing volatility in investment returns [11].

智通财经APP获悉，11月21日，香港金融管理局助理总裁(银行操守)区毓麟于2025 年海峡两岸暨香港澳 门财富管理论坛暨第十四届杰出财富管理师技能竞赛结果发布会上发言称，国际金融机构发布的《证券 服务演变2025》研究报告显示，全球五百多名金融业界的领袖中，86%的受访者表示他们的公司正在进 行生成式人工智能试点，反映全球金融机构在采用生成式人工智能，已经进入了有意义、可产生实际效 益的阶段。香港金管局也透过进行调查和邀请银行参与沙盒测试，了解到香港银行目前已经在不同业务 领域，开始利用生成式人工智能。 第二个领域是销售及市场推广。香港有银行已经把生成式人工智能整合至市场推广功能，以支持多个数 码渠道提供创作内容、翻译及总结材料，以及优化搜寻引擎结果。展望未来，生成式人工智能还可以为 银行产品识别客户群，并为客户创作量身定制的市场推广活动。 另一个领域是投诉处理。香港有一家银行正在使用生成式人工智能，协助员工摘要投诉内容，并识别有 关政策及程序，以便利调查过程。最终按照调查结果，拟定合适的回复内容。 区毓麟举例如下： 第一个最具潜力的领域是利用客户聊天机器人，即时处理大量客户查询。多家在香港的银行正在积极测 ...