渤海证券指出，供给端，受自由港印尼Grasberg矿和刚果（金）卡莫阿-卡库拉铜矿的事故影响，全球2026年铜矿供应预期 进一步收紧，将为铜价提供底部支撑，国内铜冶炼加工端的"反内卷"预期有望进一步改善行业竞争格局；需求端，铜是电 力电网、新能源汽车、AI服务器等领域重要原材料，在全球主要经济体进入降息周期背景下需求有望得到提振。 分析指出，锡价上涨主要由于矿端供应紧张和宏观经济预期影响。供应端上，缅甸锡矿复产进度缓慢，出口量维持低位。 此外，新兴领域需求增长亦为锡价提供强劲支撑。从需求端来看，当前锡的下游需求主要由新兴领域拉动，半导体与消费 电子是锡焊料的传统基本盘，今年以来全球半导体行业景气度上升，直接拉动锡焊料需求。 降息预期提振大宗商品整体价格，二级市场有色金属矿业大涨，12月4日开盘，矿业ETF（159690）跳涨2.49%，锡业股份 涨超8%，洛阳钼业、西部矿业、紫金矿业、江西铜业等跟涨。 商品价格方面，12月3日，沪铜期货主力合约站上9万元/吨大关，创历史新高。锡平均价达到30.97万元/吨，已连续5日处于 30万元上方。 宏观层面，根据CME"美联储观察"最新数据显示，美联储在12月议息会议降 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals industry remains relatively stable, with slight increases in copper and aluminum prices indicating strong resilience [1] Industry Summary - The overall performance of upstream resource products is still at low levels, but the non-ferrous metals industry inventory remains high and fluctuates, with a narrowing price decline leading to a recovery in industry prosperity [1] - In the industrial metals sector, although upstream raw materials are gradually emerging from the bottom, the replenishment efforts are constrained by certain industries, resulting in a relatively mild performance [1] - Overall, the non-ferrous metals industry shows relative stability amid increasing differentiation in the upstream sector, with slight price increases in copper and aluminum providing support for the industry [1] ETF Information - The mining ETF (561330) tracks the non-ferrous mining index (931892), which selects listed companies involved in precious metals and industrial metals mining to reflect the overall performance of securities related to the non-ferrous metals mining industry [1]

Group 1 - The company *ST Zhengping (603843.SH) announced that its stock will resume trading on December 3, 2025, after completing a review of its trading situation [2][4] - The company is facing significant risks, including the possibility of being delisted if the non-standard audit opinion for the fiscal year 2024 is not resolved, uncertainties regarding pre-restructuring applications, and risks related to financial irregularities and continuous losses [2][8] - From September 1 to November 18, 2025, *ST Zhengping's stock price increased by 221.93%, significantly deviating from the Shanghai Composite Index and the construction industry, leading to a trading suspension for review [7] Group 2 - In 2024, *ST Zhengping reported a revenue of 1.362 billion yuan and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 484 million yuan [8] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 652 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.92%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of approximately 99.76 million yuan [8]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened positively on December 1, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.67% to surpass the 26,000-point mark, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.47% and 0.82%, respectively, indicating overall stable market sentiment [1][25]. Technology Sector - Major technology stocks experienced upward trends, with NetEase rising nearly 4%, Alibaba increasing over 2%, and Baidu and Tencent both gaining over 1.3% [1][3]. Commodities and Metals - Under the backdrop of rising expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, copper and silver prices reached new highs, while gold prices continued to recover. The non-ferrous metals sector saw significant gains, with China Silver Group surging by 14% and China Nonferrous Mining rising over 13% [1][5]. - The BDI index hit a nearly two-year high, leading to expanded gains in port shipping stocks [1][9]. Semiconductor and Apple-Related Stocks - Semiconductor stocks, Apple-related stocks, and lithium battery stocks showed active performance, with notable gains in companies like Honor Industrial and Sunny Optical Technology [1][7]. Shipping Sector - Shipping stocks generally rose, with China Merchants Energy and Pacific Shipping both increasing over 4%, and China Merchants Port rising over 3%. Analysts noted that the increase in European shipping rates could signal a positive short-term outlook for the shipping sector [1][9]. Aviation Sector - Airline stocks also saw gains, with China National Aviation rising by 4.9%, and both China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines increasing over 2% [1][10]. Education Sector - Some mainland education stocks performed well, with China Oriental Education rising over 4% and New Oriental increasing by over 3% [1][12]. Entertainment Sector - The entertainment sector saw an uptick, with Maoyan Entertainment rising by 5.79% and Huayi Brothers increasing by 1.56% [1][14]. Oil and Gas Sector - Oil and gas stocks experienced upward movement, with China Oilfield Services and Shanghai Petrochemical both rising over 2% [1][15]. Cryptocurrency Sector - Cryptocurrency-related stocks collectively declined, with Huajian Medical dropping over 15% and Yunfeng Financial falling over 11% [1][16]. New Consumption Sector - New consumption stocks faced downward pressure, with Pop Mart falling over 4% and several other companies in the sector also declining [1][17]. Biopharmaceutical Sector - The biopharmaceutical sector showed weakness, with Rongchang Biopharmaceutical dropping by 4.9% and several other companies in the sector also experiencing declines [1][18]. Insurance Sector - Insurance stocks saw some declines, with China People's Insurance Group falling by 5.25% and China Pacific Insurance dropping by 2.72% [1][20]. Gas Sector - Gas stocks weakened, with China Gas dropping by 5% and other companies in the sector also declining [1][21]. Gaming Sector - Gaming stocks fell, with Macau Legend and Huicai Holdings both dropping over 4% [1][22]. Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 2.148 billion, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shanghai) seeing a net outflow of HKD 765 million and the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shenzhen) recording a net inflow of HKD 2.913 billion [1][25].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strong fundamentals in the industry, particularly in copper and precious metals [1][2]. Group 1: Non-Ferrous Metal Sector Performance - On November 25, the non-ferrous metal sector in A-shares strengthened, with Huaxi Nonferrous hitting a new high and several companies like Zhongjin Gold and Zijin Mining seeing gains of over 4% [1]. - The mining ETF (159690) rose by 2.74% as of the report [1]. Group 2: Copper Market Dynamics - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the copper price is expected to rise due to supply constraints from declining global copper ore grades, insufficient capital expenditure, and increased mining disruptions [1]. - Demand for copper is supported by global monetary easing and trends in green transformation, particularly in electricity investment, electric vehicles, and data center construction [1]. Group 3: Precious Metals Outlook - Dongguan Securities noted a significant negative correlation between gold and the US dollar index, with the current challenges to the US dollar credit system prompting a reassessment of gold's monetary attributes [1]. - The uncertainty in monetary policy as the Federal Reserve seeks to balance inflation control and economic stability is expected to increase gold's safe-haven premium [1]. - Despite short-term fluctuations due to reduced risk aversion and profit-taking by speculative funds, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to declining dollar credit, sustained safe-haven demand, and regular central bank gold purchases [1]. Group 4: Industry Profitability - The overall profitability of the non-ferrous metal industry has improved, with a 41.43% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first three quarters of 2025, and a further increase to 50.81% in the third quarter [2]. - The mining ETF (159690) tracked a net profit growth of 49.48% for the first three quarters and 55.62% for the third quarter [2][3]. Group 5: Index Performance - The non-ferrous mining index showed a net profit growth rate of 55.62% for the third quarter and 49.48% for the first three quarters, with an average ROE of 12.14% [3]. - The non-ferrous metal sector (Shenwan) recorded a net profit growth of 50.81% in the third quarter and 41.43% for the first three quarters, with an average ROE of 10.61% [3].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strong fundamentals in the industry [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 25, the non-ferrous metal sector in A-shares saw strong performance, with Huaxi Nonferrous hitting the daily limit and reaching a new high [1] - The mining ETF (159690) increased by 2.74% [1] - Key companies such as Zhongjin Gold, Xiyang Co., and Zijin Mining saw stock price increases of over 4% and 2% respectively [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - According to Zhongyuan Securities, the copper price is expected to rise due to supply constraints from declining global copper ore grades and limited new mining projects [1] - Demand for copper is supported by global monetary easing and trends in green transformation, particularly in electric power investment, new energy vehicles, and data center construction [1] Group 3: Profitability and Financial Performance - The non-ferrous metal industry saw a year-on-year net profit growth of 41.43% in the first three quarters of 2025, with the third quarter showing an even larger increase of 50.81% [2] - The mining ETF (159690) tracked the non-ferrous metal mining index, which had net profit growth rates of 49.48% and 55.62% for the first three quarters and single quarter respectively [2][3] Group 4: Industry Metrics - The non-ferrous mining index reported a return on equity (ROE) of 12.14%, while the overall non-ferrous metal sector had an ROE of 10.61% [3] - The SSH gold stocks index showed a net profit growth of 48.61% for the third quarter and 38.66% for the first three quarters [3] Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to benefit from long-term resource demand driven by energy transition, AI computing infrastructure, and global monetary policies [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut in December shows significant divergence, while precious metal prices remain supported, indicating that gold is likely to maintain an upward trend [1] Group 1: Precious Metals - The price of antimony has rebounded after a six-month decline, supported by low inventory levels among traders and a limited sales model from smelters, which bolsters price increase expectations [1] Group 2: Mining ETFs - The mining ETF (561330) tracks the non-ferrous metals index (931892), which selects listed companies involved in the extraction and processing of copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare metals to reflect the overall performance of related securities [1] - This index exhibits strong cyclical characteristics and is closely related to changes in the global economic environment [1]

根据股份购买协议，完成条件的最终期限为2025年11月18日(最终截止日)。各方现已同意将最终截止日 延至2026年6月30日。公司将继续与英美资源集团及欧盟委员会合作，协助欧盟委员会进行审查。 五矿资源(01208)公布，就有关收购英美资源镍业务，公司与英美资源完成收购事项的义务须待若干先 决条件(条件)已获满足或豁免后方可生效，包括：于多个司法管辖区取得合并管制批准;获中华人民共和 国国家发展和改革委员会(发改委)接纳与收购事项有关的申报;以及获中华人民共和国商务部(商务部)接 纳与收购事项有关的申报。鉴于所有其他条件均已满足，欧盟委员会已将审查延长至第二阶段审查。目 前尚未确定欧盟委员会完成审查所需时间。 ...

Core Viewpoint - *ST Zhengping's stock has experienced a significant increase of 221.93% from September 1, 2025, to November 18, 2025, with 26 trading days of price limits, indicating a serious deviation from its fundamentals compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the construction industry [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Trading and Market Behavior - The company will conduct an investigation into the stock trading situation to protect investor interests, leading to a suspension of trading starting November 19, 2025, for a period not exceeding 10 trading days [3]. - The stock has shown abnormal volatility, with multiple trading suspensions and investigations conducted in October and November 2025, resulting in consecutive price limits in the days following the resumption of trading [3]. - The company warns that the stock price may be subject to irrational speculation and could face significant declines after a substantial short-term increase [3]. Group 2: Company Operations and Financial Performance - *ST Zhengping is engaged in infrastructure construction, cultural tourism, and non-ferrous metal mining, and is actively expanding into new business areas such as renewable energy and intelligent computing services [4]. - The company faces a risk of delisting due to an audit report with a disclaimer of opinion for the 2024 annual report, alongside other risk warnings related to internal controls and significant uncertainties regarding its ability to continue operations [4]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.362 billion yuan and a net loss of 484 million yuan for 2024, with a revenue of 652 million yuan and a net loss of 99 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [4]. Group 3: Mining Operations and Financial Constraints - The company has insufficient mining capacity and requires significant investment for future resource development, facing uncertainties regarding the ability to generate revenue from mining operations [5]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company had cash resources of 72.3767 million yuan, with a significant portion restricted due to various factors, leading to a high asset-liability ratio of 92.49% [5].

Core Viewpoint - *ST Zhengping's stock has experienced a significant increase of 221.93% from September 1, 2025, to November 18, 2025, with 26 trading days of price limits, indicating a serious deviation from its fundamentals and the overall market [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Trading and Market Behavior - The company will conduct a stock trading review to protect investor interests, leading to a suspension of trading starting November 19, 2025, for a period not exceeding 10 trading days [3]. - The stock has shown abnormal volatility, with five consecutive trading days of price limits after the last resumption of trading on November 12, 2025, indicating potential irrational market speculation [3][4]. Group 2: Company Operations and Financial Performance - *ST Zhengping is engaged in infrastructure construction, cultural tourism, and non-ferrous metal mining, and is actively expanding into new areas such as renewable energy and intelligent computing services [4]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.362 billion yuan and a net loss of 484 million yuan for 2024, with a revenue of 652 million yuan and a net loss of 99 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [4][5]. Group 3: Risks and Challenges - The company faces a risk of delisting due to an audit report with a disclaimer of opinion for 2024, and ongoing issues with internal controls and significant uncertainties regarding its ability to continue as a going concern [4]. - There are concerns regarding the company's mining capabilities, with insufficient resources for future development and a high debt ratio of 92.49%, indicating financial instability [5].