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8月经济稳中有进显韧性 转型升级在持续
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-15 18:47
Economic Performance - The national economy is maintaining overall stability and progress, with macro policies expected to support steady economic performance in the third quarter [1] - In August, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises grew by 5.2% year-on-year, while the service production index increased by 5.6%, indicating a better growth trend than the industrial sector [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in August rose by 3.4% year-on-year, with a notable increase in the sales of products related to trade-in programs [1] Investment and Consumption - Fixed asset investment from January to August increased by 0.5% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment growing by 5.1%, significantly outpacing overall investment growth [1] - The implementation of consumption-boosting policies, such as trade-in programs and various social welfare measures, is expected to enhance consumer capacity and willingness [3] Sectoral Growth - The economic transformation and upgrading are ongoing, with significant growth in artificial intelligence and digitalization, leading to rapid growth in related industries [2] - In August, the manufacturing value added for smart vehicle equipment and electronic components grew by 17.7% and 13.1%, respectively [2] - The production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries for vehicles increased by 22.7% and 44.2%, respectively, reflecting a steady pace in green transformation [2] Policy and Future Outlook - The implementation of a series of policies to support the development of the private economy and promote private investment is expected to optimize the investment environment and support growth [3] - The upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays are anticipated to further stimulate consumer spending, contributing to the expansion and quality improvement of consumption [3]
8月份国民经济保持总体平稳、稳中有进
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-15 16:08
Core Viewpoint - The national economy of China is maintaining overall stability and progress, with steady growth in production, expanding domestic demand, and increasing foreign trade despite global economic uncertainties [1][2][5]. Economic Performance - Production is showing stable growth, with industrial value-added in August increasing by 5.2% year-on-year, and manufacturing value-added growing by 5.7%, outpacing overall industrial growth [1][2]. - The service sector is also performing well, with a production index growth of 5.6% in August, driven by increased travel and dining activities during the summer [1][2]. Domestic Demand - Domestic consumption is expanding, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 3.4% year-on-year in August, and service consumption, particularly in tourism and entertainment, showing strong growth [2]. - Fixed asset investment has grown by 0.5% in the first eight months, with manufacturing investment rising by 5.1%, indicating robust support for manufacturing upgrades [2]. Foreign Trade and Reserves - China's foreign trade remains resilient, with total goods trade increasing by 3.5% year-on-year in August, and exports of electromechanical products growing by 9.2% in the first eight months [2]. - Foreign exchange reserves increased by $29.9 billion at the end of August, reflecting a stable upward trend [2]. Stability Indicators - Key economic indicators have shown stable growth from January to August, with the urban unemployment rate at 5.3%, remaining consistent with the previous year [3]. - Consumer prices decreased by 0.4% year-on-year in August, primarily due to falling food prices, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.9% [3]. Transformation and Innovation - The rise of artificial intelligence and digitalization is driving growth in related industries, with significant increases in the manufacturing of smart vehicle equipment (17.7%) and integrated circuits (23.5%) in August [4]. - The modern service sector is also thriving, with information technology services growing by 12.1% [4]. Future Outlook - The long-term supportive conditions for China's economy remain unchanged, with macroeconomic policies expected to continue fostering stable growth [5].
视频:8月国民经济保持总体平稳稳中有进态势
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-15 14:27
产业升级态势良好。"人工智能+"行动深入实施,智能终端产品日益受到青睐。8月份,工业机器 人、机器人减速器等新产品产量都保持了较快增长,集成电路制造、电子专用材料制造行业增加值增速 均超过20%。 从服务业看,服务业生产指数同比增长5.6%。现代服务业增势较好,信息传输软件和信息技术服 务业、租赁和商务服务业生产指数分别增长12.1%和7.4%。前8个月,服务零售额同比增长5.1%,增速 快于商品零售额增速。 从投资看,1—8月份,固定资产投资同比增长0.5%,其中制造业投资增长5.1%,明显快于全部投 资,为制造业升级发展提供有力支撑。 今年以来,大规模设备更新对投资的带动作用继续显现。前8个月,设备工器具购置投资同比增长 14.4%。 0:00/2:14 国务院新闻办公室今天(9月15日)举行新闻发布会。国家统计局发布的最新数据显示,8月份宏观 政策协同发力,新动能培育壮大,生产需求基本平稳,就业物价总体稳定,国民经济保持总体平稳、稳 中有进发展态势。 从农业看,早稻小幅增产,秋粮播种面积稳中略增。从工业看,8月份,规模以上工业增加值同比 增长5.2%。其中,制造业增加值同比增长5.7%,装备制造业和高技 ...
8月份国民经济:运行总体平稳
Xin Hua She· 2025-09-15 13:35
Group 1 - The production index of the service industry increased by 5.6% year-on-year, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services at 12.1%, financial services at 9.2%, and leasing and business services at 7.4% [3] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39,668 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4% and a month-on-month increase of 0.17% [5] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to August totaled 326,111 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.5% [8] Group 2 - The total value of goods imports and exports reached 38,744 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, indicating a continuous growth in trade and an optimization of trade structure [11] - The production of 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots saw year-on-year increases of 40.4%, 22.7%, and 14.4% respectively, highlighting strong demand in these sectors [2]
国泰海通宏观:总量需加力,结构有亮点
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-15 13:23
Economic Overview - The domestic economy continued to slow down in August, with a mix of resilience in production and pressure on demand, leading to increased internal differentiation [2][3] - Industrial value-added growth year-on-year was 5.2% in August, down from 5.7% in July, indicating a slight decline but still at a relatively high level [4][6] - The overall economic trend is expected to maintain a slow and stable trajectory with structural optimization, but demand recovery will take time [2][3] Production Sector - The production growth rate showed a slight decline, primarily due to external demand pressures and some upstream industries experiencing production cuts [4][6] - The production-sales rate decreased from 97.1% to 96.6%, indicating a marginal improvement in domestic consumption capacity [4] - Policy-related industries, such as transportation equipment and non-ferrous metals, showed resilience, while export and consumer-related sectors faced significant pressure [6][7] Service Sector - The service sector's production index grew by 5.6% year-on-year in August, down 0.2 percentage points from July, reflecting a slowdown [7] - High-value-added industries like information technology and finance showed growth, while leasing and business services faced challenges due to weak corporate expansion intentions [7] Employment - The urban survey unemployment rate rose slightly to 5.3% in August, primarily due to seasonal pressures from the influx of recent graduates into the labor market [9] Consumption Sector - Retail sales growth year-on-year was 3.4% in August, down 0.3 percentage points from July, indicating a need for stronger consumption recovery [12][15] - Dining consumption showed signs of recovery, while retail sales growth for goods slowed down, reflecting a mixed performance across different categories [14][15] - Essential consumption categories faced declines, while some upgraded consumption categories showed resilience, supported by seasonal demand and policy measures [15] Investment Sector - Fixed asset investment growth was 0.5% year-on-year for January to August, with August showing a significant decline of 7.1% compared to July [16][19] - Investment in manufacturing, infrastructure, and real estate all experienced negative growth, necessitating policy support to break the downward cycle [16][20] - The real estate sector continued to face fundamental pressures, with sales area and sales value both declining significantly year-on-year [20]
8月国民经济保持总体平稳稳中有进态势
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-15 12:16
央视网消息(新闻联播):国务院新闻办公室9月15日举行新闻发布会。国家统计局发布的最新数据显示,8月份宏观政策协同发力,新动能培育壮大, 生产需求基本平稳,就业物价总体稳定,国民经济保持总体平稳、稳中有进发展态势。 从农业看,早稻小幅增产,秋粮播种面积稳中略增。从工业看,8月份,规模以上工业增加值同比增长5.2%。其中,制造业增加值同比增长5.7%,装备 制造业和高技术制造业增加值都快于全部规模以上工业,产业高端化发展向好。 从服务业看,服务业生产指数同比增长5.6%。现代服务业增势较好,信息传输软件和信息技术服务业、租赁和商务服务业生产指数分别增长12.1%和 7.4%。前8个月,服务零售额同比增长5.1%,增速快于商品零售额增速。 从投资看,1—8月份,固定资产投资同比增长0.5%,其中制造业投资增长5.1%,明显快于全部投资,为制造业升级发展提供有力支撑。 今年以来,大规模设备更新对投资的带动作用继续显现。前8个月,设备工器具购置投资同比增长14.4%。 产业升级态势良好。"人工智能+"行动深入实施,智能终端产品日益受到青睐。8月份,工业机器人、机器人减速器等新产品产量都保持了较快增长,集 成电路制造、 ...
8月经济数据点评:供需分化的三个结果
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-15 10:33
Supply and Demand Analysis - In August, industrial added value grew by 5.2% year-on-year, down from 5.7% in July, while the service production index increased by 5.6%, down from 5.8%[4] - External demand weakened with exports growing by 4.4% year-on-year, down from 7.2% in July, and below the expected 5.9%[4] - Domestic demand also declined, with retail sales growing by 3.4%, unchanged from July, and below the expected 3.8%[4] - Fixed asset investment (FAI) showed a cumulative growth of 0.5%, down from 1.6% in July, with monthly growth dropping from -5.2% to -6.3%[6] Economic Outlook - The divergence between supply and demand is expected to lead to three outcomes: GDP growth will align more closely with supply data, with Q3 GDP growth projected around 5%[4] - Strong supply relative to weak demand may increase price pressures, necessitating stronger policy support for price recovery[4] - Historically, if demand does not strengthen, supply will follow suit, indicating greater pressure on Q4 GDP compared to Q3[4] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing remains a key driver of production resilience, with its added value growing by 9.3% year-on-year in August[4] - The restaurant sector showed a rebound in consumption, with retail sales in this category growing by 2.1%, up from 1.1% in July[5] - Fixed asset investment in infrastructure and real estate continued to decline, with infrastructure investment dropping from -1.9% to -6.4% and real estate investment from -17.2% to -19.4%[6]
权威数读|8月份国民经济:运行总体平稳
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-09-15 10:08
国家统计局15日发布数据,8月份,宏观政策协同发力,国民经济运行总体平稳,转型升级稳步推 进,高质量发展取得新成效。 权威数读 and 2017 工业生产较快增长 装备制造业和高技术制造业 增勢较好 全国规模以上工业增加值 - 同比增长5.2%,环比增长0.37% 3D打印设备、新能源汽车、工业机器人等产品产量 同比分别增长40.4%、22.7%、14.4% 权威数读 / 权威 · · · 权威数读 固定资产投资保持增长 制造业投资增长较快 1-8月份,全国固定资产投资(不含农户) 326111亿元 同比增长0.5% 权威数读 / 制定四 Transport 权威数读 7 货物进出口持续增长 贸易结构继续优化 货物进出口总额38744亿元 同比增长3.5% 权威数读 / 权威数读 CPI环比持平 PPI降幅收窄 扣除食品和能源价格后的核心CPI同比上涨0.9% 涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点 全国工业生产者出厂价格(PPI) 降幅比上月 收窄0.7个百分点,环比持平 权威数读 / 策划:令伟家 权威数读 服务业较快增长 现代服务业发展向好 全国服务业生产指数同比增长5.6% 信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业 金融 ...
国家统计局:8月份智能车载设备制造、电子元器件及设备制造增加值分别增长17.7%、13.1%
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-09-15 07:24
Core Insights - The rapid growth of artificial intelligence and digitalization is significantly impacting related industries, with notable increases in manufacturing and service sectors [1] Industry Performance - In August, the value added in the manufacturing of smart vehicle equipment and electronic components increased by 17.7% and 13.1% respectively, while integrated circuit manufacturing saw a growth of 23.5% [1] - The value added in equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing industries grew by 8.1% and 9.3% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth [1] Modern Services Sector - The modern service industry showed positive momentum, with the production index for information transmission, software, and IT services increasing by 12.1%, and leasing and business services rising by 7.4% in August [1] Green Transition - The green transition is progressing steadily, with production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries for vehicles increasing by 22.7% and 44.2% respectively in August [1] Trade Diversification - From January to August, China's import and export volume with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative grew by 5.4%, surpassing the overall import and export growth rate [1]
国家统计局:8月份国民经济运行呈现五大特点
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-15 03:20
中新网9月15日电 国新办15日就2025年8月份国民经济运行情况举行新闻发布会。会上,国家统计局新 闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖表示,8月份,国民经济运行总体平稳,高质量 发展扎实推进。 三是外贸外储增加。在世界经济增长乏力、国际贸易不确定因素较多的背景下,我国货物贸易韧性持续 彰显。8月份货物进出口总额同比增长3.5%,出口和进口均连续三个月实现双增长。机电产品出口增长 较快,1-8月份我国机电产品出口额同比增长9.2%。8月末我国外汇储备余额比上月增加299亿美元,总 体呈现稳中有升态势。 四是运行总体稳定。从指标变化看,前8个月主要生产需求指标保持平稳增长,1-8月份,规模以上工业 增加值、服务业生产指数、社会消费品零售总额、货物进出口增速与1-7月份基本相当,经济增 长"稳"没有改变。从就业看,8月份全国城镇调查失业率为5.3%,虽受毕业季因素影响,比上个月略有 上升,但与上年同期持平,其中30-59岁就业主体人群调查失业率与上月和上年同期都是持平,就 业"稳"也没有改变。从价格看,8月份居民消费价格同比下降0.4%,主要受食品价格下拉影响,扣除食 品和能源后的核心CPI同比上涨 ...