华泰证券表示，2025年7月我国逆变器出口额65.1亿元，环比微降，出口数量460万台，环比-10.3%，需 求在旺季下基本维持高位，欧洲工商储及澳洲户储需求增量较为显著。长期来看，各地区停电+电价上 涨+风光装机高增仍为需求的核心驱动，光储平价有望进一步打开需求天花板。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates a slight decline in China's inverter export value in July 2025, attributed to seasonal factors, increased power outages, and significant growth in wind and solar installations [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Export Performance - In July 2025, China's inverter export value reached 6.51 billion yuan, showing a month-on-month decrease of 1.2% [1] - Cumulative inverter export value from January to July 2025 was 37.11 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.0% [1] - The number of inverters exported in July was 4.6 million units, which is a month-on-month decrease of 10.3% [1] - The average export price per unit in July was 1,416 yuan, marking a month-on-month increase of 10.2% [1] - Total cumulative export quantity from January to July 2025 was 31.059 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [1] Demand Drivers - Key drivers for demand include power outages, rising electricity prices, and significant growth in wind and solar installations [1] - Huatai Securities believes that the long-term demand for inverters is strongly determined [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in its 2025 H1 results, achieving revenue of 3.794 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.09%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 602 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 70.96% [2][4]. - In Q2 2025, the company generated revenue of 2.276 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 16.25% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 50%. The net profit for Q2 was 407 million yuan, up 22.75% year-on-year and 109.27% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's inverter sales reached 466,000 units in 2025 H1, with expectations for both grid-connected and energy storage inverters to show significant quarter-on-quarter growth in Q2 [8]. - The gross margin for grid-connected inverters was 26.1%, an increase of 7.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for energy storage inverters was 30.3%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [8]. - The company's revenue from power station business in 2025 H1 was 1.11 billion yuan, with a gross margin exceeding 55%, showing a slight year-on-year decline [8]. - The expense ratio for the company in 2025 H1 was 19.5%, with Q2 showing a decrease to 18.7%, the lowest level since Q3 2023, attributed to effective cost control and increased revenue scale [8]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates maintaining a relatively full production schedule, with strong performance expected in Australia, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The industrial storage segment is projected to double its growth rate year-on-year over the next two years [8]. - Profit forecasts for the company are 1.3 billion yuan and 1.6 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 20 and 16 times [8].

Core Viewpoint - Ningbo Deye Technology Co., Ltd. has implemented the "Quality Improvement and Efficiency Enhancement Return Action Plan" for 2024, focusing on enhancing core business performance and investor returns while maintaining compliance and governance standards [1][4]. Group 1: Business Performance - The company reported a revenue of 55.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 15.22 billion yuan, up 23.18% from the previous year [1]. - The company is committed to providing diversified energy solutions and has launched a wireless energy management system based on LoRa communication, integrating with smart home platforms like Apple HomeKit and Amazon Alexa [2]. Group 2: Investor Returns - The company approved a cash dividend of 2.6 yuan per share (including tax) and a capital reserve conversion of 0.4 shares per share, totaling 1.68 billion yuan in cash dividends distributed to shareholders [3]. - The company has repurchased 1,907,200 shares, accounting for 0.21% of the total share capital, to boost investor confidence and establish a sustainable shareholder value return system [3]. Group 3: Governance and Compliance - The company adheres to regulatory requirements and has conducted multiple board meetings and committee sessions to ensure compliance and effective governance [4]. - A sustainable development report was published, and the company has improved its internal control systems to enhance risk management and support high-quality development [4][5]. Group 4: Investor Relations - The company has enhanced investor relations management by establishing dedicated personnel and maintaining communication through various platforms, including hosting investor engagement events [6]. - The company has implemented measures to improve small and medium investor participation in shareholder meetings, utilizing technology to facilitate communication and voting [5][6]. Group 5: Employee Incentives - The company has completed adjustments to its stock option incentive plan and has managed its employee stock ownership plan in compliance with relevant regulations, aligning employee interests with company performance [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the companies Sunpower (阳光电源), Deye (德业股份), and Shangneng Electric (上能电气) [5][40][41]. Core Insights - The inverter export value in July 2025 was 6.51 billion yuan, showing a slight month-on-month decrease of 1.2%, while the export quantity was 4.6 million units, down 10.3% month-on-month. Despite this, demand remains high during the peak season, driven by power outages, rising electricity prices, and significant growth in wind and solar installations [8][39]. - The report highlights that the long-term demand for inverters is strongly supported by factors such as power outages, increasing electricity prices, and high growth in wind and solar installations. The parity of solar storage is expected to further unlock demand potential [39]. Summary by Sections Export Trends - In July 2025, exports to Europe reached 2.831 billion yuan, up 15.7% month-on-month and 28.1% year-on-year, driven by high electricity prices and increased demand for solar storage [11][39]. - Exports to Southeast Asia decreased to 385 million yuan, down 40.7% month-on-month, primarily due to typhoon impacts in the Philippines [21][39]. - Exports to Australia increased significantly by 64.4% month-on-month, reaching 388 million yuan, supported by a new subsidy policy for residential energy storage [36][39]. Regional Demand Insights - In Europe, the average wholesale electricity price rose to 84.8 euros/MWh, up 22.1% month-on-month, which is expected to boost solar storage demand [11][39]. - In India, the maintenance of a nuclear power plant is anticipated to tighten electricity supply, potentially leading to higher electricity prices and increased demand for solar storage [17][39]. - The Middle East shows a significant energy transition trend, with a notable project in Saudi Arabia expected to drive future inverter demand [24][39]. Company Recommendations - Sunpower (阳光电源) is projected to have strong earnings support due to high domestic and international order volumes, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of 92.80 yuan [41]. - Deye (德业股份) is expected to benefit from rapid growth in its energy storage business, with a target price of 129.15 yuan [42]. - Shangneng Electric (上能电气) is recognized for its expanding product range and potential contributions from overseas markets, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of 34.00 yuan [44].

Core Insights - The report from CICC indicates that inverter exports in July 2025 reached 4.8 million units, representing a year-on-year decline of 13% and a month-on-month decline of 10%. Cumulative exports totaled 32.3 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 1%. Export value amounted to $938 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 15% and a month-on-month decrease of 1%, with cumulative export value at $5.344 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [1] Export Performance - July inverter export value decreased slightly month-on-month, which was in line with expectations, while the year-on-year growth was significant [1] - The decline in export units by 10% month-on-month was offset by a smaller decline in export value of only 1%, attributed to an increase in the share of commercial storage exports, which raised the average unit value [1] - Despite the summer break in Europe, demand in major European markets grew month-on-month in July, with Germany's exports at $49 million (down 6% year-on-year, flat month-on-month) and the Netherlands at $234 million (up 62% year-on-year, up 31% month-on-month) [1] - Exports to the U.S. reached $32 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 35% and a month-on-month increase of 7%, influenced by tariff windows and the decline in subsidies from the Inflation Reduction Act [1] - Australia showed remarkable performance with exports of $54 million, a year-on-year increase of 206% and a month-on-month increase of 66%, driven by subsidies stimulating downstream demand [1] - Southeast Asia saw a slight month-on-month decline in demand due to the rainy season, but year-on-year growth remained high, with exports to Vietnam at $15 million, a year-on-year increase of 186% and a month-on-month decrease of 25% [1] Regional Export Insights - In July, Zhejiang's export value increased month-on-month, while Jiangsu and Anhui showed significant year-on-year growth [2] - Jiangsu's export value was $14.3 million, up 94% year-on-year but down 6% month-on-month. Anhui's exports were $12 million, up 31% year-on-year and flat month-on-month [2] - Zhejiang's exports totaled $21.8 million, down 4% year-on-year but up 9% month-on-month, indicating a positive demand trend driven by emerging markets [2] - Guangdong's exports reached $34.5 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8% and a month-on-month increase of 1% [2] Pricing Trends - The increase in the share of commercial storage exports has led to a rise in the average export price per unit [3] - In July, the export prices for grid-connected inverters of 20, 50, and 110KW were stable at 0.14, 0.13, and 0.12 yuan/W respectively for July and August [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [19]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 3.794 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.09%, and a net profit of 602 million yuan, up 70.96% year-on-year [3]. - The significant growth in the energy storage inverter segment, with revenue reaching 790 million yuan, represents a remarkable year-on-year increase of 313.5% [4]. - The overall gross margin for the inverter business improved to 27.4%, reflecting an increase of 8.1 percentage points year-on-year, driven by enhanced product offerings and cost optimization strategies [5]. - The company’s revenue from new energy power and power generation systems also saw growth, with a revenue of 300 million yuan in H1 2025, a slight increase of 0.9% year-on-year [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.794 billion yuan, with a net profit of 602 million yuan, marking a significant increase in profitability [3]. - The inverter revenue for H1 2025 was 2.61 billion yuan, with a notable increase in the energy storage inverter segment [4]. - The company’s gross margin for inverters improved significantly, indicating better profitability and operational efficiency [5]. - The financial forecast for 2025-2027 shows expected net profits of 1.23 billion yuan, 1.53 billion yuan, and 1.81 billion yuan respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 20.7, 16.7, and 14.1 [8].

Performance Review - The company reported a revenue of 3.794 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 602 million yuan, up 70.96% year-on-year [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 549 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 71.8% [1] - In Q2, the company achieved a revenue of 2.276 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.0% [1] - The net profit for Q2 was 407 million yuan, up 22.75% year-on-year and 109.27% quarter-on-quarter [1] Inverter Revenue Growth - In H1 2025, inverter revenue reached 2.61 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.6% [2] - Grid-connected inverter revenue was 1.82 billion yuan, down 11.2% year-on-year, while energy storage inverter revenue surged to 790 million yuan, up 313.5% year-on-year [2] - The significant growth in energy storage inverters was driven by recovering demand in the European market and growth in emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America due to policy support [2] Inverter Profitability Improvement - The overall gross margin for the inverter business in H1 2025 was 27.4%, an increase of 8.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for grid-connected inverters was 26.1%, up 7.6 percentage points year-on-year, while energy storage inverters had a gross margin of 30.3%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The improvement in profitability was attributed to increased R&D investment, a higher proportion of high-value inverter products, an optimized customer structure, and cost reduction strategies [3] Growth in New Energy Power and Generation Systems - New energy power revenue for H1 2025 was 300 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, with a gross margin of 52.8% [4] - Revenue from household photovoltaic generation systems was 810 million yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 58.0% [4] - The growth was supported by seasonal factors, as Q2 is a peak season for photovoltaic generation, leading to increased production and revenue [4] - The company sold a total of 206.80 MW of distributed photovoltaic power stations and household photovoltaic generation systems, with an average transaction price of approximately 3.10 yuan/W and a profit of about 22.64 million yuan [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 1.23 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.81 billion yuan respectively [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 20.7, 16.7, and 14.1 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5] - Given the favorable demand in emerging markets and the ongoing inventory reduction in Europe, the inverter business is expected to continue growing, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown significant recovery in profitability due to the restoration of energy storage inverter sales and improved demand [2][4] - The company is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth driven by its core business in grid-connected inverters and the recovery of overseas energy storage inverter sales [4] - The company’s financial performance is supported by its stable power station assets and flexible business model [3] Financial Summary - Projected revenue for 2023A is 6,101 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.6%. By 2027E, revenue is expected to reach 10,499 million yuan, with a growth rate of 15.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 779 million yuan in 2023A, with a decline of 26.5%. By 2027E, it is expected to increase to 1,468 million yuan, with a growth rate of 15.2% [1] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.0% in 2023A to 12.3% in 2027E [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.95 yuan in 2023A to 3.68 yuan in 2027E [1] Sales and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company sold 466,200 inverters, with an overall gross margin of 27.38%, an increase of 8.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The sales of energy storage inverters contributed 793 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 313.51% [2] - The company’s gross margin for energy storage inverters was 30.27% in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.69 percentage points [2] Asset Performance - The company’s power station business benefited from the traditional peak season for power generation, with a total operating distributed photovoltaic power generation of 667,500 kWh in the first half of 2025 [3] - The average transaction price for sold distributed photovoltaic power stations was approximately 3.10 yuan/W, generating a profit of about 23 million yuan [3] - The company’s household photovoltaic power generation systems and new energy power production segments contributed revenues of 808 million yuan and 304 million yuan, respectively, with gross margins of 58.02% and 52.78% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved impressive performance in Q2 2025, with a revenue of 22.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.25%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.00%. The net profit for the same period was 4.07 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.75% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 109.27% [1]. - The growth in revenue and profit is attributed to the high growth in energy storage inverters, with sales revenue for energy storage inverters reaching 793 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 313.51% [2]. - The company is focusing on optimizing product structure and increasing the sales proportion of high-margin customers, which has positively impacted gross margins [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 37.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.09%, and a net profit of 6.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.96% [1]. - The inverter sales volume was 466,200 units, a year-on-year decrease of 6.98%, but revenue from inverters was 26.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.57% [2]. Business Segments - The household photovoltaic power generation system and new energy power production business showed stable growth, with revenue from household photovoltaic systems reaching 808 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.12% [3]. - The cumulative installed capacity for new energy power production reached 1329.52 MW by June 30, 2025, primarily located in East, Central, and South China [3]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 80.20 billion yuan, 97.98 billion yuan, and 115.72 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 22.6%, 22.2%, and 18.1% [4]. - The net profit for the same period is projected to be 12.31 billion yuan, 15.23 billion yuan, and 18.16 billion yuan, with growth rates of 78.1%, 23.7%, and 19.3% respectively [4].