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电车卖不动 特斯拉(TSLA.US)改讲机器人新故事 但估值还撑得住吗?
智通财经网· 2025-09-12 12:18
智通财经APP获悉,马斯克正试图将特斯拉(TSLA.US)的重心从电动汽车转向人形机器人,但在持怀疑 态度的投资者看来,该公司销售增长停滞和令人瞠目的股市估值已不容任何闪失。 为推动这家车企转型为人工智能(AI)巨头,马斯克本月初在其社交媒体平台X上宣称,"特斯拉约80%的 价值将来自Optimus"——这正是特斯拉的机器人研发项目。但这终究是未来愿景。反观当下,特斯拉 2025年的收益预计将下滑近30%;其自动驾驶出租车(robotaxi)业务不仅距离盈利仍有数年时间,还面临 着来自谷歌(GOOGL.US)旗下Waymo等企业的激烈竞争。 "目前,人们可以给机器人业务套上任何估值,"Hedge Fund Telemetry创始人Thomas Thornton表示,"市 场尚未对机器人领域展开丝毫实质性研究:目前该领域有哪些企业?技术水平如何?营收规模有多大?人 形机器人是否真的存在市场需求?" 这也解释了为何马斯克那份史无前例的万亿美元薪酬方案会严重依赖Optimus项目。不过,面对马斯克 频繁改变公司战略定位,也难怪特斯拉投资者会感到无所适从。 马斯克最初的设想是让特斯拉主导全球电动汽车市场,他也确实一度 ...
美股三大期指齐跌;三大运营商将为iPhone Air提供eSIM支持;OpenAI重组计划获微软“放行”【美股盘前】
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-12 11:28
Group 1 - The Dow futures fell by 0.16%, S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.14%, and Nasdaq futures decreased by 0.05% [1] - Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini's IPO has been oversubscribed by more than 20 times, with the company limiting fundraising to $425 million [1] - Microsoft shares rose over 1.5% in pre-market trading after reaching a non-binding agreement with OpenAI to allow the latter to restructure into a for-profit entity [1] - Adobe's shares increased nearly 4.5% in pre-market trading after the company raised its revenue and profit forecasts for fiscal year 2025, indicating strong demand for its design software and enhanced monetization of AI tools [1] Group 2 - Supermicro shares rose nearly 6% in pre-market trading after announcing the delivery of high-capacity NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra systems [2] - Warner Bros Discovery shares increased over 4% in pre-market trading, following a previous trading day gain of over 28%, amid news of Paramount Global's interest in acquiring the company [2] - DA Davidson upgraded NVIDIA's stock rating from "neutral" to "buy," raising the target price from $195 to $210, citing optimism about growing demand for AI computing [2] - Rivian announced a recall of over 24,000 vehicles in the U.S. due to issues with its highway assist software [2] Group 3 - Apple announced that major Chinese carriers will provide eSIM support for the iPhone Air, with activation dependent on regulatory approval [3] Group 4 - The preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for September will be released at 22:00 Beijing time [4]
【美股盘前】三大运营商将为iPhone Air提供eSIM支持;加密交易所Gemini公开募股被火爆抢购;OpenAI重组计划获微软“放行”;Rivia...
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-12 10:44
每经记者:郑雨航 每经编辑:高涵 ⑥【华纳兄弟探索公司盘前涨超4%】华纳兄弟探索公司(Warner Bros Discovery)股价在盘前上涨 4%,上一交易日涨幅超28%。消息面上,派拉蒙天舞公司准备竞购该公司。值得一提的是,派拉蒙天 舞公司CEO兼董事长大卫·埃里森是甲骨文公司联合创始人拉里·埃里森之子。 ⑦【英伟达"最大空头"倒戈上调该股评级】9月12日,在给客户的最新报告中,被称为英伟达"最大空 头"的投资银行DA Davidson将英伟达的股票评级从"中性"上调至"买入",并将其目标价从每股195美元 上调至210美元。该行科技研究主管吉尔·卢里亚表示,他们对人工智能计算需求增长日益乐观的看法, 取代了对英伟达的大部分担忧。截至发稿,英伟达涨0.63%。 ⑧【Rivian在美召回2.4万辆车】9月12日,据美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)披露,电动汽车 公司Rivian因高速辅助软件问题将召回超2.4万辆车。 ⑨【三大运营商将为苹果提供eSIM支持】 9月12日,苹果官网称中国移动、中国电信和中国联通三大运 营商将为 iPhone Air提供eSIM支持,具体时间依监管部门审批情况而定。苹 ...
特斯拉 Dojo 为何失败?埃隆・马斯克的 AI,梦想与现实的差距!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 05:47
Core Viewpoint - Tesla has officially terminated its AI supercomputer project "Dojo," which was initially seen as a pivotal step in its transformation from an electric vehicle manufacturer to an AI company. This decision reflects a significant shift in strategy and raises questions about Tesla's future direction in AI and autonomous driving [1][6]. Group 1: Project Termination - The Dojo project, aimed at training Tesla's autonomous driving neural networks with self-designed chips, has been disbanded as of August 2025, despite previous ambitions for commercialization by 2026 [1][3]. - The project was intended to create a system independent of Nvidia GPUs, promising faster computation and lower latency, but ultimately failed to deliver on its goals [3][5]. Group 2: Challenges Faced - Tesla struggled to link the outcomes of its autonomous driving efforts directly to Dojo, and the performance of its chips could not keep pace with Nvidia's advancements [6]. - The mainstream AI software ecosystem is primarily optimized for GPUs, which hindered Dojo's development and contributed to its eventual failure [6]. Group 3: Implications of Termination - The dissolution of Dojo highlights the high risks associated with pursuing complete technological independence through self-developed chips and infrastructure, revealing Tesla's limitations in resources and ecosystem [6][8]. - The loss of key personnel from the Dojo team, who have since founded a startup named "DensityAI," indicates a significant talent drain that can jeopardize future projects [8]. - The decision to end Dojo signals a strategic pivot for Tesla from self-reliance to leveraging partnerships, as evidenced by its new collaboration with Samsung for the development of the next-generation AI6 chip [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the termination of Dojo, Tesla's ambitions in AI remain intact, with ongoing collaborations with Nvidia, AMD, and Samsung to expand its new supercomputer "Cortex," which is responsible for training the latest version of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology [8][9]. - The failure of Dojo serves as a case study of Tesla's bold attempts in the high-risk fields of autonomous driving and AI, raising the question of whether this setback is merely a conclusion or a necessary sacrifice for larger-scale transformation [9].
阿里推出下一代模型架构;宇树王兴兴谈后悔的事丨新鲜早科技
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-12 02:45
Group 1: Technology Developments - Alibaba has launched its next-generation foundational model architecture Qwen3-Next, which includes significant improvements such as a mixed attention mechanism and enhanced inference efficiency [2] - Tesla's Model Y L is sold out for October, with consumers now facing a wait for November deliveries, indicating strong demand for the vehicle [3] - Haier has unveiled its first mass-produced Robotaxi model "HR1," with plans for mass production by 2026 and deployment of over 50,000 units by 2027 [6] Group 2: Corporate Announcements - Zhongke Shuguang reported a strong order backlog for its third-generation immersion liquid cooling solutions, although revenue recognition remains uncertain due to project implementation cycles [5] - Ant Group's CEO discussed the concept of token economy, emphasizing the need for compliance and the transformation of tokens into tools that address trust and efficiency issues in the real economy [11] - Xpeng's flying vehicle "X3-F" has received a special flight permit from the UAE, marking a significant milestone for Chinese flying car companies [14] Group 3: Market Trends and Financial Performance - Texas Instruments anticipates a 50% growth in its data center business, driven by the rapid expansion of data center construction [19] - Chip Origin reported a record high in new orders of 1.205 billion yuan from July 1 to September 11, with AI computing-related orders making up approximately 64% of the total [19] - Yangjie Technology plans to acquire 100% of Better Electronics for 2.218 billion yuan, with performance commitments for net profits over the next three years [21]
印尼官员称碳达峰时间可能延迟至2035年
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 00:44
Core Viewpoint - Indonesia needs to enhance its emission reduction efforts in the next five years to avoid delaying its carbon peak from 2030 to 2035, which would subsequently push back its net-zero emissions target to 2070 [1] Group 1: Energy Transition Challenges - Indonesia currently relies heavily on coal for electricity generation and oil for transportation, with electric vehicles holding less than 6% market share in 2024 [1] - The country has set a target to achieve net-zero emissions by 2060, but delays in carbon peak could hinder this goal [1] Group 2: Renewable Energy Development Plans - The Indonesian government announced a significant energy development plan in August, aiming to build a total of 100 gigawatts (GW) of photovoltaic (PV) systems within five years, consisting of 80 GW of distributed PV and 20 GW of centralized PV [1] - Despite Indonesia's vast solar potential, current development is inadequate, with solar power accounting for less than 1% of the total installed capacity [1] Group 3: Current Renewable Energy Status - The share of renewable energy supply in Indonesia has reached a historical high of 16% [1] - Challenges such as lack of policy regulations, weak grid infrastructure, insufficient financing channels, and a shortage of skilled workers hinder the development of solar power [1]
美国电动车8月销量创纪录,特斯拉却逆势下滑,市场份额八年新低
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-09-11 14:46
电动汽车正在美国市场热销,唯独行业龙头特斯拉是个例外。 据汽车咨询公司Cox Automotive的数据,8月份美国电动汽车销量达到14.6万辆,占汽车市场份额的 9.9%,创下新高。美国消费者纷纷在9月底电动汽车补贴终结前购买,推动了电动汽车销量增长。 2022年8月,时任美国总统拜登签署了《通胀削减法》(IRA),该法案规定,如果消费者在美国购买 的电动汽车中有一定比例的关键电池矿物来自美国或其自由贸易伙伴,就可以获得高达7500美元的税收 抵免。 特斯拉还在中国市场推出了Model YL,这是一款加长、可容纳6人的版本。 至于美国市场,马斯克此前表示,一款更便宜的Model Y即将上市,预计造型与现款类似,但配置有所 精简,发布时间可能会在政府电动汽车补贴被取缔之后。 特斯拉今年二季度全球销量同比下滑近14%,一季度也出现了类似跌幅。 作为美国最大的电动汽车卖家,特斯拉近年来未推出新车型,如今正面临雪佛兰、福特和现代等品牌日 益激烈的竞争。 上月底,特斯拉面向欧洲市场发布了新款Model Y高性能版(Model Y Performance),试图借此提振在 该地区的销量。特斯拉在欧洲地区的销量跌势更为明 ...
21专访|毕马威中国李瑶:绿地投资成中企出海的“破局之钥”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-11 09:00
Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China International Service Trade Fair highlights the increasing focus on Chinese enterprises' overseas supply chain expansion amid global economic uncertainties, with a significant rise in foreign direct investment (FDI) [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Trends - China's non-financial direct investment reached 431.61 billion RMB (approximately 62.29 billion USD) in the first half of 2023, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.7% [1]. - Investment in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries amounted to 80.17 billion RMB (about 11.57 billion USD), reflecting a growth of 23.3% year-on-year [1]. - Private enterprises are becoming the main force in China's overseas greenfield investments, transitioning from product exports to full industry chain layouts [2][4]. Group 2: Greenfield Investment Characteristics - The shift towards greenfield investment is seen as a strategic response to geopolitical factors and the challenges of cross-border mergers and acquisitions [3][4]. - Key regions for greenfield investments include Southeast Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, driven by local market demands and favorable trade agreements [2][4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The report indicates that China's greenfield investment is expected to continue expanding, supported by macroeconomic conditions, industry advantages, and the need for companies to understand local market demands [6][7]. - The focus on renewable energy and electric vehicle supply chains is anticipated to dominate large-scale greenfield investments in 2024 [4]. Group 4: Challenges and Strategies - Companies face challenges from global supply chain restructuring and trade protectionism, prompting a reevaluation of investment strategies [8][9]. - To enhance resilience, companies are advised to adopt a diversified capacity model and establish local production bases to mitigate risks associated with concentrated supply chains [9][10]. Group 5: Opportunities in the Belt and Road Initiative - The BRI continues to be a core direction for Chinese overseas investment, particularly in the context of digital economy and green transformation [11][12]. - Opportunities in renewable energy projects and digital economy collaborations are emerging in BRI countries, with significant potential for Chinese enterprises [11][12].
董明珠终于成功造车,十年烧几十亿,车标一出惊艳众人,一看价格,网友崩溃:你疯了吧?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 06:00
Group 1: Initial Intent and Background - In 2015, Dong Mingzhu announced the acquisition of Yinlong Automotive under Gree Group, aiming to enter the electric vehicle market, which was seen as a bold attempt by a leader in the home appliance industry [3] - The initial investment plan exceeded 10 billion yuan, but faced strong opposition from shareholders who viewed the automotive industry as high-risk and questioned the expected returns [3] - Despite the setbacks, Dong invested 3 billion yuan of her own money to continue the car manufacturing plan, transitioning from a corporate manager to a personal investor bearing significant risks [3] Group 2: Financial and Management Issues - Upon entering Yinlong Automotive, significant internal issues were discovered, including financial discrepancies exceeding 1 billion yuan due to the founder's misconduct [4] - Dong's initial lack of awareness regarding these issues highlighted the risks associated with entering a new industry, despite her management experience [4] Group 3: Product Launch and Market Response - The Yinlong Aifei was launched in 2019, featuring an appealing design but priced at 430,000 yuan, significantly higher than competitors like the Buick GL8 and Toyota Alphard [5][7] - The Aifei's sales were disappointing, with only 2,708 units sold in 2019 compared to 150,000 units for the Buick GL8, indicating the challenges faced by new brands in the high-end MPV market [7] Group 4: Technical and Pricing Analysis - The Aifei's technical specifications were competitive, with a range of 450 kilometers and a fast charging time of about 2 hours, but the high price and lack of brand recognition hindered its market acceptance [8] - The decision to adopt a high pricing strategy without established consumer trust or a compelling brand narrative led to poor sales performance [8] Group 5: Lessons from Cross-Industry Ventures - Dong Mingzhu's experience illustrates that success in one industry does not guarantee success in another, particularly in the automotive sector, which has unique challenges such as long R&D cycles and complex distribution channels [9] - The diversification strategy, while potentially beneficial, can also dilute resources and negatively impact core business performance, as evidenced by Gree's market valuation compared to competitors [9] Group 6: Consumer Insights - Consumers are advised to critically evaluate new brands, especially in high-value purchases like automobiles, considering brand recognition, pricing, after-sales support, and technical specifications [11] - The story serves as a reminder that new automotive brands must build trust and a strong market presence to succeed, as technical capabilities alone are insufficient [11] Group 7: Conclusion - Dong Mingzhu's decade-long investment in car manufacturing reflects both determination and significant lessons learned, emphasizing the importance of rational decision-making and market understanding in business ventures [13] - The narrative underscores that while passion can drive action, rationality and market logic are essential to avoid costly failures in cross-industry endeavors [13]
甲骨文创始人一度成全球首富,财富一日飙升千亿
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-09-11 00:15
2025.09.11 本文字数:1982,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 |第一财经 樊志菁 封图来源 | 视觉中国 周三,"全球首富" 的头衔迎来了新人。 《彭博亿万富豪指数》(Bloomberg Billionaires Index)数据显示,在蝉联"全球首富"头衔近300天后, 特斯拉公司首席执行官马斯克(ElonMusk)交出了位置。随着云业务需求激增刺激营收前景,甲骨文 公司股价盘中暴涨超42%,该公司联合创始人埃里森(Larry Ellison)首次登顶。截至周三收盘,甲骨 文股价飙升36%,创下自1992年以来的最大单日百分比涨幅,单日市值暴增2440亿美元。 券商TD Cowen表示,甲骨文此次财报或许标志着其史上最重要的一个季度。分析师在给客户的报告中 指出,市场对甲骨文云基础设施(Oracle Cloud Infrastructure)的大量投入,应能巩固投资者对甲骨文 在 AI 模型训练领域主导地位及差异化优势的信心。甲骨文 "独特的网络架构" 使其在定价和性能方面具 备优势。 今年 1 月,特朗普宣布成立一家新公司以推动美国人工智能基础设施建设时,埃里森与 OpenAI 首席执 行官奥特曼( ...