Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 10%+ in the second half of FY2025, despite challenges in the overall consumption environment [5]. - The company has shown resilience in its operations, with a focus on product innovation and brand upgrades, which are anticipated to drive sales during the off-season [5]. - The company's strategic transformation has solidified its position as an expert in down jackets, with a continued emphasis on enhancing product quality and expanding product categories [5]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2023A: 16,774 million - 2024A: 23,214 million (growth rate: 38%) - 2025E: 25,681 million (growth rate: 11%) - 2026E: 28,930 million (growth rate: 13%) - 2027E: 32,426 million (growth rate: 12%) [2]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2023A: 2,139 million - 2024A: 3,074 million (growth rate: 44%) - 2025E: 3,521 million (growth rate: 15%) - 2026E: 4,041 million (growth rate: 15%) - 2027E: 4,562 million (growth rate: 13%) [2]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2023A: 0.18 - 2024A: 0.27 - 2025E: 0.30 - 2026E: 0.35 - 2027E: 0.39 [2]. - **Valuation Ratios**: - P/E: - 2024A: 14.0 - 2025E: 12.3 - 2026E: 10.7 - 2027E: 9.5 - P/B: - 2024A: 3.1 - 2025E: 2.5 - 2026E: 2.0 - 2027E: 1.7 [2][8]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively integrating new digital technologies with traditional business models to enhance operational efficiency and decision-making accuracy [5]. - The introduction of AI-designed products has significantly reduced the development time for new designs, showcasing the company's commitment to innovation [5]. - The company is focusing on sustainable development across its entire supply chain, achieving a leading ESG rating [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved excellent performance in 2024 with revenue and net profit growth of 19.6% and 19.5% respectively, meeting expectations [1] - The company is expected to continue its strong performance in 2025, with projected revenue growth of 14% and stable profit margins [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue increased by 19.6% to 10.07 billion, with a gross margin of 41.5%, and a net profit of 1.15 billion, maintaining a net profit margin of 11.4% [1] - The company declared a dividend of 26.5 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of 45% [1] Adult Business - The adult segment saw a revenue increase of 19% to 7.38 billion, with footwear and apparel sales growing by 22.1% and 15.1% respectively [2] - The company enhanced its product and brand strength in running and basketball categories, while optimizing store structure [2] Children's Business - The children's segment revenue grew by 19.5% to 2.34 billion, supported by a strong product matrix and sponsorship of youth events [3] - The number of children's stores increased slightly, with improved store efficiency [3] E-commerce Business - E-commerce revenue rose by 12.2% to 2.61 billion, with a focus on differentiated products and deep consumer engagement [3] Inventory and Cash Flow - By the end of 2024, inventory increased significantly by 56% to 2.11 billion, primarily to support e-commerce growth during the holiday season [4] - Operating cash flow decreased to 70 million from 408 million in the previous year [4] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.31 billion, 1.49 billion, and 1.66 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a PE ratio of 7 times for 2025 [4]

行 业 研 究 行业周报 [Table_MainInfo] 加力支持以旧换新，关注扩大内需细分领域机会 | ――轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 | 分析师： | 袁艺博 | SAC NO： | 年 | 月 | 日 | S1150521120002 | 2025 | 3 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Author] | 证券分析师 | [Table_Summary] | 投资要点： | 袁艺博 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 行业要闻 | 022-23839135 | yuanyb@bhzq.com | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | （1）纸厂惊现千元涨价函，上一次还是两年前。 | [Tab ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Bosideng (03998.HK) [2][8] Core Views - Bosideng demonstrates resilience driven by innovation, maintaining stable performance despite high base effects and external disturbances [2] - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in FY2025H2, even with a high base, supported by its strong offline presence and product innovation [2][3] - The forecast for FY2025-2027 net profit is adjusted to 3.51 billion, 4.00 billion, and 4.54 billion CNY respectively, down from previous estimates [2] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for FY2025 are set at 25.54 billion CNY, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth [5] - Net profit for FY2025 is estimated at 3.51 billion CNY, with a year-over-year increase of 14.3% [5] - Gross margin is expected to slightly decline to 58.5% in FY2025, while net margin is projected to improve to 13.8% [5] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio of over 80% for three consecutive years [2] - The current P/E ratios for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are projected at 12.5, 10.9, and 9.6 respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve solid performance in FY2025, with a projected revenue growth of over 10% and net profit growth expected to outpace revenue growth, indicating a trend of high-quality growth [1][3]. - The brand's down jacket business is anticipated to grow steadily by around 10% due to product innovation and category expansion, while the OEM business is expected to see a significant sales increase of approximately 15% [1][2][3]. - The report highlights the company's strong supply chain responsiveness and effective inventory management, which are crucial for maintaining operational health [3]. Business Segments Summary Brand Down Jacket Business - The brand down jacket business is projected to achieve a healthy growth rate, with FY2025H1 revenue increasing by 22.7% year-on-year, and full-year growth expected to be in the high single digits around 10% [2][3]. OEM Business - The OEM business recorded a 13.4% year-on-year sales increase in FY2025H1, with sales expected to grow by approximately 15% for the full year [3]. Financial Performance - For FY2025, the company is estimated to achieve a net profit of 3.523 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.6% [4]. - The report projects a slight decline in gross margin due to changes in business mix, but net profit margin is expected to remain stable or increase [1][3]. Channel Performance - Offline sales are expected to outperform online sales, with a focus on single-store operations and a stable number of stores anticipated for FY2025 [3]. - Online sales for FY2025H1 increased by 24% year-on-year, indicating the growing importance of e-commerce as a channel for brand building and member marketing [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to maintain steady double-digit growth, with projected revenues of 25.6 billion, 28.6 billion, and 32.0 billion yuan for the fiscal years ending March 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 10%, 12%, and 12% [3][4] - The company has launched several new products and marketing initiatives during the peak season, including collaborations with Italian brand MSGM and the introduction of high-performance winter jackets [1][2] - The company has a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 80% over the past three fiscal years and a share buyback of over 56 million shares amounting to more than 209 million HKD [3] Summary by Sections Product Launches and Marketing Initiatives - The company has actively introduced new products and marketing events, including the launch of the "Puff Series" in collaboration with MSGM and the introduction of extreme cold jackets capable of withstanding temperatures as low as -50°C [1][2] - The opening of a flagship store in Beijing and participation in high-profile events like the "Tribute to Ice and Snow" show in Harbin have enhanced brand visibility [2] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 23.2 billion yuan for FY2024, with a year-on-year growth of 38.39%, and net profit of 3.1 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 43.74% [4] - The estimated P/E ratios for the upcoming fiscal years are 14.3, 12.5, and 10.9, indicating a favorable valuation [3][4] Shareholder Returns - The company has demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns, with a consistent dividend payout and significant share repurchases, reflecting confidence in its business development [3]

行 业 研 究 | S | 渤 海 证 券 | | --- | --- | | | Bohai Securities | [Table_MainInfo] 关注 AI 赋能家居企业，以及 AI 眼镜投资机会 ――轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 | | 分析师： 袁艺博 | | | | | SAC NO： | S1150521120002 2025 年 2 月 24 日 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | [Table_Author] 证券分析师 | | | | | | | | | [Table_Summary] 投资要点： | | | | | 袁艺博 | | 行业要闻 | | | | | | | | | | | | 022-23839135 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | yuanyb@bhzq.com | | | | | | （1）欧盟对中国产装饰纸（Decor Paper）作出反倾销初裁。 | | | | | | | | [Tabl ...

行 业 研 究 | 第1 海 证 学 | | --- | | Bohai Securities | [Table_MainInfo] 文化纸温和上涨可期，上海推动 IP、宠物消费发展 ――轻工制造&纺织服饰行业周报 推荐组合：欧派家居（603833）、索菲亚（002572）、探路者（300005）、 森马服饰（002563）、乖宝宠物（301498）。 风险提示 宏观经济波动；原材料成本上涨；新产能无法及时消化；大客户流失。 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 12 行业周报 | | 分析师： 袁艺博 | | | SAC NO： S1150521120002 | | | 2025 | 年 月 2 | 17 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | [Table_Author] 证券分析师 | | [Table_Summary] | | | | | | | | | | 袁艺博 | | 投资要点： | | | | | | | | | | | |  行业要 ...