以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 业绩经营情况 机构分析显示，贝壳2025年第四季度财报预计近期发布。美银证券等机构预测，受高基数影响，季度收 入可能同比下降，但通过成本优化和新业务改善，盈利有望复苏。 资金动向 贝壳自2022年启动的回购计划已扩大至50亿美元，截至2025年三季度末累计回购约23亿美元。2026年1 月披露显示，公司仍在进行股份购回并拟注销，彰显现金流实力。 经济观察网 贝壳在2026年初有多项动态值得关注，包括平台规则调整、2025年第四季度财报预期以及 股份回购计划的持续执行。 近期事件 贝壳计划于2026年3月1日起实施人才流转规则调整，取消经纪人在品牌、地域等方面的流动限制，以提 升平台灵活性。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant drop in U.S. real estate service stocks due to concerns over the impact of AI technology on high-labor and high-fee business models, with CBRE and JLL both falling over 12% and Cushman & Wakefield nearly 14% [1] - The decline is seen as part of a broader "AI panic trading," affecting various sectors including software and private equity, with real estate services being the latest to experience rapid capital withdrawal [2][3] - Analysts suggest that the current sell-off may be an exaggerated emotional response, as the direct threat of AI to real estate leasing and capital markets remains limited, with firms like CBRE maintaining significant advantages in data scale and industry relationships [3] Group 2 - The commercial real estate sector is struggling to recover from the pandemic's impact on office demand and rising interest rates, which have severely affected transaction volumes [2] - In response to industry challenges, companies like CBRE and JLL have diversified their business models into property management, asset valuation, and cross-industry investment sales to mitigate cyclical risks associated with traditional brokerage [2] - Some analysts argue that the market's reaction to AI-related risks is overblown, especially given the absence of significant new negative information on the day of the stock declines [2]

美股房地产服务公司周三纷纷大跌，投资者正在评估此类公司在面对最新一批人工智能应用和工具时的 脆弱性。CBRE Group一度暴跌15%，Jones LangLa Salle下跌13%，Cushman跌幅达15%。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total revenue increased by 18% year-over-year, reaching $654 million, near the top end of the outlook range [24][35] - Full-year 2025 total revenue grew by 16%, consistent with the mid-teens growth outlook [30] - EBITDA for Q4 was $149 million, with a margin of 23%, up 260 basis points year-over-year [24][30] - The company reported $23 million of GAAP net income for the full year, achieving full-year profitability [10][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Sale revenue grew by 11% year-over-year in Q4 to $475 million, with residential revenue up 8% and mortgages revenue up 39% [10][25] - Rentals revenue in Q4 was $168 million, up 45% year-over-year, driven by a 63% increase in multifamily revenue [10][27] - For Sale revenue for the full year reached $1.9 billion, up 9% from 2024 [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Zillow Rentals had an average of 2.5 million monthly active rental listings in Q4, with a market share increase to 63% from 54% in 2024 [19][20] - The company attracted 31 million average monthly unique visitors in Q4, reinforcing its position as the preferred platform for renters [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Zillow is focused on integrating and digitizing the real estate transaction process, enhancing customer experiences and improving productivity for real estate professionals [6][11] - The company aims to achieve a $1 billion incremental revenue target in For Sale, supported by continuous improvements in customer experiences and growth in Enhanced Markets [12][21] - Zillow Pro, a new offering for agents, is expected to enhance lead conversion and agent adoption of CRM tools [16][67] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strategy and does not expect legal challenges to materially impact financial positions or long-term strategies [22][62] - The company anticipates continued growth across its business, with mid-teens revenue growth expected for 2026 and approximately 30% growth in rentals [35][37] - Management highlighted improvements in housing affordability as a positive indicator for future market recovery [38] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $670 million of shares throughout 2025, returning a total of $1.1 billion to shareholders [33][34] - Legal expenses were noted as a factor impacting EBITDA margins, with expectations of elevated legal costs in 2026 [36][70] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on rental trends and opportunities? - Management indicated that the growth in rentals is driven by a unique strategy focused on organizing various types of supply, leading to increased audience engagement and revenue growth [45][46] Question: How do you view the impact of recent industry consolidation? - Management does not expect any significant risk or impact from industry consolidation, as the majority of sellers and agents prefer broad exposure for listings [52][53] Question: Will legal challenges affect Zillow's business strategy? - Management confirmed that no meaningful changes to the business strategy are expected due to legal challenges, maintaining confidence in their approach [62][63] Question: What is the status of Zillow Pro and its impact on lead conversion? - Zillow Pro is currently in beta testing, with plans for nationwide expansion in the second half of the year, expected to enhance agent efficiency and conversion rates [66][67]

Group 1: Market Overview - Global markets showed positive performance with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.76% and the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.41% [1] - The US markets experienced a mixed reaction, with the Dow Jones up by 0.04% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.47%, while the Nasdaq saw a rise of 0.90% [1] - Japanese stocks surged significantly following the ruling party's unexpected electoral success, with the Nikkei 225 rising by 3.89% [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, the financial sector led gains with the Hang Seng Financial Index up by 2.63%, while the real estate sector also performed well, increasing by 2.12% [2] - The Chinese stock market saw a rebound, with materials, finance, and healthcare sectors leading the way, while telecommunications and utilities lagged behind [3] Group 3: Regulatory Developments in the Financial Sector - A new regulatory framework for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) was established, allowing domestic financial institutions to engage in cross-border RWA financing [4][5] - The framework differentiates between virtual currencies and RWA, providing a clear compliance path for domestic entities to issue asset-backed securities abroad [5] Group 4: Company Analysis - Beike (BEKE US) - Beike is projected to report revenues of 22.2 billion RMB for Q4 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 28.5% due to high base effects [7] - The company is expected to achieve a non-GAAP net profit of 427 million RMB, with a net profit margin of 1.9%, driven by cost-cutting measures and improvements in new business profitability [8] - For 2026, Beike's core property transaction business is anticipated to benefit from cost optimization, with a projected non-GAAP net profit of 7 billion RMB, representing a 42% year-on-year increase [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and real estate services sectors [6]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong real estate market is experiencing a recovery, with residential prices showing the largest month-on-month increase since April 2025, and a significant year-on-year increase in transaction volumes due to the Lunar New Year effect [1][2]. - The inventory pressure in the residential sector is improving, with the unsold completed inventory decreasing to 23,000 units and the absorption cycle returning to historical norms [3]. - The commercial real estate sector is seeing a rebound in retail sales value and office net absorption, although a full recovery in commercial rents is still awaited [4]. Summary by Sections Residential Market - In January 2026, the Centaline Property Leading Index increased by 2.2% month-on-month, marking the highest monthly increase in the current recovery phase [2]. - The private residential price index showed a month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year increase of 3.3% as of December 2025 [2]. - The absorption cycle for completed unsold units has shortened to 14 months, while the cycle for under-construction unsold units is at 50 months, both returning to average levels seen over the past two decades [3]. Rental Market - The private residential rental index reached a historical high, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1% and a year-on-year increase of 4.3% in December 2025 [3]. - The average rental yield for residential units below 70 square meters is 3.35%, which remains above the mortgage cap rate of 3.25% [3]. Commercial Real Estate - The retail sector's sales value for 2025 was HKD 380.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, marking a recovery from a 7.3% decline in 2024 [4]. - The net absorption of office space reached its highest level since 2018, driven by a rising Hang Seng Index and active IPOs, although the vacancy rate remains high at 17.3% [4]. - Commercial rents are still under pressure, with December rental indices for retail and office spaces showing year-on-year declines of 4.7% and 3.3%, respectively [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for Link REIT (823 HK) with a target price of HKD 50.59, highlighting its focus on essential local consumption and stable growth characteristics [29].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that I Love My Home has reported a total of 62,986 shareholders as of January 31, 2026 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the commercial real estate REITs sector, indicating an expectation that the sector will outperform the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The establishment of a comprehensive development framework for "infrastructure + commercial real estate" marks the entry of C-REITs into a high-quality development phase, with rapid advancements in commercial real estate REITs [1]. - As of February 7, 2026, ten projects have been successfully filed, filling market gaps in hotel and other sectors, and shifting industry valuation logic towards "refined asset management" and "asset enhancement" [1][2]. - The total estimated value of the ten filed projects is 39.8 billion, with a proposed fundraising amount of 37.7 billion, averaging 3.77 billion per project, which is a 50% increase compared to previously issued consumer infrastructure REITs [2]. - The projects are concentrated in core cities, with over 43% of asset valuations located in first-tier cities like Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, providing strong support for asset value [2]. Summary by Sections Asset and Expected Returns - The first batch of projects features a wide range of asset positioning, particularly in retail, with both high-end malls and projects in lower-tier cities that have operational management premiums [3]. - The average expected distribution rate for 2026 is 4.75%, slightly lower than the average for newly issued consumer REITs in 2025 but higher than the secondary market valuation by approximately 106% [3]. - Distribution rates vary by asset type, with averages of 4.5% for office, 4.7% for retail, 4.8% for hotels, and 5.1% for retail-office mixed-use [3]. Operational Management Premium and Upgrades - Operational capability has become a core driver of project value differentiation, with leading operators like CapitaLand demonstrating strong performance through integrated operations [4]. - Asset enhancement initiatives (AEI) are crucial for increasing asset value, with several projects outlining clear renovation plans aimed at optimizing space utilization and improving asset combinations [4]. Investment Conclusion - The commercial real estate REITs sector is poised for scaled development, with expectations for increased marketization, more rational pricing mechanisms, and a gradual maturation of fundraising mechanisms [5]. - The report recommends focusing on commercial real estate operators with a long-standing presence in the sector and property management companies with management premiums and strategic advantages in the commercial management field [5].

整体来看，全球资金正从高估值成长板块，向低估值价值与周期板块进行轮动。 本周全球资本市场在宏观数据与政策预期的交织中呈现显著分化格局，"价值跑赢成长"成为核心特征。 美股市场内部冰火两重天。道琼斯工业平均指数表现强劲，全周上涨2.50%，其动力主要源于美国经济 展现出的超预期韧性。1月ISM制造业PMI升至52.6，创2022年以来新高，有效提振了工业与金融等传统 周期板块的信心。与之形成鲜明对比的是，以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数全周下跌1.84%。市场对AI领 域巨额投入成本的担忧，以及部分公司业绩指引不及预期，导致资金从软件与半导体等板块流出，压制 了科技股表现。 其他主要市场涨跌互现。欧洲股市如法国CAC40指数上涨1.81%，整体稳健。亚洲市场中，日经225指 数上涨1.75%，而韩国综合指数下跌2.59%，越南胡志明指数跌幅更超过4%。 尽管大势调整，A股结构性机会依然清晰，领涨板块集中于消费及服务领域。航空客运板块表现最为亮 眼，周涨幅超过8%。核心驱动在于春运出行需求集中释放，叠加油价回调降低成本压力，市场对行业 供需改善预期乐观。饮料板块上涨超过5%，直接受益于春节消费旺季临近，高端白酒批价显现 ...

证券研究报告 重申全年看好港资房企，关注港资商业 运营商 地产行业周报 行业评级：地产 强于大市（维持） 平安证券研究所地产团队 2026年2月8日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 1 核心摘要 2 周度观点：节后楼市走向仍为板块短期走势关键。本周申万地产板块微涨0.01%，当前市场对后续板块看法及楼市走向仍存分歧。部分投 资者认为在缺乏超预期政策支持背景下，楼市企稳仍存在不确定性，但同时又担心踏空板块上涨行情。我们认为在大盘波动加大、二手 房成交淡季不淡、房企业绩压力提前释放等背景下，短期板块向下风险有限，对楼市企稳存担忧但又担心踏空的投资者，我们认为可适 度配置历史包袱较轻、拿地及产品力强的优质房企，若后续楼市逐步企稳回升，优质房企资金及拿地能力强亦有望率先受益，若楼市持 续底部震荡，相关企业亦具备基本面支撑。 重申全年看好港资房企，关注港资商业运营商。本周新鸿基地产、恒基地产、信和置业上涨1.11%、2.76%、2.8%。重申全年看好港资房 企，我们在1月发布专题报告《香港商业地产逐步触底，标杆商业开发运营商梳理》，我们认为中国香港商业地产现触底信号，核心区写 字楼租金、空置率边际改善，零售物业租金降幅收窄， ...