有色金属冶炼和压延加工业
Search documents
有色金属日报 2025-11-13-20251113
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-13 01:33
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The expectation of the US government reopening and the easing of trade tensions boost market sentiment. The copper price is expected to continue to fluctuate strongly in the short - term, aluminum may further rise, casting aluminum alloy prices will follow aluminum prices, lead and zinc will run strongly in the short - term but with limited upside, tin will be in a tight - balance state and prices are expected to be strong, nickel should be observed in the short - term, and stainless steel will maintain a weak trend [2][3][6][10][13][15][17][20][30]. 3. Summary by Metals Copper - **Market Information**: The US government's expected reopening and policy easing expectations pushed up precious metals, but the sharp drop in crude oil prices caused copper prices to fall back after rising. LME copper 3M contract rose 0.53% to $10,897/ton, and SHFE copper main contract closed at 87,410 yuan/ton. LME copper inventory remained flat, and domestic SHFE warehouse receipts increased. Spot premiums and discounts varied in different regions, and the import loss of domestic copper was about 700 yuan/ton [2]. - **Strategy View**: The expectation of the US government reopening and the easing of trade tensions boost market sentiment. Although some copper mines have resumed production, the supply of copper mines remains tight, and refined copper supply is expected to tighten marginally, providing strong support for copper prices. Short - term copper prices may continue to fluctuate strongly. The operating range of SHFE copper main contract is 86,500 - 88,000 yuan/ton, and that of LME copper 3M is 10,820 - 11,000 dollars/ton [3]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum prices continued to be strong but fell back after rising due to the sharp drop in crude oil prices. LME aluminum rose 0.23% to $2,886/ton, and SHFE aluminum main contract closed at 21,950 yuan/ton. SHFE weighted contract positions increased significantly, and domestic inventories changed slightly. The processing fee of aluminum rods fluctuated and declined, and the market receiving atmosphere was average [5]. - **Strategy View**: Overseas aluminum plant shutdowns or production cuts have raised supply concerns, and domestic inventories are still low. Against the background of the expected easing of global trade tensions and the implementation of the Fed's interest rate cut, supply - side disturbances and the improvement of domestic export expectations may push aluminum prices higher. Pay attention to the support of domestic inventories for prices. The operating range of SHFE aluminum main contract is 21,820 - 22,200 yuan/ton, and that of LME aluminum 3M is 2,840 - 2,910 dollars/ton [6]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Information**: Cast aluminum alloy prices strengthened, with the main AD2601 contract rising 0.97% to 21,245 yuan/ton. Positions increased, and the volume of transactions expanded. The price difference between AL2601 and AD2601 contracts widened slightly. The average price of domestic mainstream ADC12 increased, and the inventory of domestic recycled aluminum alloy ingots increased [9]. - **Strategy View**: The cost - side price of cast aluminum alloy has strong support, while the demand - side performance is relatively average. Short - term prices are expected to follow the trend of aluminum prices [10]. Lead - **Market Information**: On Wednesday, the SHFE lead index rose 1.26% to 17,664 yuan/ton, and the total unilateral trading positions were 127,400 lots. LME lead 3S rose to $2,072.5/ton. The average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 17,325 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference was 50 yuan/ton. SHFE lead ingot futures inventory was 24,700 tons, and LME lead ingot inventory was 226,700 tons [12]. - **Strategy View**: The smelting profit of primary and recycled lead is good, and the smelter's operating rate is relatively high, but the shortage of raw materials limits the output of lead ingots. The domestic social inventory of lead ingots has bottomed out and rebounded but is still at a relatively low level. LME lead has continued to reduce inventory, and the price difference between months has strengthened. The tightening of the near - end and the shortage of raw materials push lead prices to run strongly. SHFE lead is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term [13]. Zinc - **Market Information**: On Wednesday, the SHFE zinc index rose 0.05% to 22,704 yuan/ton, and the total unilateral trading positions were 227,400 lots. LME zinc 3S fell to $3,065.5/ton. The average price of SMM0 zinc ingots was 22,610 yuan/ton, and the basis in different regions varied. SHFE zinc ingot futures inventory was 70,900 tons, and LME zinc ingot inventory was 35,300 tons. Domestic social inventory decreased slightly [14]. - **Strategy View**: The TC of zinc concentrates continued to decline, the profit of zinc smelting was under pressure, and the operating rate decreased marginally. The accumulation of domestic zinc ingot social inventory slowed down. Some short - position holders of SHFE zinc turned to net long positions. The registered warehouse receipts of LME zinc increased slightly, and the overseas structural risk eased. The decline in zinc smelting operations and some zinc ingot exports tightened the spot market, pushing SHFE zinc to run strongly in the short - term, but the upside of zinc prices in the surplus cycle is relatively limited [15]. Tin - **Market Information**: On November 12, 2025, the closing price of SHFE tin main contract was 298,050 yuan/ton, up 1.92%. The registered warehouse receipts of SHFE futures decreased by 126 tons. The price of 40% tin concentrate in Yunnan rose to 279,000 yuan/ton. After the seasonal maintenance of large smelters in Yunnan ended, the operating rate of tin ingot smelters in Yunnan and Jiangxi rebounded but was still at a historical low due to the shortage of tin ore supply. Although the mining license in Myanmar's Wa State was approved, the tin ore export volume was still far below the normal level. The consumption in traditional fields was weak, but the long - term demand from emerging fields provided support for tin prices, and the operating rate of tin solder enterprises in October showed a slight recovery [16]. - **Strategy View**: The short - term supply and demand of tin are in a tight - balance state, and prices are expected to fluctuate strongly. It is recommended to go long at low prices. The operating range of domestic main contract is 290,000 - 300,000 yuan/ton, and that of overseas LME tin is 37,000 - 39,000 dollars/ton [17][18]. Nickel - **Market Information**: On Wednesday, nickel prices fluctuated and fell, with the closing price of SHFE nickel main contract at 118,710 yuan/ton, down 0.56%. The spot premiums of various brands were stable. The price of nickel ore was stable and strong, while the price of nickel iron accelerated to decline [19]. - **Strategy View**: Recently, the inventory pressure of refined nickel is still significant, and the weak nickel iron price drags down nickel prices. If the inventory of refined nickel continues to increase, it is difficult for nickel prices to rise significantly. However, in the medium - and long - term, the global fiscal and monetary easing cycle will support nickel prices, and nickel prices may confirm the bottom earlier than the fundamentals. It is recommended to observe in the short - term. If the decline of nickel prices is sufficient (115,000 - 118,000 yuan/ton) or the risk preference is high, long positions can be gradually established. The operating range of SHFE nickel main contract is 115,000 - 128,000 yuan/ton, and that of LME nickel 3M is 14,500 - 16,500 dollars/ton [20]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The MMLC spot index of lithium carbonate closed at 85,843 yuan, down 0.23%. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 200 yuan, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 0.24%. The closing price of LC2601 contract was 86,580 yuan, up 0.05%. The average premium of battery - grade lithium carbonate in the trading market was - 250 yuan [22]. - **Strategy View**: The demand has reached a new high, and the spot is strong. Lithium carbonate fluctuates at a high level. As the peak season is in the middle and late stages, the continuity of downstream raw material demand may be limited. If there is no continuous driving force, pay attention to the selling pressure at high levels. It is recommended to pay attention to the production schedule of lithium - battery materials in December and the changes in the equity market atmosphere. The operating range of LC2601 contract is 84,000 - 89,200 yuan/ton [23][24]. Alumina - **Market Information**: On November 12, 2025, the alumina index rose 0.25% to 2,842 yuan/ton, and the total unilateral trading positions increased by 10,000 to 559,000 lots. The spot price in Shandong was 2,780 yuan/ton, at a discount of 7 yuan/ton to the 12 - contract. The FOB price in Australia remained at $320/ton, and the import loss was - 44 yuan/ton. The futures warehouse receipts were 253,700 tons, unchanged from the previous day. The CIF prices of ore in Guinea and Australia remained stable [26]. - **Strategy View**: The shipment of overseas ore will gradually recover after the rainy season, and the ore price is expected to decline. The over - capacity pattern of the alumina smelting end is difficult to change in the short - term, and the inventory accumulation trend continues. However, the current price is close to the cost line of most manufacturers, and the expectation of subsequent production cuts is strengthened. Moreover, the overall non - ferrous sector is strong, so the cost - performance of short - selling is not high. It is recommended to observe in the short - term. The operating range of the domestic main contract AO2601 is 2,600 - 2,900 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to supply - side policies, Guinea's ore policies, and the Fed's monetary policy [27]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: On Wednesday, the stainless steel main contract closed at 12,425 yuan/ton, down 0.32%. The unilateral positions increased by 12,203 to 205,700 lots. The spot prices in Foshan and Wuxi markets changed slightly. The prices of raw materials such as high - nickel iron and high - carbon ferrochrome decreased. The futures inventory decreased by 1,566 to 72,091 tons, and the social inventory decreased to 1.034 million tons, with the 300 - series inventory decreasing by 1.90% [29]. - **Strategy View**: The stainless steel market continues to show a weak and fluctuating trend, mainly affected by the double pressure of oversupply and weak demand. Although the production schedule of steel mills in November has shrunk slightly, the overall output is still at a high level, and the market supply pressure has not been significantly relieved. Terminal purchases are mainly for rigid demand, and the trading volume in the trading link is continuously low, and the market activity is not high. The inventory pressure accumulated in the early stage is gradually released, and the inventory - reduction speed slows down, further strengthening the market's wait - and - see sentiment. Stainless steel prices are expected to remain weak in the short - term [30].
铜冠铜箔股价涨5.28%,南方基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有227.49万股浮盈赚取373.09万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 03:38
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Copper Crown Copper Foil has seen a stock price increase of 5.28%, reaching 32.70 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 818 million yuan and a turnover rate of 3.12%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 27.109 billion yuan [1] - Copper Crown Copper Foil, established on October 18, 2010, and listed on January 27, 2022, specializes in the research, manufacturing, and sales of high-precision electronic copper foil [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes PCB copper foil at 56.84%, lithium battery copper foil at 37.92%, copper flat wire at 4.45%, and other supplementary products at 0.79% [1] Group 2 - Southern Fund's Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Copper Crown Copper Foil, having reduced its holdings by 53,600 shares in the third quarter, now holding 2.2749 million shares, which accounts for 0.27% of the circulating shares [2] - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) has a current scale of 76.63 billion yuan and has achieved a year-to-date return of 28.07%, ranking 1919 out of 4216 in its category [2] - The fund manager of Southern CSI 1000 ETF is Cui Lei, who has been in the position for 7 years and 7 days, with a total asset scale of 122.76 billion yuan and a best fund return of 179.77% during the tenure [3]
宁波金田铜业(集团)股份有限公司关于归还临时补充流动资金的募集资金的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-11 20:31
债券代码:113046 债券简称:金田转债 宁波金田铜业(集团)股份有限公司 关于归还临时补充流动资金的 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:601609 证券简称:金田股份 公告编号:2025-130 募集资金的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ● 截至2025年11月11日,公司已累计归还临时补充流动资金的闲置募集资金人民币9,900万元。 一、募集资金临时补充流动资金情况 宁波金田铜业(集团)股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于2025年8月11日召开第九届董事会第三次会 议、第九届监事会第二次会议,分别审议通过了《关于使用部分闲置募集资金暂时补充流动资金的议 案》,为提高"金铜转债"募集资金使用效率,降低财务费用,在保证公司募集资金投资项目建设资金需 求的前提下,公司决定将闲置募集资金人民币60,000万元暂时补充流动资金,使用期限自董事会审议通 过之日起不超过十二个月,到期归还至募集资金专用账户。具体内容详见公司于2025年8月12日在上海 证券交易所网站(w ...
宝武镁业:目前半固态成型的产品成本跟压铸产品的成本基本差不多,还有下降空间
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-11 04:09
每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:我们关注到公司在镁合金精密压铸领域的领先地位。 请问目前公司应用半固态注射成型技术生产并实现销售的产品,其产生的营业收入及毛利在公司镁合金 业务的总盘中的具体占比各为多少?此外,该技术路线下的产品,其毛利率水平是否显著高于传统压铸 工艺产品?这些数据将帮助我们清晰评估该前沿技术的商业化成效与对公司业绩的实际贡献。 (记者 胡玲) 宝武镁业(002182.SZ)11月11日在投资者互动平台表示,目前我们半固态成型的产品成本跟压铸产品 的成本基本差不多,随着半固态注射成型技术的进一步熟练使用,还有下降的空间。半固态注射成型技 术有以下优点(1)材料利用率高:材料利用率可达70%-85%,相比传统工艺显著提高。 (2) 生产效 率高:由于无需熔炉融化,直接采用固态进料,且成型温度低,能耗显著降低。同时,生产周期可压缩 20%-30%。 ...
德福科技股价跌5.11%,南方基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有288.43万股浮亏损失493.22万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:48
11月11日,德福科技跌5.11%,截至发稿,报31.75元/股,成交5.10亿元,换手率4.19%,总市值200.13 亿元。 资料显示,九江德福科技股份有限公司位于江西省九江市开发区汽车工业园顺意路15号,成立日期1985 年9月14日,上市日期2023年8月17日,公司主营业务涉及各类高性能电解铜箔的研发、生产和销售。主 营业务收入构成为:锂电铜箔77.53%,电子电路铜箔14.80%,其他(补充)7.66%。 南方中证1000ETF(512100)基金经理为崔蕾。 截至发稿,崔蕾累计任职时间7年6天,现任基金资产总规模1227.6亿元,任职期间最佳基金回报 178.4%, 任职期间最差基金回报-15.93%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑:小浪快报 从德福科技十大流通股东角度 数据显示,南方基金旗下1只基金位居德福科技十大流通股东。南方中证1000ETF(512100)三季度新 进十大流通股东,持有股数288.43万股,占流通股的比例为 ...
德福科技股价跌5.11%,财通证券资管旗下1只基金重仓,持有3000股浮亏损失5130元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:46
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent decline in the stock price of Defu Technology, which fell by 5.11% to 31.75 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 510 million CNY and a turnover rate of 4.20%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 20.013 billion CNY [1] - Defu Technology, established on September 14, 1985, is located in the automotive industrial park of Jiujiang, Jiangxi Province, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-performance electrolytic copper foil [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes lithium battery copper foil at 77.53%, electronic circuit copper foil at 14.80%, and other supplementary products at 7.66% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, one fund under Caitong Securities Asset Management has a significant position in Defu Technology, with the Caitong Asset Management CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A (019402) holding 3,000 shares, accounting for 0.86% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest holding [2] - The Caitong Asset Management CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A (019402) was established on April 29, 2024, with a latest scale of 11.4364 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 23.26%, ranking 2517 out of 4216 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Xin Chenchen, has been in position for 5 years and 65 days, with the fund's total asset scale at 12.5057 million CNY, achieving the best return of 37.17% and the worst return of -34.95% during the tenure [2]
嘉元科技股价跌5%,华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有28.06万股浮亏损失52.75万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that 嘉元科技's stock has experienced a significant decline, with a 5% drop on November 11, leading to a cumulative decline of 13.18% over three consecutive days [1] - 嘉元科技's stock price is currently at 35.72 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 420 million yuan and a turnover rate of 2.72%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 15.226 billion yuan [1] - The company, established on September 29, 2001, specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-performance electrolytic copper foil, with 83.77% of its revenue coming from lithium battery copper foil [1] Group 2 - 华泰柏瑞基金 has one fund heavily invested in 嘉元科技, specifically the 科创200 (588230), which held 280,600 shares as of the third quarter, accounting for 1.23% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 527,500 yuan today and a total floating loss of 1.6021 million yuan during the three-day decline [2] - 科创200 (588230) was established on December 16, 2024, with a current size of 858 million yuan and a year-to-date return of 52.14%, ranking 519 out of 4216 in its category [2]
嘉元科技股价跌5%,富荣基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有2671股浮亏损失5021.48元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 02:33
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 嘉元科技 (Jia Yuan Technology) has experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping 5% on November 11, with a cumulative drop of 13.18% over three consecutive days [1] - 嘉元科技's stock price is currently at 35.72 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 420 million yuan and a turnover rate of 2.72%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 15.226 billion yuan [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-performance electrolytic copper foil, with its main business revenue composition being 83.77% from lithium battery copper foil, 12.64% from other income, and 3.58% from standard copper foil [1] Group 2 - 富荣基金 (Furong Fund) has one fund heavily invested in 嘉元科技, specifically the 富荣福银混合A (Furong Fuyin Mixed A) fund, which holds 2,671 shares, accounting for 5.92% of the fund's net value, making it the fourth-largest holding [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 5,021.48 yuan today, with a total floating loss of 15,300 yuan during the three-day decline [2] - The 富荣福银混合A fund was established on June 18, 2021, with a current scale of 830,800 yuan, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 19.38% [2]
2025年兰州市产业结构之四大支柱产业全景图谱(附产业空间布局、产业增加值、各区域发展差异等)
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-11-10 09:55
Core Viewpoint - Lanzhou is actively developing four major industrial pillar industries, which significantly contribute to the city's economic output, accounting for over 50% of the industrial output value in 2023 [1][4]. Group 1: Overview of Major Industries - The four pillar industries in Lanzhou include petroleum, coal and other fuel processing, chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing, electricity and heat production and supply, and non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling [1][4]. - In 2023, the output value of the petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing industry reached 546 billion yuan, projected to increase to approximately 563 billion yuan in 2024, representing about 37% of Lanzhou's total industrial output [7][10]. Group 2: Distribution of Industries - The four major industries are primarily concentrated in specific districts: non-ferrous metal smelting in Yongdeng County and Honggu District, petroleum and coal processing in Xigu District, chemical manufacturing in Gaolan County, and electricity and heat supply in Gaolan County and Qilihe District [4][10]. Group 3: Industry-Specific Developments - The chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry maintained an output value above 200 billion yuan since 2021, with 2023 figures at 247 billion yuan and a projected 252 billion yuan for 2024 [12][15]. - The electricity and heat production and supply industry achieved an output value of 314 billion yuan in 2023, with an 11% year-on-year growth, and is expected to reach around 345 billion yuan in 2024 [16][18]. - The non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling industry saw a significant growth rate of 18.9%, with an output value of 248 billion yuan in 2023, and is projected to exceed 300 billion yuan in 2024 [22][23].
10月通胀数据点评:物价超预期的原因和启示
Huachuang Securities· 2025-11-10 07:41
Group 1: Inflation Data Overview - October CPI improved to 0.2% YoY, up from -0.3%, exceeding the expected -0.1%[2] - Core CPI rose to 1.2% YoY, the highest since 2022, while PPI narrowed its YoY decline to -2.1% from -2.3%[2] - CPI increased by 0.2% MoM, driven by seasonal food price increases, while energy prices fell due to oil price impacts[2] Group 2: Factors Influencing CPI and PPI - Food prices unexpectedly rose by 0.3% despite a forecasted decline of 0.4%, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to CPI[4] - Gold jewelry prices surged by 10.2%, adding about 0.06 percentage points to CPI; excluding this, core CPI would only show a 0.1% increase[4] - PPI's MoM increase of 0.1% is the first rise this year, influenced by improved supply-demand dynamics in certain industries like coal and photovoltaic[3] Group 3: Economic Implications and Future Outlook - The unexpected improvement in CPI and PPI may elevate next year's tailwind factors, supporting further YoY recovery[6] - Sustained CPI improvement requires policy support, including incentives for consumption and housing market stabilization[6] - PPI's upward momentum needs consolidation to promote broader price increases across industries, with fiscal measures already in place to stabilize raw material prices[6]