电动车 5 月报：关税缓和需求小幅向上，固态新技术如火 如荼 20250604 摘要 2025 年国内新能源汽车市场销量同比增长强劲，4 月销量同比增 44%，渗透率超 50%，但结构向经济型车倾斜，8 万元以下及 10-15 万元车型增长最快，20 万元以上车型增速放缓，纯电动汽车占比提升， 得益于低价新车型推出。 全球电动车市场预计 2025 年增长超 20%，总销量达 2000 多万辆。中 国市场增速放缓，海外市场略快。欧洲市场表现超预期，4 月主流国家 销售同比增长超 30%，美国市场个位数增长，新兴市场表现不一，全球 动力端销售乐观。 中国新能源汽车出口超预期，4 月出口量同比增长近 80%达 20 万辆。 比亚迪出口快速提升，预计全年出口目标超 80 万辆。奇瑞、上汽通用 五菱、吉利及小鹏等企业出口增长良好，预计全年出口增速可达 40%左 右。 储能市场整体预期 2025 年增长约 30%，虽较年初预期下修，但仍健康 发展。美国电网级储能受关税影响显著，欧洲和新兴市场需求强劲，国 内因强制配额取消后需求减弱，但逐步进入高质量发展阶段。 Q&A 今年电动车市场的销量趋势如何？ 今年（2025 年）国 ...

信达生物(01801)涨逾15%，IBI363治疗晚期非小细胞肺癌临床PoC研究数据公布。 九方智投控股(09636)涨超6%，市场活跃提振公司业绩及股价，机构看好其今年利润继续高增。 古茗(01364)涨7%破顶，公司下周有望获纳入港股通，高盛看好即制饮品受益外卖平台补贴。 港股恒生指数涨0.72%，涨168点，报23680点；恒生科技指数涨1.01%。港股早盘成交1190亿港元。 稳定币概念股普涨，香港《稳定币条例》正式成为法例，渣打预计未来三年全球市场规模将达万亿。 OSL集团(00863)涨4%；渣打集团(02888)涨2.60%；连连数字(02598)涨6.2%。 中国光大控股(00165)再涨超15%，美国稳定币巨头Circle上市在即，公司早年曾参与投资。 中广核矿业签新协议，销售天然铀年限三年。年度销售上限分别为39.44亿港元、43.96亿港元和45.61亿 港元。核电股走势强劲，中广核矿业(01164)涨24%；中核国际(02302.HK)涨10%。 金力永磁（300748）(06680)飙升10%，公司全年有望实现量价双增，稀土出口管制影响可控。 龙蟠科技（603906）(02465)再 ...

Core Viewpoint - Longpan Technology has secured significant contracts for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, indicating a positive outlook for future performance and stock price appreciation [1][2][5]. Group 1: Contract Details - Longpan Technology's subsidiary, LBM NEW ENERGY, signed a production pricing agreement with Eve Energy, with a total sales amount exceeding 5 billion yuan, covering the sale of 15,200 tons of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials from 2026 to 2030 [2]. - The company has signed multiple long-term contracts since 2025, with total contract amounts potentially reaching 17 billion yuan [4]. - In early 2025, Longpan Technology signed a procurement agreement with CATL, with a maximum procurement limit set at 7 billion yuan for the same material [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Longpan Technology's revenue has shown significant growth since its listing, with revenue increasing from 1.297 billion yuan in 2017 to 14.072 billion yuan in 2022, marking a 247.15% year-on-year increase [6]. - However, in 2023, the company faced a downturn, with revenue dropping to 8.729 billion yuan, a decrease of 37.96%, and a net loss of 1.233 billion yuan [7]. - The company has shown signs of recovery in 2024, with revenue of 7.673 billion yuan, a decline of 12.10%, and a reduced net loss of 636 million yuan, down 48.46% year-on-year [8]. Group 3: Product Development - Longpan Technology has introduced a new generation of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, which utilize a unique one-step sintering process, offering high cost-performance and competitive advantages [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of liquid injection technology in lithium battery production, highlighting the critical components such as injection valves, vacuum injection valves, and back pressure needles that directly affect battery performance and safety. Group 1: Liquid Injection Technology - Liquid injection is a key process in lithium battery production, where the precise transmission of electrolyte is crucial for cell performance [1] - Injection valves are essential for high-precision metering and dynamic sealing, ensuring effective electrolyte transfer [3] - Vacuum injection valves play a critical role in eliminating internal bubbles and improving electrolyte wetting efficiency as energy density and process innovations increase [3] Group 2: Back Pressure Needles - Back pressure needles are vital for pressure regulation and stability in the injection system, directly impacting injection accuracy and cell consistency [4] - Guangzhou Feisheng Precision Equipment Co., Ltd. has accumulated extensive technical expertise in the design, manufacturing, and application of injection valves, vacuum injection valves, and back pressure needles since entering the lithium battery injection technology field in 2009 [4] Group 3: Product Development and Market Application - The company has developed a series of injection valve products tailored to the specific chemical properties of electrolytes and complex working conditions, optimizing valve core structures and sealing material selection to reduce residue risks and enhance stability [4][5] - The vacuum injection valve is designed to maintain stable sealing performance under high vacuum conditions, effectively preventing air ingress and electrolyte leakage, thus ensuring improved cell performance [5] - The back pressure needle features a modular design that adapts to various battery shapes, demonstrating good adaptability in both power and energy storage battery production [5] - The products have been widely adopted by leading domestic lithium battery manufacturers and have successfully entered international markets, including South Korea, Europe, and the United States [5]

| 元用目的 | | | 碳酸锂日评20250603:国内碳酸锂6月供给预期偏松,国内碳酸锂社会库存量环比减少 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 交易日期(日) | 2025-05-30 | 2025-05-29 | 2025-05-26 | 较昨日变化 | 近两周走势 | | | 近月合约 | 收盘价 | 59840.00 | 58920.00 | 60260.00 | 920.00 | | | | 连一合约 | 收盘价 | 59800.00 | 58860.00 | 60100.00 | 940.00 | | | | 连二合约 | 收盘价 | 59840.00 | 59100.00 | 61120.00 | 740.00 | | | | 连三合约 | 收盘价 | 59840.00 | 59100.00 | 61300.00 | 740.00 | | | | | 收盘价 | 59800.00 | 58860.00 | 60100.00 | 940.00 | | | 碳酸锂期货 | | 成交量(手) | 4292 ...

Report Title - Lithium Carbonate Monthly Strategy Report, June 2025 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The fundamentals of the lithium carbonate market are still bearish, but the price fluctuation is intensified due to the game between bulls and bears. The lithium ore price continues to fall, with the lowest transaction price dropping to $600/ton. The weekly production of lithium carbonate increases by 487 tons to 16,580 tons, and the production is expected to increase in June. The cathode production data is average, but the cathode inventory is continuously digested. The cell production continues to slow down, but the terminal sales are still eye - catching with a high penetration rate. The weekly inventory decreases by 208 tons to 131,571 tons, with a slight increase in downstream inventory and a decrease in upstream and intermediate inventories [4]. Summary by Directory 1 Price - The price of the lithium carbonate main contract drops by 4.9%, and the prices of lithium ore, lithium salt, and most cathode materials decline. For example, the closing price of the lithium carbonate main contract drops from 66,960 yuan/ton to 59,800 yuan/ton, and the price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) drops from $779/ton to $676/ton [5][6] 2 Inventory - The weekly inventory decreases by 208 tons to 131,571 tons. The downstream inventory increases by 752 tons to 41,616 tons, the intermediate - link inventory decreases by 180 tons to 33,720 tons, and the upstream inventory decreases by 780 tons to 56,235 tons [5][12] 3 Theoretical Delivery Profit and Import - Export Profit - Relevant charts show the trends of lithium carbonate import profit, theoretical delivery profit, and lithium hydroxide export profit, etc., but specific profit data are not summarized in the text [18][19] 4 Supply 4.1 Lithium Resources - The production data of sample lithium mica mines and Chinese sample spodumene mines are provided. For example, on April 30, 2025, the total production of sample lithium mica mines (with a market share of about 65%) is 15,450 tons in lithium carbonate equivalent, and the production of Chinese sample spodumene mines is 4,900 tons in lithium carbonate equivalent [25] 4.2 Lithium Carbonate - The weekly production of lithium carbonate increases by 487 tons to 16,580 tons. Among them, the production from lithium spodumene increases by 20 tons to 7,519 tons, from lithium mica increases by 370 tons to 4,382 tons, from salt - lake lithium extraction increases by 67 tons to 2,907 tons, and from recycling lithium extraction increases by 30 tons to 1,772 tons [5][29] 4.3 Lithium Hydroxide - Charts show the production, capacity, and production by process and region of lithium hydroxide, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [41][42] 4.4 Lithium Hexafluorophosphate - Charts present the production, export, and monthly operating rate of lithium hexafluorophosphate, as well as the theoretical production cost of solid - state lithium hexafluorophosphate produced by purchasing LiF externally, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [44][45] 4.5 Waste Recycling - Charts show the recycling volume of waste lithium - ion batteries, including the total volume of ternary waste, lithium iron phosphate waste, and lithium cobalt oxide waste, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [49][50] 5 Materials 5.1 Ternary Precursor - Charts show the profit, capacity, production, operating rate, and import - export volume of ternary precursors, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [52][53] 5.2 Ternary Material - The weekly inventory of ternary materials decreases by 282 tons to 14,894 tons. Charts also show the production profit, capacity, production, operating rate, and import - export of ternary materials [5][55] 5.3 Lithium Iron Phosphate - The weekly inventory of lithium iron phosphate decreases by 1,172 tons to 81,378 tons. Charts show the operating rate, capacity, production, cost, and export of lithium iron phosphate [5][57] 5.4 Other Materials - Charts show the capacity, production, and operating rate of lithium manganate and lithium cobalt oxide, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [58][59] 6 Power Cells - The weekly production of power cells decreases by 19.9% to 19.23 GWh. Among them, the production of lithium - iron cells decreases by 25.5% to 12.28 GWh, and the production of ternary cells decreases by 7.8% to 6.95 GWh [5][61] 7 Terminal - New Energy Vehicles - From May 1 - 25, the retail volume of the national new - energy passenger vehicle market is 726,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 31% compared with the same period in May last year and an 11% increase compared with the same period last month. The retail penetration rate of the new - energy market is 53.5%. The cumulative retail volume this year is 4.05 million units, a year - on - year increase of 35% [5][70] 8 Supply - Demand Balance - Charts show the monthly supply - demand balance of lithium carbonate, lithium ore, lithium iron phosphate, and ternary precursors, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [72][73] 9 Options - Charts show the historical volatility, historical volatility cone, and the put - call ratios of option positions and trading volumes related to lithium carbonate closing prices, but specific summarized data are not provided in the text [78][79]

【基本面跟踪】 碳酸锂基本面数据 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2507合约（收盘价） | 59,800 | 940 | -1,160 | -2,000 | -8,380 | -17,300 | | | | 2507合约（成交量） | 429,284 | 43,139 | 134,714 | 123,688 | 321,107 | 423,959 | | | | 2507合约（持仓量） | 261,009 | -26,497 | -57,497 | -67,732 | 43,639 | 233,958 | | | 盘面 | 2509合约（收盘价） | 59,840 | 740 | -2,460 | -3,360 | -9,560 | -19,260 | | | | 2509合约（成交量） | 119,089 | 13,328 | 69,436 | 72,708 | 107,804 | 117,326 | | | | 2509合约 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving landscape of Chinese companies going global, emphasizing the shift from merely exporting products to a more integrated approach that focuses on deep localization and sustainable globalization in response to challenges such as trade protectionism and compliance risks [2][10]. Summary by Sections Current Trends in Globalization - In the first quarter of 2025, China's "new three samples" (new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and photovoltaic products) exported over $47.7 billion [2] - The global short drama market saw nearly $700 million in in-app purchases in Q1 2025 [2] - Chinese innovative pharmaceuticals achieved a total export transaction amount of $45.5 billion from the beginning of the year [2] - Various sectors, including smart manufacturing, cross-border e-commerce, gaming, patents, and business travel services, are expanding their global presence [2] Challenges and Opportunities - Companies face challenges such as trade protectionism, compliance risks, and cross-cultural management as they navigate the complexities of international markets [2] - The article highlights the need for companies to adapt to a new phase of "all-factor going global," which involves re-learning and integrating compliance, supply chains, organization, and branding [5][6] Insights from Industry Experts - Wu Xiaobo emphasizes the importance of "all-factor going global" as a significant opportunity for Chinese entrepreneurs over the next 20 years [4][5] - Tsunemi Junya points out the necessity for companies to integrate into local communities, drawing from Japan's historical experiences in overseas expansion [6] - Qin Shuo focuses on the balance between exports and overseas markets, advocating for resilience and flexibility in navigating the U.S. and non-U.S. markets [7] - Yang Yudong calls for a high-quality era of going global, where companies prioritize local market needs and value creation [7] - Shen Jin stresses the importance of innovation, craftsmanship, and humility as key factors for success in uncertain international environments [8] - Huang Zhaohua notes a shift in the annual keyword for overseas expansion from "persistence" to "breakthrough," indicating readiness for new challenges and opportunities [10][11] Upcoming Global Summit - The second Global Summit on Going Global will take place in Singapore on June 19-20, 2025, focusing on collaborative strategies for Chinese companies to navigate globalization [2][11] - The summit aims to explore how to innovate overseas models, achieve deep localization, and build supply chain advantages [11]

Group 1: Ningde Times' Hong Kong Listing - Ningde Times has officially completed its secondary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 407.6 billion HKD (about 373 billion RMB), setting a global record for fundraising [1][2] - The company issued 155 million shares, accounting for about 3.5% of its total issued shares, at an offering price of 263 HKD per share [1] - 23 institutions participated as cornerstone investors, with Sinopec and the Kuwait Investment Authority each investing 38.7 billion HKD (approximately 35 billion RMB) [1] Group 2: Strategic Focus and Future Plans - The funds raised will primarily be used for the construction of a battery factory in Hungary, with the remaining portion allocated for working capital [2] - Ningde Times aims to position itself not only as a battery component manufacturer but also as a system solution provider and a zero-carbon technology company [2] - The company plans to develop a zero-carbon ecosystem across three areas: global zero-carbon transportation, zero-carbon power systems, and the new energy transformation of traditional industries [2] Group 3: U.S.-China Trade Relations and Battery Exports - Following the Geneva economic talks, the U.S. significantly reduced tariffs on Chinese lithium batteries, with tariffs on electric vehicle batteries dropping to 73.4% and non-vehicle lithium batteries to 40.9% [2][3] - In 2022, China exported lithium batteries worth 15.315 billion USD (approximately 110.2 billion RMB) to the U.S., marking a historical high and accounting for 25% of total lithium battery exports [3] - From January to April 2023, exports of lithium batteries to the U.S. reached 4.475 billion USD (approximately 32.2 billion RMB), reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.5% [3] Group 4: Major Orders and Market Dynamics - Wanrun New Energy signed a significant contract with Ningde Times to supply approximately 1.3231 million tons of lithium iron phosphate over the next five years, valued at over 42.3 billion RMB, making it the largest order of its kind this year [5] - The current average price of lithium iron phosphate is about 32,000 RMB per ton, and the order is four times larger than a previous agreement between Longpan Technology and LG Energy [5] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has approached 60,000 RMB per ton, with a recent decline of about 10% in one month, indicating a downward trend in the market [6] Group 5: Industry Challenges - The lithium carbonate price has fallen below the breakeven point for many lithium salt manufacturers, leading to potential production cuts or shutdowns among smaller companies [6] - Major lithium companies, including Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium, reported net losses last year due to the declining prices of lithium products [6]

宁德时代第一大客户易主 市场消息显示，宁德时代第一大客户发生变化。 4 月 动力 电池企业装机量 排中 ， 宁德时代 以 44.7% 的市场份额夺冠。值得注意的是， 在宁德时代的 配套 客户中，小米汽车首次登顶成 为第一大客户，占比 9.8% ，超越吉利（ 9.6% ）和特斯拉（ 8.1% ）。 这 得益于小米 SU7 的强势表现： 4 月单月交付超 2.8 万辆， 1-4 月累计销量突破 10 万辆，仅凭一款车型便超越多数新势力品牌的全系车 型销量。 5月28日，在绵阳创明成品车间内，绵阳海关工作人员正对公司自投产以来的首批出口产品——32系列宽温全极耳长寿命型磷酸铁锂大圆柱电 池 进行现场查验。这批产品将于29日从上海港启程出口海外。这标志着创明新能源产品将正式进入海外市场。 据悉，此次出口的锂电池采用了全极耳技术，使电池内阻降低了90%，在放电过程中温升较小。该电池虽为圆柱形设计，却能在最低零下30摄 氏度至最高60摄氏度的极端温度环境下稳定工作，尤其在60℃高温下性能优异，使用寿命长达十年以上，处于国内领先水平 。产品主要应用 于 电动汽车、电动两轮车、家用储能产品、基站储能、集装箱式储能及具身机器人 ...