Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The current lithium carbonate market is in an upward - trending oscillation phase. The core contradiction between bulls and bears lies in the game between the high - level operation of the supply side and the expected production cut in December. Low inventory and demand resilience support prices, but the expected resumption of mining production restricts the upward space. It is expected that the price will oscillate in the range of 85,000 - 88,000 yuan in the short term [2]. - In the next 1 - 2 weeks, lithium carbonate prices are expected to oscillate in the range of 85,000 - 88,000 yuan. It is recommended to buy on dips near support levels [2]. Summary by Directory Lithium Salt Market Introduction - **Lithium Salt Price Changes**: The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate in the spot market increased by 8.48% week - on - week to 86,950 yuan/ton, and the basis remained at a deep discount of - 410 yuan/ton. The main futures contract rose 6.15% to 87,360 yuan/ton, with an open interest increase of 5.26% to 516,778 lots. The intraday amplitude exceeded 3%, indicating intense long - short competition [2]. - **Lithium Salt Price Table**: The table shows price changes of various lithium salts. For example, the price of lithium carbonate futures rose from 82,300 to 87,360, a 6.15% increase; the delivered price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (electro - carbon) increased from 80,150 to 86,950, an 8.48% increase [4]. - **Lithium Salt Premium and Discount Changes**: Whether classified by raw materials or enterprises, the premium and discount of lithium salts have changed. For example, the premium of spodumene raw materials decreased from - 50 to - 200, a change of - 150 [7]. Lithium Salt Fundamentals - **Supply - Production**: Lithium salt plant capacity utilization remained at a high level of 75.34%. November production is expected to be the same as October, but there is an expected production cut in salt - lake lithium extraction after December. The production of cathode materials such as ternary materials and lithium iron phosphate also increased [2]. - **Demand - Consumption**: Energy - storage cell production increased by 5% year - on - year, and the export proportion of new energy vehicles increased to 44.2%. The monthly production of ternary materials and lithium iron phosphate increased by 1% and 4% respectively [2]. - **Import and Export**: Lithium ore port inventory decreased by 5.62% week - on - week to 84,000 tons, with African raw materials as the main trade flow. Freight rates remained stable. The cost of externally purchased lithium concentrate decreased slightly by 0.12% to 74,687 yuan/ton, and production profit increased significantly by 128.23% to 12,262.8 yuan/ton [2]. - **Inventory**: Social inventory of lithium carbonate has been decreasing for 12 consecutive weeks to a historical low of 124,000 tons, and warehouse - receipt inventory decreased by 0.59% to 27,170 lots [2]. Lithium - Battery Fundamentals - **Market - Cathode Materials**: Information on the market, supply, demand, import and export, cost - profit, and recycling of cathode materials, electrolytes, and new energy vehicles is provided, but specific data details are not fully presented in the summary part [44 - 61].

Group 1 - Ctrip Group-S (09961) reported a net operating revenue of 18.3 billion RMB (approximately 2.6 billion USD) for Q3 2025, a 16% increase year-on-year [1] - XPeng Motors-W (09868) experienced a decline of over 9% post-earnings, with Q3 revenue at 20.38 billion RMB, a 102% year-on-year growth, but slightly below market expectations of 20.45 billion RMB [1] - BeiGene (06160) saw a 2.32% increase following positive results from its Phase III HERIZON-GEA-01 study [1] - Kinko Service (09666) surged over 17% after resuming trading, with a revised offer price of 6.67 HKD per share contingent on shareholder approval for delisting [1] Group 2 - Gold stocks continued to decline, with Lingbao Gold (03330) down 6.91% and Tongguan Gold (00340) down 4.66%, as gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day [2] - Joy City Property (00207) rose 1.67% after announcing plans to withdraw its listing status on November 27 [2] - Semiconductor stocks performed well, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) up 4.45% and SMIC (00981) up 1.58%, indicating high demand with a 95.8% capacity utilization rate in Q3 [2] - Guangzheng Education (06068) fell nearly 10%, projecting a net profit of approximately 37.7 million RMB for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2025, down from 96.4 million RMB in the previous year [2] Group 3 - Coal stocks faced declines, with Yanzhou Coal Mining (01171) down 4.7% and China Shenhua Energy (01088) down 3.59%, despite a quarter-on-quarter recovery in coal prices [3] - Hong Kong Travel (00308) dropped over 17% following the announcement of a cash distribution plan related to its private company shares [4] Group 4 - Dell Technologies (DELL.US) fell 8.43% after Morgan Stanley downgraded its stock rating from "Overweight" to "Underweight," raising concerns about its earnings outlook [5] - XPeng Motors (XPEV.US) dropped 10.32% as its Q3 revenue fell short of market expectations [5] - Lithium stocks surged, with Sigma Lithium (SGML.US) up 32.34%, driven by strong demand rather than supply disruptions [5] - Sohu (SOHU.US) rose 7.26% with a Q3 revenue of 180 million USD, a 19% increase year-on-year [6] - Quantum Computing (QUBT.US) increased 8.49% after reporting better-than-expected earnings and outlining a roadmap for mass production [6] - Google (GOOGL.US) gained 3.11% following Berkshire Hathaway's new investment in Alphabet [6] - Alibaba (BABA.US) rose over 2.54% after announcing its entry into the AI to C market with the "Qianwen" project [6]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts on November 18, 2025, including the weak - side shock of stock index futures, the wide - range shock of ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures, the weak - side shock of precious metal and base metal futures, and the strong - side shock of some energy and agricultural product futures [2][3]. - The report also provides macro - economic information and recent price trends of related commodities, which may have an impact on futures prices [8][10]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: IF2512, IH2512, IC2512, and IM2512 are expected to have a weak - side shock on November 18, 2025, with specific resistance and support levels provided [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The ten - year T2512 and thirty - year TL2512 are expected to have a wide - range shock on November 18, 2025, with corresponding resistance and support levels [2]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: Gold (AU2512) and silver (AG2602) futures are expected to have a weak - side shock on November 18, 2025, and will test support levels [2][3]. - **Base Metal Futures**: Copper (CU2512), aluminum (AL2601), alumina (AO2601), and others are expected to have a weak - side shock on November 18, 2025, with support and resistance levels given [2][3]. - **Energy Futures**: Crude oil (SC2601) and fuel oil (FU2601) are expected to have a strong - side shock on November 18, 2025, and will attack resistance levels [3][5]. - **Agricultural Product Futures**: PTA (TA601), natural rubber (RU2601), and bean meal (M2601) are expected to have a strong - side shock on November 18, 2025, while PVC (V2601) and methanol (MA601) are expected to have a weak - side shock [3][7]. Macro - Information and Trading Tips - China - Germany high - level financial and economic dialogue promotes financial infrastructure connectivity [8]. - China protests against Japan's wrong remarks on Taiwan, and Premier Li Qiang has no arrangement to meet Japanese leaders during the G20 Summit [8]. - From January to October this year, China's national fiscal revenue was 18.65 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.8%, and fiscal expenditure was 22.58 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2% [8]. - In October, the bank settlement and sales surplus was 177 billion US dollars, and cross - border capital inflows increased [9]. - China conducts a final review of anti - dumping and counter -vailing measures on imported n - propanol from the US [9]. - Fed officials have different views on interest rate cuts and economic trends [9]. - Japan's Q3 GDP contracted by 0.4% quarter - on - quarter, and the eurozone economy is expected to expand faster [10]. Commodity Futures Information - On November 17, most lithium carbonate futures contracts hit the daily limit, and the price may break through 150,000 - 200,000 yuan/ton in 2026 if demand grows strongly [10]. - On November 17, international precious metal futures generally fell, and oil futures also declined, with institutions predicting lower oil prices in 2026 [11][12]. - Indonesia plans to impose an export tax on gold products, and India signs a long - term LPG purchase contract with the US [13]. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On November 17, most stock index futures contracts showed a downward trend, with increased short - term downward pressure [15][16]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: On November 17, treasury bond futures closed higher, and the ten - year and thirty - year contracts are expected to have a wide - range shock on November 18 [36][40]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: On November 17, gold and silver futures contracts declined, with increased short - term downward pressure, but are expected to have a strong - side wide - range shock in November [43][49]. - **Base Metal Futures**: On November 17, copper, aluminum, and other base metal futures contracts showed a downward trend, with increased short - term downward pressure, and are expected to have a weak - side shock on November 18 [53][58]. - **Lithium Carbonate Futures**: On November 17, the lithium carbonate futures contract LC2601 hit the daily limit, and is expected to have a strong - side shock in November [65][66]. - **Building Material Futures**: On November 17, glass and soda ash futures contracts showed a downward trend, and are expected to have a weak - side shock in November [89][93]. - **Energy Futures**: On November 17, crude oil and fuel oil futures contracts showed a downward trend, and are expected to have a strong - side shock on November 18 [98][103]. - **Agricultural Product Futures**: On November 17, PTA, PVC, and methanol futures contracts showed a downward trend, while natural rubber and bean meal futures contracts showed an upward trend, and their trends on November 18 are predicted accordingly [104][111].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply side of lithium carbonate showed that last week's production was 21,545 tons, a 0.05% week - on - week increase, higher than the historical average. The demand side indicated that the inventory of lithium iron phosphate sample enterprises decreased by 0.92% week - on - week to 104,738 tons, and the inventory of ternary material sample enterprises decreased by 1.74% week - on - week to 19,211 tons. - In terms of cost, the cost of purchased spodumene concentrate was 85,482 yuan/ton, a 1.35% daily increase, resulting in a loss of 543 yuan/ton; the cost of purchased lepidolite was 89,096 yuan/ton, a 1.98% daily increase, with a loss of 6,327 yuan/ton. The production cost of the recycling end was close to that of the ore end, with average production scheduling enthusiasm. The quarterly cash production cost of the salt lake end was 31,477 yuan/ton, significantly lower than the ore end, with sufficient profit margins and strong production scheduling motivation. - Overall, the fundamentals were neutral, the basis was bearish, the inventory situation was neutral, the disk was bullish, the main position was bearish, and the market of lithium carbonate 2601 fluctuated greatly, suggesting cautious operation [8][9]. 3. Summaries According to the Directory 3.1 Daily Views - **Supply and Demand**: Last week, lithium carbonate production increased slightly week - on - week, and downstream inventory decreased. In October 2025, production was 92,260 tons, and the predicted production for next month was 92,080 tons, a 0.19% decrease. The import volume in October was 22,000 tons, and the predicted import volume for next month was 27,000 tons, a 22.73% increase. Demand is expected to strengthen next month, and inventory may be reduced [8][9]. - **Cost**: The cost of purchased spodumene and lepidolite increased, resulting in losses. The cost of the salt lake end was low, with sufficient profit margins [9]. - **Market Indicators**: The basis was negative, indicating that the spot price was at a discount to the futures price. The overall inventory decreased, and the disk showed a bullish trend, while the main position was net short with a reduction in short positions [9]. - **Leveraging Factors**: Positive factors included the production cut plan of lepidolite manufacturers and the decrease in the volume of lithium carbonate imported from Chile. Negative factors were the continuous high supply at the ore/salt lake end with limited decline [10][11]. - **Main Logic**: Under the tight balance of supply and demand, the market was affected by sentiment fluctuations caused by news [12]. 3.2 Fundamental/Position Data - **Market Overview**: The prices of upstream lithium minerals, lithium salts, cathode materials, and lithium batteries showed different degrees of changes. For example, the price of spodumene (6%) increased by 1.79% to $1,024/ton, and the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 1.17% to 86,150 yuan/ton [15]. - **Supply - Side Data**: The weekly operating rate of lithium carbonate remained unchanged at 75.34%. The daily production cost of spodumene increased by 1.35% to 85,482 yuan/ton, and the monthly production cost decreased by 0.83% to 20,410 yuan/ton. The monthly production of lithium iron phosphate and lithium iron phosphate increased by 6.35% and 10.54% respectively [18]. - **Demand - Side Data**: The monthly operating rate and production of lithium iron phosphate and lithium iron phosphate increased. The monthly export of lithium iron phosphate increased by 54.57%. The weekly inventory of lithium iron phosphate decreased by 0.93% to 104,738 tons [18]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory of smelters decreased by 7.96% to 28,270 tons, the downstream inventory decreased by 6.22% to 48,772 tons, other inventory increased by 5.34% to 43,430 tons, and the total inventory decreased by 2.80% to 120,472 tons [9]. - **Supply - Demand Balance Tables**: The supply - demand balance tables of lithium ore, lithium carbonate, and lithium hydroxide showed different supply - demand situations in different months. For example, the supply - demand balance of lithium carbonate in October 2025 was - 13,025 tons [27][34][38].

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower on November 18, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3962.44 points, down 0.24% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.31%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.51% [1] Sector Performance - The lithium extraction from salt lakes and real estate sectors showed active bidding, while the coal and aerospace military sectors experienced a pullback [2] - The lithium mining sector continued its strong performance, with active bidding in the salt lake lithium extraction segment [3] Lithium Mining Sector - Key stocks in the lithium sector included: - Jinyuan Co. (000546) reached a limit up with a 10.03% increase, total market value at 5.4 billion [4] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) also hit the limit up with a 9.99% increase, market value at 36.2 billion [4] - Guocheng Mining (000688) rose by 8.87%, market value at 34 billion [4] - Ganfeng Lithium's chairman predicted a 30% increase in lithium carbonate demand by 2026, reaching 1.9 million tons, with supply expected to grow by 250,000 tons, indicating a potential price increase [4] Policy Support - The National Energy Administration recently issued guidelines to support the development of 100% renewable energy bases [5] - The total project amount signed at the 2025 World Power Battery Conference reached 86.13 billion, which will provide long-term support for lithium demand [5] Hainan Free Trade Zone - The Hainan Free Trade Zone sector saw a notable rise, with stocks like Hainan Haiyao (000566) and Haima Automobile (000572) hitting limit up [6] - Other stocks in this sector, such as Kangzhi Pharmaceutical (300086) and Shennong Seed Industry (300189), also increased by over 5% [6] Victory Shares - Victory Shares (000407) achieved a limit up within one minute of trading, marking its sixth consecutive limit up [8] - The company announced a plan to acquire gas-related assets, with total assets of the target companies amounting to 2.171 billion as of September 2025 [8]

Market Overview - A-shares opened lower on November 18, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3962.44 points, down 0.24%, Shenzhen Component down 0.31%, and ChiNext down 0.51% [2]. Sector Performance - The lithium extraction from salt lakes and real estate sectors were active in bidding, while the coal and aerospace military industries experienced a pullback [5]. - The lithium mining sector continued its strong performance, with active bidding in the salt lake lithium extraction segment [8]. Lithium Sector Highlights - Key stocks in the lithium sector included: - Jinyuan Co. (涨停, 10.03% increase, market cap 5.4 billion) - Shengxin Lithium Energy (涨停, 9.99% increase, market cap 36.2 billion) - Guocheng Mining (涨停, 8.87% increase, market cap 34 billion) - Dazhong Mining (涨停, 7.22% increase, market cap 49.9 billion) - Yahua Group (涨停, 5.80% increase, market cap 30.5 billion) [9]. - Predictions from Ganfeng Lithium's chairman indicated a 30% increase in lithium carbonate demand by 2026, reaching 1.9 million tons, with supply expected to grow by 250,000 tons, suggesting a balanced supply-demand scenario [10]. Hainan Free Trade Zone Sector - The Hainan Free Trade Zone sector saw a notable rise, with stocks like Hainan Haiyao and Haima Automobile hitting涨停, and several others increasing over 5% [12][13]. - Key stocks included: - Shennong Seed Industry (涨幅 7.45%, market cap 6.2 billion) - Xinlong Holdings (涨幅 5.49%, market cap 4.3 billion) [14]. Victory Shares - Victory Shares experienced a涨停 for the sixth consecutive time, with a current price of 6.7 yuan per share and a market cap of 5.9 billion [16]. - The company announced a plan to acquire gas-related assets, with total assets of the target companies amounting to 2.171 billion by September 2025 [16].

（原标题：盛新锂能录得4天3板） 盛新锂能再度涨停，4个交易日内录得3个涨停，累计涨幅为40.14%，累计换手率为36.40%。截至9:31， 该股今日成交量3203.52万股，成交金额12.54亿元，换手率3.70%。最新A股总市值达361.72亿元，A股 流通市值342.35亿元。 证券时报•数据宝统计，两融数据来看，该股最新（11月17日）两融余额为12.10亿元，其中，融资余额 12.06亿元，较前一个交易日增加7977.99万元，环比增长7.09%，近4日累计增加2.12亿元，环比增长 21.30%。 龙虎榜数据显示，该股因连续三个交易日内，涨幅偏离值累计达20%、日涨幅偏离值达7%上榜龙虎榜1 次，买卖居前营业部中，机构净买入2237.43万元，深股通累计净卖出5109.13万元，营业部席位合计净 卖出2.18亿元。 | 日期 | 当日涨跌幅（%） | 换手率（%） | 主力资金净流入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.11.17 | 10.01 | 10.60 | 43786.92 | | 2025.11.14 | 5.29 | 13.44 | 741 ...

Group 1 - Lithium stocks in the A-share market continue to rise, with notable gains in companies such as Jinyuan Co. (000546) and Shengxin Lithium Energy, which both hit the daily limit, while Daway Co. increased by nearly 9% [1] - The main contract for lithium carbonate futures rose over 4%, currently priced at 96,560 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - Jinyuan Co. (000546) saw a price increase of 10.03%, with a total market capitalization of 5.374 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 40.16% [2] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) experienced a 9.99% rise, with a market cap of 36.2 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 186.79% [2] - Daway Co. (002213) increased by 8.97%, with a market cap of 7.123 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 121.38% [2] - Guocheng Mining (000688) rose by 6.49%, with a market cap of 33.2 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 148.44% [2] - Dazhong Mining (001203) increased by 5.47%, with a market cap of 49.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 284.04% [2] - Yahua Group (002497) saw a 4.68% increase, with a market cap of 30.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 124.29% [2] - Zhongkuang Resources (002738) rose by 4.52%, with a market cap of 52.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 106.37% [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights the current trends in the domestic financial market, indicating a slight decline in major stock indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3972.03, down 0.46% [3] - It emphasizes the growing demand for energy storage both domestically and internationally, with companies in the industry experiencing a surge in orders [6] - The report notes significant developments in the lithium carbonate futures market, with a 9% increase, which positively impacts related stocks [6] Domestic Financial Market - Major stock indices showed a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3972.03 (-0.46%) and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13202.0 (-0.11%) [3] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 19,108 billion, a decrease of 473 billion from the previous trading day [8] Macro News Summary - The Ministry of Commerce continues to impose anti-dumping duties on propanol imported from the U.S. [5] - The central bank has conducted a 800 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, increasing liquidity in the market [5] Industry Dynamics - The energy storage sector is experiencing a significant increase in demand, with companies like Sunshine Power (300274) and Haibo Technology (688411) benefiting from this trend [6] - The lithium carbonate futures market has seen a price surge, with related stocks such as Ganfeng Lithium (002460) and Zhongmin Resources (002738) gaining traction [6] - The military industry is expected to benefit from geopolitical risks, technological advancements, and policy support, leading to substantial performance growth for companies like Beifang Changlong (301357) and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760) [6] Company Focus - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical (300497) plans to increase its VC product capacity to 10,000 tons per year, with completion expected by Q2 2026 [7] - Zhizhen Technology (003007) has established a new company in Ningxia focusing on AI hardware sales and software development [7] - Wantong Intelligent Control (300643) is set to begin the production of AI inference chips in Q1 2026 [7] - Hengrui Medicine (600276) has received clinical trial approval for two new drugs, marking a significant milestone as there are no similar products approved in the market [7] Market Review and Outlook - The market has shown a weak consolidation pattern, with a focus on sectors like chemical lithium batteries and gold benefiting from the Federal Reserve's easing cycle [8] - The report suggests maintaining positions in high-growth sectors while being cautious about frequent trading, indicating a balanced market phase [8]

Market Overview - On November 17, the Hang Seng Index fell by 188 points (0.7%) to close at 26,384 points, with a maximum drop of 320 points during the day[1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index decreased by 55 points (0.96%), closing at 5,756 points, with total market turnover of HKD 217.6 billion[1] - Net inflow from the Hong Kong Stock Connect dropped to HKD 8.45 billion[1] Sector Performance - Lithium carbonate futures rose over 4%, boosting Hong Kong lithium mining stocks, with Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) and Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) increasing by 5%-9%[1] - Commodity stocks declined, with Zijin Mining (2899 HK) down 2.7%, Shandong Gold (1787 HK) down 3.1%, and Zhaojin Mining (1818 HK) down 2.8%[1] U.S. Market Insights - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December fell to 42.9%, down from approximately 50% the previous week[2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 557 points (1.2%) to 46,590 points, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices fell by 192 points (0.8%) and 61 points, respectively[2] - Gold prices decreased by up to 1.8%, reaching USD 4,007 per ounce, and Bitcoin fell below USD 92,000[2] Macroeconomic Data - Fixed asset investment in China (excluding rural households) declined by 1.7% year-on-year in the first ten months of 2025, while automotive investment surged by 17.5%[3] - In the same period, 27.33 million vehicles were produced, marking an 11% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 12.67 million units produced, up 28%[3] Automotive Industry Highlights - Geely Automobile (175 HK) reported a 27% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3, with net profit reaching HKD 3.82 billion, up 26.5% year-on-year[4] - The company achieved a 43% increase in sales volume, completing 82.6% of its annual target of 3 million units[4] Pharmaceutical Sector Update - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index fell by 1.8%, despite stable operational performance in the pharmaceutical sector[5] - Tianyan Pharmaceutical (ADAG US) entered a licensing agreement with Third Arc Bio, receiving an upfront payment of USD 5 million and potential milestone payments of up to USD 840 million[5] New Energy and Utilities - The new energy and utilities sectors in Hong Kong experienced declines, with stocks like Xinyi Solar (968 HK) and GCL-Poly Energy (3800 HK) dropping by 1.6%-3.1%[6]