当地时间1月27日，巴西淡水河谷发布2025年第四季度和2025年产销量报告。2025年第四季度，铁矿石 产量总计9040万吨，同比增长510万吨，增幅为6%；铁矿石销量达到8490万吨，同比增长370万吨，增 幅为5%，与产量增长保持一致。2025年第四季度，铜产量总计10.81万吨，同比增长0.63万吨，增幅为 6%，系2018年以来最高季度产量；镍总计4.62万吨，同比增长0.07万吨，增幅为2%。2025年全年，铁 矿石和铜产量达到自2018年以来的最高水平，分别为3.36亿吨和38.2万吨；镍产量亦达到自2022年以来 的最高水平，为17.7万吨。 ...

中国中铁（601390）(00390)再涨超5%，截至发稿，涨4.63%，报4.52港元，成交额2.36亿港元。 国泰海通证券发布研报称，中国中铁铜、钴、钼保有储量在国内同行业处于领先地位，矿山自产铜、钼 产能已居国内同行业前列，2024上半年生产铜金属150,165吨；钴金属2,837吨；钼金属7,682吨；铅金属 4,565吨；锌金属10,697吨；银金属18吨。全资子公司中铁资源2025上半年归母净利润25.8亿元同比增长 27.4%，占比22%。长江证券则表示，关注公司矿产资源重估。 ...

Market Performance - A-shares showed a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.18% to 4139.9 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.09%[1] - The Hang Seng Index rebounded, rising 1.35% to 27126.95 points, with the Hang Seng Technology Index up 0.5% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 1.07%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 2543.726 billion HKD[1] Currency and Federal Reserve Insights - Trump downplayed concerns over the dollar's depreciation, leading to a significant drop in the dollar index, with the euro rising above 1.20 against the dollar[1][12] - The Federal Reserve is expected to pause its interest rate cuts, indicating a potential consensus on policy direction[1][12] Economic Sentiment - A survey by the People's Bank of China revealed that more households are looking to increase savings and reduce spending compared to before the latest round of the US-China trade war, reflecting a more pessimistic outlook on income[8][12] - The market is closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with expectations of no changes this week[12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in the stock price of China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) Mining, which rose by 9.21% to HKD 4.98, with a trading volume of HKD 240 million [1] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, CGN has received national approval for 16 nuclear power units, with 10 units starting construction and 4 units completed and put into operation. Currently, CGN operates 28 units and has 20 units under construction, with a total installed capacity exceeding 56 million kilowatts [1] - CGN is recognized as the largest nuclear power operator in China and the second largest globally, with the highest number of approved units under construction worldwide [1] Group 2 - According to a report from Guolian Minsheng Securities, the outlook for CGN Mining's performance is optimistic, with expectations of accelerated earnings release due to rising uranium prices, increased production, and improved pricing mechanisms by 2026 [1] - The new sales framework agreement anticipates uranium sales volumes of 1438, 1617, and 1598 tons for the years 2026 to 2028, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +8.7%, +12.4%, and -1.2%, primarily driven by production releases from the company's mines [1] - The pricing formula in the new sales agreement has been adjusted, raising the base price from USD 61.78 to USD 94.22 per pound of U3O8, with the annual increment factor increased from 3.5% to 4.1%, and the proportion of spot prices raised from 60% to 70%, enhancing the company's earnings elasticity and positioning it to benefit from rising uranium prices in the future [1]

【现货】 日均铁水产量228.1万吨，环比+0.09万吨；高炉开工率78.68%，环比-0.16%；高炉炼铁产能利用率 85.51%，环比+0.03个百分点；钢厂盈利率40.69%，环比-8.6个百分点。 【供给】 本期全球发运环比小幅回落，但仍处于历史同期高位水平。全球发运+48.5万吨至2978.3万吨。溴洲巴 西铁矿发运总量2394.3万吨，环比增加147.6万吨。溴洲发运量1837.4万吨，环比增加149.3万吨，其中溴 洲发往中国的量1487.6万吨，环比增加97.8万吨。巴西发运量556.8万吨，环比减少1.8万吨。45港口到港 量2530万吨，环比减少129.7万吨。 【库存】 截至1月21日，45港库存16766.53万吨，环比+211.43万吨；日均疏港量小幅下滑，到港量偏高水平下港 口库存延续累库。钢厂进口矿库存环比+126.6至9388.82万吨。 主流矿粉现货价格：日照港（600017）PB粉+2至795元/湿吨，巴混-1至817元/湿吨，卡粉+2至880元/湿 吨。 【期货】 截止1月27日收盘，铁矿主力合约-0.51%（-4），收于788元/吨。 【基差】 最优交割品为巴混。PB粉 ...

156 5309 0867 Ivanhoe Electric正与锂矿生产商SQM合作，在智利北部阿塔卡马沙漠的部分区域开展铜矿勘探。 根据合作协议，双方将部署"台风"地球物理勘探系统，并辅以Computational Geosciences公司的数据反演软件，在SQM约2,000平方公里的特定采矿特许权区 域上寻找铜矿床。 （文华综合） 作为全球最大的铜消费国，中国产业链面临三大挑战：上游资源对外依存度攀升、中游加工环节产能过剩、下游需求受高铜价抑制。为助力行业应对变局， 上海有色网携手铜产业链企业联合编制《2026中国铜产业链分布图》中英双语版，点击此链接即可免费领取铜产业链分布图： https://s.wcd.im/v/470opZ19l/。 SMM联合制作联系人 刘明康 liumingkang@smm.cn ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 资讯早班车-2026-01-28 一、 宏观数据速览 | 发布日期 | 指标日期 | 指标名称 | 单位 | 当期值 | 上期值 | 去年同期值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-19 | 2025/12 | GDP:不变价:当季同比 | % | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.4 | | 2025-12-31 | 2025/12 | 制造业 PMI | % | 50.1 | 49.8 | 50.1 | | 2025-12-31 | 2025/12 | 非制造业 PMI:商务活动 | % | 50.2 | 50.0 | 52.2 | | 2026-01-15 | 2025/12 | 社会融资规模:当月值 | 亿元 | 22075 | 35299 | 28537 | | 2026-01-15 | 2025/12 | M0:同比 | % | 10.2 | 11.5 | 13.0 | | 2026-01-15 | 2025/12 | M1:同比 | % | 3.8 | 7.2 ...

Group 1 - Xinjiang has launched a new round of mineral exploration breakthrough strategy, with a fiscal investment of 917 million yuan in geological exploration last year, representing an 83.4% year-on-year increase [1] - The region has established and consolidated 18 large energy resource bases, focusing on becoming a national energy resource strategic guarantee base [1] - Key mineral breakthroughs include the discovery of high-purity quartz in Altay region, the "selenium-rich belt" spanning nearly 1,000 kilometers in the southern Tianshan Mountains, and the first ancient lacustrine zircon sand deposit in Aksu region [1] Group 2 - Xinjiang held two promotional meetings for mineral rights transfer projects, with a total of 214 mineral rights transferred last year [2] - The region has implemented a pilot reform for mineral rights transfer registration in Hotan, delegating authority for 117 mineral types, which has stimulated fixed investment of 5.25 billion yuan [2] - Key mining areas such as Bashkand large gold mine and Huoyun lead-zinc mine are accelerating production, while a pilot for layered management of oil and gas exploration blocks is being conducted [2]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The global economy has passed its peak and is on a downward trend due to consecutive wrong policies in the US [4]. - The US's return to the Monroe Doctrine and global contraction will have a profound and disruptive impact on major asset classes such as the global economy, US Treasuries, US stocks, the US dollar, precious metals, and industrial metals [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Economic News - Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio warns that the US is like a powder keg on the verge of civil war, having deeply entered the "pre - collapse stage" and at risk of entering the sixth stage marked by the collapse of the existing order [1]. - Emerging market stock and bond ETFs have seen a total of $6.83 billion in capital inflows, with Chinese - related ETFs being the most favored. $1.65 billion flowed into the Chinese market last week [1]. - Guoxing Aerospace has deployed the Tongyi Qianwen Qwen3 large - model to the "Star Computing" Plan 01 group space computing center, the world's first deployment of a general large - model to an orbiting satellite [1]. - Microsoft has released its second - generation self - developed AI chip Maia 200, marking significant progress in its self - developed chip field [1]. - NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang announced the launch of the server CPU "Vera" to solve the CPU bottleneck in the AI supply chain [1]. - If the imbalance between supply and demand of memory chips persists until the first half of 2027, it may be an opportunity for Chinese manufacturers to narrow the technological gap [1]. - Samsung and SK Hynix doubled the price of low - power DRAM supplied to Apple in Q1, and prices may rise further in the second half of the year [1]. - Zijin Mining acquired Allied Gold for $28 billion, with Allied Gold having 533 tons of gold resources as of the end of 2024 [1]. Global Economic Logic - The US is facing a high risk of civil war, and the global political order has entered a chaotic period, bringing great uncertainty to the global economy [2]. - There are speculations about the possibility of a "Plaza Accord 2.0", and the uncertainty of the Fed is expected to peak from July to November 2026, which may lead to a "flight from US assets" [2]. - The Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and purchase $40 billion in short - term bonds monthly, restarting the expansion of its balance sheet [2]. - The decline in gambling revenue in Las Vegas is similar to the early warning signal before the 2008 financial crisis [2]. - The US will adjust its economic relations with China and revive its economic autonomy [2]. - The K - shaped differentiation of consumers in the US is intensifying, with high - income consumers maintaining spending while middle - and low - income families are cutting back [2]. - TSMC's capital expenditure in 2026 is expected to be between $52 billion and $56 billion, a significant increase of 27% - 37% year - on - year, indicating the continued AI boom [2]. - SpaceX hopes to achieve full rocket reusability this year, which will reduce the cost of space access by 100 times [2].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Jinling Mining (000655.SZ) has clarified that it does not own any gold mines [1] Group 2 - The company made this statement in response to inquiries on its investor interaction platform [1]