Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints of the Report - During the week from May 26th to May 31st, 2025, the A-share market continued to fluctuate and consolidate, with deepening industry rotation. The pharmaceutical and biological, environmental protection sectors led the gains, while the household appliances, power equipment, and comprehensive sectors saw significant adjustments. The convertible bond market showed a slight recovery, with intensified valuation differentiation. The low-price zone compressed, and the medium and high-price zones had repair elasticity. The short-term market structure switched frequently, and the capital style shifted from high elasticity to stability and low-level repair. The primary market supply was stable, but clause games were active, with an increase in the number of early redemption and downward revision bonds. Attention should be paid to the risk of supply decline. It is recommended to focus on medium and high-price convertible bonds with low valuations and strong fundamentals, and also consider the allocation value of high-grade blue-chip convertible bonds, while flexibly participating in theme rotation opportunities [2][5]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Weekly Review A-share Market - The A-share market continued to fluctuate and consolidate, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.03% week-on-week, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.91%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.40%. The small and medium-cap stocks were more resilient, with the CSI 500 and CSI 2000 rising against the trend. The trading volume decreased slightly to 1.07 trillion yuan, and the average daily net outflow of main funds was 13.7 billion yuan, indicating a cautious attitude. In terms of industries, sectors with strong fundamentals or recovery expectations such as media and pharmaceuticals strengthened, while sectors such as automobiles and household appliances adjusted. Overall, the market risk appetite remained low, and the trading focus shifted towards low-valuation repair and strong fundamentals [9]. Convertible Bond Market - The convertible bond market showed a slight recovery, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index rising 0.2% week-on-week, and the average daily trading volume increasing to 5.578 billion yuan. The market activity recovered moderately. Structurally, large-cap convertible bonds were relatively stable, indicating that investors were seeking high-certainty allocations. The valuation in the parity range was significantly differentiated, with the valuation of low-parity convertible bonds generally compressed and the medium and high-parity ranges slightly repaired, showing a cautious game attitude among investors. The implied volatility increased slightly, and the median price rose slightly to 112.33 yuan, indicating a moderate recovery in market risk appetite. In terms of industries, convertible bonds in the media, beauty care, and national defense and military industries led the gains, while those in the communication, household appliances, and other high-elasticity sectors faced greater correction pressure. At the individual bond level, the top-performing bonds mostly had strong underlying stock drivers, and trading opportunities were concentrated in bonds with low valuations and strong fundamentals. Overall, the convertible bond market continued to fluctuate and consolidate, and the allocation focus shifted towards high certainty and defensive attributes [9]. Convertible Bond Allocation Suggestions - The convertible bond market showed a moderate recovery this week, with a slight repair in risk appetite and active short-term rotation trading. In terms of allocation, it is recommended to adhere to the idea of "stable allocation + theme elasticity": on the one hand, focus on large-cap blue-chip convertible bonds with high ratings, low premiums, and good liquidity for defensive purposes; on the other hand, moderately seize opportunities in medium and high-price growth convertible bonds with underlying stock drivers and strong fundamentals, focusing on high-quality varieties in advanced manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and other sectors to balance defense and offense [7]. Market Theme Weekly Review Equity Theme Weekly Review - During the week from May 26th to May 31st, 2025, the theme trading style was significantly differentiated, and short-term game enthusiasm increased significantly. The limit-up trading style continued to lead, with the consecutive limit-up index, the first limit-up non-ST index, and the limit-up index rising 17.1%, 12.7%, and 12.5% week-on-week respectively, indicating that short-term trading funds dominated the market. Some high-growth sectors such as the innovative drug index, the pharmaceutical centralized procurement index, the financial technology index, and the nuclear power index rebounded, with week-on-week gains of over 4%, showing investors' willingness to make structural replenishments in high-quality themes. At the same time, the TMT and pan-AI sectors were under pressure, with the AI computing power index, the east-west computing power index, etc. falling by over 2%, and previously strong sectors such as cloud computing and IDC leading the decline. The automobile and humanoid robot sectors adjusted significantly, with related theme indices such as the charging station index, the automobile golden stock index, and the humanoid robot index all falling by over 3%, reflecting the market's revaluation pressure on high-valuation sectors. Overall, the market was still in the theme rotation stage, with short-term trading driven by events and sentiment, and structural differentiation and high-low switching remaining the main themes in the future [14]. Convertible Bond Weekly Review - The convertible bond market showed a slight recovery during the week from May 26th to May 31st, 2025, with overall trading activity moderately recovering, and investors preferring large-cap convertible bonds with high certainty. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.23% week-on-week, the large-cap index also rose 0.23%, while the medium and small-cap convertible bond indices fluctuated slightly. The market as a whole continued to recover moderately, with the large-cap index showing relatively strong upward momentum, indicating certain defensive characteristics. In terms of trends, the convertible bond market showed some independence compared to the equity market, reflecting the "offensive and defensive" characteristics of convertible bonds. In terms of style, the large-cap index was more active, indicating that investors were seeking certainty while also maintaining a certain degree of risk aversion. In terms of capital, the trading activity of the convertible bond market increased slightly, with the average daily trading volume rising to 5.578 billion yuan, a week-on-week increase of 64 million yuan, indicating a slight recovery in investor sentiment. Currently, the convertible bond market lacks clear trend catalysts, and investors still focus on large-cap convertible bonds with high certainty. The valuation in the parity range showed a differentiated trend. In the parity range below 80 yuan, the conversion premium rate compressed by 0.62%; in the 80-90 yuan range, the compression was even greater, reaching 1.49%. In the 100-yuan parity range, the conversion premium rate in the 90-100 yuan range slightly expanded by 0.33%, while that in the 100-110 yuan range compressed by 1.89%. In the medium and high-parity ranges, the conversion premium rates in the 110-120 yuan and 120-130 yuan ranges expanded by 1.09% and 0.04% respectively; while in the range above 130 yuan, it slightly compressed by 0.89%. Overall, the market valuation in the parity range was still in a box-shaped shock stage, reflecting investors' cautious game attitude. By market price range, the convertible bond valuation generally compressed. Convertible bonds below 90 yuan compressed by 1.07%, those in the 90-100 yuan range compressed by 12.61%, and those in the 100-110 yuan range compressed by 0.10%. In the 110-120 yuan range, it compressed by 3.31%, in the 120-130 yuan range by 3.21%, and above 130 yuan by 0.74%. Overall, the convertible bond market valuation by market price range showed obvious compression. The market was still cautious about the pressure to realize high positions, but the game sentiment among investors at low positions recovered. Currently, the market risk appetite continued to decline, and it is recommended to pay attention to the repair opportunities of bonds that have adjusted deeply and with fully compressed valuations, as well as medium and high-price bonds with strong fundamentals. The weighted implied volatility of the convertible bond market increased slightly this week. The weighted implied volatility of the entire market's convertible bonds narrowed from 18.8% on Monday to 19.1% on Friday, indicating that the overall market risk appetite was still relatively cautious. Investors preferred convertible bond assets with strong defensive attributes when market volatility increased. The elasticity of convertible bonds provided certain repair opportunities, but the implied volatility remained at a low level, and the market's expectation of significant future volatility was still moderate, reflecting that investors preferred stable allocations. In terms of strategy, it is necessary to defend while attacking, and accumulate safety margins through bond floor protection and clause games. The median convertible bond price increased slightly this week. The median convertible bond price rose slightly from 112.29 yuan last Friday to 112.33 yuan, showing a fluctuating pattern during the week. Currently, the convertible bond market continued to fluctuate and consolidate, and the moderate recovery of the price median reflected that the risk appetite had not significantly recovered, and the convertible bond market had no clear trend catalyst [17]. Weekly Market Outlook - Looking ahead, the A-share market is expected to continue its structural rotation pattern, with the market style becoming more balanced, and the trading focus shifting from high-elasticity themes to low-valuation and stable-growth sectors. In the short term, attention should be paid to the correction risk of high-position sectors, and sectors with strong fundamentals and recovery expectations such as consumption and pharmaceuticals are expected to continue to attract incremental funds. In the convertible bond market, while waiting for clear trend catalysts, trading activity may moderately decline following the equity market. The allocation value of medium and high-price convertible bonds with low premiums and strong underlying stock drivers is prominent. At the same time, attention should be paid to sectors with certain certainty such as basic chemicals and transportation, given the increasing scarcity of large-scale bank convertible bonds. In terms of strategy, it is recommended to pay attention to low-level repair opportunities, and focus on bonds with fully adjusted valuations, "bond floor + underlying stock catalysts", while controlling the risk of crowded trading [19].

股指期货日度数据跟踪 2025-06-04 一、指数走势 06 月 03 日，上证综指涨跌幅 0.43%，收于 3361.98 点，成交额 4682.93 亿元，深成指数涨跌幅 0.16%，收于 10057.17 点，成交额 6731.17 亿元。 中证 1000 指数涨跌幅 0.72%，成交额 2342.97 亿元，其中开盘价 6009.18，收盘价 6070.04，当日最高价 6086.62，最低价 6008.54； 中证 500 指数涨跌幅 0.42%，成交额 1599.97 亿元，其中开盘价 5653.67，收盘价 5694.84，当日最高价 5710.42，最低价 5653.3； 沪深 300 指数涨跌幅 0.31%，成交额 2267.83 亿元，其中开盘价 3833.46，收盘价 3852.01，当日最高价 3863.3，最低价 3832.72； 上证 50 指数涨跌幅 0.32%，成交额 590.77 亿元，其中开盘价 2674.77，收盘价 2687.3，当日最高价 2697.39，最低价 2671.34。 数据来源：Wind，光期研究所 数据来源：Wind，光期研究所 二、板块涨跌对指数影响 ...

Core Insights - The electronic industry saw the highest net inflow of funds today, amounting to 2.673 billion yuan, with a price change of 0.71% and a turnover rate of 1.87% [1] - The defense industry experienced the largest net outflow of funds, totaling -3.014 billion yuan, with a price change of -0.50% and a turnover rate of 2.37% [2] Industry Summary - **Electronic**: - Trading volume: 5.154 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +11.91% - Turnover rate: 1.87% - Price change: +0.71% - Net inflow: 2.673 billion yuan [1] - **Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology**: - Trading volume: 5.666 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +20.43% - Turnover rate: 2.08% - Price change: +1.64% - Net inflow: 1.555 billion yuan [1] - **Media**: - Trading volume: 3.921 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +47.49% - Turnover rate: 2.71% - Price change: +1.98% - Net inflow: 1.478 billion yuan [1] - **Food and Beverage**: - Trading volume: 2.372 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +30.91% - Turnover rate: 2.61% - Price change: +0.68% - Net inflow: 1.110 billion yuan [1] - **Public Utilities**: - Trading volume: 4.721 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +29.20% - Turnover rate: 1.20% - Price change: +1.06% - Net inflow: 0.957 billion yuan [1] - **Automobile**: - Trading volume: 5.922 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +0.65% - Turnover rate: 2.75% - Price change: +1.11% - Net inflow: 0.819 billion yuan [1] - **Defense Industry**: - Trading volume: 2.554 billion shares - Change in trading volume: +3.67% - Turnover rate: 2.37% - Price change: -0.50% - Net outflow: -3.014 billion yuan [2] - **Steel**: - Trading volume: 1.196 billion shares - Change in trading volume: -15.60% - Turnover rate: 0.61% - Price change: -0.13% - Net outflow: -0.050 billion yuan [2] - **Real Estate**: - Trading volume: 3.377 billion shares - Change in trading volume: -9.79% - Turnover rate: 1.55% - Price change: -0.11% - Net outflow: -0.742 billion yuan [2]

- Model Name: Diffusion Index Model; Model Construction Idea: The model is based on the observation of industry diffusion indices; Detailed Construction Process: The model tracks the weekly changes in diffusion indices for various industries, ranking them based on their performance. The formula used is $ \text{Diffusion Index} = \frac{\text{Number of Advancing Stocks}}{\text{Total Number of Stocks}} $; Model Evaluation: The model has shown varying performance over the years, with significant returns in some periods and notable drawdowns in others[6][14][27] - Model Name: GRU Factor Model; Model Construction Idea: The model utilizes GRU (Gated Recurrent Unit) deep learning networks to analyze minute-level price and volume data; Detailed Construction Process: The model ranks industries based on GRU factor scores, which are derived from the GRU network's analysis of trading data. The formula used is $ \text{GRU Factor Score} = \text{GRU Network Output} $; Model Evaluation: The model has achieved substantial excess returns by capturing trading information, though it has faced challenges in certain market conditions[7][14][34] Model Backtest Results - Diffusion Index Model, Average Weekly Return: 0.72%, Excess Return: 0.11%, Year-to-Date Excess Return: -2.26%[32] - GRU Factor Model, Average Weekly Return: 1.07%, Excess Return: 0.44%, Year-to-Date Excess Return: -3.71%[37] Factor Construction and Evaluation - Factor Name: GRU Industry Factor; Factor Construction Idea: The factor is constructed using GRU deep learning networks to analyze minute-level trading data; Detailed Construction Process: The factor scores are calculated based on the GRU network's output, which evaluates the trading data to rank industries. The formula used is $ \text{GRU Factor Score} = \text{GRU Network Output} $; Factor Evaluation: The factor has shown significant improvements in certain industries, indicating its effectiveness in capturing trading information[7][14][35] Factor Backtest Results - GRU Industry Factor, Top Industries: Automotive (2.84), Steel (1.85), Media (1.48), Power Equipment and New Energy (1.35), Communication (0.88), Coal (0.66)[7][14][35]

Group 1 - The "Jiangxi sector" achieved nearly 1.08 trillion yuan in total operating revenue in 2024, ranking tenth among 31 provinces and cities in China [1] - Jiangxi listed companies distributed a total dividend of nearly 10.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of approximately 77%, ranking eighth nationwide [1][3] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) reported over 520 billion yuan in operating revenue for 2024, with a net profit of 6.962 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.03% [1] Group 2 - JinkoSolar (688223) topped the A-share photovoltaic industry with an annual operating revenue of 92.471 billion yuan, achieving a global module shipment of 92.87 GW, a year-on-year growth of 18.28% [1] - The company maintained its position as the global leader in module shipments for the sixth consecutive year, with N-type module shipments accounting for 88% of total shipments in 2024 [1] Group 3 - Major infrastructure projects like the Gan-Shen High-speed Railway and Gan-Yue Canal are transforming Jiangxi from an "inland hinterland" to an "open frontier" [2] - Jiangxi Copper is expanding internationally with new offices in South America and Southeast Asia, while JinkoSolar is establishing a new battery and module factory in Saudi Arabia [2] - Other companies like Funeng Technology (688567) and Nipe Mining (300818) are also advancing their international strategies, indicating a trend of "Jiangxi manufacturing" integrating into the global supply chain [2] Group 4 - Jiangxi listed companies are focusing on refining their core businesses while actively implementing the "1269" action plan to upgrade traditional industries and foster emerging sectors [3] - In 2024, Jiangxi Copper allocated 2.417 billion yuan for cash dividends, with several other companies also distributing over 500 million yuan in dividends [3] - The overall dividend distribution of nearly 10.4 billion yuan reflects a strong commitment to shareholder returns and social responsibility among Jiangxi enterprises [3] Group 5 - As the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its conclusion, Jiangxi listed companies are showing promising new developments, with traditional industry giants and emerging players competing in the capital market [4] - The formation of a trillion-level non-ferrous metal industry cluster and a photovoltaic new energy base is expected to enhance the national ranking of the "Jiangxi sector" in the next five years [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to increase the income of the middle and low-income groups, significantly develop service consumption, and enhance consumption's role in driving economic growth [1] - China's consumption scale is substantial, but its proportion in the national economy and total demand remains relatively low, indicating potential for growth [1] - The country possesses the world's largest middle-income group, with opportunities for consumption upgrades and industrial transformation providing a broad space for innovation [1] Group 2 - Policy tools include both short-term measures like trade-in programs and consumption vouchers, as well as long-term reforms such as the construction of a unified national market and pilot programs for service consumption [1] - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive trend with significant gains in sectors like new energy vehicles, home appliances, tourism, and media, indicating a recovery in consumer sentiment [1] - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (159735) has seen active trading, reflecting a higher proportion of new consumption types compared to A-shares, which are more focused on high-end liquor consumption [1] Group 3 - Data from the recent May Day holiday indicates a strong recovery in the domestic consumption market, particularly in tourism, transportation, and entertainment sectors [2] - Indicators such as subway passenger volume and international flight operations show a significant increase in travel activity, driven by both domestic consumers and a rise in foreign tourist orders [2] - The real estate market, especially the second-hand housing sector, is also showing signs of recovery, suggesting growing consumer confidence in large-ticket items [2]

证券时报·数据宝统计，截至上午收盘，今日沪指跌0.08%，A股成交量624.22亿股，成交金额7282.14亿 元，比上一个交易日增加11.32%。个股方面，3883只个股上涨，其中涨停72只，1340只个股下跌，其 中跌停33只。从申万行业来看，计算机、美容护理、传媒等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为2.38%、2.00%、 1.55%；银行、钢铁、公用事业等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为2.76%、0.65%、0.48%。（数据宝） 今日各行业表现（截至上午收盘） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨（跌）股 | 涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 计算机 | 2.38 | 852.58 | 35.16 | 创意信息 | 19.93 | | 美容护理 | 2.00 | 51.80 | 11.82 | 豪悦护理 | 8.77 | | 传媒 | 1.55 | 220.77 | 13.70 | 浙文互联 | 10.01 | | 电子 | 1.46 | 911.91 | 28.69 | 光大同创 | 17.45 | | 汽车 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a rebound in consumer sectors, particularly in new energy vehicles, social media, short videos, and dining chains, driven by structural changes in consumer behavior and government policies aimed at boosting consumption [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower but rebounded, with significant gains in consumer stocks such as Leap Motor, Meituan-W, and Li Auto-W, which rose over 7% and 3% respectively [1]. - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (159735) is currently trading at a discount of 0.67%, indicating a favorable buying opportunity [1]. Group 2: Consumer Trends - A research report indicates that the Chinese consumer goods and retail industry is undergoing profound changes due to an upgrade in consumption structure, with a notable increase in service consumption [1]. - Key consumer demand trends include emotional value, price-performance ratio, and sustainable consumption, reflecting a shift in preferences driven by aging population and smaller households [1]. Group 3: Policy Support - Recent political bureau meetings emphasized support for technological innovation, expanding consumption, and stabilizing foreign trade, with a focus on increasing income for middle and low-income groups [2]. - New policies, such as the revision of the tax refund management for outbound tourists, aim to stimulate consumption by attracting more foreign visitors, which is expected to boost the performance of related companies [2].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a "calendar effect," particularly during earnings disclosure periods (April, July, October), where performance growth significantly impacts stock prices compared to other months [1] - The A50 ETF fund (159592) has seen a daily trading volume of 87.4 million yuan over the past month, indicating high market interest [1] - Major stocks in the A50 index, such as Luoyang Molybdenum and China Aluminum, have shown significant price increases, with Luoyang Molybdenum rising over 4% [1] Group 2 - Huajin Securities projects that the net profit growth rates for the entire A-share market in Q2, Q3, and Q4 of 2025 will be 6.83%, 10.85%, and 8.47% respectively, with an annual growth rate of 6.95% [2] - The implementation of stable growth policies in Q2 is expected to support market sentiment, including fiscal and monetary policy measures aimed at boosting consumption and encouraging technological innovation [2]