Core Viewpoint - The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill passed by the U.S. House of Representatives may not yield the optimistic outcomes that Republicans envision, particularly regarding its impact on social safety nets and the economy [1][5]. Summary by Sections Tax and Spending Changes - The bill extends tax cuts for corporations and individuals initiated during Trump's first term in 2017, including tax exemptions for certain tip and overtime income, while also lowering corporate taxes [2]. - It represents a significant shift in U.S. spending priorities, with major cuts to social security programs like Medicaid and SNAP, and increased funding for tax cuts, defense, and immigration enforcement [2]. Impact on Social Safety Nets - The bill imposes stricter eligibility requirements for Medicaid, requiring individuals aged 19-64 to work at least 80 hours per month to qualify for insurance, which could severely limit access for many low-income individuals [3]. - The reduction in Medicaid funding and support for low-income families may lead to a diminished safety net, adversely affecting those who rely on these programs for basic healthcare and food assistance [3][4]. Economic Implications - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the bill will increase the national debt by $3.3 trillion over the next decade, exacerbating the federal government's financial situation [5]. - There are concerns that tax cuts may not lead to immediate investment growth, as manufacturing jobs continue to decline and hiring in retail and services remains sluggish [5]. Societal Consequences - The reduction in social safety net spending could potentially lead to increased crime rates and a decline in birth rates, with the U.S. experiencing its lowest birth rate since 1979 [6]. - The bill reflects a traditional Republican economic policy approach, but its long-term effects on the economy and society may be profound and divisive [6].

2025 年 07 月 10 日 jianyuhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525050005 当前次新股之风再起 自 2024 年 9 月起，次新股开始重新占优。万得次新股指数从创立至今，行情走势分 为两段：第一段 2018 年 5 月至 2021 年 12 月，指数相对走势大幅上涨，累计涨幅 2735.00%；第二段 2022 年 1 月至今，相对走势呈现宽幅震荡格局，表现为先上涨、 后下跌，再上涨；但自 2024 年 9 月至今，次新股开始重新占优，相对走势触底后中 枢大幅抬升，呈向上趋势。 基金在次新股上的持仓较少，拥挤度低，未来存在较大提升空间。根据基金重仓股 的上市时长分析，基金在次新股上存在欠配，表现为"关注但仓位轻"，其中有未解 禁的原因。一旦股票的上市时长从 3 年提升至 6 年，次新股的商业模式得到认可和 时间考验，基金对其的关注度和仓位大幅提升。 经济信心提升下，次新股扬帆起航 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 韦冀星（分析师） 简宇涵（分析师） weijixing@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524030002 次新股何时占优——相对经济信心的提升带来的风偏上行 ...

Company Overview - Yonghe Medical Group Limited is a medical group providing one-stop hair medical services, focusing on the hair medical service market since 2005 [3] - The company has established a brand matrix including "Yonghe Medical," "Yonghe Hair Transplant," "Shiyunxun," "Yonghe Fazhichu," and "Hafada" [3] - As of June 30, 2023, the company operates 72 hair transplant medical institutions across 68 cities in China [3] - The company has built a professional medical team of over 1,600 members, including more than 300 registered doctors and over 1,000 nurses [3] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, Yonghe Medical reported total revenue of 1.804 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.53% [2] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -226 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 58.58% [2] - The gross profit margin stands at 60.08%, while the debt-to-asset ratio is 58.65% [2] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Yonghe Medical's stock has increased by 73.45%, and year-to-date, it has risen by 117.78%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index's increase of 19.1% [2] - As of the latest trading session, the stock price was 2.22 HKD per share, reflecting a 13.27% increase with a trading volume of 3.186 million shares and a turnover of 6.9939 million HKD [1] Industry Valuation - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the healthcare equipment and services industry is -2.53 times, with a median of 0.38 times [3] - Yonghe Medical's P/E ratio is -4.21 times, ranking 89th in the industry [3] - Comparatively, other companies in the sector have P/E ratios such as Giant Star Medical Holdings at 0.28 times, Jingjiu Kangliao at 0.38 times, and others ranging up to 5.35 times [3]

● 我国5年经济增量预计将超过35万亿元，每年对世界经济增长的贡献率保持在30%左右。 ● 前4年我国经济增速平均达到5.5%。我国这么大的体量和增量，能保持这样的增速，在经济发展史上 前所未有。 ● 2024年全社会研发经费投入规模比"十三五"末增长近50%，增量达到1.2万亿元。 ● 民营企业增加到5800多万户，比"十三五"末增长超40%。 ● 单位GDP能源消耗四年累计降低11.6%，相当于减少了11亿吨二氧化碳排放量，接近欧盟2024年碳排 放总量的50%。 ● 2021年至今年5月，外商累计对华直接投资4.7万亿元，超过了"十三五"期间总额。 ● 我国已构建起全球最大、发展最快的可再生能源体系，今年5月底可再生能源发电装机达到20.9亿千 瓦，比"十三五"末的9.34亿千瓦，翻了一番多，现在全国每3度电就有1度是绿电。 ● 2024年，全国新能源汽车保有量达到3140万辆，比"十三五"末的492万辆增长5倍多。 （均据新华社电） ● 能源自给率保持在80%以上，2024年油气总产量首次超过4亿吨油当量、发电量达10万亿千瓦时。 ● 每年城镇新增就业稳定在1200万人以上，在14亿多人口的发展中大国 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) experienced a significant day with five companies, including Lens Technology and Geek+ Technology, listing simultaneously, marking a vibrant IPO atmosphere [1][3] - The total net proceeds from the global offerings of these five companies reached HKD 98.21 billion, with Lens Technology raising the most at HKD 46.94 billion and Dazhong Oral raising the least at HKD 1.78 billion [3] - As of July 9, 2025, stock price performances showed increases for most companies, with Lens Technology up 9.13%, Geek+ Technology up 16.02%, and Dazhong Oral up 3.50% [3] Group 2 - The IPO market in Hong Kong is witnessing a resurgence, with 44 new listings in the first half of 2025, a 47% increase from the same period last year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 107.1 billion, a 699% increase year-on-year [5][6] - Notable IPOs include CATL, which raised HKD 35.3 billion, making it the largest IPO globally this year [5] - The trend is expected to continue, with 211 companies currently in the application process, primarily in software services, healthcare, and industrial manufacturing sectors [6] Group 3 - Deloitte China forecasts around 80 new IPOs in Hong Kong for the entire year of 2025, with expected fundraising between HKD 130 billion to HKD 150 billion, focusing on large A-share companies and leading enterprises from various regions [6][8] - The recent IPO boom is attributed to supportive policies initiated since April 2024, aimed at enhancing cross-border capital market connectivity and facilitating overseas financing for companies [8][9] - Regulatory changes have simplified the listing process, allowing companies to expedite their applications and approvals, thus attracting more firms to consider Hong Kong as a viable listing destination [9][10]

| 恒生指数 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | | 23892.32 8597.27 | 5231.99 | | -255.75 -1.06% -111.39 -1.28% -93.96 -1.76% | | 恒基地产跌8.64%，阿里巴巴跌3.83%，紫金矿业跌3.38%，领跌蓝筹。恒基地产大跌主要是由于公司披露，拟发行本金总额为80亿港元的可换股债券。 【导读】港交所：上半年总集资金额同比上升322%！5只新股齐上市首日均实现上涨 7月9日，恒生指数收跌1.06%，报23892.32点，恒生科技指数跌1.76%，恒生中国企业指数跌1.28%。全日市场成交额为2339亿港元，较前一交易日的 2132.89亿港元有所增加。南向资金净买入额为92.56亿港元。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 - | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 恒基地产 | 0012 | 25.900 c | -2.450 | -8.64% | 11.58亿 | 15.88% | | ...

【导读】港交所：上半年总集资金额同比上升322%！5只新股齐上市首日均实现上涨 中国基金报记者 郭玟君 7月9日，恒生指数收跌1.06%，报23892.32点，恒生科技指数跌1.76%，恒生中国企业指 数跌1.28%。全日市场成交额为2339亿港元，较前一交易日的2132.89亿港元有所增加。南 向资金净买入额为92.56亿港元。 恒基地产跌8.64%，阿里巴巴跌3.83%，紫金矿业跌3.38%，领跌蓝筹。恒基地产大跌主要 是由于公司披露，拟发行本金总额为80亿港元的可换股债券。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 消歧跌 | 涨跌幅 ^ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 恒县地产 | 0012 | 25.900 c | -2.450 | -8.64% | 11.58亿 | 15.88% | | 2 | 阿里巴巴-W | 9988 | 102.900 c | -4.100 | -3.83% | 139.51亿 | 26.98% | | 3 | 紫等处,不 | 2899 | 20.000 c | ...

Core Viewpoint - The recently passed "Big Beautiful" bill is significantly transforming the American business landscape, redefining the winners and losers among various industries [1] Private Equity and Fossil Fuels - The private equity industry, valued at $13 trillion, is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the bill, retaining the "carried interest" tax loophole [2][3] - This loophole allows traders to pay performance profit taxes at a lower long-term capital gains tax rate, saving the industry billions annually [3] - The bill also extends fixed debt interest tax deductions and depreciation benefits, lowering tax rates for many private equity-backed companies [4] Retail Industry - The bill reduces federal food assistance, with the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) expected to see a $9 billion cut next year, impacting grocery spending [5][6] - Companies like Conagra, Kellogg, and Kraft Heinz may face sales pressure due to their reliance on SNAP user spending [6] - The bill eliminates tariff exemptions for imported goods valued under $800, benefiting brick-and-mortar retailers while pressuring small businesses [6] Healthcare Industry - The healthcare sector avoided severe cuts, with Medicaid funding reductions being less than anticipated [7][8] - For-profit hospital chains like Tenet Healthcare and HCA Healthcare saw stock price increases, although predictions indicate that 11.8 million Americans may lose health insurance by 2034 [8] - Smaller hospitals, heavily reliant on Medicaid, may struggle more than larger institutions [9] Energy Sector - The energy industry is experiencing a split impact, with coal unexpectedly benefiting from tax credits for metallurgical coal production [10] - Zero-carbon energy sources like geothermal and nuclear retain substantial tax credits, while many solar and wind projects will lose investment and production tax credits [10] - The cancellation of electric vehicle tax incentives may lead to contractor bankruptcies, as the total credits for 2023 amount to $8.4 billion [10] Technology Sector - The technology sector, particularly companies like Tesla, faces significant challenges due to the loss of electric vehicle tax incentives and new AI regulations [11] - Private aerospace companies like SpaceX and Blue Origin benefit from provisions allowing municipal bond financing for spaceports [11] Defense Industry - The defense sector is a major winner, with an additional $150 billion in budget increases, pushing total defense spending towards $1 trillion [12][13] - Traditional defense contractors like Lockheed Martin and emerging tech firms like Anduril and Palantir are expected to benefit from increased funding for missile defense and naval capabilities [13] Higher Education - The bill imposes an 8% tax on investment income for wealthy universities, affecting only 16 institutions, with Harvard expected to lose $267 million annually [14] - Cuts to student loans and support may indirectly raise university costs, straining state funding for public universities [14]

Group 1 - A-shares have shown a structural market characteristic, with strong performance in consumer sectors such as food and beverage, and retail, as well as certain technology sectors like AI applications and innovative pharmaceuticals [2][4] - The top five performing industries in A-shares include agriculture, media, food and beverage, electrical equipment, and retail, indicating a growing interest in agricultural assets and a recovery in consumer spending [2] - The bottom five performing industries in A-shares are electronics, steel, basic chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and storage chips, with the decline in non-ferrous metals linked to proposed US tariffs on copper [2] Group 2 - In the Hong Kong market, the healthcare sector has seen a rise due to active innovative drug concepts, despite potential US tariffs on pharmaceuticals [3] - The top three performing industries in Hong Kong include healthcare, industrial, and energy, while the bottom three are materials, information technology, and real estate, reflecting external pressures from US tariff policies and global tech supply-demand imbalances [3] - The current market characteristics indicate that A-shares are driven by policy and sectoral improvements, while Hong Kong stocks are more influenced by external factors such as US tariffs and global technology cycles [4] Group 3 - Short-term market hotspots are concentrated around policy-driven sectors and improving industry conditions, with a focus on performance in the upcoming earnings reports [4] - The breakthrough of the Shanghai Composite Index above 3500 points is expected to further boost market confidence, with potential policy signals from the July Politburo meeting influencing capital flows [4]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on July 9, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.36%, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.48%, and the National Enterprises Index down 0.44% [1] - The technology sector remains attractive for investment due to strong policy support and favorable earnings growth, with valuations at historical lows [1][2] Investment Insights - China Galaxy Securities indicates that despite rising global macro risks, the long-term investment value in Hong Kong stocks remains high due to relatively low absolute valuations [1] - The healthcare and consumer sectors are expected to see improved earnings growth, particularly in the pharmaceutical and discretionary consumption industries [1][2] - The inflow of southbound funds reflects a strategic allocation towards Hong Kong stocks, particularly in healthcare and financial sectors, highlighting a preference for high-growth and high-dividend stocks [2] Company News - Alibaba's WebSailor has achieved significant advancements in open-source AI models, outperforming several closed-source models [6] - Hillstone Technology reported a 4.1% year-on-year increase in camera module sales, with fingerprint recognition module sales up 7.3% due to increased market share [6] - Swire Properties recorded a 457% year-on-year increase in contract property sales for the first half of the year, totaling 3.473 billion [6]