Group 1: Stock Market Activity - A total of 32 stocks were listed on the institutional leaderboard, with 17 experiencing net buying and 15 facing net selling [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were: Huaxin Environmental Protection (75.72 million), Lisheng Pharmaceutical (63.01 million), and Xiling Information (48.25 million) [1][2] Group 2: Key Stocks and Their Performance - Huaxin Environmental Protection (301265.SZ) saw a price increase of 15.05% with 4 buyers and 2 sellers, resulting in a net buying amount of 75.72 million [2] - Lisheng Pharmaceutical (002393.SZ) experienced a price rise of 4.68% with 3 buyers and no sellers, leading to a net buying of 63.01 million [2] - Xiling Information (300588.SZ) had a significant price increase of 20.01%, with 3 buyers and 2 sellers, resulting in a net buying of 48.25 million [2] - Xiling Information is involved in digital services for government and enterprises, big data applications, and smart city construction, and collaborates with Huawei in the smart city sector [2] Group 3: Industry Insights - Huahong Technology is expected to see a year-on-year net profit growth of 3047% to 3722% in the first half of the year [3] - A new rare earth mineral named "Ned Yellow River Ore" was discovered in Inner Mongolia, which may impact the rare earth market [3] - The rare earth sector is anticipated to benefit from rising prices due to supply constraints and increased demand from export control relaxations [3] - Kangchen Pharmaceutical has established strategic partnerships with German biotech firms and WuXi AppTec to enhance its product pipeline [4] - Qianhong Pharmaceutical focuses on the development of drugs and medical devices, with a notable increase in the Hong Kong Innovation Drug Index by 108.21% over the past year [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a mixed performance with a slight increase in the Shanghai Composite Index, while the non-ferrous metals sector leads the gains among various industries [2] Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced the highest increase of 1.66%, with a transaction volume of 806.93 billion yuan, up by 82.56% from the previous trading day [2] - The steel industry rose by 0.98%, with a transaction volume of 114.66 billion yuan, an increase of 35.33% compared to the last trading day [2] - The coal industry saw a rise of 0.84%, with a transaction volume of 68.80 billion yuan, up by 83.14% from the previous day [2] - Other notable sectors include basic chemicals and defense industry, both increasing by 0.74% [2] Stock Highlights - Leading stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector include Haixing Co., which rose by 10.03% [2] - In the steel sector, Baogang Co. increased by 5.97% [2] - Yunmei Energy in the coal sector saw a rise of 10.05% [2] - Other significant gainers include Fumiao Technology in basic chemicals, which surged by 20.02% [2]

Market Overview - The market opened low and closed high, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains [4] - Major indices showed positive performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.37%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.43%, and ChiNext Index up by 1.75% [2][4] - Over 3,500 stocks in the market rose, indicating a broad-based rally [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Defense and Military (+2.74%), Communication (+2.41%), Electronics (+2.18%), Biomedicine (+1.77%), and Comprehensive (+1.42%) [3] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors were Banking (-0.42%), Transportation (-0.39%), Environmental Protection (-0.26%), Public Utilities (-0.24%), and Construction Decoration (-0.19%) [3] Concept Index Highlights - The leading concept indices were Co-packaged Optics (CPO) (+3.34%), PCB Concept (+3.07%), AI Mobile (+3.01%), AI PC (+3.01%), and Recombinant Protein (+2.92%) [3] - The lagging concept indices included Gold Concept (-0.13%), Control Shares (-0.12%), Cement Concept (-0.06%), Solid Waste Treatment (-0.03%), and New Urbanization (-0.03%) [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, with a focus on sectors such as Machinery Equipment, Consumer Goods, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and Financials [6] - The upcoming political bureau meeting and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision are key events to watch [6] - The overall economic performance remains resilient, with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year [6] Investment Opportunities - The robotics sector is highlighted as a key area of growth, driven by advancements in AI and automation [5] - The innovative drug sector remains strong, with recent government policies favoring the procurement of established drugs while excluding innovative drugs from centralized purchasing [5] - Chinese biotech companies are seen as undervalued compared to their U.S. counterparts, presenting potential investment opportunities [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to maintain a slow upward trend despite short-term fluctuations, with technology stocks playing a significant role in the rebound [1][2]. Market Outlook - The market is likely in a phase of consolidation before a breakout, with two potential paths: continuing the upward trend or consolidating before challenging previous highs [2]. - Three conditions are necessary for a direct challenge to the previous high of 3674 points: implementation of fiscal stimulus policies, continued global environment easing, and sustained increase in trading volume [2]. Sector Highlights - The A-share market in July is anticipated to be driven by event-based themes, with a high likelihood of sector rotation [3]. - Key sectors to watch include: 1. Consumer expansion and domestic demand, with a focus on dairy products, IP consumption, leisure tourism, and medical aesthetics [3]. 2. Robotics, with a shift from humanoid to quadruped and functional robots, presenting opportunities in sensors and controllers [3]. 3. Semiconductor localization, focusing on semiconductor equipment, wafer manufacturing, materials, and IC design [3]. 4. Military industry, with expectations of order recovery and signs of bottoming out in Q1 reports [3]. 5. Innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to see a fundamental turning point in 2025 after a period of adjustment [3]. Market Review - The A-share market showed signs of stabilization and resumed an upward trend, with the ChiNext index rising over 1.7% [4]. - More than 3500 stocks rose, indicating a positive earning effect, with leading sectors including defense, telecommunications, electronics, and pharmaceuticals [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Citigroup upgraded its rating on the Chinese stock market to "Overweight," with a year - end target of 25,000 for the Hang Seng Index and 4,200 for the CSI 300 Index [1] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas markets: Driven by strong growth in US retail sales data in June and a continuous decline in the number of initial jobless claims, the three major US stock indexes closed higher [2] - Domestic markets: The A - share market continues its structural market characteristics. The national defense and military industry sector leads the gains, highlighting the performance - driven main line. Sectors with performance support such as rare earth permanent magnets, biomedicine, and consumer electronics are expected to regain upward momentum based on fundamental advantages after a short - term technical correction [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro - economic Charts - The report includes charts showing the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [5][7][9] Spot Market Tracking Charts - **Stock Index Performance**: On July 17, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.37% to 3,516.83 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.43% to 10,873.62 points, the ChiNext Index rose 1.76% to 2,269.33 points, the CSI 300 Index rose 0.68% to 4,034.49 points, the SSE 50 Index fell 0.23% to 2,744.26 points, the CSI 500 Index rose 1.08% to 6,082.46 points, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 1.14% to 6,535.67 points [12] - **Transaction Volume**: The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rebounded to 1.5 trillion yuan [1] - **Charts**: Include charts of the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [5][13] Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume and open interest of IH and IF contracts increased synchronously. The trading volume of IC and IM contracts decreased, while the open interest increased [1][16] - **Basis**: The basis of the current - month contracts basically converged. The report details the basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts [1][36][38] - **Inter - period Spread**: The report provides the inter - period spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts, including next - month minus current - month, next - quarter minus current - month, etc., along with their changes [46][47] - **Charts**: Include charts of contract open interest, open - interest ratios, foreign - funded net open positions, basis, and inter - period spreads for IH, IF, IC, and IM contracts [5]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37% on July 17, with 25 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by defense and military industry (up 2.74%) and communication (up 2.41%) [2] - The banking and transportation sectors saw declines of 0.42% and 0.39%, respectively, with the environmental protection sector also among the top losers [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of capital in the two markets reached 11.662 billion yuan, with 15 sectors experiencing net inflows [2] - The computer sector led with a net inflow of 5.202 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.33%, followed by the electronics sector with a net inflow of 4.455 billion yuan and a daily increase of 2.18% [2] Environmental Protection Sector Performance - The environmental protection sector declined by 0.26%, with a net outflow of 631 million yuan, comprising 133 stocks, of which 59 rose and 67 fell [3] - Among the stocks with net inflows, Shijin Technology topped the list with a net inflow of 37.971 million yuan, followed by Shanghai Washba and Xingrong Environment with inflows of 35.862 million yuan and 23.160 million yuan, respectively [3] - The top stocks with net outflows included Huicheng Environmental (outflow of 218.1536 million yuan), Huahong Technology (outflow of 100.9985 million yuan), and Xuedilong (outflow of 63.9296 million yuan) [5] Environmental Protection Sector Capital Flow Rankings - **Top Inflow Stocks**: - Shijin Technology: +4.32%, 15.16% turnover, 37.971 million yuan inflow - Shanghai Washba: +4.93%, 7.20% turnover, 35.862 million yuan inflow - Xingrong Environment: -1.20%, 0.85% turnover, 23.160 million yuan inflow [4] - **Top Outflow Stocks**: - Huicheng Environmental: -1.75%, 3.59% turnover, -218.1536 million yuan outflow - Huahong Technology: -6.39%, 27.29% turnover, -100.9985 million yuan outflow - Xuedilong: -0.98%, 7.70% turnover, -63.9296 million yuan outflow [5]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37% on July 17, with 25 industries experiencing gains, led by defense and military industry and communication, which increased by 2.74% and 2.41% respectively [1] - The banking and transportation sectors saw declines of 0.42% and 0.39% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The net inflow of main funds in the two markets was 11.662 billion yuan, with 15 industries receiving net inflows [1] - The computer industry topped the net inflow list with 5.202 billion yuan, followed by the electronics industry with 4.455 billion yuan [1] Communication Industry Performance - The communication industry rose by 2.41% with a net inflow of 1.991 billion yuan, comprising 126 stocks, of which 94 rose and 29 fell [2] - Notable stocks with significant net inflows included ZTE Corporation with 702 million yuan, followed by Xinyi Technology and Cambridge Technology with 568 million yuan and 389 million yuan respectively [2] Communication Industry Capital Inflow - The top stocks in terms of capital inflow included: - ZTE Corporation: +3.88%, turnover rate 3.89%, net inflow 701.53 million yuan - Xinyi Technology: +8.07%, turnover rate 7.66%, net inflow 567.59 million yuan - Cambridge Technology: +10.00%, turnover rate 14.32%, net inflow 388.75 million yuan [2] Communication Industry Capital Outflow - The stocks with the highest capital outflow included: - China Unicom: -0.74%, turnover rate 0.77%, net outflow -193.13 million yuan - Dongxin Peace: -1.10%, turnover rate 26.49%, net outflow -159.48 million yuan - Hengbao Co., Ltd.: +1.40%, turnover rate 38.19%, net outflow -149.27 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The "Two Major" construction projects are accelerating, focusing on national strategic implementation and key areas of security capability enhancement [1][2]. Group 1: Infrastructure Investment - A series of landmark projects under the "Two Major" construction initiative are being actively advanced [2]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated over 300 billion yuan to support the third batch of "Two Major" construction projects for 2025, completing the annual allocation of 800 billion yuan for these projects [8]. - In the first half of the year, infrastructure investment grew by 4.6%, outpacing overall investment growth by 1.8 percentage points, contributing to a 1 percentage point increase in total investment [15]. Group 2: Environmental and Pollution Management - There is an intensified effort to enhance ecological environment governance along the Yangtze River Economic Belt, focusing on urban sewage treatment, industrial park water pollution management, and pollution remediation in reclaimed land along the river [4]. - In Kunming, Yunnan, multiple comprehensive pollution management projects are underway, improving pollution control levels in key areas [4]. Group 3: Strategic Projects and Soft Measures - Under the "Two Major" construction framework, strategic railway corridors and port constructions are progressing steadily, supported by measures to facilitate customs clearance, reduce logistics costs, and implement tax refunds for land transport ports [7]. - The 2025 "Two Major" construction plan includes 800 billion yuan allocated for 1,459 projects, covering significant transportation infrastructure along the Yangtze River, the Western Land-Sea New Corridor, high-standard farmland, and major water conservancy projects [11]. - In terms of "soft construction," a series of reform and innovation measures are being introduced in key areas, such as optimizing railway financing models along the Yangtze River and exploring new models combining wind and solar energy with desertification control [13].

Group 1 - The 2025 Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes a strategic shift in China's urbanization from expansion to quality improvement, focusing on optimizing existing urban spaces and facilities [1] - Traditional real estate developers face transformation pressures as the government reduces its role in urban renewal projects, potentially impacting their performance and valuations [1] - The credit risk of municipal investment bonds may vary based on project quality and returns, with industries like environmental protection and public utilities likely to see improved credit ratings [1] Group 2 - The bond market has entered an adjustment phase, with short-term bonds experiencing greater declines than long-term bonds due to funding and risk appetite pressures [2] - June exports increased by 5.8% year-on-year, reflecting positive impacts from eased US-China trade tensions, while potential uncertainties in tariff policies may affect future export performance [2] - Financial data showed improvements in June, with new social financing reaching 4.20 trillion yuan, indicating a recovery in credit demand among enterprises and households [3] Group 3 - The liquidity in the financial system has tightened recently, with a notable decrease in net lending from banks, influenced by tax deadlines and MLF maturities [4] - Market risk appetite has risen, driven by expectations around stablecoin and supply-side policies, leading to a notable increase in A-share market sentiment [4] - Despite short-term adjustments, the long-term bullish trend in the bond market remains intact, with further room for long-term and ultra-long-term bond yields to decrease [4]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of July 15, 2025, a total of 1,489 listed companies in A-shares have disclosed their half-year performance forecasts, with 645 companies expecting positive results, indicating a pre-announcement ratio of 43.32% [1] Group 1: Performance Highlights - Among the companies with positive performance forecasts, 33 companies expect a net profit increase of over 1,000% [5][10] - The company with the highest expected net profit increase is Southern Precision, forecasting a net profit of 200 million to 250 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 28,647% to 35,784% [6][7] - Huayin Power ranks second with an expected net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3,600% to 4,423% due to increased power generation and reduced fuel costs [8] Group 2: Industry Performance - Notable performance is observed in the basic chemical, machinery, electronics, and pharmaceutical industries, with many companies reporting significant growth [3][10] - In the basic chemical sector, companies like Xianda Co. expect a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2,443.43% to 2,834.73% [11] - The electronics industry is also thriving, with Industrial Fulian projecting a net profit of 11.958 billion to 12.158 billion yuan, a growth of 36.84% to 39.12% driven by AI-related business [11] Group 3: Declining Performance - Among the companies that have disclosed performance forecasts, 613 companies reported a decline in performance, with 42 companies expecting a net profit decrease of over 1,000% [14] - ST Nanzhi is expected to report a net loss of 800 million to 1.1 billion yuan, a decline of 18,396.17% to 25,257.23% compared to the previous year [15][16] - Companies like Seli Medical, which saw a significant stock price increase earlier, are now forecasting a net loss of 55 million to 66 million yuan, a decline of 1,052% to 1,283% [17][18]