企业加大预防性"备采"力度 证券研究报告 宏观点评 / 2025.09.01 分析师 张伟 SAC 证书编号：S0160525060002 zhangwei04@ctsec.com 联系人 连桐杉 liants@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《特朗普降息再施压——全球经济观察 第 10 期》 2025-08-30 2. 《以价换量结束了吗？》 2025-08-27 3. 《 美 国 就 业， 到 底是 好还 是 坏 ？ 》 2025-08-25 ❖ "备采"来源于"反内卷"涨价预期而非经济基本面大幅改善： 从历史经验来看，2024 年下半年经济上行，GDP 读数从三季度的 4.6%上升 至四季度的 5.4%，同期 BCI 企业投资前瞻指数自 53.0 点上升至 54.9 点，同 期企业采购量（PMI）自 50.6%上升至 51.0%，规上工业企业利润滞后一个 月同比上升，由此可以看出，经济基本面修复情境下的企业采购量（PMI）短 期回升，常伴随 BCI 企业投资前瞻指数的同期回升和工业企业利润滞后回升。 而 2025 年二季度 GDP 同比 5.2%，仍然处于下行区间，一是考虑到经济的 惯性和年度目标， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of investment attraction strategies in Shandong, moving from traditional "policy competition" to a focus on "ecological win-win" approaches, driven by the implementation of the "Fair Competition Review Regulations" in August 2024, which aims to eliminate unfair competition in local investment attraction [9][11][12]. Group 1: Changes in Investment Attraction Logic - The traditional methods of attracting investment, such as offering land, tax breaks, and subsidies, have led to unhealthy competition and market fragmentation [9][11]. - The new approach emphasizes understanding what enterprises truly value, shifting focus from mere policy incentives to the overall industrial layout and resource advantages [11][12]. - Successful case studies, such as the Ningde Times project in Dongying, highlight the importance of local market potential and industry chain support over just policy benefits [11][12]. Group 2: Collaborative and Chain-based Investment Strategies - The article outlines a shift from "project thinking" to "chain thinking," focusing on attracting key enterprises that can enhance the entire industrial chain [14][15]. - Collaborative investment strategies are being explored, such as shared assessment mechanisms between regions to promote joint investment efforts [13][14]. - The concept of "chain-based investment" is gaining traction, where attracting a leading enterprise can significantly benefit the local economy by bringing in related businesses [15][16]. Group 3: Capital Leverage and Scenario Testing - The use of investment funds to attract quality projects is emphasized, with examples like the establishment of a semiconductor investment fund in Dezhou [19][22]. - Scenario-based investment strategies are emerging, where local governments provide testing grounds for innovative technologies, as seen with the autonomous vehicle manufacturing center in Qufu [25][26]. - The article suggests that the focus is shifting from merely providing financial incentives to creating market opportunities through practical applications and collaborations [25][26]. Group 4: Enhancing the Business Environment - Improving the business environment is identified as a core competitive advantage for attracting investment, with a focus on providing comprehensive support throughout the project lifecycle [26][29]. - The article highlights the importance of government officials adopting a partnership mindset, offering strategic support in areas like market expansion and technology upgrades [27][29]. - Successful examples include the establishment of specialized investment teams that understand industry dynamics and can effectively engage with potential investors [28][29].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant changes in stock holdings by securities firms during the second quarter, with a focus on industries such as basic chemicals, machinery, automotive, and pharmaceuticals [1] - Securities firms collectively increased their positions in 63 stocks during the second quarter, with notable additions including Zhongke Titanium White, New Mileage, Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical, and Yuntianhua [1] - Several companies, including Chuanheng Co., Furan Energy, Ruida Futures, and Zhejiang Huaye, received attention from at least three securities firms, indicating strong interest [1] Group 2 - In terms of holding scale, data from Choice shows that Jiangsu Bank, Yong'an Futures, CITIC Securities, and Sinopec have the highest total shareholdings among securities firms [1] - As of the closing price on June 30, 2025, Jiangsu Bank leads with a holding market value of 11.026 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities and Yong'an Futures with 9.208 billion yuan and 6.507 billion yuan respectively [1] - Other companies such as Muyuan Foods, Cangge Mining, Sinopec, and Guangqi Technology also have significant market values in securities holdings [1]

Core Viewpoint - The acceleration of overseas expansion by listed companies is driven by policy support, technological innovation, and globalization strategies, with overseas business becoming a significant growth driver for performance [1] Group 1: Overseas Business Performance - In the first half of the year, 3,019 A-share listed companies reported overseas business revenue totaling 4.90 trillion yuan [1] - Companies with overseas business revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan include China National Petroleum Corporation, BYD, Midea Group, and Luxshare Precision [2] - BYD reported sales of 464,300 new energy vehicles overseas, a year-on-year increase of 128.25% [2] - Haier Smart Home achieved overseas sales revenue of 85.23 billion yuan, accounting for 46.88% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 10.52% [3] Group 2: Market Expansion Strategies - The "going out" strategy of listed companies has evolved from merely exporting products to a more integrated approach involving local market penetration [3] - Localized teams are essential for meeting local demands and enhancing competitiveness in overseas markets [3] Group 3: Diversified "Going Out" Models - Companies are diversifying their overseas strategies to include production, technology, and capital expansion [4] - For instance, Sailun Group plans to invest 291 million USD in a tire production facility in Egypt, while BYD is set to establish a CKD factory in Malaysia [4] - Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine is collaborating with Merck Group for the commercialization of a drug, receiving an upfront payment of 15 million euros [4] Group 4: Capital Expansion - Hangzhou Guoli Microelectronics acquired 100% of Belgian company LUCEDA for 40 million euros, marking a significant move in capital expansion [5]

Core Viewpoint - The trend of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) focusing on core technologies is increasing, driven by companies' responses to innovation-driven development strategies and the need for industry structure optimization and upgrading [2][3]. Group 1: M&A Activity and Trends - Hunan Nanxin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. plans to acquire assets and intellectual property rights related to "multiple trace element injection solutions" for no more than 480 million yuan [1]. - There have been 21 M&A projects involving core technologies this year, with a total transaction value of 2.569 billion yuan, highlighting a significant increase in asset-oriented transactions [1][3]. - The number of M&A projects involving core technologies has risen by 50% compared to the same period last year, with 14 projects reported last year [3]. Group 2: Strategic Importance of Core Technologies - Companies are shifting their focus from "buying scale" to "grabbing technology," as mastering core technologies becomes essential for overcoming growth bottlenecks and building differentiated competitive advantages [5]. - Intellectual property (IP) such as patents, trademarks, and copyrights is increasingly recognized as a crucial intangible asset that constitutes core competitiveness and market barriers for companies [5]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The pharmaceutical manufacturing sector is particularly active in core technology M&A, with 6 out of 21 projects occurring in this field, accounting for nearly 30% of the total [3]. - The semiconductor and biomedicine sectors are highlighted as "bottleneck" areas that require M&A for technological breakthroughs, especially in the context of global industrial chain restructuring [4][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The logic of core technology M&A is expected to deepen and expand over the next three to five years, with companies prioritizing technology exclusivity over short-term scale expansion [7]. - This trend is anticipated to extend into more niche areas such as materials, high-end equipment, and software algorithms, driving the overall upgrade of high-tech industries [7].

Mergers and Acquisitions - Huahong Company plans to acquire 97.5% equity of Huali Microelectronics through a combination of issuing shares and cash payment, raising supporting funds [1] - Olin Bio intends to acquire 15% equity of Xinnuo Ming Bio from minority shareholders via public transfer at a price not exceeding 45 million yuan [2] - Dongxin Co. plans to invest approximately 211 million yuan in Shanghai Lishuan, holding about 35.87% equity post-investment [3] Shareholding Changes - Gao Neng Environment's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3%, equating to a maximum cash-out of 320 million yuan [4][5] - Hu Dian Co.'s senior management intends to reduce holdings by up to 16,040 shares, representing about 0.0083% of total equity [6] - Maike Audi's shareholders have collectively reduced their holdings by 2.17%, with specific reductions of 5.41 million shares and 5.86 million shares [7] Risk Matters - *ST Tianmao plans to voluntarily withdraw its A-share listing and will initiate a protection mechanism for dissenting shareholders [8] - China Rare Earth confirms no undisclosed matters that could affect stock trading prices amid unusual trading fluctuations [9] Lock-up Release - Suda Co. announces that approximately 27.94 million shares will be released from lock-up on September 3, 2025, accounting for 36.76% of total equity [10]

Core Viewpoint - New Mile Health Technology Group reported a revenue of 1.588 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.63%, while implementing effective cost control measures to navigate industry challenges [2][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.588 billion yuan in H1 2025, with the medical services segment contributing 1.38 billion yuan and the pharmaceutical segment 210 million yuan [2]. - Gross margin stood at 28.2%, with the medical services segment at 26% and the pharmaceutical segment at 40.47% [2]. - Pre-tax operating profit was 33.73 million yuan, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.43 million yuan [2]. - Operating cash flow was 140 million yuan, down 15% year-on-year, but the decline was less than that of revenue and profit [2]. Cost Control Measures - The drug cost ratio in the medical services segment was 24.10%, down 2.29 percentage points year-on-year, while the cost of consumables was 12.81%, down 0.91 percentage points [3]. - Overall variable cost ratios have been decreasing, indicating effective cost management [3]. Drug Procurement and Reimbursement - The company has actively managed drug cost ratios in response to medical insurance policies, achieving a 3.3 percentage point decrease in the first half of 2025 [4]. - As of H1 2025, the proportion of drug procurement through centralized purchasing was approximately 23% of total drug costs [4]. - Medical insurance revenue accounted for about 50.5% of total revenue, with stable reimbursement timelines [4]. Hospital Development and Service Expansion - The company is enhancing its hospital discipline layout and has made significant progress in hospital grading, with several hospitals achieving higher levels of accreditation [5]. - New bed expansions are underway, with multiple hospitals adding significant capacity [5]. Market Outlook and Strategic Initiatives - Following the implementation of centralized procurement policies, sales volumes are expected to recover and exceed last year's figures in the second half of 2025 [7]. - The company plans to adapt to ongoing medical insurance reforms and leverage opportunities in the aging economy, focusing on a dual-driven strategy of "medical + pharmaceutical" and "medical + insurance" [7].

每经AI快讯，欧林生物（SH 688319，收盘价：29.78元）8月31日晚间发布公告称，公司第七届2025年 第二次董事会会议于2025年8月29日在公司会议室以现场及通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于终止以简 易程序向特定对象发行A股股票事项并撤回申请文件的议案》等文件。 （记者 张喜威） 截至发稿，欧林生物市值为121亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——个人消费贷贴息明日开闸！贷30万元最多可享贴息3000元，一文读懂→ 2024年1至12月份，欧林生物的营业收入构成为：医药制造业占比99.53%，其他业务占比0.47%。 ...

Summary of Key Points Overall Viewpoint - The report highlights that overseas attention is focused on industry tariffs, economic performance, interest rate guidance, and liquidity impacts, with U.S. stock funds preemptively defensive and rotating into interest rate-sensitive sectors such as finance, healthcare, and real estate, as well as U.S. Treasuries and gold benefiting from potential interest rate cuts [3][11][12] - Domestic economic marginal slowdown is noted, but key industries continue to expand, with supply-demand conflicts gradually easing and price indices recovering, making a halt in PPI decline expected [3][11] - The A-share market is anticipated to experience a volatile upward trend supported by three major rebalancing factors, with a focus on technology rotation, interest rate-sensitive trades, and industries benefiting from PPI recovery [3][11][18] Industry and Stock Logic - **Electronics: Lens Technology (300433.SZ)**: The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 69.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 28.27%, and a net profit of 3.62 billion yuan, up 19.94%, driven by vertical integration strategies and growth in assembly business [19][22] - **Networking: Shengke Communication-U (688702.SH)**: The company reported a revenue of 508 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.56%, but a net profit of -24 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 58.36% [23][24] - **Electronics: Shengyi Technology (688183.SH)**: The company achieved a revenue of 4.687 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 43.19%, and a net profit of 332 million yuan, turning profitable [28][29] - **Small Cap: Siquan New Materials (301489.SZ)**: The company reported a revenue of 656 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 51.1%, with a net profit of 52.45 million yuan, a slight decrease of 3.88% due to increased expenses from new subsidiaries [36][37] - **Automotive: Moulded Technology (000700.SZ)**: The company is expected to generate total sales of 2.04 billion yuan from a luxury car manufacturer and a North American client, with production starting in 2026 [39][40] Key Stock Picks - The report lists ten key stocks, including Lens Technology, Shengke Communication-U, Shengyi Technology, Siquan New Materials, and Moulded Technology, among others, with no specific ranking [4][10]

证券代码：002219 证券简称：新里程 新里程健康科技集团股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-05 投资者关系 活动类别 □ 特定对象调研 □ 分析师会议 □ 媒体采访 业绩说明会 □ 新闻发布会 □ 路演活动 □ 现场参观 □ 其他 参与单位名称 （排名不分先后） 中信建投证券、国投证券、湘财证券、首创证券、甬兴证券、国海 证券、中邮证券、华安证券、天风证券、东吴证券、华创证券、兴 业证券、国泰海通证券、国盛证券、申万宏源证券、信达证券、东 北证券、平安证券、中信证券、中金公司、华鑫证券、华福证券、 华泰证券、光大证券、招商证券、西南证券、德邦证券、国金证券、 东方证券、国信证券、方正证券、开源证券、山西证券、长江证券、 国联民生证券、华西证券、中泰证券、银河证券、浙商证券、广发 证券、东方财富证券、野村东方国际证券、五矿金通基金、四川振 兴基金、常春藤联盟、德恒国际、易方达基金、天弘基金、建信基 金、博时基金、国投瑞银基金、金信基金、光证资管、甘肃药投、 青榕资产、龙航资产、青骊投资、广东正圆私募基金、华夏未来资 管、北京泓澄投资、深圳尚诚资管等 时间 2025 年 8 月 29 日 1 ...