作为预焙阳极龙头的索通发展，拿下最高增幅。1月27日，索通发展发布公告称，预计2025年度实 现归母净利润7.3亿元到8.5亿元，同比增长167.98%～212.03%；扣非归母净利润7.3亿元到8.5亿元，同 比增长360.63%～436.35%。 索通发展将大幅预增归因于多个方面：一是2025年度预焙阳极所处的原铝产业链展现出良好发展态 势，带动公司主产品预焙阳极价格上涨；二是公司与下游优质客户合资的新建产能释放，产销量同比增 长。2025年，山东索通创新炭材料有限公司二期34万吨预焙阳极项目、陇西索通炭材料有限公司30万吨 预焙阳极项目、湖北枝江100万吨煅后焦项目等同比新增产能稳步运行，产销量同比有较大幅度增长。 此外，国外订单有持续较大幅度的增长，数智化降本增效显著，也对盈利贡献颇大。 其他企业的业绩增幅也十分亮眼。预计2025年度，双一科技净利润超1.5亿元，同比增长80%～ 100%；通裕重工净利润超6250万元，同比增长51.05%～75.22%；金麒麟净利润1.45亿元，同比增长 58.36%；百龙创园净利润3.66亿元，同比增长48.94%；身处科创板的奥福科技，或实现扭亏为盈。 海外市场 ...

再论【明阳智能】投资价值 海外海风在手订单2GW+，海外陆风在手订单5GW+。 考虑陆风兑现盈利修复、双海贡献增量，26年经营性利润预期25e、约500e主业市值。 卡位卫星电源系统，纵翼星汉： 一、外延片/芯片：单星价值量约150w-200w，公司市占率35%，民企身份或不受限于进口设备采购，未来市占率 有望进一步提升 风电主机龙头，卡位双海： 主业安全边际：25年业绩预告8-10亿、风机毛利率6%+；26年风机毛利率有望修复3-5pcts。 海外海风在手订单2GW+，海外陆风在手订单5GW+。 考虑陆风兑现盈利修复、双海贡献增量，26年经营性利润预期25e、约500e主业市值。 卡位卫星电源系统，纵翼星汉： 一、外延片/芯片：单星 再论【明阳智能】投资价值 风电主机龙头，卡位双海： 主业安全边际：25年业绩预告8-10亿、风机毛利率6%+；26年风机毛利率有望修复3-5pcts。 二、电源系统：单星价值量300w-500w，公司市占率10%+，目前在手订单约120颗星+。 估值：风机主业+海风出海+卫星电源预期，当前市值540e基础上展望千亿，维持推荐。 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 2月2日，天顺风能在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年1月31日，股东人数为 77429户。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Zhengjiang Co., Ltd. has secured a long-term framework agreement for the assembly of wind turbine components with a leading European onshore wind company, in addition to its existing relationship with Siemens [1] - The expected order value from this agreement is projected to reach several billion RMB over the next few years [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the cooling of non-ferrous metals and the ongoing bull market in technology stocks, highlighting the need to track core investment opportunities and identify the next potential bull stocks [3]. Group 1: Market Trends - Non-ferrous metals and resource stocks have seen a decline, leading to a rapid cooling of market sentiment [3]. - Technology stocks have shown a long-term bullish trend, with several companies achieving significant price increases since early 2025 [3][5]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Notable stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector, such as Hunan Silver and Xiaogui Technology, have experienced substantial gains, with Hunan Silver rising by 205.64% from January 1 to January 29, 2026 [4]. - In contrast, technology stocks like Shangwei New Materials and Feiwo Technology have seen even more dramatic increases, with Shangwei New Materials rising by 1933.67% over the same period [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Key sectors driving stock performance include computing power, storage chips, and commercial aerospace, with companies like Yuanjie Technology and Shijia Photon leading the way [5]. - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying turning points in stock performance, with specific examples of companies that have shown strong upward momentum after low points [7]. Group 4: Characteristics of Long-term Bull Stocks - Long-term bull stocks often share characteristics such as being industry leaders, having stable performance, and attracting continuous capital inflow [7][13]. - A significant portion of these stocks has shown robust earnings growth, with 26 out of 34 long-term bull stocks reporting earnings increases in their latest quarterly reports [8][10]. Group 5: Capital Inflows - Companies like Changxin Bochuang have seen substantial increases in holdings by major investors, indicating strong market confidence and potential for further price appreciation [11]. - The article notes that during the period of increased holdings, the stock price of Changxin Bochuang experienced significant growth, highlighting the correlation between institutional investment and stock performance [11].

Market Overview - The wind power equipment sector experienced a decline of 1.85% on February 2, with HaiLi Wind Power leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Mingyang Smart Energy (601615) closed at 23.86, up 2.84% with a trading volume of 1.4615 million shares [1] - China Shipbuilding Technology (600072) closed at 11.73, up 2.18% with a trading volume of 466,100 shares [1] - HaiLi Wind Power (301155) closed at 75.88, down 12.96% with a trading volume of 131,200 shares [2] - Yunda Co., Ltd. (300772) closed at 18.19, down 6.53% with a trading volume of 205,000 shares [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The wind power equipment sector saw a net outflow of 499 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 276 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Mingyang Smart Energy and China Shipbuilding Technology had varying net inflows and outflows from different investor types [3] - Mingyang Smart Energy had a net inflow of 166 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 224 million yuan [3]

策略研究 · 策略专题 2025 年业绩预告有哪些线索值得关注？ 2026 年 02 月 02 日 核心观点 分析师 杨超 ：010-80927696 ：yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 王雪莹 ：（010）80927721 ：wangxueying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525060003 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 周美丽 ：zhoumeili_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525070002 相关研究 2026-01-23，公募基金 2025 年四季度持仓有哪些 看点？ 2026-01-06，如何理解"非理性繁荣"下的"理性 泡沫" ？——AI 泡沫系列研究之总量篇 2025-12-28，节奏看"水"，集中靠"质"——2026 年港股市场投资展望 2025-12-11，2025 年 12 月中央经济工作会议对投 资的启示：向新向优 2025-12-08，12 月中央政 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SANY Renewable Energy [6][4] Core Views - The company is expected to report a net profit of 680 million to 880 million RMB for FY25, which is significantly below the consensus estimate of 1.726 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year decrease of 51.43% to 62.47% [1] - The primary reasons for the profit shortfall include the overestimation of the consumption pace of low-priced domestic wind orders from 2024, the impact of policy changes on profit margins from wind farm transfers, and uncertainties surrounding the commencement of offshore wind projects [1] - Looking ahead, the industry is anticipated to enter a growth phase in 2026, driven by recovering order prices in 2025, accelerated delivery of overseas projects, and increasing demand for domestic offshore wind and international projects [1] Summary by Sections Financial Forecasts - The company has revised its FY25 net profit forecast down by 60% to 737 million RMB and adjusted its FY26 and FY27 net profit forecasts down by 32% and 23% respectively, to 1.895 billion and 2.614 billion RMB [4] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for FY25, FY26, and FY27 are projected to be 0.60, 1.55, and 2.13 RMB respectively [10] - The report indicates a significant recovery in net profit is expected in FY26, with a year-on-year increase of 157.07% [10] Market Conditions - The average bidding price for onshore wind projects in 2025 is projected to be between 1,933 and 2,248 RMB/kW, which is higher than the average price of 1,894 RMB/kW in 2024 [2] - Approximately 70% of the orders for 2025 are expected to be delivered in 2026, suggesting a potential turnaround in profitability for the company's wind turbine business [2] Macro Environment - The macroeconomic environment is favorable for overseas project deliveries, with the value of the company's overseas wind turbine orders exceeding 10 billion RMB and over 2 GW of new orders added in 2025 [3] - The ongoing global interest rate decline is expected to further support the investment in overseas projects, enhancing the delivery pace and profit realization [3]

Group 1 - TianShun Wind Power Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price increase of 5.34%, reaching 8.29 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 390 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.69%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 14.896 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on January 18, 2005, and listed on December 31, 2010, specializes in the production and sales of wind towers and components, wind turbine blades and molds, offshore wind power equipment, and the development, investment, construction, and operation of wind farm projects [1] - The main revenue composition of TianShun Wind Power includes onshore wind equipment at 53.62%, electricity generation at 31.66%, offshore wind equipment at 9.46%, and other sources at 5.26% [1] Group 2 - GF Fund's Guangfa Multi-Factor Mixed Fund (002943) entered the top ten circulating shareholders of TianShun Wind Power, holding 18.1993 million shares, which is 1.02% of the circulating shares, with an estimated floating profit of approximately 7.6437 million CNY [2] - Guangfa Multi-Factor Mixed Fund was established on December 30, 2016, with a current scale of 17.293 billion CNY, achieving a year-to-date return of 4.3% and a one-year return of 43.77% [2] - The fund's performance ranks 5033 out of 9000 in the year-to-date category and 2675 out of 8193 in the one-year category, with a cumulative return since inception of 481.21% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of Guangfa Multi-Factor Mixed Fund, Tang Xiaobin, has a tenure of 11 years and 44 days, with a total fund asset size of 19.962 billion CNY, achieving the best return of 426.26% and the worst return of -34.08% during his tenure [3] - Co-manager Yang Dong has a tenure of 4 years and 217 days, managing a total fund asset size of 25.026 billion CNY, with the best return of 121.41% and the worst return of 0.04% during his tenure [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SANY Renewable Energy [6][4] Core Views - The company is expected to report a net profit of RMB 680 million to RMB 880 million for FY25, which is significantly below the consensus estimate of RMB 1.726 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 51.43% to 62.47% [1] - The primary reasons for the profit shortfall include the overestimation of the digestion pace of low-priced domestic wind orders from 2024, the impact of policy changes on profit margins from wind farm transfers, and uncertainties surrounding the commencement of offshore wind projects [1] - Looking ahead, the industry is anticipated to enter a growth cycle in 2026, driven by recovering order prices in 2025, accelerated delivery of overseas projects, and increasing demand for domestic offshore wind and overseas projects [1] Summary by Sections Performance Forecast - The company has adjusted its FY25 net profit forecast down by 60% to RMB 737 million, and the FY26 and FY27 net profit forecasts have been reduced by 32% and 23% to RMB 1.895 billion and RMB 2.614 billion, respectively [4][10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for FY25, FY26, and FY27 are RMB 0.60, RMB 1.55, and RMB 2.13, respectively [10] Market Environment - The report highlights that approximately 70% of the orders for 2025 are expected to be delivered in 2026, which is likely to lead to a turnaround in the company's wind turbine business due to industry price recovery and installation demand [2] - The average bidding price for onshore wind projects in 2025 is projected to be higher than in 2024, indicating a return to rational pricing [2] Overseas Projects - The macroeconomic environment is favorable for the delivery of overseas projects, with the company holding over RMB 10 billion in overseas wind turbine orders and having added more than 2 GW of new orders in FY25 [3] - The ongoing global interest rate decline is expected to further support the investment and delivery of overseas projects [3]