锂矿概念17日盘中强势拉升，截至发稿，天华新能涨超13%，金圆股份涨停，盛新锂能涨超7%，天齐 锂业涨近5%。 有分析指出，当前碳酸锂期货格较年内低点已经上涨超70%。随着11月份电池销量数据的出炉，市场对 于碳酸锂的需求预期已经大幅扭转。 中信建投证券指出，12月本为传统消费淡季，但下游需求远超预期，季节性因素淡化，锂价预计维持高 位。据SMM统计，供给端，11月碳酸锂及氢氧化锂环比增长3%、2%，预计12月增量有限，基于江西锂 云母复产的乐观预期下，碳酸锂仅环比增幅3%，氢氧化锂则预计12月环比下降3%。需求端，订单火热 现象将持续至年末，11月磷酸铁锂及三元材料分别环比增长4.7%、下降0.2%，12月订单饱满，铁锂需 求环比持平，三元环比回落6.7%。月度平衡角度，11月市场短缺万吨以上，预计12月缺口收窄，但或 仍缺口5000吨以上，因此12月保持去库预期，价格有望维持高位。库存端，碳酸锂库存已降至12万吨以 下，其中锂盐厂库存从年中的近6万吨降至2.4万吨，待明年二季度需求旺季，库存水平难以支撑需求， 需求将再度赋予价格弹性。 ...

【导读】锂矿概念股涨幅居前，多只高位人气股跌停 中国基金报记者 李智 一起来看下最新的市场情况及资讯。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3822.72 | 12966.54 | 1424.62 | | -2.09 -0.05% | +51.87 +0.40% | -15.03 -1.04% | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1294.11 | 3096.55 | 6130.50 | | +0.72 +0.06% | +24.79 +0.81% | -6.61 -0.11% | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4510.44 | 7008.58 | 5430.79 | | +12.88 +0.29% | +7.26 +0.10% | +15.85 +0.29% | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 7158.71 | 5709.54 | 5402.26 | | -22.91 -0.32% | +33.40 +0.59% -12.06 -0.22% | | | 万得全A涨跌分布 | | | ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-12-17 供需两旺，碳酸锂维持高位震荡 碳酸锂整体维持偏强震荡态势，虽盘中受短期压力回调，但长期上涨趋势的支撑因素仍在。目前，供应端的不确 定性是支撑价格偏强的关键因素之一，国内外供应干扰消息层出不穷。整体来看，短期大概率维持高位震荡，需 聚焦产能释放节奏与资金动向，警惕供需边际变化带来的波动加剧。 单边：短期观望为主 跨期：无 风险 市场分析 2025-12-16，碳酸锂主力合约2605开于101500元/吨，收于100600元/吨，当日收盘价较昨日结算价变化1.27%。当日 成交量为597317手，持仓量为666027手，前一交易日持仓量662185手，根据SMM现货报价，目前基差为-5170元/ 吨（电碳均价-期货）。当日碳酸锂仓单15286手，较上个交易日变化26手。 碳酸锂现货：根据SMM数据，电池级碳酸锂报价94000-97700元/吨，较前一交易日变化700元/吨，工业级碳酸锂报 价92700-94000元/吨，较前一交易日变化700元/吨。6%锂精矿价格1260美元/吨，较前一日变化40美元/吨。据SMM 方面消息，下游材料厂持谨慎观望态度，采购意愿不强。 ...

智通财经获悉，锂业股早盘高开，截至发稿，天齐锂业(09696)涨3.73%，报48.36港元；赣锋锂业 (01772)涨3.61%，报50.85港元。 华泰期货认为，目前，供应端的不确定性是支撑价格偏强的关键因素之一，国内外供应干扰消息层出不 穷。整体来看，短期大概率维持高位震荡，需聚焦产能释放节奏与资金动向，警惕供需边际变化带来的 波动加剧。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，12月17日，碳酸锂期货主力合约大涨近5%，报105600元/吨。据报道，继宁德时代枧下窝矿 被关停后，"亚洲锂都"宜春又现大动作。宜春市自然资源局发布公示，拟对27宗采矿许可证予以注销。 江特电机旗下宜丰县狮子岭矿区含锂瓷石矿，是本次公示拟注销的27个采矿权之一。江特电机公告显 示，该公司已提交异议申请。 ...

Group 1: Lithium Mining Sector - Lithium mining stocks saw a significant rise, with Guocheng Mining (000688) and Jinyuan Co. (000546) hitting the daily limit up, while Dazhong Mining, Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Salt Lake Co. also experienced gains [1] - In the Hong Kong market, lithium battery stocks strengthened, with Ganfeng Lithium rising over 5% and Tianqi Lithium increasing more than 4% [1] - The main contract for lithium carbonate on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged by over 7% at one point, closing with a gain of 6.78% [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Guocheng Mining (000688) had a trading volume of 155,000 shares, with a total market value of 29.67 billion [4] - Jinyuan Co. (000546) opened at 6.75, reaching a high of 6.75 and a low of 6.35, with a trading volume of 543,000 shares and a market value of 5.249 billion [5]

Core Viewpoint - The election of José Antonio Kast marks a significant political shift in Chile, transitioning from a leftist to an extreme right leadership, particularly impacting the country's lithium industry, which is crucial for global supply chains [3][5][7]. Group 1: Political Shift and Economic Implications - Kast's victory represents a dramatic political swing in Chile, completing a near 180-degree turn from radical left to extreme right within four years [3][5]. - Chile holds approximately 31% to 34% of the world's lithium resources, supplying nearly 40% of the global market, making it a critical player in the lithium industry [5][7]. - Kast's economic philosophy emphasizes a return to free-market principles, contrasting sharply with the previous administration's focus on state control over strategic resources like lithium [15][20]. Group 2: Social and Ideological Changes - Kast's administration is expected to reinforce conservative social values, opposing progressive movements related to LGBTQ+ rights and women's rights, which could lead to renewed cultural conflicts in Chilean society [19][21]. - His strong stance on crime and immigration, including a "zero tolerance" policy, aims to address public safety concerns but may provoke humanitarian criticisms [17][19]. Group 3: International Relations and Lithium Cooperation - Despite the political changes, the fundamental economic relationship between China and Chile is likely to remain stable, as China is Chile's largest trading partner, with about 65% of lithium exports going to Asia [23][25]. - Kast's government may alter the lithium development model, potentially allowing for more private investment and participation from Chinese companies, which could reshape the dynamics of lithium resource management [27][29]. - The shift in Chile's foreign policy may lead to closer ties with the U.S., impacting the strategic positioning of Chilean lithium within global supply chains [27][29].

Group 1 - The lithium mining sector saw a significant increase, with related indices rising nearly 5% as of the report date [1] - Notable stock performances included Guocheng Mining and Jinyuan Co., both hitting the daily limit up, while Tianhua New Energy surged over 10% [1] - The lithium index reached 6504.79, marking a 4.79% increase [2] Group 2 - Lithium carbonate futures experienced a rise of over 6%, reaching 107,500 yuan per ton, the highest since May 2024, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 40% [3][4] - The trading volume for lithium carbonate futures was reported at 362,400 contracts, indicating strong market activity [4]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up 0.03%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.09%. Lithium mining stocks were active, with Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium both increasing by over 3%. The automotive sector saw a pullback, with Xpeng Motors declining by nearly 1% [1] - Galaxy Securities suggests that the Hong Kong stock market is expected to trend upwards due to a loose liquidity environment and favorable policies. Key sectors to focus on include technology, which is seen as a long-term investment theme, and consumer sectors that may receive significant policy support [1] - According to浦银国际, the market is likely to maintain a volatile trend in the short term, with potential rotation in investment styles. The lack of new catalysts and uncertainties regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts next year may lead to increased market fluctuations [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities believes that the current market has limited downside potential, but the chances for upward movement are not yet favorable. Market sentiment indicators remain in a pessimistic range, indicating a bottoming phase [2] - Future market catalysts may arise from three expected differences: 1) Renminbi appreciation could lead to significant changes in capital flows; 2) Concerns about exchange rate appreciation and high export baselines may persist, but there is an expectation of resilience in exports due to a stable Sino-U.S. relationship in the first half of next year; 3) Breakthroughs in domestic technology may pave an independent path [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market opened with mixed performance among the three major indices, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.06%, closing at 3822.51 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.1% [1] - The ChiNext Index rose by 0.03% [1] Sector Performance - The aquaculture, lithium mining, and precious metals sectors opened higher, reflecting positive investor sentiment in these areas [1] - The film and television, as well as commercial aerospace sectors, experienced adjustments, indicating potential challenges or profit-taking in these industries [1]

12月17日，锂矿概念盘初走高，截至发稿，相关指数大涨近5%；个股方面， 国城矿业、 金圆股份涨停，天华新能涨超10%， 大中矿业、盛新锂能、中矿资源、盐湖股份等跟涨。 | 09:41 N | | | | ···· · · 92 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 锂矿指数(884785) | | | | < W | | 6504.79 297.07 +4.79% | | | | 芸版 | 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 | 月度收益 | | 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ◆ | II | | 天华新能 | | 51.82 | 10.47% | 4.27% | | 300390.SZ | | | | | | 国城矿业 | | 25.34 | 9.98% | 0.64% | | 000688.SZ | | | | | | 金圆股份 | | 6.75 | 9.93% | 0.00% | | 000546.SZ | | | | | | 大中矿业 | | 27.95 | 8.63% | 1.05% | | 001203.SZ | | | | | | 盛新锂能 | | 31. ...