1月20日晚，兖矿能源、平煤股份两家煤炭开采行业上市公司对外披露2022年全年业绩预告，业绩均接 近翻倍。 兖矿能源预计，2022年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约308亿元。此前的陕西煤业发布业绩预告 称，预计2022年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润340亿元至362亿元。这两家公司每天净赚近亿元，成 为名副其实的"日进斗金"。 截至目前，A股共有9家煤炭开采行业上市公司对外披露2022年业绩预告，全部预喜，煤炭开采行业上 市公司整体表现不俗。 业绩大幅提升 兖矿能源1月20日晚间披露2022年业绩预增公告，公司预计2022年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约 308亿元，同比增长89%；预计2022年实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润约306亿 元，同比增长89%。 陕西煤业预计2022年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润340亿元至362亿元，同比增长58%至68%；扣除 非经常性损益后的净利润280亿元至302亿元，同比增长37%至47%。 平煤股份预计2022年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约57.2亿元，同比增长 95.76%；预计2022年度 实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净 ...

Market Performance - The coal sector has underperformed, with the CITIC Coal Index declining by 10.77% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, lagging behind the CSI 300 Index by 10.80 percentage points, ranking last among 30 industries [1][14][15] - The decline is attributed to weak demand for thermal power, leading to a continuous drop in coal prices and a significant decrease in coal company profits, raising concerns about the sustainability of high dividends in the coal industry [1][15] Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q2 2025, the proportion of active funds holding coal stocks decreased to 0.36%, down 0.08 percentage points from Q1 2025. Index funds' holdings also fell to 0.71%, a decrease of 0.12 percentage points [1][19] - The combined holding of both types of funds in the coal sector is now 0.52%, down 0.09 percentage points from Q1 2025 [1][19] Cost Perspective on Coal Price Valuation - The complete cost curve for 16 listed thermal coal companies indicates that the complete cost per ton of coal is approximately 390 CNY/ton, suggesting a port price of 640 CNY/ton. The port coal price fell to 618 CNY/ton in early June, indicating that over 20% of coal production capacity could face losses at this price level [2] - The current coal price is considered low in terms of valuation, as it is near the cost line, which could lead to production cuts if prices remain below cost [2] Historical Policy Interventions - Historical analysis shows that significant policy interventions were necessary for coal price reversals in 2008, 2015, and 2020. Each price bottom was accompanied by government actions to stimulate demand or control supply [3] - The report emphasizes that policy intervention is a necessary condition for coal price recovery, with expectations for potential government actions to support prices in the current context [3] Thermal Coal Price Outlook - The report suggests that the current thermal coal price of 618 CNY/ton may represent a bottom, with potential for recovery driven by improved demand in the second half of 2025 [4][6] - Two scenarios are outlined: an optimistic scenario where demand improves significantly, and a pessimistic scenario where demand remains weak, potentially leading to further price declines [6] Coking Coal Market Dynamics - The coking coal market has seen significant price drops due to supply-demand imbalances, with low-sulfur coking coal prices falling to around 1100 CNY/ton. The report indicates that this decline has already reflected market expectations [5][7] - The report highlights the importance of inventory rebuilding and the enforcement of production limits to support price recovery in the coking coal market [7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on major coal enterprises such as China Shenhua and China Coal Energy, as well as companies with significant earnings elasticity like Lu'an Huanneng and Jinneng Holding [8] - The report also notes the potential for price recovery in coking coal, with expectations for prices to rise to a range of 1500-2000 CNY/ton in the long term [7][8]

Group 1 - The report highlights that the company achieved a revenue of 461 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.46% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 127 million yuan, up 31.52% year-on-year, driven by increased sales and lower raw material and energy prices [6] - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 46.92%, an increase of 7.24 percentage points compared to the previous year [3][4] Group 2 - The company’s sales of titanium-silicon series catalysts and pyridine catalysts contributed significantly to revenue growth, with the special molecular sieve and catalyst series generating 413 million yuan, a 19.53% increase year-on-year [5] - The company has a strong focus on R&D, with expenses amounting to approximately 23.44 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 11.43% increase year-on-year [8] - The company has obtained a total of 241 authorized patents, indicating a commitment to innovation and product development [8] Group 3 - The report indicates that the company is positioned for rapid growth through a strategy of vertical deepening and horizontal extension, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [9] - The company has completed trial production of several projects, including 3000 tons of special molecular sieves and 1000 tons of environmental catalysts, which are expected to contribute to future revenue [9] - The company is actively expanding its product matrix and enhancing its service capabilities across the entire industry chain [9] Group 4 - The report projects that the company’s revenue will reach 1.026 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits expected to be 227 million yuan, reflecting a stable growth trajectory [10] - The company is identified as a leading domestic catalyst enterprise, with a solid main business and potential for rapid growth as new projects come online [10] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, emphasizing its investment value due to low current valuations and strong growth prospects [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [5]. Core Views - The report highlights that the thermal coal market prices continue to rise, with significant increases observed in various indices as of August 8, 2025. For instance, the Yulin 5800 kcal index reached 569.0 CNY/ton, up 24.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [11][12]. - The report notes that the coal market is operating steadily with a slight upward trend, driven by supply constraints due to production checks and adverse weather conditions affecting mining operations. Downstream demand remains robust, particularly from power plants, which are increasing their coal procurement [11][12]. - The report anticipates that the supply will continue to tighten due to overproduction policies, and with high temperatures persisting nationwide, the daily coal consumption by power plants is expected to remain elevated, making thermal coal prices more likely to rise than fall [11][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Views - The thermal coal market is experiencing price increases, with key indices showing significant week-on-week gains. The focus is on the supply-side constraints and strong downstream demand [11][12]. 2. Coal Sector Performance and Stock Review - The report indicates that the CSI 300 index rose by 1.23%, while the coal mining and washing index increased by 3.96%. Major coal companies like Shaanxi Coal and China Shenhua have shown notable stock performance [12][15]. 3. Important Announcements and News - Shaanxi Coal reported a 1.1% year-on-year increase in coal production for July, totaling 14.11 million tons. Nationally, coal imports in July decreased by 22.9% year-on-year but increased by 7.8% month-on-month [15][17][18]. 4. Dynamic Data Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of coal prices, with significant increases noted in various coal types, particularly thermal coal and coking coal, reflecting market trends and supply-demand dynamics [19][21][28]. 5. Key Company Valuations - The report includes valuations for major coal companies, highlighting their market capitalizations and projected earnings, with China Shenhua leading with a market cap of 732.31 billion CNY and a projected net profit of 586.7 million CNY for 2024 [42].

保险资金长期投资改革试点又有新进展，险资入市加速。 试点规模超两千亿，参与险企扩容 对于此次投资设立太平（深圳）私募证券投资基金管理有限公司，太平资产表示，旨在积极响应保险资 金长期投资改革试点。截至2024年末，太平资产管理资产总规模超过1.5万亿元。 太平资产进一步表示，"下一步将严格规范基金运作管理，建立健全长周期考核机制和符合保险资金特 性的投资策略，充分发挥保险资金长期资本、耐心资本作用，进一步加大中长期资金对于资本市场的投 资力度，坚定服务国家战略、服务实体经济，更好发挥保险资金'稳定器'和'压舱石'作用。" 当前，保险资金长期投资改革试点正加速落地，至今已有三批试点。首批于2023年10月获批，由中国人 寿、新华人寿联合出资500亿元设立鸿鹄基金，截至今年3月初，500亿元已全部投资落地。 2025年1月启动第二批试点，太保寿险、泰康人寿、阳光人寿及相关保险资产管理公司获准以契约制基 金方式参与试点，规模为520亿元。3月，国家金融监管总局再批600亿元保险资金长期股票投资试点， 人保寿险、中国人寿、太平人寿、新华人寿、平安人寿获准参与。因此，第二批保险资金长期股票投资 试点批复规模共计达112 ...

证券之星消息，8月11日煤炭开采板块较上一交易日下跌0.41%，陕西煤业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3647.55，上涨0.34%。深证成指报收于11291.43，上涨1.46%。煤炭开采板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600397 | 安源煤业 | 6.45 | 5.05% | 73.33万 | 4.74亿 | | 603071 | 物产环能 | 13.87 | 2.21% | 4.05万 | 5523.28万 | | 600758 | 辽宁能源 | 4.04 | 1.25% | 15.75万 | 6333.43万 | | 000983 | 山西焦煤 | 7.38 | 1.10% | 52.71万 | 3.86亿 | | 600403 | 大有能源 | 3.88 | 1.04% | 14.03万 | 5420.99万 | | 600546 | 山煤国际 | 10.27 | 0.29% | 20.71万 | 2.13亿 | | 600121 | 郑州煤电 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The investigation report on the "6·17" mechanical accident at the Tujun Coal Mine of Hunan Energy Group Jinzhushan Mining Co., Ltd. identifies the incident as a production safety responsibility accident, resulting in one fatality and direct economic losses of 1.3068 million yuan [1][3]. Incident Details - The accident occurred on June 17, 2025, at 23:10, when a scraper conveyor's head suddenly tilted and struck a worker, leading to his death [3]. - The incident took place at the second scraper conveyor head in the 2139 mining face, approximately 46 meters from the safety exit [5]. - The direct cause of the accident was identified as the scraper conveyor being blocked by coal gangue, leading to a broken load pin, and the operator's violation of safety protocols by not disconnecting the power supply while replacing the load pin [7]. Contributing Factors - The investigation highlighted several indirect causes: - Poor management of electrical and mechanical systems, including non-compliance with installation and maintenance regulations [8]. - Inadequate safety training and failure to learn from previous similar accidents [8]. - Insufficient risk identification and control measures regarding the potential dangers of scraper conveyors [8]. - Lack of effective oversight from higher management levels, leading to persistent issues in mechanical management [8]. Accountability and Previous Incidents - A total of 13 individuals from Hunan Coal Industry Co., Ltd., Lianshao Management Bureau, Jinzhushan Mining Co., Ltd., and Tujun Coal Mine have been subjected to administrative penalties or disciplinary actions due to the accident [9]. - The Tujun Coal Mine has a troubling history, with 33 work-related accidents reported from June 2024 to June 2025, including 13 mechanical transport accidents, indicating a lack of effective safety measures [9]. - Previous incidents, such as a scraper conveyor accident on November 6, 2024, were not adequately addressed, reflecting a failure to implement necessary preventive measures [9]. Company Background - Hunan Energy Group Jinzhushan Mining Co., Ltd. operates the Tujun Coal Mine, which was established in 1966 and has a designed production capacity of 300,000 tons per year, with a certified capacity of 270,000 tons per year [10]. - The company is a state-owned enterprise under Hunan Coal Industry Co., Ltd., which oversees multiple mining operations in the region [10].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Views - Plastic: There is an expectation of a rebound in downstream开工, and it is expected to fluctuate in the short term. Polyethylene downstream is still in the traditional off - season, with no obvious boost in terminal demand. Although the overall downstream开工 rate has increased, the continuous restocking strength is insufficient. The market's expectation of anti - involution policies will still support the market. It is recommended to short on rallies, with the 2509 contract expected to fluctuate in the range of 7200 - 7500 [5][6]. - PP: The pressure on the disk trend is relatively large, and it will fluctuate in the short term. During the off - season of demand, the downstream开工 rate remains stable. The upcoming "Golden September and Silver October" and the recent takeaway market competition will support downstream demand to some extent. However, there are many new production capacities on the supply side, and the disk pressure is still expected to be large. It is recommended to short on rallies, with the 2509 contract expected to fluctuate in the range of 6900 - 7200 [7][8]. Summary by Directory Plastic Market Changes - On August 8, the closing price of the plastic main contract was 7290 yuan/ton, a decrease of 27 yuan/ton from last week. The average price of LDPE was 9533.33 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase of 0.18%. The average price of HDPE was 7987.50 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 0.16%. The average price of LLDPE (7042) in South China was 7483.53 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 0.44%. The LLDPE South China basis was 185.29 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 3.11%. The 6 - 9 month spread was 70 yuan/ton (+25), with the basis narrowing and the month spread widening [6]. Fundamental Changes - **Cost and Profit**: WTI crude oil closed at 63.35 US dollars/barrel, a decrease of 3.91 US dollars/barrel from last week. Brent crude oil closed at 66.32 US dollars/barrel, a decrease of 3.20 US dollars/barrel from last week. The price of anthracite at the Yangtze River port was 1060 yuan/ton (+10). The profit of oil - based PE was - 352 yuan/ton, an increase of 138 yuan/ton from last week. The profit of coal - based PE was 989 yuan/ton, a decrease of 206 yuan/ton from last week [6]. - **Supply**: The operating rate of polyethylene production in China this week was 84.08%, an increase of 2.99 percentage points from last week. The weekly polyethylene output was 66.02 tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.99%. The maintenance loss this week was 7.87 tons, a decrease of 1.28 tons from last week [6]. - **Demand**: The overall operating rate of agricultural film was 13.07%, an increase of 0.44% from last week. The operating rate of PE packaging film was 49.30%, an increase of 0.60% from last week. The operating rate of PE pipes was 29.00%, an increase of 0.33% from last week [6]. - **Inventory**: The social inventory of plastic enterprises this week was 57.57 tons, an increase of 1.40 tons from last week, a month - on - month increase of 2.09% [6]. PP Market Changes - On August 8, the closing price of the polypropylene 2509 contract was 7062 yuan/ton, a decrease of 36 yuan/ton from last week. The spot price of polypropylene reported by Shengyi.com was 7246.67 yuan/ton (-8.33), a month - on - month decrease of 0.11%. The PP basis was 185 yuan/ton (-36), with the basis narrowing. The 5 - 9 month spread was 24 yuan/ton (-2), with the month spread narrowing [8]. Fundamental Changes - **Cost and Profit**: WTI crude oil closed at 63.35 US dollars/barrel, a decrease of 3.91 US dollars/barrel from last week. Brent crude oil closed at 66.32 US dollars/barrel, a decrease of 3.20 US dollars/barrel from last week. The price of anthracite at the Yangtze River port was 1060 yuan/ton (+10). The profit of oil - based PP was - 343.52 yuan/ton, an increase of 129.54 yuan/ton from last week. The profit of coal - based PP was 519.29 yuan/ton, a decrease of 165.41 yuan/ton from last week [8]. - **Supply**: The operating rate of PP petrochemical enterprises in China this week was 77.31%, a decrease of 0.37 percentage points from last week. The weekly output of PP pellets reached 77.71 tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.49%. The weekly output of PP powder reached 6.77 tons, a month - on - month increase of 0.91% [8]. - **Demand**: The average downstream operating rate this week was 48.90% (+0.50%). The operating rate of plastic weaving was 41.10% (-0%), the operating rate of BOPP was 60.80% (+0%), the operating rate of injection molding was 56.73% (+0%), and the operating rate of pipes was 36.23% (+0.06%) [8]. - **Inventory**: The domestic inventory of polypropylene this week was 58.71 tons (+3.95%); the inventory of the two major oil companies increased by 5.18% month - on - month; the inventory of traders increased by 8.08% month - on - month; the port inventory decreased by 2.08% month - on - month [8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the market price of coking coal (quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke) in late July 2025 is 1221.4 yuan/ton, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 35.52% but a month-on-month increase of 9.73% [1] - Over the past five years, the highest price for this commodity was recorded in late July 2021, reaching 2506.8 yuan/ton [1]

Core Insights - The market price of coking coal (main coking coal) in late July 2025 is reported at 1375 CNY per ton, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 27.87% but a month-on-month increase of 19.57% [1] Price Trends - The price of coking coal in late July 2025 is significantly lower compared to the peak price of 2192.9 CNY per ton recorded in late July 2022, indicating a substantial decrease over the past year [1]