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乳企的B端生意:毛利率越来越低
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-29 00:26
Industry Overview - The dairy market is experiencing a contraction, with a projected 2.7% year-on-year decline in total sales for 2024 according to Nielsen IQ [1] - Dairy production companies are under significant pressure due to an oversupply of raw milk, leading to increased production of industrial milk powder and a surge in inventory [1] Company Performance - Yili's revenue for 2024 is reported at 115.393 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.24% year-on-year, with a net profit of 8.453 billion yuan, down 18.94% [2] - Mengniu's revenue stands at 88.6748 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.1% decline, while its net profit plummeted by 97.8% to 10.45 million yuan [2] - Bright Dairy reported revenue of 24.278 billion yuan, down 8.33%, with a net profit decrease of 25.36% to 722 million yuan [2] Strategic Shifts - The B2B segment, particularly in partnerships with restaurants and cafes, is becoming increasingly important for dairy companies as they seek to mitigate losses [2] - Yili has formed partnerships with major restaurant chains like Haidilao and Hushang Ayi, while Mengniu has established strategic collaborations with Yum China and Daka International [2] Pricing Dynamics - The competitive landscape has led to significantly lower transaction prices for milk powder, with major tea beverage companies leveraging this to negotiate favorable terms [3] - The decline in milk prices has helped stabilize costs for coffee companies, allowing them to maintain product pricing and profitability [4] Market Impact - The low prices in the dairy sector are seen as a potential pathway for companies to reduce losses by capturing restaurant business [5] - The pricing war in the restaurant market has eased due to the lower dairy prices, providing some relief to the sector [6]
液态奶产量5年来首度负增长,乳品消费亟待打破瓶颈
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 08:22
Group 1 - The core issue in the dairy industry is the mismatch between traditional dairy products and new consumer demands, particularly among young and elderly demographics [1][5] - The dairy industry in China experienced its first negative growth in five years, with total production dropping to 29.62 million tons in 2024, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year [2] - Major dairy companies such as Yili, Mengniu, and Bright Dairy reported revenue declines of 8%-10% in 2024, reflecting the industry's overall downturn [2] Group 2 - Per capita dairy consumption in China fell to 41.5 kg in 2024, a decrease of 5.6% compared to the previous year, while global average consumption is around 140 kg [4] - The structure of dairy products in China is heavily reliant on liquid milk, which has reached a growth bottleneck, necessitating a shift towards high-value imported dairy products [4][5] - The rise of new consumption scenarios, such as ready-to-eat cheese and health-focused products, presents opportunities for growth in the dairy sector [5][7] Group 3 - Dairy companies are increasingly focusing on functional and health-oriented products, with major players like Yili and Mengniu prioritizing product innovation in this area [7][8] - The aging population in China is expected to create significant market opportunities for health-focused dairy products, particularly for the elderly demographic [8][9] - Reports suggest that the "quasi-elderly" group (ages 45-64) also faces nutritional imbalances, indicating a need for targeted dairy products to meet their specific health requirements [9]
新消费股,逆势大涨
第一财经· 2025-05-28 07:44
2025.05. 28 本文字数:690,阅读时长大约1分钟 作者 | 第一财经 5月28日,三大股指集体收跌,上证指数报收3339.93点,跌0.02%;深成指报收10003.27点,跌 0.26%;创业板指报收1985.38点,跌0.31%。 【主力资金】 主力资金全天净流入机械设备、电力设备、通信等板块,净流出银行、传媒、公用事业等板块。 具体到个股来看,雪人股份、供销大集、国芳集团获净流入5.06亿元、3.37亿元、3.36亿元。 净流出方面,比亚迪、中国长城、赛力斯遭抛售8.33亿元、7.51亿元、6.21亿元。 【机构观点】 东方证券: 月末流动性扰动延续,债市融资高峰下,长债端收益率或维持高位,市场资金整体偏紧。结 构性行情下,新消费、新制造相继轮动。持续性上,业绩印证度较好的细分行业,短期弹性可能相对更 好,例如消费、医药等领域业绩印证相对可控。而科技条线,则更依赖后续行业突破带来的发力机会,关 注机器人、智能驾驶、互联网平台等领域的左侧机会。 盘面上,市场热点较为杂乱,个股跌多涨少,全市场超3400只个股下跌。从板块来看,新消费股逆势大 涨,饮料、IP经济等方向领涨,会稽山等多股涨停。 具体 ...
乳业板块短线拉升 李子园、新乳业涨停
news flash· 2025-05-28 05:06
这几只票暗盘资金正在偷偷流入,立即查看>> 乳业板块短线拉升,李子园(605337)、新乳业(002946)涨停,欢乐家(300997)、均瑶健康 (605388)此前封板,西部牧业(300106)、骑士乳业、庄园牧场(002910)、益生股份(002458)、 燕塘乳业(002732)等跟涨。 ...
晚报 | 5月28日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-05-27 14:26
明日主题前瞻 1、外骨骼机器人 | 5月27日,上海市发改委等多部门印发《上海市加快推进康复辅助器具产业发展三年行动方案(2025-2027年)》。其中提到,引导社会 力量及社会资本加大在康复辅助器具领域的投入和产业化布局。支持将自主研制的康复辅助器具产品纳入《上海市创新产品推荐目录》。支持将采用人工智 能技术的助听器、智能轮椅、智能导盲仪等智慧健康养老终端以及康复机器人、养老助残服务机器人等智能机器人产品纳入产业高质量发展专项支持范围。 点评:分析认为,近年来,国务院、工信部、发改委等多部门陆续发布了多项政策,多次明确提出大力发展康复辅助器具产业,围绕康复辅助器具、智慧健 康养老等重点领域,谋划一批前瞻性、战略性科技攻关项目。这些政策内容主要集中在医疗康复外骨骼机器人领域。地方政府积极响应,目前北京、江苏、 河北等十一省市已将外骨骼治疗纳入医保,患者支付成本可降低60%以上。目前来看,在医疗领域,外骨骼机器人可帮助老年人、残疾人以及中风、偏瘫患 者等群体进行康复训练。随着机器人与人工智能相关技术不断进步,外骨骼机器人的应用场景正不断拓宽。日前,外骨骼机器人多款新产品陆续上市并实现 应用,消费级外骨骼机器人市 ...
骑士乳业(832786) - 关于投资者关系活动记录表的公告
2025-05-27 12:05
投资者关系活动记录表 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 一、 投资者关系活动类别 □特定对象调研 √业绩说明会 □媒体采访 □现场参观 □新闻发布会 证券代码:832786 证券简称:骑士乳业 公告编号:2025-049 内蒙古骑士乳业集团股份有限公司 □分析师会议 □路演活动 □其他 二、 投资者关系活动情况 活动时间:2025 年 5 月 26 日 活动地点:价值在线(www.ir-online.cn) 参会单位及人员:通过网络方式参加公司 2024 年年度报告业绩说明会的投 资者 上市公司接待人员:公司董事长、总经理:党涌涛先生;公司董事、董事会 秘书:陈勇先生;公司董事、财务负责人:王喜临女士;公司保荐代表人:沈劼 先生 三、 投资者关系活动主要内容 问题 1:公司对于今年原奶行情如何看待?去年因为原奶价格下降对减值影 响较大,今年影响能否消除?公司将采取哪些措施改善业绩? 回答:尊敬的投资者您好,中国牛奶市场的行情受多种因素影响,包括供需 关系、饲料成本及国际市场波动等。 问题 ...
【新型工业化媒体调研行】上海“智”造先锋:AI重构工业新范式下的柔性生产
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 10:43
Core Insights - The integration of AI in manufacturing is transforming traditional production methods into flexible and efficient systems, exemplified by the "future factory" concept in Shanghai [1][9] - AI is enabling significant improvements in production efficiency, cost savings, and operational flexibility across various sectors, including heavy equipment, dairy, industrial software, and supply chain management [2][4][5][8] Group 1: Heavy Equipment Transformation - The Shanghai Electric Power Station Turbine Factory has enhanced its production efficiency by over 30% through digitalization, allowing for real-time adjustments and optimal processing paths [2] - The factory has reduced waiting times in production processes by 43% by utilizing a "digital twin" model that integrates equipment parameters and production data [2][3] Group 2: Dairy Industry Innovations - Bright Dairy has implemented AI across its entire supply chain, improving feed efficiency by 12% and reducing energy consumption by 9% through optimized temperature control [4] - The AI system allows for real-time tracking of milk from farm to shelf, enhancing operational efficiency and cost savings [4] Group 3: Industrial Software Advancements - AI tools are streamlining processes for small and medium-sized factories, reducing preparation time for non-standard orders by 60% [5][7] - The use of AI-generated code for manufacturing execution systems has significantly shortened customization timelines from months to days [7] Group 4: Supply Chain Optimization - AI is enhancing the resilience of supply chains by quickly matching orders with production capabilities, achieving a 98.7% order fulfillment rate even during disruptions [8] - The platform's transaction volume is projected to reach 22.6 billion yuan in 2024, with over 40% of orders driven by AI across industries [8] Group 5: Overall Industry Impact - The shift from standardized mass production to personalized and precise services marks a historical transition in industrial civilization, driven by AI's capabilities [9] - The practices in Shanghai serve as a model for global manufacturing transformation, showcasing China's innovative approach to integrating AI in production [9]
乳业概念涨3.55%,主力资金净流入这些股
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-05-27 10:23
(原标题:乳业概念涨3.55%,主力资金净流入这些股) 截至5月27日收盘,乳业概念上涨3.55%,位居概念板块涨幅第2,板块内,28股上涨,科拓生物、*ST 天山等20%涨停,均瑶健康涨停,欢乐家、西部牧业、骑士乳业等涨幅居前,分别上涨7.48%、6.98%、 6.72%。跌幅居前的有新乳业、伊利股份、怡亚通等,分别下跌2.42%、0.49%、0.22%。 | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅(%) | 概念 | 今日涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 草甘膦 | 6.09 | 同花顺果指数 | -1.47 | | 乳业 | 3.55 | 中国AI 50 | -1.38 | | 供销社 | 2.72 | WiFi 6 | -1.35 | | NMN概念 | 2.72 | F5G概念 | -1.34 | | 培育钻石 | 2.34 | AI PC | -1.31 | | 毛发医疗 | 2.20 | 共封装光学(CPO) | -1.27 | | 代糖概念 | 2.20 | 英伟达概念 | -1.26 | | 幽门螺杆菌概念 | 2.18 | AI手机 | -1.25 | | 农业种植 ...
5月27日A股收评:草甘膦逆势爆发,消费电子拖累大盘!中长线该盯着这些真逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 10:04
家人们好,这里是帮主郑重的收评时间。今天这行情啊,用"冰火两重天"来形容一点不为过。三大指数集体收跌,但个股却是涨多跌少,这说明市场内部的 结构性分化特别明显。作为20年的老财经记者,我始终相信,中长线投资要做的不是追热点,而是看透表象背后的真逻辑。 今日行情让我想起2018年贸易战时期——指数萎靡但结构机会喷涌。记住三条铁律:不在情绪高潮时追涨,不在逻辑破灭时死扛,不在产业黎明前撤退。 最后给大家划个重点:当前市场进入"打地鼠"模式,板块轮动快,但中长线的核心逻辑始终没变。消费升级、农业现代化、科技赋能,这些才是真正值得长 期关注的方向。就像我常说的,中长线投资不是百米冲刺,而是马拉松,选对赛道比跑得快更重要。 我是帮主郑重,专注中长线投资20年,明天同一时间,咱们接着聊市场里的真逻辑。 接下来重点聊聊板块。首先是逆势爆发的草甘膦和农化板块。这两天草甘膦概念涨得很凶,中旗股份20cm涨停,广信股份、中农联合也跟着封板。这背后 其实有两层逻辑:一是全球农业政策调整,各国都在推动农业现代化,高效农药的需求持续增加;二是国内企业技术升级,像广信股份采用了环保生产工 艺,成本降下来了,竞争力自然就上去了。不过这里得 ...
涨停股里藏玄机!帮主扒一扒草甘膦、乳业这些热票的真逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 10:00
最后聊聊培育钻石板块的黄河旋风。这票涨停不意外,因为培育钻石行业正在经历"渗透率突破期"。现在国内培育钻石渗透率已经从去年的6.5%提升到 9.2%,价格只有天然钻石的三分之一,而且环保属性契合Z世代消费观。黄河旋风厉害在哪?他家掌握了1-5克拉钻石毛坯量产技术,良品率达到85%,比同 行高10个百分点。不过要提醒大家,培育钻石上游依赖设备(比如压机),中长线得关注设备国产化进度,这才是降本扩产的关键。 最后给大家敲个黑板:今天这些涨停股,表面看是资金在炒热点,实则是中长线逻辑在"发芽"。农业里的科技升级、消费里的细分创新、制造业里的国产替 代,这些才是真正值得深挖的"金矿"。作为20年的老财经记者,我始终坚信:中长线投资就像种树,选对种子比天天浇水更重要。咱们不追短期涨停潮,只 找能长十年的"好苗子"。 我是帮主郑重,专注中长线投资20年,明天同一时间,咱们接着拆解市场里的"真功夫"。 家人们好,这里是帮主郑重的复盘分享时间。今天咱们来聊聊5月27日A股市场里那些"涨停尖子生",看看这些票为啥能逆势封板,背后又藏着哪些中长线 值得关注的信号。 先来看第一个"显眼包"——草甘膦板块。中旗股份20cm涨停,广信 ...