Market Overview - The tourism and scenic spots sector increased by 1.21% on November 25, with Tianfu Culture and Tourism leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3870.02, up 0.87%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12777.31, up 1.53% [1] Stock Performance - Tianfu Culture and Tourism (000558) closed at 5.89, with a rise of 6.90% and a trading volume of 2.33 million shares, amounting to a transaction value of 1.367 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - Caesar Travel (000796) at 6.94, up 3.74% [1] - Emei Mountain A (000888) at 13.17, up 2.57% [1] - Three Gorges Tourism (002627) at 6.40, up 2.40% [1] - Xiyu Tourism (300859) at 35.67, up 1.54% [1] Capital Flow - The tourism and scenic spots sector saw a net inflow of 241 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 116 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks indicates: - Tianfu Culture and Tourism had a main fund net inflow of 236 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 138 million yuan [3] - Emei Mountain A recorded a main fund net inflow of 56 million yuan, with retail funds experiencing a net outflow of 31 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Dalian Shengya's stock has shown significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 34.10% but a recent decline of 9.49% over the last five trading days [1] - As of November 25, Dalian Shengya's stock price was 48.65 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 6.346 billion CNY [1] - The company has experienced a net outflow of main funds amounting to 10.86 million CNY, with large orders showing a buy of 45.16 million CNY and a sell of 51.96 million CNY [1] Group 2 - Dalian Shengya's main business revenue composition includes 80.33% from scenic area operations, 13.69% from commercial operations, 3.34% from hotel operations, and 2.62% from animal operations [1] - As of September 30, the number of shareholders decreased by 17.26% to 23,100, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 20.86% to 5,576 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Dalian Shengya reported a revenue of 429 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.38%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 65.97 million CNY, a decrease of 37.27% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - Since its A-share listing, Dalian Shengya has distributed a total of 55.20 million CNY in dividends, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong performance in Q3, with revenue growth of 15.5% year-on-year, surpassing Bloomberg's expectation of 14.6% [11] - The Non-GAAP net profit increased significantly by 221.2% to 191.56 billion yuan, primarily due to the sale of a stake in Makemytrip [11] - The adjusted EBITDA related to the main business was 63.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.7% increase, which also exceeded expectations [11] Revenue Breakdown - The company's accommodation booking revenue reached 80.5 billion yuan, up 18.3%, while transportation ticketing revenue was 63.1 billion yuan, up 11.6% [12] - International platform revenue is expected to grow by 40%, with Trip.com platform hotel and flight bookings increasing over 60% [12] - Domestic revenue is estimated to have grown about 10%, with hotel night stays maintaining a growth rate of 15% [12] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to structural impacts from the growth of Trip.com [13] - The operating profit margin (OPM) for the first three quarters showed a gradual improvement in the decline rate, indicating operational efficiency [13] - The company is expected to maintain a total revenue growth rate of over 15% despite short-term fluctuations in international travel [14] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve Non-GAAP net profits of 318 billion yuan in 2025, with a dynamic PE ratio of 11x [14] - Revenue forecasts for the upcoming years are as follows: 61.86 billion yuan in 2025, 71.40 billion yuan in 2026, and 82.24 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [5][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the hotel and duty-free industries, indicating a positive outlook for operational improvements in these sectors [1]. Core Viewpoints - Despite the overall pressure on consumption in the current macro environment, a structural recovery trend in certain consumer service sectors is becoming increasingly evident. Operational improvements are being observed, suggesting a gradual exit from the bottom range [4]. - The hotel industry is experiencing an optimization in supply-demand dynamics, with core operational data showing marginal improvements, indicating a mild upward trend in industry prosperity supported by sustained travel demand [4]. - The duty-free industry is expected to benefit from policy incentives, particularly with the upcoming operational phase in Hainan and the continued rollout of related policies, which are anticipated to catalyze new growth opportunities [4]. Industry Basic Data - The consumer services industry comprises 55 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 498.804 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 457.081 billion yuan [1]. Market Performance - The consumer services sector experienced a decline of 4.86% this week, while the overall A-share market fell by 5.14%. The CSI 300 index decreased by 3.77% [7][23]. - Notable stocks in the consumer services sector that performed well include Dalian Shengya, Chuangye Heima, and Shangri-La (Asia) [4]. Important Announcements - Huazhu Group reported a 17.5% year-on-year increase in hotel revenue for Q3 2025, reaching 30.6 billion yuan, with net profit of 1.5 billion yuan [30]. - Ctrip Group's Q3 net operating revenue was approximately 18.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 16% year-on-year growth, with a net profit increase of 192.6% [30]. - Wanwu Xingsheng achieved a total revenue of 5.15 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a 27.1% year-on-year increase [30]. Upcoming Shareholder Meetings - Several companies in the consumer services sector have scheduled shareholder meetings in the coming month, including Bubu Gao on December 11, Guilin Tourism on December 5, and Guangzhou Restaurant on November 28 [31].

Core Viewpoint - The tourism and scenic spots sector experienced a rise of 1.32% on November 24, with Tianfu Culture and Tourism leading the gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3836.77, up 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12585.08, up 0.37% [1] - Key stocks in the tourism sector showed significant increases, with Tianfu Culture and Tourism rising by 4.55% to a closing price of 5.51 [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Notable performers included: - Tianfu Culture and Tourism (000558): 5.51, +4.55%, 844,600 shares traded, 463 million yuan turnover [1] - Zhongxin Tourism (002707): 6.97, +3.41%, 220,200 shares traded, 152 million yuan turnover [1] - Qujiang Culture and Tourism (600706): 10.60, +3.11%, 101,500 shares traded, 107 million yuan turnover [1] - Conversely, Caesar Travel (000796) saw a decline of 6.69% to 6.69, with a trading volume of 1,428,100 shares and a turnover of 973 million yuan [2] Group 3: Capital Flow - The tourism and scenic spots sector experienced a net outflow of 40.05 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 105 million yuan [2] - Specific stock capital flows indicated: - Tianfu Culture and Tourism: -30.41 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Zhongxin Tourism: +13.34 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Yunnan Tourism (002059): +10.78 million yuan from institutional investors, but -33.39 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Three Gorges Tourism has shown a year-to-date increase of 27.51%, despite a recent decline of 1.72% over the last five trading days, indicating volatility in its performance [1]. Company Overview - China Three Gorges Tourism Group Co., Ltd. is located at No. 5 Gangyao Road, Yichang City, Hubei Province, established on August 10, 1998, and listed on November 3, 2011 [2]. - The company's main business includes passenger station operations, inter-provincial bus services, domestic express delivery, insurance agency services, port machinery leasing, ticketing services, and tourism operations [2]. Revenue Composition - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: - Tourism comprehensive services: 34.47% - Comprehensive transportation services: 21.36% - Travel agency business: 15.80% - Sightseeing cruise services: 12.18% - Passenger travel services: 8.94% - Trade logistics: 8.50% - Port services: 4.07% - Vehicle extension services: 3.93% - Tourism transportation services: 2.19% - Other services: 0.50% - Scenic area business: 0.24% [2]. Stock Performance and Shareholder Information - As of November 10, the number of shareholders for China Three Gorges Tourism is 28,400, a decrease of 1.31% from the previous period, with an average of 25,282 circulating shares per person, an increase of 1.33% [3]. - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 609 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.48%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.29% to 85.87 million yuan [3]. Dividend and Institutional Holdings - Since its A-share listing, China Three Gorges Tourism has distributed a total of 508 million yuan in dividends, with 138 million yuan distributed over the last three years [4]. - As of September 30, 2025, notable institutional shareholders include: - Penghua Quality Governance Mixed Fund (LOF) A, holding 15.59 million shares, ranked as the fourth largest shareholder and a new entrant - Fortune CSI Tourism Theme ETF, holding 10.39 million shares, ranked as the ninth largest shareholder and a new entrant - Penghua Industry Select Mixed Fund A, holding 9.43 million shares, ranked as the tenth largest shareholder and a new entrant [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company with a target price of 10.8 yuan per share, indicating an expected upside of 11.6% [2][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.16 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.2%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 54 million yuan, a decrease of 32.9% year-on-year. For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 8.03 billion yuan, up 13.9% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 121 million yuan, down 21.1% year-on-year [2][7]. - Extreme weather conditions have negatively impacted visitor numbers and revenue, particularly in key tourist areas like Wuzhen and Gubei Water Town, leading to significant declines in both visitor numbers and profits [2][7]. - The company is making steady progress in integrated marketing and travel agency operations, maintaining profitability while servicing high-profile events and corporate marketing activities [2][7]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 11.61 billion yuan in 2025, 12.18 billion yuan in 2026, and 12.64 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.6%, 4.9%, and 3.8% respectively [2][8]. - **Net Profit Forecasts**: Expected net profits attributable to shareholders are forecasted at 140 million yuan in 2025, 186 million yuan in 2026, and 210 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of -13.0%, 33.4%, and 12.7% respectively [2][8]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to be 0.19 yuan in 2025, 0.26 yuan in 2026, and 0.29 yuan in 2027 [2][8]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 49 in 2025, 37 in 2026, and 33 in 2027, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio remains stable at 1.1 [2][8].

Market Overview - The tourism and scenic spots sector experienced a decline of 3.08% on November 21, with Dalian Shengya leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Stock Performance - Dalian Shengya saw a significant drop of 10.00%, closing at 47.34, with a trading volume of 147,500 shares and a transaction value of 714 million [2] - Other notable declines included Tianfu Culture Tourism (-4.18%), Changzi Mountain (-4.08%), and Qujiang Culture Tourism (-3.93%) [2] Capital Flow - The tourism and scenic spots sector experienced a net outflow of 486 million from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 461 million [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Yunnan Tourism had a main fund net inflow of 10.99 million, while it faced a retail net outflow of 32.27 million [3] - Huangshan Tourism and Sanxia Tourism experienced significant net outflows from main funds, at 10.61 million and 11.62 million respectively, while both saw positive retail inflows [3]

酒店：经营端环比改善，关注供需关系变化 2025年三季度，酒店集团经营层面环比改善，主要驱动因素为房价，入住率受行业整体供需关系影响， 表现相对较弱。单2025年三季度，锦江、首旅-不含轻管理RevPAR分别恢复至2019年同期的101.1%、 94.3%，二季度恢复率分别为96.4%、88.3%，环比恢复率提升。其中ADR分别恢复至2019年同期的 113.7%、113.2%，OCC分别恢复至2019年同期的88.9%、83.3%。 旅游及景区：业绩分化明显 2025年单三季度，各旅游景区业绩分化较为明显。与2024年相比，23家景区公司中，8家公司归母净利 润同比正增长，12家公司营收同比正增长。从归母净利润增速上看，增速最高为*ST张股（000430）(张 家界)405%，其次为西藏旅游（600749）34.7%，最低为曲江文旅（600706）-277%；从营收增速上看， 增速最高为祥源文旅（600576）35.1%，其次为凯撒旅业（000796）19.8%，最低为云南旅游 （002059）-53.6%。 华创证券发布研报称，2025年前三季度，社会服务行业整体营收平稳增长，利润率有所下滑。细分行 业， ...

Group 1 - Yunnan Tourism's stock price increased by 2.05% to 5.96 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 375 million CNY and a turnover rate of 6.50%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 6.034 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 10.58%, with recent gains of 3.65% over the last five trading days, 7.78% over the last twenty days, and 14.40% over the last sixty days [1] - Yunnan Tourism has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" five times this year, with the most recent appearance on September 25 [1] Group 2 - The company operates in the social services sector, specifically in tourism and scenic areas, and is involved in online tourism, tourism hotels, low-cost travel, small-cap stocks, and state-owned enterprise reforms [2] - As of November 10, the number of shareholders increased to 68,500, a rise of 8.47%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 7.81% to 14,350 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Yunnan Tourism reported a revenue of 185 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 58.72%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of -132 million CNY, a decline of 196.83% [2] Group 3 - Since its A-share listing, Yunnan Tourism has distributed a total of 212 million CNY in dividends, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the sixth largest circulating shareholder is the Fortune China Securities Tourism Theme ETF, holding 10.1815 million shares, an increase of 3.65 million shares from the previous period [3]