Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, better than expected, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 4.1% [11] - The market has reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July and September following strong employment data [3][11] Trade and Tariffs - U.S. Treasury Secretary warned that about 100 countries may face at least a 10% reciprocal tariff, with Trump set to inform trade partners about unilateral tariff rates [11] - The "Big and Beautiful" bill passed the House despite two Republican defections, with Trump expected to sign it [14] Oil Production - OPEC+ is discussing an increase in production by 411,000 barrels per day in August [14] Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.77%, S&P 500 up 0.83%, and Nasdaq up over 1.02% [5] - European stock indices also saw gains, with Germany's DAX30 up 0.61% and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.55% [6] Commodity Prices - Spot gold fell significantly, dropping over $50 to a low of $3,311.65 before closing at $3,325.50 per ounce, down 0.94% [4][8] - WTI crude oil fluctuated around $66, closing down 0.58% at $66.23 per barrel, while Brent crude fell 0.39% to $68.51 [5][8] Chinese Market Developments - The A-share market saw all three major indices close in the green, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.17% [7] - The biotechnology sector showed strength, with several stocks rising over 10% [7]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a rebound on July 3, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.17%, and the ChiNext Index gaining 1.9% [2] - A total of 3,271 stocks rose, with 66 hitting the daily limit up, while 1,866 stocks declined [3][4] - The total trading volume reached 13,335.06 billion, with a total of 108,789.9 million shares traded [4] Sector Performance - Computing hardware stocks surged again, with PCB and related sectors leading the gains. Notable stocks included Zhongjing Electronics, Bomin Electronics, and Jin'an Guoji, all hitting the daily limit up [5] - Innovative drug concept stocks continued their strong performance, with companies like Weiming Pharmaceutical and Shenzhou Cell also reaching the daily limit up [7] - The solid-state battery sector saw a midday rally, with stocks such as Dadongnan, Hongtian Co., and Zhongyi Technology hitting the daily limit up [9] Notable Stock Movements - Key stocks in the computing hardware sector included: - Yihua New Materials: +20.00% at 32.64 - Zhongyi Technology: +19.99% at 23.89 - Bomin Electronics: +10.04% at 10.41 [6] - In the innovative drug sector, significant gainers included: - Guangshengtang: +20.00% at 42.78 - Shenzhou Cell: +19.99% at 73.34 - Weiming Pharmaceutical: +10.03% at 10.86 [8] - Solid-state battery stocks also saw notable increases, with Zhongyi Technology at +19.99% and Hongtian Co. at +10.02% [10] Downward Trends - The marine economy sector faced adjustments, with Kelaite dropping over 10% [11] U.S.-China Trade Developments - The Trump administration canceled recent export licensing requirements for chip design software sales to China, a move aligned with a trade agreement aimed at easing key technology restrictions [12] - Major EDA (Electronic Design Automation) companies, including Synopsys, Cadence Design Systems, and Siemens, are expected to benefit from this change, as they previously required government approval to operate in China [12][13] - The EDA market, while only $11.5 billion, plays a crucial role in the $440 billion global semiconductor industry, with the top three companies controlling 74% of the market [13]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a rebound with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, driven by a surge in computing hardware stocks and other sectors [1] Market Performance - The ChiNext Index rose by 1.9%, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.17% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.31 trillion, a decrease of 67.2 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Highlights - Computing hardware stocks saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, particularly in the PCB sector [1] - Innovative drug concept stocks also performed well, with companies like ShenZhou Cell reaching the daily limit [1] - Solid-state battery concept stocks rebounded, with DaDongNan experiencing a dramatic price increase [1] Declining Sectors - The marine economy sector faced adjustments, with Krait falling over 10% [1] - Sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, marine economy, oil and gas, and gaming showed declines [1]

Group 1 - The computing hardware sector is showing strong momentum, with Shenghong Technology's stock price rising over 4% and its market capitalization surpassing 120 billion yuan [1] - Industrial Fulian's stock also performed well, increasing nearly 8%, alongside other related stocks such as Dekeli, Guanghe Technology, Zhongjing Electronics, Xinya Electronics, and Luxshare Precision, indicating a collective strength in the sector [1] - Nvidia's GB200 chip has entered a critical stage of mass production, with the next-generation AI server core chip GB300 expected to launch in the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2 - Quanta Computer has confirmed that the GB300 project is progressing according to plan, with testing and client validation processes underway [1] - The GB300 product is expected to start shipping in September, providing clear development expectations for the entire industry chain [1] - The GB300 chip boasts significant improvements over its predecessor, with a 1.7 times increase in inference performance, 1.5 times more memory, and doubled network bandwidth, achieving a computing power of 40 petaflops per node [1] Group 3 - The GB300 AI server is anticipated to adopt a supercapacitor BBU solution due to the limitations of traditional lead-acid battery solutions in meeting higher power density demands, presenting new growth opportunities for the related industries [1] - Defu Technology has independent R&D capabilities in multi-layer copper foil products, applicable in solid-state batteries and supercapacitors [2] - Jianghai Co.'s aluminum electrolytic capacitors and supercapacitors are compatible with the performance requirements of the GB300, and they are currently in technical discussions with relevant server manufacturers [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the focus on high-growth sectors driven by policy support and industrial innovation, including technology growth, new consumption, cyclical growth, and financial innovation [1]. Group 1: High-Growth Sectors - The technology growth sector includes strong performance certainty in computing hardware, the semiconductor industry benefiting from domestic substitution, and military industry resonating with domestic and international demand [1]. - New consumption is represented by emotional consumption, which serves as a new engine to boost consumption [1]. - The cyclical growth sector combines cyclical and growth characteristics, with short-term price increase catalysts [1]. - The financial sector is driven by the decline in risk-free interest rates and innovations in stablecoins [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Following the rating disclosures, the downward adjustment of convertible bond ratings has removed constraints on low-priced convertible bonds, leading to an accelerated exit of bank convertible bonds [1]. - High Yield to Maturity (YTM) and dual low convertible bonds are expected to become the new base assets [1]. - The impact of the June rating downgrades is manageable, reflecting market preparedness for the downgrades of weaker quality convertible bonds, with no concerns over credit risk in a relatively strong equity market [1]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The equity market is expected to continue strengthening in July, influenced by three main factors: earnings forecasts from A-share listed companies, potential new actions from Trump after the tariff delay, and important mid-year meetings setting the economic outlook and policies for the second half [2]. - The report suggests that the valuation logic of the Chinese stock market in 2025 is driven by domestic industrial innovation and a systematic reduction in market discount rates, which will attract incremental capital [2]. - The easing of external tensions further strengthens the internal certainty logic, indicating potential upward movement in the stock market before the end of July [2]. Group 4: Convertible Bond Market - High valuations do not restrict the rise of convertible bonds, as the equity market is expected to remain strong, maintaining a tight balance between supply and demand in the convertible bond market [3]. - The median price of convertible bonds reached 124.21 yuan, a new high for 2025, driven by optimistic expectations for underlying stocks [3]. - The report highlights the importance of focusing on sectors with strong performance certainty and significant valuation space, such as AI, military, semiconductors, humanoid robots, stablecoins, innovative drugs, and emotional consumption [3].

A股三大指数今日集体下跌，截至收盘，沪指跌0.09%，深成指跌0.61%，创业板指跌1.13%，北证50指 数跌1.23%。全市场成交额14051亿元，较上日缩量914亿元。全市场超3200只个股下跌。板块题材上， 光伏、钢铁、养殖、代糖、煤炭、海工装备板块涨幅居前；算力硬件、半导体、军工装备、脑机接口、 数字货币、多元金融板块跌幅居前。盘面上，光伏板块集体大涨，双良节能（600481）、亿晶光电 （600537）、凯盛新能（600876）多股封板涨停。钢铁板块午后强势拉升，柳钢股份（601003）、重庆 钢铁（601005）、首钢股份（000959）涨停。海工装备板块集体爆发，深水海纳（300961）、大连重工 （002204）、巨力索具（002342）等10余股涨停。算力硬件板块集体走低，博敏电子（603936）、科翔 股份（300903）、旭光电子（600353）跌幅居前。军工板块午后低迷，内蒙一机（600967）跌停，北方 长龙（301357）、恒宇信通（300965）跌超10%。脑机接口板块集体调整，翔宇医疗、爱朋医疗 （300753）、创新医疗（002173）纷纷下挫。 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively declined in the morning session, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.42%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.84% [1] - The total market turnover for the half-day was 867.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 113.8 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,200 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The marine engineering, aquaculture, photovoltaic, and non-ferrous metal sectors showed the highest gains, while computing hardware, semiconductors, brain-computer interfaces, and diversified finance sectors experienced the largest declines [2] - The marine engineering sector saw a collective surge, with stocks like Deepwater Haina (300961), Dalian Heavy Industry (002204), and Shenkai Co. (002278) hitting the daily limit [2] - Photovoltaic concept stocks also rallied, with Yijing Optoelectronics (600537), Oujing Technology (001269), and Yamaton (002623) reaching the daily limit [2] - The banking sector remained active, with China Construction Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank reaching new highs [2] - The non-ferrous metal sector was also active, with Jingyi Co. (002295) hitting the daily limit and Zijin Mining reaching a new high [2] - In contrast, computing hardware and semiconductor stocks collectively declined, with stocks like Blue Arrow Electronics (301348), Taiji Co. (300046), and Kexiang Co. (300903) leading the losses [2] - The diversified finance and digital currency sectors showed weakness, with Aijian Group (600643) hitting the daily limit down, and other stocks like Hongye Futures (001236), Cuiwei Co. (603123), and Lakala (300773) also declining [2] Notable Stocks - The strongest stocks included Chengbang Co. (603316) with five consecutive limits, and several stocks with three consecutive limits such as Kai Mei Teqi (002549) and Xuedilong (002658) [3][4] Hot Sectors - The marine engineering sector was the top performer with 11 stocks hitting the daily limit, while the nuclear power sector had 10 stocks hitting the daily limit [5][6] - The Belt and Road sector also had 10 stocks hitting the daily limit, with notable stocks including Kangda New Materials (002669) and Hailide (002206) [7] Sector Insights - The marine engineering sector is expected to benefit from the emphasis on high-quality development of the marine economy as highlighted in the Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting [10] - In the photovoltaic sector, a collective production cut of 30% by major glass manufacturers is anticipated to address supply-demand imbalances, with July's glass supply expected to decrease to 45GW [11] - The non-ferrous metal sector is influenced by renewed discussions on copper tariffs and low LME inventories, with expectations of copper prices remaining strong in the second half of the year [12]

Group 1 - CPO and high-speed copper cable computing hardware stocks opened lower, with Chuangyitong dropping over 10% [1] - Taichengguang, Jianqiao Technology, and Kexiang Co., Ltd. fell over 5% [1] - Other companies such as Dongshan Precision, Yuanjie Technology, Liante Technology, Shengyi Electronics, and Tianfu Communication also experienced declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a strong performance on the last trading day of June, with notable gains in the military, pharmaceutical, and photovoltaic sectors. The pharmaceutical commercial sector saw significant late-session gains, while the liquor sector experienced a sudden surge in stock prices. Additionally, computing hardware stocks reached historical highs, indicating a positive market sentiment overall [1][2]. Group 1: Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical commercial sector experienced a late surge, with stocks like Huaren Health rising from a near 5% drop to a nearly 7% increase, closing up 4.61% [1]. - Recent reports indicate that major liquor companies such as Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao are seeing good growth in banquet market scale and opening rates, with strategies focusing on lower-end and innovative products [6]. Group 2: Liquor Sector - The liquor sector saw a significant rally at 13:11, with stocks like Jiugui Liquor, Shede Liquor, and Shui Jing Fang rising by 6.88%, 3.48%, and 2.92% respectively by the end of trading [4]. - Analysts suggest that the overall valuation of the liquor sector is low, with frequent stock buybacks and increased dividend payouts expected to attract more capital inflow [6]. Group 3: Computing Hardware Sector - Computing hardware stocks were notably active, with companies like Jingwang Electronics and Xinyi Sheng reaching historical highs. Jingwang Electronics hit a limit-up, while Xinyi Sheng closed up 3.12% at 127.02 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 126.05 billion yuan [8][10]. - The demand for optical modules is expected to exceed supply by a factor of two in 2024, driven by strong growth in the AI sector and overseas markets [11]. Group 4: Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic sector showed strength, particularly in the back-contact (BC) battery segment, with stocks like Saiwu Technology hitting the limit-up and GCL-Poly Energy rising over 6% [12][13]. - The acceleration of new technologies such as BC and solid-state batteries is anticipated, with production capacity expected to exceed 100GW by the end of 2025 [15].

Core Viewpoint - The computing hardware sector is experiencing significant activity, particularly in the PCB segment, with companies like Jingwang Electronics achieving historical highs in stock performance [1] Group 1: Market Activity - Jingwang Electronics has seen a remarkable performance with a rise of 2 boards in 3 days, reaching a historical high [1] - Other companies in the sector, such as Aohong Electronics, Yuanjie Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, Shengyi Electronics, and Xinyi Sheng, have also shown notable increases in stock prices [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - According to a report from CITIC Securities, NVIDIA is focusing on positioning itself as a platform provider for AI infrastructure during its shareholder meeting [1] - Leading domestic and international companies are ramping up efforts in infrastructure development to meet the surging demand for inference computing power [1] - The market outlook for the ASIC sector is continuously being adjusted upwards, indicating sustained high prosperity in the computing industry chain [1]