丨证券研究报告丨 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 公司研究丨点评报告丨安井食品（603345.SH） [Table_Title] 安井食品 2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评：收入 端保持稳健，控费提效能力持续凸显 %% %% 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 董思远 SAC：S0490517070016 SFC：BQK487 research.95579.com 1 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司披露 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年公司营收 151.3 亿元，同比提升 7.7%；归母 净利润 14.85 亿元，同比提升 0.46%；2025 年 Q1 公司营收 36 亿元，同比下滑 4.13%；归母 净利润 3.95 亿元，同比下滑 10.01%。 安井食品（603345.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 安井食品 2024 2] 年报&2025 年一季报点评：收入 端保持稳健，控费提效能力持续凸显 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司披露 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年公司营收 151 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article narrates the inspiring journey of Zang Jianhe, who transformed her life from a struggling single mother to the founder of a successful frozen dumpling brand, "Wanchai Ferry," achieving an annual revenue of 6 billion yuan [3][14]. Group 1: Background and Early Struggles - Zang Jianhe moved to Hong Kong in the 1970s with only 500 HKD, raising two daughters alone after her husband abandoned them [4][17]. - She initially worked multiple jobs to support her family, living in a cramped 4-square-meter apartment [22]. - After receiving encouragement about her dumplings, she decided to sell them at a street stall, despite her initial hesitations and challenges [25][30]. Group 2: Business Development - Zang Jianhe's dumplings quickly gained popularity, leading her to sell 1,000 portions in just six hours [26]. - In 1985, she established her first factory with the help of a Japanese department store, marking the official start of "Wanchai Ferry" [35]. - By 1983, her dumplings captured a significant market share, becoming the leading brand in Hong Kong's frozen food sector, with 30% of the frozen dumpling market [41]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Expansion - Zang Jianhe was cautious in selecting partners, ensuring that her brand identity remained intact during collaborations [42]. - The entry of international companies, such as Pillsbury, provided financial backing and advanced production techniques, facilitating the brand's expansion into mainland China [46][47]. - The brand's success was also attributed to its focus on high-quality ingredients and customer feedback, which helped refine product offerings [56][58]. Group 4: Legacy and Impact - Zang Jianhe's story is seen as a testament to resilience and entrepreneurship, inspiring many in the food industry [48][49]. - Her approach to business emphasized customer relationships and quality, setting a standard for the frozen food sector in China [61]. - Despite her passing in 2016, her legacy continues to influence the industry, with "Wanchai Ferry" remaining a prominent brand [62].

Core Viewpoint - The article narrates the inspiring life story of Zang Jianhe, the founder of "Wanchai Ferry," highlighting her journey from hardship to success, ultimately becoming a renowned entrepreneur in the frozen dumpling market in Hong Kong and beyond [1][34]. Group 1: Early Life and Struggles - Zang Jianhe's life was divided into two parts after 1977, with the first part spent in Shandong as a nurse and the second part facing adversity in Hong Kong after leaving her husband [2][3]. - After moving to Hong Kong with her two daughters, Zang took on multiple low-paying jobs to make ends meet, refusing welfare assistance to maintain her dignity [6][9]. - A friend's compliment about her dumplings sparked the idea for her to start selling them, leading her to set up a stall at Wanchai Ferry [12][13]. Group 2: Building the Business - Zang Jianhe established her dumpling stall with a focus on high quality, hygiene, and customer feedback, which helped her gain popularity among locals [17][18]. - Her dumplings evolved to cater to local tastes, leading to a growing customer base and recognition, including features in local media [19][20]. - The stall's success led to significant sales, with records of selling 1,000 portions in just six hours [21][30]. Group 3: Expansion and Partnerships - Zang Jianhe's dumplings caught the attention of major retailers, including Japan's Daimaru, which initially hesitated to partner due to the stall's informal nature but later agreed to a collaboration [22][26]. - The partnership allowed for the expansion of the "Wanchai Ferry" brand into supermarkets, significantly increasing market presence [30]. - By 1999, "Wanchai Ferry" achieved sales of 500 million yuan, capturing a substantial share of the frozen dumpling market in China [40]. Group 4: Legacy and Impact - Zang Jianhe's commitment to quality and customer satisfaction became the foundation of her brand, leading to a strong reputation and customer loyalty [31][32]. - The brand's growth continued under the ownership of Pillsbury and later General Mills, which facilitated rapid expansion into domestic and international markets [39][42]. - Zang Jianhe's story serves as an inspirational narrative of resilience and entrepreneurship, with her legacy continuing through the "Wanchai Ferry" brand [44][48].

作者 | 莫奈 上世纪七十年代到香港后，臧健和独自一人抚养两个女儿，凭着500块钱港币，她买下了木头车和包饺 子的材料，开始在湾仔码头旁边卖水饺。 臧健和与两个女儿的旧照 当时，香港还没开通地铁，人们习惯坐轮渡上下班，码头是一个非常热闹的地方。正因如此，第一次决 定推车出门时，臧健和心里充满迟疑，不敢走得太快，也不敢抬起头。 "硬生生地上湾仔码头，那条路很远很长，自己就觉得怎么还是走不到。"她说。 煮水饺需要烧炉火，不熟悉生火的臧健和，甚至把自己的眉毛都烧到了。 而这个细节，在4月30日刚上映的电影《水饺皇后》里得到了还原。 编辑 | 何子维 值班编辑｜ 宝珠 视觉 | 顾芗 走投无路，是臧健和决定卖水饺之初最现实的处境。 《水饺皇后》集齐了马丽、惠英红、朱亚文等大牌明星， 暂列"五一档"票房第一。一幕幕场景切换，不 仅把上世纪八十年代前后的香港市井展现得淋漓尽致，更能让观众一窥臧健和创业时的无奈、困窘与惊 人的韧劲。 臧健和曾在一档节目上讲述自己第一次在湾仔码头的小摊上生火的经历 《水饺皇后》电影剧照 这部电影开拍前，导演刘伟强就曾说他跟臧健和算是有缘："我小时候就住在铜锣湾，有吃过她的水 饺，除了回味水饺 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue and non-net profit for Q1 2025, driven by stable store operations and rapid growth in group meal services [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 370 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.45% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.2 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.13% [1] - The non-net profit attributable to shareholders was 38.9 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.33% [1] - Basic earnings per share remained stable at 0.16 yuan compared to the same period last year [1] Business Segments - The revenue from franchise stores, direct stores, and group meal services in Q1 2025 was 265 million, 6 million, and 93 million yuan, reflecting changes of 2.75%, -10.16%, and 11.75% respectively compared to the previous year [2] - Revenue by region in Q1 2025 was 305 million, 32 million, 11 million, and 21 million yuan for East China, South China, North China, and Central China, with year-on-year changes of 4.53%, 8.07%, -9.52%, and 8.08% respectively [2] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin in Q1 2025 was 25.47%, a decrease of 0.45 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net profit margin was 10.04%, down 1.35 percentage points from the previous year [3] - The company’s expense ratio improved slightly to 10.82%, a decrease of 0.18 percentage points year-on-year [3] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.823 billion, 2.015 billion, and 2.236 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.1%, 10.5%, and 11.0% respectively [4] - Projected net profits for the same period are 268 million, 293 million, and 315 million yuan, with changes of -3.3%, 9.5%, and 7.4% respectively [4] - Corresponding EPS for 2025-2027 are expected to be 1.12, 1.22, and 1.31 yuan, with PE ratios of 16.4X, 15.0X, and 14.0X based on the closing price of 18.33 yuan on April 29 [4]

2025 年 4 月 30 日 公司研究 业绩承压，期待后续盈利改善 ——三全食品（002216.SZ）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：三全食品发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，公司 2024 年实现总营收 66.32 亿元、同比减少 6%，归母净利润 5.42 亿元、同比减少 27.64%，扣非归 母净利润4.15亿元、同比减少35.8%。25Q1总营收22.18亿元、同比减少1.58%， 归母净利润 2.09 亿元、同比减少 9.22%，扣非归母净利润 1.64 亿元、同比减少 16.87%。公司拟每 10 股派发现金红利 3 元（含税）、分红率 48.64%。 24 年传统米面制品收入承压、25Q1 有所改善，大 B 端表现相对领先。1）分市 场 ， 24 年零售及创新 / 餐饮市场营收分别为 51.19/14.45 亿元，同比 -8.10%/+1.06%，C 端零售市场表现较为疲软，B 端餐饮市场中小 B 端客户有所 承压、主要系老品竞争较为激烈，大 B 客户继续拓展、收入增速较为领先。分 产品看，24 年速冻米面制品/速冻调制食品营收分别为 55.99/8.73 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Qianwei Yangchu, has experienced a significant decline in net profit and revenue, marking a shift from previous high growth to substantial losses in 2024 [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.868 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.71%, with a first-quarter revenue increase of only 1.5% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders plummeted by 37.67% in 2024, with a further decline of 37.98% in the first quarter [1]. - The stock price has been in a continuous decline since August 2023, currently at only 40% of its peak [1]. Business Segments - Traditional business lines have faced significant declines, with fried, baked, and steamed products experiencing growth rates of -11.87%, -4.28%, and 5.41% respectively in 2024, compared to over 20% growth in 2023 [2]. - The core revenue sources, such as staple food products, saw a decrease of 6.88%, while snack food revenue dropped by 13.79% [3]. - The frozen prepared dishes segment grew by 273.39%, but its revenue was only 142 million yuan, accounting for less than 8% of total revenue [3][5]. Cost Structure - The company increased sales and management expenses significantly, with sales expenses rising by 13.33% and management expenses by 12.56% in 2024 [3]. - The sales expense ratio increased by 0.72 percentage points to 5.4%, while the management expense ratio rose by 1.38 percentage points to 10.93% [3]. Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape in the frozen food sector is intensifying, with major players expanding capacity and smaller players adopting low-price strategies [5]. - The company has seen a rise in the number of major clients by 8.81% to 173, but sales from the top two clients decreased by 11% and 15% respectively, indicating growing dependency risks [2]. Future Outlook - The company has three ongoing projects, with a total designed capacity of 196,600 tons and an actual capacity of 123,800 tons, leading to a capacity utilization rate of only 63% due to declining sales [6]. - Fixed assets have increased by 65% to 1.045 billion yuan since 2022, while revenue has only grown by 25%, raising concerns about potential impairment risks if capacity cannot be utilized effectively [6].

安井食品 20250429 摘要 • 2024 年安井食品速冻调制品营收 78.39 亿元，同比增长 11.4 亿元，其 中锁鲜装产品营收达 15 亿元，增速近 19%，均价稳定在每公斤 40-41.5 元。预制菜市场总产量 3.5-4 万吨，收入占比提升至 10%左右，毛利率接 近 50%。 • 2024 年速冻菜肴制品营收 43.5 亿元，同比增长 10.7%，小酥肉增长 50%，虾滑增长显著，但虾尾受价格影响下降。速冻面米同比下降 3.14%，规模约 25 亿，农副产品下降 11.74%，受进口饲料价格影响。 • 大单品战略持续推进，2024 年公司有 39 个过亿大单品，占总销售额约 70%，鱼糜制品如鱼子福袋增长 30%，鱼子包达 4 亿水平增长 13%，仿 蟹肉总量 2.5 亿增长 20%。肉类调理食品中，波波肠增长超 10%，撒尿 牛肉丸和猪肉丸分别增长 11%和中大个位数。 • 2024 年全年毛利率为 23.3%，同比增长 0.09 个百分点，净利润增速放 缓至 0.47%。毛利率提升主要得益于调制食品和菜肴制品毛利增加，小酥 肉销量显著，规模效应显现。部分品类受消费行情影响价格波动。 Q& ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Anjoy Food, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [10]. Core Views - Anjoy Food's revenue for 2024 reached 15.127 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.485 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.46% [4]. - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to demand disturbances, with a forecasted decline in net profit for Q1 2025 [4][8]. - The company has a diverse product matrix, with significant contributions from frozen prepared foods and a notable decline in revenue from casual snacks due to structural adjustments in its subsidiary [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profitability: - 2024 revenue: 15.127 billion yuan, up 7.7% YoY - 2024 net profit: 1.485 billion yuan, up 0.5% YoY - 2025 projected net profit: 1.580 billion yuan, up 6.4% YoY [6][8]. - Margins: - Gross margin for 2024 was 23.3%, a slight increase of 0.09 percentage points YoY - Net margin for 2024 was 10.01%, a decrease of 0.68 percentage points YoY [7]. - Revenue by Product: - Frozen prepared foods: 7.839 billion yuan, up 11.41% YoY - Frozen dishes: 4.349 billion yuan, up 10.76% YoY - Frozen noodles and rice products: 2.465 billion yuan, down 3.14% YoY - Casual snacks: 0.9497 million yuan, down 80.44% YoY [7]. - Revenue by Channel: - Distributor channel: 12.382 billion yuan, up 8.91% YoY - New retail channel: 0.582 billion yuan, up 32.97% YoY - E-commerce channel: 0.313 billion yuan, down 2.29% YoY [7]. Regional Performance Summary - Revenue by Region: - East China: 6.480 billion yuan, up 6.36% YoY - North China: 2.217 billion yuan, up 5.36% YoY - Central China: 1.928 billion yuan, up 7.44% YoY - Northeast: 1.296 billion yuan, up 7.01% YoY - South China: 1.265 billion yuan, up 9.12% YoY - Overseas: 0.168 billion yuan, up 30.76% YoY [8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.580 billion yuan in 2025, 1.732 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.892 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 5.39, 5.91, and 6.45 yuan [6][8]. - The P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 14.6 in 2024 to 11.4 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness [6][8].

Investment Rating - The report provides investment ratings for various companies in the consumer staples sector, with "Outperform" ratings for companies like Haidilao, China Feihe, and China Resources Beer, while Budweiser APAC is rated "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed trend in the cost indices of six categories of consumer goods, with spot cost indices for beer, frozen food, dairy products, seasonings, instant noodles, and soft drinks showing changes of +2.69%, +1.67%, +1.09%, -0.12%, -0.18%, and -1.58% respectively, while futures cost indices showed changes of -3.78%, +1.38%, +0.46%, -1.64%, -1.64%, and -2.61% respectively [36]. Summary by Category Beer - The spot cost index for beer increased by 2.69% compared to last month, while the futures index decreased by 3.78%. Year-to-date, the spot index has changed by -0.08% and the futures index by -5.24% [12][37]. Seasonings - The spot cost index for seasonings decreased by 0.12%, and the futures index decreased by 1.64%. The price of soybeans has been rising due to limited domestic supply and decreased imports [16][38]. Dairy Products - The spot cost index for dairy products increased by 1.09%, and the futures index increased by 0.46%. Fresh milk prices have stabilized at 3.08 yuan per kilogram, with oversupply continuing to pressure prices [19][39]. Instant Noodles - The spot cost index for instant noodles decreased by 0.18%, and the futures index decreased by 1.64%. Palm oil prices have fallen due to increased production and inventory accumulation [24][40]. Frozen Food - The spot cost index for frozen food increased by 1.67%, and the futures index increased by 1.38%. Vegetable prices have decreased significantly due to increased supply [28][41]. Soft Drinks - The spot cost index for soft drinks decreased by 1.58%, and the futures index decreased by 2.61%. Prices are under pressure due to weak demand and capacity expansion [32][42].