截至2026年2月3日，汇添富中证细分有色金属产业主题ETF发起式联接C(019165)自成立以来，最高单 月回报为20.81%，最长连涨月数为6个月，最长连涨涨幅63.79%，涨跌月数比为16/10，上涨月份平均收 益率为8.91%，年盈利百分比为100.00%，月盈利概率64.65%，历史持有2年盈利概率为100.00%。 截至2026年2月4日 15:00，中证细分有色金属产业主题指数(000811)上涨0.27%，成分股金钼股份 (601958)上涨4.28%，兴业银锡(000426)上涨3.79%，华友钴业(603799)上涨2.83%，神火股份(000933)上 涨2.81%，白银有色(601212)上涨2.62%。（以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） 截至2026年2月4日 15:00，有色ETF汇添富上涨0.57%，截至2026年2月3日，近1年以来累计上涨 118.67%。 截至2026年2月3日，有色ETF汇添富的场外联接产品汇添富中证细分有色金属产业主题ETF发起式联接 C(019165)单位净值为2.31元，当日上涨2.72%，近一月累计上涨14.90%。 2月4日，国际金价 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2026-02-04 淡季不淡，碳酸锂价格反弹 根据SMM最新统计数据，现货库存为107482吨，环比-1414吨。其中冶炼厂库存为19003吨，环比-831吨；下游库 存为41485吨，环比+3007吨；其他库存为47880吨，环比-3590吨。 策略 当前价格波动较大，春节假期临近，需关注持仓风险，短期区间操作为主。但碳酸锂基本面依然较好，若回调幅 度过大，可考虑逢低做多。 单边：若回调幅度较大，可考虑逢低做多 风险 2026年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 市场分析 2026-02-03，碳酸锂主力合约2605开于140040元/吨，收于148100元/吨，当日收盘价较昨日结算价变化4.63%。当日 成交量为619542手，持仓量为355770手，前一交易日持仓量347698手，根据SMM现货报价，目前基差为7520元/ 吨（电碳均价-期货）。当日碳酸锂仓单33084手，较上个交易日变化843手。 碳酸锂现货：根据SMM数据，电池级碳酸锂报价142000-165000元/吨，较前一交易日变化-2000元/吨，工业级碳酸 锂报价139000-1610 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - On February 3, 2026, SHFE silver futures closed at 21,446 CNY/kg, down 16.71% from the previous day[1] - The premium of SHFE silver futures over LME silver decreased from 29.8% at the end of January to 7.46% by February 3[1] - SHFE silver futures rose by 5.93% in the night session on February 4, closing at 22,393 CNY/kg[1] Group 2: Precious Metals Insights - The long-term narrative for precious metals remains unchanged, with expectations of continued support for gold prices due to "de-dollarization" and loose fiscal and monetary policies[3] - The volatility of silver futures remains high, with implied volatility reaching 148% on February 2 and remaining above 100% on February 3, compared to an average of 27% in 2025[5] - Gold futures implied volatility was close to 40% as of February 3, significantly higher than the 19% average for 2025[5] Group 3: Commodity Market Dynamics - The liquidity shock has ended, as indicated by the opening of the silver futures limit down on February 3, suggesting a stabilization in market risks[5] - The commodity market is expected to return to fundamental pricing logic for certain products that were "wronged" during the liquidity crisis[5] - The core logic of the commodity market remains intact despite the liquidity shock, with solid fundamentals for certain commodities still offering investment value[5] Group 4: Sector-Specific Analysis - Non-ferrous metals like copper and aluminum are expected to benefit from new economic demands driven by AI and green energy, despite recent price adjustments[6] - The chemical sector is experiencing a structural demand shift, with emerging industries driving growth, indicating potential for continued market improvement in 2026[6] - New energy metals, particularly lithium carbonate, are projected to achieve supply-demand balance, presenting bullish investment opportunities[6]

Content: --------- <doc id='1'>融资融券月报 13307 主要指数全部上涨，两融余额继续上升 ――融资融券 2 月月报</doc> <doc id='2'>| 分析师：王雪莹 | SAC NO：S1150525020001 2026 年 2 月 4 日 | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师 | 核心观点： | | 王[Table_IndInvest] 雪莹 | | | | 市场概况 | |  022-23839121 | | | wangxy4430@bhzq.com  | 本月（1 月 1 日-1 月 30 日）A 股市场主要指数全部上涨，其中科创 50 | | | 涨幅最大，上涨了 12.29%；上证 50 涨幅最小，上涨了 1.17%。此外， | | | 上证综指上涨 3.76 %，深证成指上涨 5.03%，创业板指上涨 4.47%， | | | 沪深 上涨 上涨 300 1.65 %，中证 500 12.12%。 | |  | 截至 1 月 30 日，沪深两市两融余额为 27,064.74 亿元，较上月末增加 | | | 1,737.60亿元。其中融资余额为 26,898.76 亿元，较上月末增加 1,736.88 | | | 亿元；融券余额为 165.99 亿元，较上月末增加 0.72 亿元。市场 ETF | | | 融资余额为 亿元，较上月末增加 亿元；融券余额为 1128.80 33.06 73.71 | | | 亿元，较上月末增加 亿元。户均融资融券余额为 元，较 0.94 1,414,996 | | | 上月末增加 35,599 元；有融资融券负债的投资者数量占全体融资融券 | | | 投资者数量的占比为 23.97%，较上月末增加 0.73 个百分点。1 月 1 日 | | | -1 月 30 日每日平均参与融资融券交易的投资者数量为 600,192 名，较 | | | 上月增长 42.73%。 | |  | 板块方面，主板和科创板融资余额占沪深两市 A 股融资余额比例下降， | | | 创业板占沪深两市 A 股融资余额比例上升。融券方面，主板和科创板融 | | | 券余额占沪深两市 A 股融券余额比例上升，创业板占沪深两市 A 股融券 | | | 余额比例下降。 | |  | 标的券情况 | |  | 行业方面，本月有色金属、电子和非银金融行业融资净买入额较多，建 | | | 筑材料、轻工制造和美容护理行业融资净买入额较少；本月融资买入额 | | | 占成交额比例较高的行业为非银金融、通信和电子，较低的行业为纺织 | | | 服饰、轻工制造和建筑材料；本月有色金属、食品饮料和家用电器行业 | | | 融券净卖出额较多，电力设备、电子和医药生物行业融券净卖出额较少。 | |  | 个股方面，本月个股融资净买入额前五名为中国平安（601318）、紫金 | | | 矿业（601899）、天孚通信（300394）、招商银行（600036）、长江电 | | | 力（600900）。本月个股融券净卖出额前五名为贵州茅台（600519）、 | | | 赤峰黄金（600988）、兴业银锡（000426）、美的集团（000333）、洛 | | | 阳钼业（603993）。 | |  | 风险提示：两融业务成本超预期变动风险；两融监管政策超预期变动风 | | | 险。 | | 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 | 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 20 |</doc> <doc id='3'>金 融 工 程 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 融 资 融 券 月 报</doc> <doc id='5'>| 1. 市场数据概览 | | 4 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2. 行业融资融券特征 | | 9 | | 3. ETF 标的券 | | 13 | | 4. 个股标的券及重大事项 | | 15 | | 5. 结论 | | 17 |</doc> <doc id='6'>| | |</doc> <doc id='7'>| 图 1：近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例 4 | | --- | | 图 2：本月融资业务情况 5 | | 图 3：本月融券业务情况 5 | | 图 4：近五年两融余额情况 6 | | 图 5：各板块融资余额情况（亿元） 6 | | 图 6：各板块融券余额情况（亿元） 6 | | 图 7：各指数融资余额情况（亿元） 7 | | 图 8：各指数融券余额情况（亿元） 7 | | 图 9：近一年融资融券机构投资者及个人投资者数量 8 | | 图 10：近一年参与融资融券交易的投资者数量与有融资融券负债的投资者数量 8 | | 图 11：本月申万一级行业涨跌幅及融资买入额占成交额比例（%） 9 | | 图 12：本月行业融资净买入额情况（万元） 9 | | 图 13：本月行业融券净卖出额情况（万元） 10 | | 图 14：近一年 ETF 融资融券余额情况 13 | </doc> <doc id='8'>| 表 1：A | 股市场主要指数本月表现 4 | | --- | --- | | 表 2：本月标的券所属行业融资情况 10 | | | 表 3：本月标的券所属行业融券情况 11 | | | 表 4：本月 ETF 融资净买入前 20 | 名 13 | | 表 5：本月个股融资净买入前 20 | 名 15 | | 表 6：本月融资买入额占成交额比例前 | 20 名 15 | | 表 7：本月个股融券净卖出前 20 | 名 16 |</doc> <doc id='9'>1. 市场数据概览 本月（1 月 1 日-1 月 30 日）A 股市场主要指数全部上涨，其中科创 50 涨幅最大， 上涨了 12.29%；上证 50 涨幅最小，上涨了 1.17%。此外，上证综指上涨 3.76 %， 深证成指上涨 5.03%，创业板指上涨 4.47%，沪深 300 上涨 1.65 %，中证 500 上涨 12.12%。</doc> <doc id='10'>表 1：A 股市场主要指数本月表现 | 指数名称 | 12 月 31 日收盘价 | 1 月 30 日收盘价 | 月涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证综指 | 3968.84 | 4117.95 | 3.76 | | 深证成指 | 13525.02 | 14205.89 | 5.03 | | 创业板指 | 3203.17 | 3346.36 | 4.47 | | 科创 50 | 1344.20 | 1509.40 | 12.29 | | 沪深 300 | 4629.94 | 4706.34 | 1.65 | | 上证 50 | 3031.13 | 3066.50 | 1.17 | | 中证 500 | 7465.57 | 8370.52 | 12.12 | 资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 图 1：近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例</doc> <doc id='12'>资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 1 月 30 日，沪深两市两融余额为 27,064.74 亿元，较上月末增加 1,737.

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a reversal with net inflows after several days of capital outflows, with total trading volume exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan on February 3 [1] - On February 3, nearly 10 billion yuan flowed into the stock ETF market, marking one of the few days of net inflow since January [1][5] - The top-performing ETFs included those tracking the CSI 500, CSI 300, and STAR Market 50 indices, while sectors like non-ferrous metals and photovoltaics saw significant outflows [1][5] Group 2 - As of February 3, the total scale of stock ETFs reached 4.15 trillion yuan, with trading volume for stock ETFs at 298.75 billion yuan, a decrease of nearly 20 billion yuan from the previous trading day [2] - The leading sectors on that day were new energy and non-ferrous metals, with four of the top ten ETFs by increase in price belonging to the new energy sector [2][3] - The worst-performing ETFs included those related to new economy, Hong Kong Stock Connect technology, brokerage, and banking, with declines around 1% to nearly 7% [3] Group 3 - On February 3, the net inflow for stock ETFs was approximately 97.52 billion yuan, with 56 ETFs seeing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [5][7] - The CSI 500 index led with a net inflow of 3.80 billion yuan, while the SGE Gold 9999 index saw a net outflow of 6.84 billion yuan [6] - Recent inflows into sector-specific indices included over 6.1 billion yuan into the semiconductor index and over 4.6 billion yuan into the STAR Market chip index [6] Group 4 - The top three ETFs by net inflow on February 3 were the CSI 500 ETF with 3.57 billion yuan, the Securities ETF with 1.12 billion yuan, and the A500 ETF with 973 million yuan [7] - Conversely, the ETFs with the highest net outflows included the Non-Ferrous Metals ETF and the Gold Stock ETF, with outflows of 4.18 billion yuan and 714 million yuan respectively [8] Group 5 - Major fund companies like E Fund and Huaxia Fund saw significant inflows into their ETFs, with E Fund's total ETF scale reaching 652.35 billion yuan, an increase of 9.64 billion yuan [9] - Notable inflows for E Fund included 711 million yuan into the CSI 300 ETF and 528 million yuan into the China Concept Internet ETF [9] - Fund manager Huang Yue from Guotai Fund expressed optimism for a spring market rally in Q1 2026, focusing on sectors like securities, new energy, semiconductors, and consumer services [9]

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report indicates that after significant fluctuations in gold and silver prices, the market is influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and the strong dollar, which may lead to a bearish outlook for gold prices in the short term [11][12][10] - The report suggests that high-risk investors with insufficient positions may consider participating in gold and silver trading to adjust their holdings, while long-term asset allocation should reduce gold's proportion due to uncertainties surrounding inflation control and strong dollar policies [11][12][10] Group 2: Market Performance in January - In January, precious metals continued to show strong performance, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and increased demand for safe-haven assets, with COMEX silver rising by 131.61% and COMEX gold increasing by 26.44% from November 2025 to January 28, 2026 [13][14] - The report highlights a structural recovery in the domestic stock market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 4.6% in January, while the performance of financial and consumer sectors was relatively weak [15][19] Group 3: Commodity Market Insights - The report notes that the commodity market is characterized by increased geopolitical disturbances and rising risk premiums for physical assets, with industrial metals supported by recovering manufacturing activity and structural demand from AI and renewable energy sectors [29][30] - Oil prices are influenced by geopolitical factors, particularly the situation in Iran, with expectations of oversupply in the medium term as global supply is projected to increase significantly [35][36] Group 4: Bond Market Analysis - The bond market is expected to maintain a narrow range of fluctuations, with the 10-year government bond yield projected to oscillate between 1.8% and 1.9% due to policy support and market expectations [28][21] - The report indicates that the defensive attributes of the bond market have weakened, reflecting a shift in investor preference towards equities and commodities amid rising risk appetite [16][21]

行 行业周报 资金情绪回落，多品种价格回调 分析师： 张珂 SAC NO： S1150523120001 2026 年 2 月 4 日 钢铁 有色金属 证券分析师 张珂 022-23839062 zhangke@bhzq.com 研究助理 重点品种推荐 洛阳钼业 增持 中金黄金 增持 华友钴业 增持 紫金矿业 增持 中国铝业 增持 近三月行业指数走势图 投资要点： 行业情况及产品价格走势初判 钢铁：后续随着春节前需求季节性走弱，钢材库存或进一步累积，需关注宏观 情绪对钢价影响。 铜：临近春节假期下游需求将减弱，资金情绪回落，短期铜价或调整后震荡运 行。 铝：资金情绪回落，春节前需求预计将走弱，短期铝价或迎来调整后震荡运 行。 黄金：我们认为金价回调后，后续地缘政治风险以及美国国内政治不确定性 （如政府停摆风险）仍有望为金价提供底部支撑，需警惕风险事件缓和对金 价的压力。另外，我们认为美国总统特朗普提名的新美联储主席未来偏鸽派 的可能性更大，后续美联储政策或超出市场预期，有望支撑金价。 锂：抢出口需求叠加供应偏紧预期，容量电价政策也有望改善需求预期，锂价 调整过后有望获得支撑。 稀土：春节前需求或走弱，但现货供 ...

重配有色、传媒等相关行业和个股的基金表现较优 国泰海通证券 1 月基金表现回顾 [Table_Authors] 庄梓恺(分析师) 本报告导读： 2026 年 1 月，A 股上涨，债市上涨，美股上涨，油价金价均上涨。基金方面，部分 重配有色、传媒等相关行业和个股的基金表现较优。 投资要点： [Table_Summary] 2026 年 1 月资本市场回顾 股票市场：A 股上涨，有色金属、传媒和石油石化行业表现较优。 2026 年 1 月，A 股上涨。2026 年开年以来，A 股市场热点赛道相继 发酵，在去年中国经济完成全年目标的背景下，A 股市场景气度保 持向上，1 月全月依然延续了慢牛上涨行情。从结构性机会来看，首 先，全球局势紧张加剧全球矿产供给不确定性，全月有色金属行业 表现靠前；其次，AI 大模型公司智谱、MiniMax 相继在港股上市， 以 AI 应用为代表的传媒行业表现出色；此外，国际能源署上调 2026 年全球原油需求增长预期，将需求增幅从此前的 86 万桶/日调整为 93 万桶/日，叠加地缘政治因素，石油石化板块本月走强。 2026 年 1 月基金业绩回顾 基金评价 /[Table_Date] ...

有色ETF银华（159871）业绩比较基准为中证有色金属指数收益率，管理人为银华基金管理股份有限公 司，基金经理为谭跃峰，成立（2021-03-10）以来回报为126.71%，近一个月回报为16.79%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月4日，有色ETF银华（159871）开盘涨1.72%，报2.301元。有色ETF银华（159871）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨1.78%，洛阳钼业涨3.98%，北方稀土涨0.35%，华友钴业涨1.70%，中国铝业涨1.75%，赣 锋锂业跌0.29%，山东黄金涨0.39%，云铝股份涨1.17%，中金黄金涨0.18%，中矿资源涨1.14%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs and Macquarie have raised their nickel price forecasts for 2026 due to signals from Indonesia, the world's largest nickel producer, indicating a reduction in production limits, which is expected to tighten ore supply [1] Group 1: Price Forecasts - Goldman Sachs increased its 2026 nickel price forecast from $14,800 per ton to $17,200 per ton, predicting that prices could reach around $18,700 per ton by the second quarter of 2026 as ore supply tightens [1] - Macquarie raised its 2026 LME nickel average price forecast from $15,000 per ton to $17,750 per ton, noting that Indonesia's tightening supply policy has adjusted its global nickel market balance forecast from a surplus of 250,000 tons to a surplus of 90,000 tons [1] Group 2: Supply Adjustments - Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources committed to reducing production in mid-December last year, which has contributed to the rebound in nickel prices [1] - The annual mining permit volume in Indonesia is set to decrease from 379 million wet tons in 2025 to between 250 million and 260 million wet tons this year [1]