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精准施策有后手多措并举稳外贸
● 本报记者 王舒嫄 前7个月我国外贸同比增速较上半年有所加快。站在当前时点,外贸政策如何进一步发力稳住基本盘, 受到市场广泛关注。 专家认为,稳外贸相关政策将从加大融资支持力度、优化出口退税等方面精准施策,同时还将持续扩大 高水平对外开放,继续高水平建设自贸试验区等开放平台。这些政策长短相济,将助力稳定预期、推进 外贸产业转型升级。 加大金融支持力度 对于下一阶段外贸形势,专家判断外部市场不确定性因素仍较多,外贸企业仍将承压前行,应加大对受 冲击较大外贸企业的融资支持力度。 实际上,今年以来,多部门出台了支持外贸发展的相关金融政策。例如,今年5月,金融监管总局等八 部门发布的《支持小微企业融资的若干措施》提出,加大对跨境电商等外贸新业态小微企业的金融支 持。鼓励开展跨境人民币"首办户"拓展行动,满足小微外贸企业汇率避险需求。 金融机构着力推进政策落实落细,创新服务模式,助力外贸企业抓订单、拓市场、稳客户。比如,中国 银行发布了《中国银行金融支持跨境贸易便利化综合服务方案》,聚焦跨国经营企业、中小微外贸企 业、跨境电商等重点客群,提供定制化、差异化服务。 优化出口退税政策 除了加强金融支持力度,优化出口退税政 ...
管涛:从本轮金融增量政策的市场反应说起 | 宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-05-16 10:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent financial policies implemented in China, particularly the "5·07" incremental policy, which aims to stabilize the market and expectations amid external uncertainties and economic transitions. The response from the financial markets, especially the A-share market, has been more restrained compared to the previous "9·24" policy [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Policy Overview - On May 7, China announced a comprehensive set of financial policies to stabilize the market, which included a 0.1 percentage point reduction in policy rates and a 0.5 percentage point cut in the reserve requirement ratio [4][9]. - The "5·07" policy is characterized by its broad scope, multiple measures, and rapid implementation, comparable to or exceeding the "9·24" policy [2][4]. Market Reactions - Following the "9·24" policy, the Shanghai Composite Index experienced a significant rally, gaining 27% over a two-week period. In contrast, the response to the "5·07" policy was more muted, with only a 2% increase over three trading days [4][6]. - The market's restrained reaction to the "5·07" policy is attributed to the fact that many of the measures were anticipated by investors [4][6]. Economic Context - The article highlights the ongoing economic challenges, including a decline in the GDP deflator index and a prolonged decrease in the Producer Price Index (PPI), which has raised concerns about the effectiveness of monetary policy [9][10]. - The need for a balance between supporting the real economy and maintaining the health of the banking system is emphasized, as low interest rates face constraints from insufficient market demand and bank credit supply [11][12]. Fiscal Policy Measures - The article outlines the government's commitment to a more proactive fiscal policy, with a projected deficit rate of around 4% and an increase in new government debt to support economic stability [13][15]. - Specific measures include enhancing financial support for foreign trade enterprises affected by tariffs and promoting domestic consumption [14][15]. Trade and External Relations - Despite challenges in exports to the U.S., overall Chinese exports have shown resilience, with significant growth in exports to non-U.S. markets [16]. - The article suggests that ongoing trade negotiations between China and the U.S. may lead to a reduction in tariffs, which could further support economic stability [16].
宏观策略周报:一揽子金融支持政策出台,政策加码提振市场信心-20250509
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2025-05-09 08:31
Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a comprehensive monetary policy package with ten specific measures aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations[8] - A reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 0.5 percentage points is expected to release approximately ¥1 trillion in long-term liquidity[9] - The policy interest rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase operation was lowered by 0.1 percentage points, from 1.596% to 1.4%, which is anticipated to lead to a similar decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) by about 0.1 percentage points[9] Economic Indicators - In the first four months of 2025, China's total goods trade value reached ¥14.14 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.4%[19] - Exports amounted to ¥8.39 trillion, increasing by 7.5%, while imports totaled ¥5.75 trillion, showing a decline of 4.2%[19] - The trade surplus for April was ¥700 billion, with exports growing by 9.3% and imports increasing by 0.8%[19] Sector Performance - The major stock indices showed varied performance, with the ChiNext Index leading with a weekly increase of 3.3%, while the STAR 50 Index decreased by 0.6%[30] - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend due to favorable policies and relatively low valuations[25] Trade Partners - ASEAN remains China's largest trading partner, with trade totaling ¥2.38 trillion, a growth of 9.2%[21] - Trade with the EU reached ¥1.78 trillion, growing by 1.1%, while trade with the US decreased by 2.1% to ¥1.44 trillion[21] Investment Trends - Private enterprises accounted for 56.9% of total foreign trade, with imports and exports growing by 6.8%[22] - The import value of mechanical and electrical products increased by 5.7%, indicating a shift in trade dynamics[24]
【西街观察】一揽子金融政策也是一揽子市场信心
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-05-07 15:21
Group 1: Policy Overview - The core viewpoint of the article is that China has introduced a comprehensive set of policies to stabilize the economy amidst global uncertainties, focusing on monetary policy, regulatory reforms, and capital market support [1][4] - The policy aims to boost market confidence through five key areas: stabilizing the real estate market, stock market, promoting consumption, stabilizing foreign trade, and strengthening technology [1][4] Group 2: Real Estate Market - The real estate market is identified as a crucial pillar of economic confidence, with policies targeting both demand and supply sides [1] - On the demand side, the policy includes a 0.25 percentage point reduction in public housing loan rates and expectations of lower Loan Prime Rates (LPR), easing the mortgage burden on residents [1] - On the supply side, the policy accelerates the development of financing systems that align with new real estate models, addressing the reasonable financing needs of property companies [1] Group 3: Stock Market Stability - The stability of the stock market is emphasized as vital for the broader economic landscape and investor interests, supported by long-term capital and institutional safeguards [2] - Following the "924 New Policy" in 2024, the Shanghai Composite Index rose from 2700 to 3400 points, indicating strong market resilience despite recent tariff disruptions [2] - The A-share market saw significant gains on May 7, with all three major indices closing higher [2] Group 4: Consumption Promotion - Structural tools have been implemented to stimulate consumption, which is key for expanding domestic demand [2] - A special quota of 500 billion yuan has been established for service and elderly care loans, encouraging banks to increase credit supply and activate demand in various service sectors [2] - The reduction of reserve requirements for auto finance and leasing companies aims to lower their liabilities, directly stimulating automotive consumption and equipment investment [2] Group 5: Foreign Trade and Technology - Policies to stabilize foreign trade include financial support, export insurance enhancements, and integrated domestic and foreign trade strategies [3] - The financing coordination mechanism now includes all foreign trade enterprises, providing tailored support to those affected by external shocks [3] - The bond market is fostering new productive forces by supporting the issuance of long-term technology bonds focused on sectors like AI, quantum technology, and biomedicine [3]